June 2, 2016 - Voters Don't Believe Clinton, Trump Promises, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; No Transgender Rule For Schools, Voters Say Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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American voters do not believe Republican Donald Trump will build a wall on the Mexican border or expel 11 million illegal immigrants, if he's elected president, and voters don't believe Democrat Hillary Clinton will even try to limit secret money in politics or reign in the power of Wall Street, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today.

Only 24 percent of voters believe Trump, if elected, would be able to build a wall and have Mexico pay for it, while 39 percent say he will try and fail and 29 percent say he won't even try, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Trump would be able to deport about 11 million illegal immigrants, 19 percent of voters say, while 45 percent say he will try and fail and 29 percent say he won't try.

Trump gets his best score on his promise to ban non-citizen Muslims from entering the U.S., but only 29 percent say he will succeed. Another 42 percent say he will try and fail and 21 percent say he won't try.

Hillary Clinton would not even try to remove secret money from politics, 63 percent of voters say, while 9 percent say she would succeed and 18 percent say she would try and fail.

She also would not try to curb the power of Wall Street, 56 percent of voters say, as 15 percent say she would succeed and 21 percent say she would try and fail.

"No matter which candidate you pick, you can cut the cynicism with a knife," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Will Donald Trump build that border wall or toss 11 million illegal immigrants out of the country? Voters believe that as much as they believe Hillary Clinton will police Wall Street or stop the flow of outside money into the pockets of politicians."

"There are grand promises that stoke enthusiasm at rallies, and then there is reality. Voters say Trump would try and likely fail, while Clinton would not even try," Malloy added.

Clinton does better on one promise. If elected, Clinton would reduce the debt burden for students at public colleges and community colleges, 22 percent of American voters say, while 39 percent say she will try and fail and 32 percent say she won't try. Transgender Bathrooms

There is only a small gender gap as American voters say 56 - 36 percent that schools should not be required to allow transgender students to use bathrooms and locker rooms consistent with their own gender identity. Men oppose the requirement 63 - 30 percent, with women opposed 49 - 42 percent.

Voters 18 to 34 years old are divided as 45 percent support the transgender requirement, with 47 percent opposed.

The bathroom issue is "very important," 41 percent of voters say, and 27 percent say it is "somewhat important." President Obama, Congress Approval

American voters approve 49 - 48 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, matching his 49 - 48 percent in a March 24 Quinnipiac University poll, his best score in three years.

Voters give the Democratic Party a slightly negative 44 - 48 percent favorability, the party's best rating since November 12, 2008, and disapprove 63 - 31 percent of the job Democrats in Congress are doing.

The Republican Party gets a negative 34 - 56 percent favorability rating and voters disapprove 80 - 12 percent of the job Republicans in Congress are doing, among their worst net approval ratings ever.

From May 24 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,561 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

16. Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Strongly favorable   15%    32%     5%    12%    17%    13%    17%    12%
Smwht favorable      21     28     13     27     24     18     25     18
Smwht unfavorable    14     14     15     15     17     12     15     13
Strongly unfavorable 20      9     34     18     20     20     21     19
Hvn't hrd enough     28     16     31     27     21     34     20     35
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      1      2      1      3      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Strongly favorable    9%    13%    18%    20%    20%    16%    18%     5%    13%
Smwht favorable      16     23     21     23     27     21     24      9     10
Smwht unfavorable    17     14     13     12     16     14     15      8     13
Strongly unfavorable 17     25     20     18     19     19     19     32     11
Hvn't hrd enough     41     24     26     23     16     29     22     45     49
REFUSED/DK/NA         -      1      1      3      1      2      2      1      4
 
 
17. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            44%     7%    88%    36%    37%    51%    48%    42%
Unfavorable          48     90      9     53     57     40     48     47
Hvn't hrd enough      6      3      2     10      5      7      3      9
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            47%    47%    45%    42%    30%    41%    36%    85%    58%
Unfavorable          44     45     50     52     65     51     58      9     32
Hvn't hrd enough      8      7      4      6      4      7      6      4      6
REFUSED               1      2      1      -      1      1      1      2      4
 
 
18. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            34%    78%     6%    25%    40%    27%    33%    35%
Unfavorable          56     19     88     63     50     62     62     51
Hvn't hrd enough      8      2      5     10      7      9      5     11
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      3      1      1      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            31%    30%    38%    36%    45%    36%    41%    11%    21%
Unfavorable          59     61     53     54     47     55     51     78     61
Hvn't hrd enough     10      7      7      8      4      8      6     11     14
REFUSED               1      2      2      1      3      1      2      -      4
 
 
19. Is your opinion of the Libertarian Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            21%    23%    14%    29%    29%    14%    25%    18%
Unfavorable          26     30     27     25     26     27     29     24
Hvn't hrd enough     51     46     57     44     44     58     45     57
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            27%    27%    19%    13%    31%    15%    23%    11%    19%
Unfavorable          24     23     28     32     29     29     29     19     17
Hvn't hrd enough     48     49     52     54     39     54     47     70     61
REFUSED               -      1      1      1      1      2      1      -      3
 
 
20. Is your opinion of the Green Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            15%     7%    24%    15%    18%    13%    18%    13%
Unfavorable          22     36     13     22     26     19     25     20
Hvn't hrd enough     61     56     62     62     55     67     56     66
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            26%    16%    12%     9%    18%    13%    16%    12%    15%
Unfavorable          18     19     26     25     30     21     25      9     18
Hvn't hrd enough     55     65     61     65     51     65     58     78     63
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      4
 
 
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              49%     8%    93%    44%    42%    56%    51%    48%
Disapprove           48     91      6     53     56     41     47     50
DK/NA                 2      1      1      3      2      3      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              60%    53%    44%    45%    33%    45%    39%    93%    70%
Disapprove           38     44     53     54     65     52     59      6     23
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      1      2      2      1      7
 
 
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              12%    26%     6%     6%    14%    11%    11%    13%
Disapprove           80     70     90     87     81     80     85     76
DK/NA                 7      4      4      7      6      9      3     11
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              14%     9%    13%    13%    14%    13%    14%     6%    11%
Disapprove           76     85     83     81     81     80     80     85     71
DK/NA                10      6      4      7      5      7      6      8     18
 
 
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              31%     4%    66%    18%    24%    38%    33%    30%
Disapprove           63     93     30     76     71     56     65     62
DK/NA                 5      3      3      6      4      6      3      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              33%    32%    32%    29%    18%    31%    25%    63%    42%
Disapprove           61     63     64     63     78     62     70     34     47
DK/NA                 6      5      4      8      4      7      5      3     12
 
 
24. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied        4%     1%     9%     1%     4%     4%     4%     4%
Smwht satisfied      23      8     38     23     24     23     27     20
Smwht dissatisfied   34     29     36     38     32     36     30     38
Very dissatisfied    37     62     16     36     39     36     37     37
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very satisfied        1%     6%     5%     3%     3%     3%     3%     7%     3%
Smwht satisfied      25     24     23     24     19     22     20     35     34
Smwht dissatisfied   43     32     30     31     34     33     33     44     28
Very dissatisfied    30     35     41     41     43     41     42     13     33
DK/NA                 1      2      -      1      1      1      1      -      1
 
 
25. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Excellent             2%     1%     5%     1%     2%     2%     2%     3%
Good                 30     12     50     30     30     30     34     27
Not so good          40     41     34     43     39     41     38     41
Poor                 27     45     11     25     28     26     26     29
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Excellent             1%     4%     2%     3%     2%     2%     2%     5%     1%
Good                 32     34     30     26     26     28     27     46     35
Not so good          45     39     38     36     39     39     39     45     34
Poor                 21     22     30     34     32     30     31      3     29
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -      -
 
 
26. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better               27%     7%    50%    23%    22%    31%    30%    24%
Worse                30     46     15     26     31     30     27     33
The same             42     46     35     49     46     39     42     42
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      -      1      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Better               37%    27%    23%    21%    19%    27%    23%    44%    27%
Worse                24     29     31     36     35     31     33     12     36
The same             38     44     45     42     46     42     44     41     37
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      2      -
 
 
27. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better off           41%    26%    58%    37%    41%    40%    43%    38%
Worse off            35     48     23     35     36     34     33     37
SAME(VOL)            23     25     18     26     22     24     22     24
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Better off           61%    46%    34%    23%    37%    34%    36%    60%    55%
Worse off            24     33     42     39     37     36     37     27     33
SAME(VOL)            14     20     24     36     25     29     27     12     12
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      1      1      1      1      -
 
 
46. Donald Trump has said he would like to build a wall along the Mexican border and have Mexico pay for it. If elected President, do you believe that he would try to do this, or not? COMBINED WITH: (If yes) Do you think he would be able to do this, or not?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Try and able     24%    42%    11%    23%    29%    20%    22%    26%
Yes/Try but not able 39     28     48     41     36     43     39     39
No/Not try           29     18     36     32     29     29     33     25
DK/NA                 8     12      5      5      7      8      6      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Try and able     20%    19%    30%    27%    29%    22%    25%    17%    25%
Yes/Try but not able 51     43     34     32     37     42     40     37     44
No/Not try           25     32     28     30     26     28     27     38     25
DK/NA                 4      6      8     11      7      8      8      9      5
 
 
47. Donald Trump has said he would like to deport the approximately 11 million illegal immigrants currently living in the United States. If elected President, do you believe that he would try to do this or not? COMBINED WITH: (If yes) Do you think he would be able to do this, or not?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Try and able     19%    30%    13%    15%    20%    18%    16%    22%
Yes/Try but not able 45     34     56     45     42     49     43     48
No/Not try           29     28     27     34     33     25     35     22
DK/NA                 7      8      4      6      5      8      6      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Try and able     22%    17%    22%    17%    21%    18%    19%    16%    27%
Yes/Try but not able 56     46     41     42     41     44     43     57     51
No/Not try           19     31     30     32     34     28     31     23     15
DK/NA                 4      6      7      9      4      9      7      4      7
 
 
48. Donald Trump has said he would like to temporarily ban Muslims who are not citizens from entering the United States. If elected President, do you believe that he would try to do this, or not? COMBINED WITH: (If yes) Do you think he would be able to do this, or not?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Try and able     29%    46%    16%    27%    33%    24%    26%    31%
Yes/Try but not able 42     25     53     42     36     47     42     41
No/Not try           21     18     23     25     24     18     25     17
DK/NA                 8     11      8      5      7     10      6     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Try and able     28%    27%    33%    30%    34%    26%    30%    21%    33%
Yes/Try buy not able 46     42     40     38     35     43     39     52     47
No/Not try           20     25     20     20     24     20     22     22     12
DK/NA                 6      6      8     11      6     11      9      5      8
 
 
49. Hillary Clinton has said she would like to remove secret money from politics. If elected President, do you believe that she would try to do this, or not? COMBINED WITH: (If yes) Do you think she would be able to do this, or not?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Try and able      9%     4%    17%     5%     7%    11%     9%     9%
Yes/Try but not able 18      6     28     18     14     21     18     18
No/Not try           63     87     39     71     73     53     65     61
DK/NA                10      4     16      7      5     14      7     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Try and able     12%     6%     9%    11%     5%     7%     6%    18%    20%
Yes/Try but not able 15     19     21     16     13     21     17     25     15
No/Not try           66     66     62     57     79     59     69     43     50
DK/NA                 7      8      8     16      3     13      8     14     15
 
 
50. Hillary Clinton has said she would like to rein in the power of Wall Street. If elected President, do you believe that she will try to do this, or not? COMBINED WITH: (If yes) Do you think she would be able to do this, or not?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Try and able     15%     8%    25%    10%    13%    16%    16%    14%
Yes/Try but not able 21     16     27     22     19     23     22     20
No/Not try           56     74     33     63     64     48     57     54
DK/NA                 9      2     15      5      4     13      6     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Try and able     16%    16%    14%    15%     8%    12%    10%    33%    22%
Yes/Try but not able 23     21     20     21     18     25     21     23     18
No/Not try           53     58     56     53     69     54     62     26     47
DK/NA                 7      5     11     11      5      9      7     18     13
 
 
51. Hillary Clinton has said she would like to make in-state public colleges debt free, and community colleges completely free. If elected President, do you believe that she will try to do this, or not? COMBINED WITH: (If yes) Do you think she would be able to do this, or not?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Try and able     22%     8%    39%    16%    18%    26%    20%    24%
Yes/Try but not able 39     45     36     39     43     36     43     36
No/Not try           32     43     15     40     36     27     31     32
DK/NA                 7      3     11      5      3     11      5      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Try and able     28%    23%    21%    18%    14%    18%    16%    50%    38%
Yes/Try but not able 40     42     41     35     45     40     42     32     27
No/Not try           29     29     31     35     38     33     35     10     27
DK/NA                 3      6      6     12      3     10      6      9      8
 
 
56. Do you think public schools should be required to allow transgender students to use bathrooms and locker rooms that are consistent with the gender they identify with or don't you think so?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Should           36%    12%    57%    36%    30%    42%    40%    32%
No/Should not        56     82     35     54     63     49     54     57
DK/NA                 8      6      8      9      7     10      6     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Should           45%    37%    32%    31%    29%    41%    35%    38%    33%
No/Should not        47     58     59     58     63     51     57     52     59
DK/NA                 7      5      9     10      8      8      8     11      8
 
 
57. How important is this issue to you; very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very important       41%    49%    40%    33%    40%    43%    36%    46%
Smwht important      27     23     34     26     23     31     29     25
Not so important     17     12     15     26     20     15     18     18
Not important at all 13     15     10     15     17     10     16     11
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very important       42%    42%    41%    38%    38%    38%    38%    55%    47%
Smwht important      30     26     29     24     22     32     27     25     34
Not so important     20     17     16     19     22     18     20      9     13
Not important at all  7     16     13     16     18     11     14     10      5
DK/NA                 -      -      1      2      1      1      1      1      1
 
 

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