August 18, 2016 - Grassley Up 9 Points In Iowa Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds; Bennet Swamping GOP Challenger In Colorado Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Incumbent U.S. Senators hold comfortable likely voter leads in reelection races in Colorado and Iowa, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

In Colorado, first-term Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet is cruising to a second term with a 54 - 38 percent lead over El Paso County Commissioner Darryl Glenn, his Republican challenger, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Party loyalty trumps race as non-white likely voters go Democratic 64 - 22 percent, even though Glenn is black. White voters back the incumbent 53 - 41 percent.

Bennet leads 96 - 1 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters. Republicans back Glenn 84 - 8 percent. Bennet leads 59 - 33 percent among women and 49 - 43 percent among men.

"For first term Sen. Michael Bennet, the path to a second six years in DC may seem as clear as a crisp day in the Rockies, but there is still time for Darryl Glenn to summon enough support to win a Senate seat the GOP sorely needs," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Iowa

In Iowa, six-term Republican incumbent Sen. Chuck Grassley is holding off his Democratic challenger, former Lieutenant Gov. Patty Judge 51 - 42 percent.

The challenger gets no bounce from women likely voters, who are divided, with 47 percent for the Democrat and 46 percent for the Republican.

Iowa men back Grassley 57 - 36 percent. He leads 93 - 5 percent among Republicans and 57 - 37 percent among independent voters. Democrats back Judge 91 - 4 percent.

"Iowans have known, liked and voted for Sen. Chuck Grassley for decades. That's why he appears in strong position to avoid the kind of down-ballot bloodletting that may hurt some Republicans in other states who are not as well attuned to the views and values of their home base," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Sen. Grassley's chances for reelection also are helped by the fact that Donald Trump is running better in Iowa against Hillary Clinton than Trump is in many other states."

From August 9 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 830 Colorado likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points;
  • 846 Iowa likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.
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The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

11a. (CO only) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Michael Bennet the Democrat and Darryl Glenn the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Bennet or Glenn?
                     COLORADO LIKELY VOTERS.................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bennet               54%     8%    96%    55%    49%    59%    59%    45%
Glenn                38     84      1     33     43     33     36     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      7      3     12      8      8      5      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Bennet               63%    51%    52%    52%    47%    59%    53%    64%
Glenn                25     41     41     43     47     35     41     22
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                12      8      7      5      7      6      7     14
 
 
11b. (IA only) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Patty Judge the Democrat and Chuck Grassley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Judge or Grassley?
                     IOWA LIKELY VOTERS...................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Judge                42%     5%    91%    37%    36%    47%    43%    40%
Grassley             51     93      4     57     57     46     52     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1      -      1      -      -      1
DK/NA                 6      3      4      6      6      7      4      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom
 
Judge                39%    32%    47%    50%    37%    46%
Grassley             51     60     47     47     58     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                 9      8      5      2      4      7
 
 
 
Additional info by state:
Colorado: Sample and Methodology detail
Iowa: Sample and Methodology detail