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85% Of Voters Concerned Israel - Hamas War Will Escalate Into A Wider War In The Middle East, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Approval For Building Border Wall With Mexico Reaches Record High

In the wake of the Hamas terrorist attack on Israel and Israel declaring war on Hamas, an overwhelming majority of voters (85 percent) are either very concerned (49 percent) or somewhat concerned (36 percent) that the war between Israel and Hamas will escalate into a wider war in the Middle East, while 13 percent are either not so concerned (8 percent) or not concerned at all (5 percent), according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today. The poll was conducted from October 12 through October 16.

Voters (76 - 17 percent) think supporting Israel is in the national interest of the United States.

Republicans (84 - 12 percent), Democrats (76 - 17 percent), and independents (74 - 19 percent) think supporting Israel is in the national interest of the United States.

Voters (64 - 28 percent) approve of the United States sending weapons and military equipment to Israel in response to the Hamas terrorist attack.

Republicans (79 - 19 percent), Democrats (59 - 29 percent), and independents (61 - 32 percent) approve of the United States sending weapons and military equipment to Israel.

There are wide gaps when looking at age. Voters 18 - 34 years old disapprove (51 - 39 percent) of the United States sending weapons and military equipment to Israel in response to the Hamas terrorist attack, while voters 35 - 49 years old (59 - 35 percent), voters 50 - 64 years old (77 - 17 percent), and voters 65 years of age and over (78 - 15 percent) approve.

When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Israel, slightly more than half of voters (52 percent) think the U.S. support of Israel is about right, while 20 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel, and 20 percent think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel. This compares to a Quinnipiac University poll in May 2021 when 35 percent thought the U.S. support of Israel was about right, 25 percent thought the U.S. was not supportive enough, and 29 percent thought the U.S. was too supportive of Israel.

Voters were asked whether their sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians based on what they know about the situation in the Middle East. Roughly 6 in 10 voters (61 percent) say the Israelis, while 13 percent say the Palestinians. This is an all-time high of voters saying their sympathies lie more with the Israelis since the Quinnipiac University Poll first asked this question of registered voters in December 2001. The previous high for saying the Israelis was in April 2010 when 57 percent said the Israelis and 13 percent said the Palestinians. The low for saying the Israelis was in May 2021 when 41 percent said the Israelis and 30 percent said the Palestinians.

When asked who they thought was more responsible for the outbreak of violence in the Middle East, regardless of their overall feelings toward the Israelis and the Palestinians, more than 7 in 10 voters (72 percent) say Hamas and 10 percent say Israel, with 6 percent volunteering both equally, and 12 percent not offering an opinion.

"With young voters the exception, there is overwhelming support for making sure Israel has the arms it needs. Which side is to blame for the spiraling crisis? No ambivalence there...it is Hamas, say registered voters, who deeply worry the conflict could metastasize and consume the Middle East," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

UKRAINE

Nearly two-thirds of voters (65 percent) think supporting Ukraine is in the national interest of the United States, while 28 percent think it is not in the national interest of the United States.

Democrats (87 - 8 percent) and independents (63 - 30 percent) think supporting Ukraine is in the national interest of the United States. Republicans are divided, as 49 percent think supporting Ukraine is in the national interest of the United States and 44 percent think it is not.

More than one-third of voters (36 percent) think the U.S. is doing about the right amount to help Ukraine, 37 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 20 percent think the U.S. is doing too little to help Ukraine.

There are wide gaps by political party.

Among Republicans, 19 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount to help Ukraine, 61 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 15 percent think the U.S. is doing too little to help Ukraine.

Among Democrats, 59 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount to help Ukraine, 9 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 27 percent think the U.S. is doing too little to help Ukraine.

Among independents, 34 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount to help Ukraine, 39 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 20 percent think the U.S. is doing too little to help Ukraine.

"We have your backs, say voters who believe the United States has a stake in holding off Putin. But there are cracks in how much support is too much support depending on which party is asked about the continuing alliance," added Malloy.

BIDEN

Voters give President Joe Biden a negative 38 - 56 percent job approval rating, little changed from Quinnipiac University's September poll.

Voters were asked about Biden's handling of...

  • the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 47 percent approve, 45 percent disapprove, with 8 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the response to the Hamas terrorist attack on Israel: 42 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, with 21 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the nation's policy toward Israel: 42 percent approve, 39 percent disapprove, with 19 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the economy: 38 percent approve, 57 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
  • foreign policy: 37 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove, with 9 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the situation at the Mexican border: 23 percent approve, 63 percent disapprove, with 13 percent not offering an opinion.

U.S. - MEXICO BORDER

A majority of voters (52 percent) support building a wall along the border with Mexico, while 44 percent oppose it. This marks the first time that a majority support building a wall along the border with Mexico since November 2016, when the question was first asked of registered voters by the Quinnipiac University Poll.

There are big differences along political party lines.

Republicans (91 - 6 percent) support building a wall along the border with Mexico, while Democrats (78 - 17 percent) oppose it. Independents are divided, as 51 percent support building a wall along the border with Mexico and 46 percent oppose it.

A majority of voters (55 percent) think that the number of migrants seeking sanctuary in the United States is a crisis, while 31 percent think it's a problem but not a crisis, and 11 percent think it's not a problem at all.

Thirty-one percent of voters say they would welcome migrants seeking sanctuary in their town or city, 37 percent say they would like to welcome migrants seeking sanctuary in their town or city, but don't think their town or city has the ability to accommodate them, and 27 percent say they would not welcome migrants in their town or city.

"Build the Wall, the rallying cry that was vilified and shot down during the Trump administration makes a comeback, buoyed by Republican voters and no doubt resuscitated by an unresolved border crisis," added Malloy.

CONFIDENCE IN CONGRESS

More than one-third of voters (35 percent) are either very confident (4 percent) or somewhat confident (31 percent) that the U.S. House of Representatives can respond effectively to a crisis, while 63 percent are either not so confident (33 percent) or not confident at all (30 percent).

A majority of voters (54 percent) are either very confident (10 percent) or somewhat confident (44 percent) that the U.S. Senate can respond effectively to a crisis, while 44 percent are either not so confident (28 percent) or not confident at all (16 percent).

SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE

Voters say 86 - 9 percent that they want to see the next Speaker of the House encourage Republicans to work with Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives, with Republicans saying the same 75 - 19 percent.

Roughly 4 in 10 voters (42 percent) disapprove of the U.S. House of Representatives removing Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House, while 35 percent approve and 23 percent did not offer an opinion. Among Republicans, 45 percent disapprove, 37 percent approve and 17 percent did not offer an opinion.

1,552 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from October 12th - 16th with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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