January 21, 2014 - Bridgegate Takes Toll On Christie's 2016 Hopes, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Hillary Clinton Is Big Winner As NJ Gov Crashes PDF format In the wake of "Bridgegate," the George Washington Bridge traffic scandal, several measures of New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie's 2016 presidential prospects are down, as he trails former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 46 - 38 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. This compares to the results of a December 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Gov. Christie at 42 percent and Secretary Clinton at 41 percent. The December results were almost identical to those of a November 13 survey. The biggest shift since December is among independent voters who go from 47 - 32 percent for Christie last month to 41 percent for Clinton and 40 percent for Christie today. American voters are divided 35 - 36 percent on whether Christie would make a good president, down from 49 - 31 percent November 13. Clinton would make a good president, voters say 52 - 40 percent, compared to 54 - 40 percent in November. "New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie's 2016 presidential drive is stuck in traffic, sideswiped by Bridgegate, the George Washington Bridge traffic scandal," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "In the last few months, Quinnipiac University national and state polls showed him inching ahead of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Today, she zips past him. But the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary are still two years down the road." Among American voters, 73 percent have read or heard something about Bridgegate. Of that group, 50 percent say the scandal damages Christie's 2016 White House hopes, while 3 percent say it ends his chances; 2 percent say it helps his chances and 39 percent say the scandal has no impact. The controversy makes 34 percent less likely to vote for Christie, with 4 percent more likely and 56 percent saying it makes no difference. Christie still runs better against Clinton than other leading Republicans. Clinton tops possible GOP contenders: 49 - 39 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky; 50 - 35 percent over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas; 49 - 38 percent over former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida; Clinton tops the Democratic primary pack with 65 percent of all Democrats, followed by Vice President Joseph Biden with 8 percent, U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts with 7 percent and no other contender above 3 percent. Another 13 percent are undecided. The Republican primary contest is mixed, with Sen. Paul and U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin at 13 percent each, Christie at 12 percent, Jeb Bush at 11 percent and no other candidate above 9 percent. Another 22 percent are undecided. House and Senate Races The generic 2014 ballot for the U.S. House of Representative is tied, with 38 percent they would vote Republican and 37 percent saying they would vote Democratic. But 45 percent of voters want Democrats to control the House of Representatives, while 43 percent want Republican control. Looking at the U.S. Senate, 44 percent want Democrats in control and 43 percent want Republicans. Democrats have a 10-point lead in the "disapproval race" as voters disapprove 66 - 27 percent of the job Democrats in Congress are doing, while they disapprove 76 - 17 percent of Republicans in Congress. From January 15 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,933 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points. The survey includes 813 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points and 803 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican 38% 83% 3% 35% 39% 36% 44% 10% 21% Democratic 37 2 83 31 33 40 31 67 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 2 2 2 4 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 4 2 3 2 4 DK/NA 21 14 12 27 21 20 20 17 26 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican 7% 29% 64% 34% 40% 40% 27% 37% 43% 39% Democratic 77 40 15 40 34 40 38 38 35 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 1 3 6 3 2 2 DK/NA 13 26 17 20 23 15 26 20 19 19 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE High Low Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 13 Oct 01 Oct 01 Dec 10 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Republican 38 38 41 39 34 34 41 Democratic 37 37 38 39 43 43 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 3 4 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 21 21 16 18 17 17 16 2a. (If Republican or Republican leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz and John Kasich, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Tot Men Wom Bush 11% 11% 12% Rubio 8 10 7 Ryan 13 12 15 Walker 6 6 5 Christie 12 13 11 Jindal 3 4 2 Paul 13 15 11 Cruz 9 11 7 Kasich 2 3 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 22 14 30 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz and John Kasich, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 Apr 03 2014 2013 2013 2013 Bush 11 11 11 10 Rubio 8 7 12 19 Ryan 13 9 10 17 Walker 6 5 4 2 Christie 12 17 13 14 Jindal 3 3 3 3 Paul 13 14 17 15 Cruz 9 13 10 na Kasich 2 2 na na McDonnell na na na 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - DK/NA 22 17 19 18 2b. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley, Howard Dean and Brian Schweitzer, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 65% 61% 68% 61% 77% Biden 8 8 7 7 9 Cuomo 3 4 2 4 1 Warren 7 6 7 9 2 O'Malley 1 2 - 1 - Dean 2 2 1 2 - Schweitzer 1 1 - 1 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - - 1 DK/NA 13 13 13 14 9 TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley, Howard Dean and Brian Schweitzer, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 May 02 2014 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 65 66 61 65 Biden 8 8 11 13 Cuomo 3 3 2 4 Warren 7 7 7 na O'Malley 1 - - 1 Dean 2 1 na na Schweitzer 1 1 na na Patrick na na na 1 Warner na na 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 2 - DK/NA 13 12 15 14 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 17% 32% 9% 13% 16% 18% 16% 14% 23% Disapprove 76 60 88 81 78 73 77 74 67 DK/NA 7 8 3 6 6 9 6 11 11 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 7% 15% 24% 20% 13% 13% 23% 16% 16% 15% Disapprove 91 80 66 70 83 84 62 79 78 77 DK/NA 3 5 10 10 4 3 15 5 6 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (* High also 34% Mar 3 2011, Mar 2010)(* Low also 17% Oct 2013) APPROVE....... High Low Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 13 Oct 01 Mar 31 Jan 21 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2011* 2014 Approve 17 19 19 20 17 34 17 Disapprove 76 73 74 73 74 55 76 DK/NA 7 7 7 8 9 11 7 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 27% 6% 58% 20% 24% 29% 21% 53% 38% Disapprove 66 90 36 74 72 61 73 34 48 DK/NA 7 5 6 6 5 9 6 13 14 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 54% 28% 12% 30% 22% 26% 34% 26% 23% 27% Disapprove 41 65 82 60 72 70 52 68 72 66 DK/NA 5 7 7 9 5 4 14 6 5 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (* Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 13 Oct 01 Mar 4 Nov 23 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2009 2011* Approve 27 29 27 30 32 45 24 Disapprove 66 64 67 62 60 45 69 DK/NA 7 7 6 7 8 10 7 7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Clinton 46% 7% 89% 41% 40% 51% 40% 74% 63% Christie 38 78 4 40 43 35 44 11 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 4 2 3 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 1 6 6 3 5 4 4 DK/NA 9 9 5 8 7 10 8 10 4 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 83% 52% 20% 50% 43% 45% 56% 44% 43% 45% Christie 9 34 60 34 44 43 29 39 42 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 4 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 6 4 5 3 5 3 6 4 DK/NA 4 7 11 9 6 6 8 10 6 10 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 Jul 12 Mar 07 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 46 41 42 49 46 45 Christie 38 42 43 36 40 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 3 3 4 DK/NA 9 9 9 9 8 12 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Clinton 49% 10% 91% 47% 42% 55% 43% 85% 59% Paul 39 80 4 38 46 33 45 8 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 4 1 3 2 3 DK/NA 8 7 4 8 6 9 8 4 9 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 86% 57% 22% 54% 46% 49% 60% 49% 45% 47% Paul 8 30 66 33 44 43 26 40 43 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 2 2 4 1 4 2 DK/NA 2 8 8 9 6 4 8 7 6 9 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 Jul 12 May 31 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 49 48 49 53 50 49 Paul 39 41 40 36 38 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 8 6 7 6 7 6 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Clinton 50% 11% 92% 48% 45% 55% 44% 83% 64% Cruz 35 77 2 33 40 31 41 8 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 2 2 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 1 5 6 2 4 3 3 DK/NA 10 11 4 11 8 11 9 5 10 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 89% 59% 22% 53% 47% 54% 63% 51% 45% 48% Cruz 5 25 63 31 41 36 23 36 38 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 5 3 4 3 3 4 3 5 3 DK/NA 4 9 11 10 7 6 9 8 10 11 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 2014 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 50 50 51 54 Cruz 35 37 36 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 3 DK/NA 10 7 7 9 10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Clinton 49% 9% 91% 47% 43% 54% 42% 85% 58% Bush 38 81 4 36 43 33 44 6 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 2 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 4 5 2 3 4 3 DK/NA 7 6 4 8 6 8 8 4 7 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 87% 57% 21% 54% 45% 49% 63% 49% 44% 47% Bush 7 30 64 34 43 40 24 37 44 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 4 4 3 3 2 4 4 3 2 DK/NA 2 7 8 7 6 6 7 8 6 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jan 21 Dec 11 May 31 2014 2013 2013 Clinton 49 48 48 Bush 38 39 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 DK/NA 7 6 7 11. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 33% 45% 25% 32% 37% 30% 35% 22% 25% Unfavorable 30 15 38 34 29 30 31 27 19 Hvn't hrd enough 34 36 35 30 32 37 31 46 56 REFUSED 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 1 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 28% 35% 37% 26% 41% 43% 34% 29% 35% 35% Unfavorable 47 27 24 27 34 36 22 31 33 29 Hvn't hrd enough 23 35 36 45 24 17 43 38 28 31 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 2 4 1 2 4 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 Jul 12 Oct 05 2014 2013 2013 2013 2011 Favorable 33 47 40 45 23 Unfavorable 30 23 22 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 34 28 36 34 59 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 1 12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 51% 16% 90% 49% 45% 57% 46% 79% 64% Unfavorable 40 75 5 42 45 35 46 10 26 Hvn't hrd enough 7 7 5 8 7 7 7 8 9 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 86% 62% 24% 55% 50% 53% 62% 53% 46% 50% Unfavorable 8 31 66 34 46 40 24 39 46 42 Hvn't hrd enough 5 6 8 9 3 4 14 7 5 5 REFUSED 1 2 2 2 1 3 - 2 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 Jul 12 May 31 Feb 08 May 03 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2007 Favorable 51 53 56 55 52 61 44 Unfavorable 40 42 36 38 40 34 46 Hvn't hrd enough 7 4 6 5 7 4 7 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 1 3 13. Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 35% 50% 24% 36% 39% 31% 37% 28% 24% No 36 22 45 40 36 36 37 36 28 DK/NA 29 28 31 24 26 32 26 36 47 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 27% 35% 40% 31% 38% 41% 35% 35% 36% 34% No 51 37 29 34 38 42 30 37 39 36 DK/NA 22 29 31 35 23 17 35 29 25 31 TREND: Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not? Jan 21 Nov 13 2014 2013 Yes 35 49 No 36 31 DK/NA 29 20 14. Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 52% 19% 87% 50% 45% 59% 47% 82% 70% No 40 75 5 43 47 34 47 8 22 DK/NA 7 5 7 7 8 7 6 10 8 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 83% 61% 28% 58% 48% 52% 62% 53% 50% 50% No 12 31 66 34 47 41 24 41 46 42 DK/NA 6 7 6 7 6 7 14 6 4 7 TREND: Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not? Jan 21 Nov 13 2014 2013 Yes 52 54 No 40 40 DK/NA 7 6 15. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican Party 43% 90% 2% 44% 49% 37% 50% 10% 31% Democratic Party 44 5 92 39 39 48 37 80 57 DK/NA 13 5 6 17 11 15 13 10 12 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican Party 7% 35% 72% 35% 50% 49% 35% 42% 48% 44% Democratic Party 86 50 17 48 41 43 50 44 42 43 DK/NA 7 15 11 16 9 8 16 15 10 13 TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2014 2013 Republican Party 43 46 47 Democratic Party 44 42 42 DK/NA 13 12 11 16. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican Party 43% 91% 4% 42% 49% 38% 50% 11% 28% Democratic Party 45 5 92 41 41 48 38 79 61 DK/NA 12 5 5 17 10 14 12 11 11 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican Party 7% 35% 72% 37% 47% 49% 34% 42% 48% 46% Democratic Party 88 51 19 48 44 44 54 45 42 42 DK/NA 5 14 9 14 8 7 11 13 10 13 TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2014 2013 Republican Party 43 46 47 Democratic Party 45 44 42 DK/NA 12 10 11 17. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Almost all the time 2% 1% 5% 1% 2% 3% 1% 7% 8% Most of the time 13 5 24 10 14 13 11 24 19 Some of the time 50 55 53 47 48 52 53 46 35 Hardly ever 33 37 14 41 35 30 34 19 34 DK/NA 2 1 3 1 1 2 1 4 4 POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Almost all the time 2% 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% Most of the time 21 14 9 16 11 11 23 10 11 14 Some of the time 53 52 47 47 56 57 45 55 49 48 Hardly ever 23 29 40 31 31 30 27 30 37 33 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 TREND: How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever? ALMST+MOST.... High Low Jan 21 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Jul 12 Mar 24 Dec 10 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2010 2013 Almost all the time 2 1 2 3 2 2 1 Most of the time 13 11 13 14 14 17 11 Some of the time 50 46 49 51 46 50 46 Hardly ever 33 41 35 31 37 30 41 DK/NA 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 33. Have you heard or read anything about the controversy in New Jersey surrounding the September traffic jam on the George Washington Bridge? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 73% 77% 73% 76% 77% 70% 79% 57% 47% No 25 21 26 23 23 28 20 42 53 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 - POLITICAL PHILSPHY ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Lib Mod Con <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 82% 75% 71% 60% 85% 91% 47% 70% 83% 83% No 18 24 28 39 14 8 51 30 16 15 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 2 34. (If heard or read q33) Does this controversy make you more likely to vote for Chris Christie for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? HEARD/READ ABOUT TRAFFIC JAM Q33...... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 4% 7% 1% 4% 5% 4% Less likely 34 18 48 35 31 36 No difference 56 66 47 56 58 54 DK/NA 6 10 3 4 5 6 35. (If heard or read q33) Do you think the George Washington Bridge scandal ends Christie's chances as a 2016 presidential contender, damages his chances, helps his chances or has no impact? HEARD/READ ABOUT TRAFFIC JAM Q33...... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Ends chances 3% 1% 6% 3% 3% 4% Damages chances 50 38 59 53 48 52 Helps chances 2 2 2 2 3 2 No impact 39 52 30 37 44 35 DK/NA 5 6 3 4 4 7 Demographic Summary