February 19, 2015 - Colorado, Iowa, Virginia Voters Want Un-Obama President, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds; Keep Un-Vaccinated Kids Out Of School, Voters Say 2-1 Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Voters in three critical swing states, Colorado, Iowa and Virginia, disapprove by margins of 9 percentage points of the job President Barack Obama is doing, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

By even bigger margins, voters want the next president to change directions from President Obama's policies, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on key states in the presidential election.

The president gets negative job approval ratings in all three states:
  • 43 - 52 percent in Colorado;
  • 43 - 52 percent in Iowa;
  • 44 - 53 percent in Virginia.
Voters support by wide margins, Obama's proposal to increase taxes on higher income earners to reduce taxes on the middle class. By smaller margins, voters in each state oppose the president's proposal to provide free community college tuition.

"Events change and issues move on and off the front-burner, but President Barack Obama's job approval stays relatively the same - low. In the critical Swing States of Colorado, Iowa and Virginia the president's job approval rating is in the low to mid 40s," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll. "That's about where it has been for most of the last few years.

"By margins of 24 points or higher, voters say they want the next president to change direction and not follow President Obama's policies. Whether that desire for a new direction will hurt the eventual Democratic nominee in 2016, time will tell."

"One reason for this seems to be that while voters in all three states say their state economy is excellent or good, and many say their personal financial situation is improving, more think Obama's policies have hurt rather than helped the economy," Brown added.

"At this point the president is not getting much credit for the improving economy."

"There is strong agreement - by more than 2-1 in these states - on the need to ban from public schools children who have not been vaccinated against childhood diseases such as measles."

Colorado

Colorado voters say 60 - 29 percent that children who do not receive standard vaccinations should not be allowed to attend schools or childcare facilities. There is almost no gender gap, but parents of children under 18 years old support a ban on un-vaccinated children by a smaller 53 - 39 percent margin.

Voters say 58 - 34 percent they want the next president to "change direction from Barack Obama's policies."

A total of 69 percent of voters are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with the way things are going in the state and 76 percent say the state's economy is "excellent" or "good." Colorado's economy is getting better, 54 percent of voters say, and 48 percent say they are better off than they were a year ago.

But voters say 42 - 38 percent that Obama's policies have hurt rather than helped the U.S. economy and say 40 - 21 percent that his policies have hurt rather than helped their personal financial situation.

Colorado voters support 57 - 37 percent Obama's proposal to raise taxes on the wealthy and use the money to reduce taxes on the middle class.

By a narrow 49 - 46 percent margin, voters oppose the president's plan to offer free community college tuition.

A total of 78 percent of voters are "very worried" or "somewhat worried" about the rise of Islamic extremism and 71 percent are "very worried" or "somewhat worried" about a terrorist attack in the U.S.

The federal government should investigate terrorist threats, even if it means intruding on personal privacy, Colorado voters say 50 - 41 percent.

Iowa

Children who do not receive standard vaccinations should not be allowed in schools or childcare facilities, Iowa voters say 64 - 28 percent. Women support such a ban 69 - 22 percent, while men support it 58 - 34 percent. Parents of children under 18 years old support a ban on un-vaccinated children 58 - 37 percent.

Voters say 58 - 34 percent they want the next president to "change direction from Barack Obama's policies."

A total of 77 percent of voters are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with the way things are going in the state and 76 percent say the state's economy is "excellent" or "good." Iowa's economy is getting better, 33 percent of voters say, while 12 percent say it is getting worse and 53 percent say it's about the same. They are better off than they were a year ago, 45 percent of voters say.

But voters say 42 - 38 percent that Obama's policies have hurt rather than helped the U.S. economy and say 32 - 19 percent that his policies have hurt rather than helped their personal financial situation.

Iowa voters support 64 - 30 percent the president's proposal to raise taxes on the wealthy and use the money to reduce taxes on the middle class.

Voters oppose 55 - 40 percent Obama's plan to offer free community college tuition.

A total of 85 percent of voters are "very worried" or "somewhat worried" about the rise of Islamic extremism and 77 percent are "very worried" or "somewhat worried" about a terrorist attack in the U.S.

The federal government should investigate terrorist threats, even if it means intruding on personal privacy, Iowa voters say 59 - 31 percent.

Virginia

By an overwhelming 71 - 22 percent margin, Virginia voters say un-vaccinated children should not be allowed in school or child care. There is almost no gender gap and parents of children under 18 years old agree with the ban 68 - 28 percent.

Voters say 61 - 31 percent they want the next president to "change direction from Barack Obama's policies."

A total of 63 percent of voters are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with the way things are going in the state and 65 percent say the state's economy is "excellent" or "good." Virginia's economy is getting better, 30 percent of voters say, while 14 percent say it is getting worse and 54 percent say it's about the same. They are better off than they were a year ago, 42 percent of voters say.

But voters say 45 - 39 percent that Obama's policies have hurt rather than helped the U.S. economy and say 38 - 19 percent that his policies have hurt rather than helped their personal financial situation.

Virginia voters support 56 - 39 percent the president's proposal to raise taxes on the wealthy and use the money to reduce taxes on the middle class.

Voters oppose 51 - 45 percent Obama's plan to offer free community college tuition.

A total of 84 percent of voters are "very worried" or "somewhat worried" about the rise of Islamic extremism and 80 percent are "very worried" or "somewhat worried" about a terrorist attack in the U.S.

The federal government should investigate terrorist threats, even if it means intruding on personal privacy, Virginia voters say 62 - 30 percent.

From February 5 - 15 Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,049 Colorado voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points;
  • 1,089 Iowa voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points;
  • 1,074 Virginia voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Approve              43%    43%    44%
Disapprove           52     52     53
DK/NA                 6      5      4
 
 
18. Would you like to see the next President generally; continue with Barack Obama's policies or change direction from Barack Obama's policies?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Continue policies    34%    34%    31%
Change direction     58     58     61
DK/NA                 9      8      8
 
 
22abc. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in - (CO) Colorado / (IA) Iowa / (VA) Virginia - today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Very satisfied       16%    14%     6%
Smwht satisfied      53     63     57
Smwht dissatisfied   21     17     24
Very dissatisfied    10      6     11
DK/NA                 -      1      1
 
 
23abc. Would you describe the state of - (CO) Colorado's / (IA) Iowa's / (VA) Virginia's - economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Excellent            13%     7%     5%
Good                 63     69     60
Not so good          18     17     24
Poor                  5      5      9
DK/NA                 1      3      3
 
 
24abc. Do you think - (CO) Colorado's / (IA) Iowa's / (VA) Virginia's - economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Better               54%    33%    30%
Worse                10     12     14
The same             34     53     54
DK/NA                 2      3      1
 
 
25. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Better off           48%    45%    42%
Worse off            26     27     30
SAME(VOL)            26     27     26
DK/NA                 -      1      1
 
 
26. Do you think President Obama's policies have helped - the nation's economy, hurt the nation's economy, or haven't made a difference?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Helped               38%    38%    39%
Hurt                 42     42     45
No difference        16     17     13
DK/NA                 3      3      3
 
 
27. Do you think President Obama's policies have helped - your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or haven't made a difference?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Helped               21%    19%    19%
Hurt                 40     32     38
No difference        38     48     42
DK/NA                 1      1      1
 
 
28. Do you support or oppose increasing taxes on higher income earners to reduce the amount of taxes paid by the middle class?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Support              57%    64%    56%
Oppose               37     30     39
DK/NA                 6      6      6
 
 
29. If a candidate for Congress or the U.S. Senate opposes increasing taxes on higher income earners to reduce the amount of taxes paid by the middle class; does that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
More likely          26%    20%    25%
Less likely          37     40     38
No difference        35     36     34
DK/NA                 3      4      3
 
 
30. Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Support              41%    41%    42%
Oppose               53     53     53
DK/NA                 6      6      5
 
 
31. Do you think Congress should keep the health care law in place as it is, make minor changes, make major changes, or repeal the health care law entirely?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Keep law             11%     9%    11%
Minor changes        32     36     32
Major changes        23     26     23
Repeal law entirely  31     26     31
DK/NA                 3      3      3
 
 
32. The federal health care law says companies with 50 or more employees have to offer health insurance to those who work at least 30 hours a week. The Republicans in Congress have proposed changing this to at least 40 hours a week. Which of these do you prefer? Should employers be required to provide coverage for employees who work at least 30 hours a week, or should it be at least 40 hours a week?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
At least 30/wk       54%    51%    52%
At least 40/wk       39     41     42
DK/NA                 8      8      6
 
 
33. Do you think that children who have not received standard vaccinations should be allowed to attend schools and childcare facilities, or should not be allowed to attend schools and childcare facilities?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Should be allowed    29%    28%    22%
Should not           60     64     71
DK/NA                11      8      7
 
 
34. President Obama has proposed providing free tuition to attend community colleges at a cost to the federal government of sixty billion dollars over 10 years. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Support              46%    40%    45%
Oppose               49     55     51
DK/NA                 5      5      4
 
 
35. How worried are you about the rise of Islamic extremism around the world; very worried, somewhat worried, not so worried or not worried at all?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Very worried         44%    44%    50%
Somewhat worried     34     41     34
Not so worried       13      9      9
Not worried at all    9      5      6
DK/NA                 1      -      1
 
 
36. How worried are you about the possibility of a terrorist attack in the United States, like the ones that happened recently in Paris; very worried, somewhat worried, not so worried or not worried at all?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Very worried         31%    32%    39%
Somewhat worried     40     45     41
Not so worried       19     16     13
Not worried at all    8      7      6
DK/NA                 1      1      -
 
 
37. What do you think is more important right now: for the federal government to investigate possible terrorist threats, even if that intrudes on personal privacy, or for the federal government not to intrude on personal privacy, even if that limits its ability to investigate possible terrorist threats?
                     CO     IA     VA
 
Investigate threats  50%    59%    62%
Not intrude privacy  41     31     30
DK/NA                 8     10      8
 
 
Additional info by state:
Colorado: Trends and Crosstabs Sample and Methodology detail
Iowa: Trends and Crosstabs Sample and Methodology detail
Virginia: Trends and Crosstabs Sample and Methodology detail