February 20, 2014 - Clinton Sweeps 2016 Ohio Field As Christie Drops, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Approval Goes From Terrible To Bad PDF format Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton sweeps the 2016 presidential field in Ohio as New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is stuck in traffic with other leading Republican contenders, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Secretary Clinton tops Gov. Christie 49 - 36 percent in an early look at the 2016 presidential race in this critical swing state. This compares to results of a November 27 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Clinton at 42 percent, with Christie at 41 percent. The Democrat tops other possible Republican contenders: 51 - 36 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush; 50 - 36 percent over U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida; 51 - 38 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky; 49 - 40 percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin; 51 - 34 percent over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas; 51 - 39 percent over Ohio Gov. John Kasich. Ohio voters say 55 - 39 percent that Clinton would make a good president. No Republican listed gets a positive score on this question, as even Gov. Kasich gets a negative 34 - 47 percent. Christie gets a big negative 31 - 48 percent, compared to a positive 44 - 32 percent November 27. "The George Washington Bridge is not in Ohio, but voters there seem very aware of its traffic problems - and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's traffic problems," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "When Quinnipiac University asked Ohioans in November about Gov. Christie vs. Secretary Hillary Clinton in a 2016 White House race, the two were in a dead heat and voters thought he would make a good president. Today, she enjoys a comfortable double-digit lead and voters say Christie would not be a good president." "Of Republicans tested, Wisconsin's Paul Ryan runs best in Ohio against the former Secretary of State and Gov. John Kasich runs relatively well. But Mrs. Clinton remains far and away the leader at this point in Ohio," Brown added. President Obama's Approval Ohio voters give President Barack Obama a negative 40 - 55 percent job approval rating, an improvement on his negative 34 - 61 percent score in a November 27 Quinnipiac University poll, his lowest score ever in Ohio. Today, negative scores are 8 - 89 percent among Republicans and 30 - 63 percent among independent voters, while Democrats approve 80 - 16 percent. The president gets a negative 34 - 61 percent score from men and a slightly negative 46 - 50 percent score from women. "The good news for President Barack Obama is his job approval rating among Ohioans has improved from its record low in November. The bad news is that with a 40 percent approval rating he remains in the Buckeye dog house," Brown said. "If those numbers remain where they are or go lower, it's difficult to see him as an asset to Democratic candidates this November." Ohio voters approve 48 - 34 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown is doing and give U.S. Sen. Rob Portman a 38 - 32 percent approval rating. From February 12 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,370 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 51% 10% 93% 47% 45% 57% 62% 46% 54% 50% Bush 36 80 2 33 39 34 22 40 35 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 - 4 4 1 2 4 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 - 7 4 4 4 4 4 2 DK/NA 6 4 4 9 8 4 10 6 4 5 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Clinton 51 50 Bush 36 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 DK/NA 6 7 5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 50% 10% 92% 45% 44% 56% 57% 46% 52% 49% Rubio 36 76 2 35 41 31 23 37 35 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 - 5 3 2 3 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 - 5 2 3 4 2 3 2 DK/NA 9 9 6 11 10 8 12 11 7 6 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Clinton 50 48 Rubio 36 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 9 8 6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 51% 11% 93% 44% 43% 57% 51% 48% 54% 51% Paul 38 79 2 40 45 32 33 41 36 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 3 1 3 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 - 4 2 4 6 3 2 3 DK/NA 6 6 4 8 7 6 7 7 5 5 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 Nov 27 Jun 26 2014 2013 2013 Clinton 51 50 47 Paul 38 40 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 DK/NA 6 6 6 7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 49% 11% 90% 43% 43% 55% 55% 46% 51% 47% Christie 36 76 4 34 40 31 27 38 33 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 - 6 5 2 3 3 5 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 - 8 4 6 8 6 4 3 DK/NA 7 4 5 10 8 6 7 7 6 6 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 Nov 27 Jun 26 2014 2013 2013 Clinton 49 42 42 Christie 36 41 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 4 DK/NA 7 10 10 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 49% 7% 92% 44% 41% 56% 51% 46% 53% 49% Ryan 40 84 3 41 47 35 34 42 39 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 3 1 2 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 - 4 3 4 7 4 2 1 DK/NA 5 4 5 7 6 5 6 6 5 6 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Clinton 49 49 Ryan 40 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 5 5 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 51% 10% 92% 48% 46% 56% 56% 48% 54% 51% Cruz 34 74 1 32 38 30 27 36 32 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 4 3 2 1 2 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 - 5 3 3 5 4 2 2 DK/NA 9 11 6 11 10 9 11 10 9 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Clinton 51 50 Cruz 34 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 9 9 10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 51% 10% 93% 46% 44% 57% 59% 47% 52% 51% Kasich 39 80 4 39 45 33 29 42 38 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 2 1 - 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 1 5 4 4 8 5 3 1 DK/NA 5 4 2 7 5 5 4 5 5 5 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Clinton 51 49 Kasich 39 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 DK/NA 5 7 11. Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 31% 49% 18% 31% 32% 30% 25% 32% 31% 33% No 48 30 61 51 50 47 49 49 51 44 DK/NA 21 22 22 18 17 24 26 19 18 23 TREND: Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 31 44 No 48 32 DK/NA 21 24 12. Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 55% 18% 94% 51% 47% 62% 62% 54% 56% 54% No 39 77 3 42 47 32 29 40 40 43 DK/NA 5 5 3 7 6 5 9 6 5 3 TREND: Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 55 54 No 39 40 DK/NA 5 6 13. Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 27% 9% 45% 24% 25% 29% 33% 24% 26% 27% No 64 86 42 68 69 60 55 67 65 66 DK/NA 9 5 13 8 6 12 11 9 9 8 TREND: Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 27 28 No 64 62 DK/NA 9 10 14. Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 32% 56% 5% 37% 38% 27% 31% 34% 33% 31% No 47 22 74 42 46 48 41 48 49 47 DK/NA 21 22 21 21 16 25 28 18 19 21 TREND: Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 32 33 No 47 44 DK/NA 21 22 15. Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 20% 37% 5% 22% 27% 14% 16% 22% 19% 23% No 45 23 65 46 48 43 40 45 49 45 DK/NA 34 40 30 33 25 43 43 33 32 32 TREND: Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 20 23 No 45 46 DK/NA 34 31 16. Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 36% 65% 10% 37% 43% 30% 33% 36% 37% 37% No 44 15 67 47 44 44 39 49 44 42 DK/NA 20 20 22 16 13 26 28 15 19 21 TREND: Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 36 37 No 44 42 DK/NA 20 21 17. Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 33% 63% 12% 31% 36% 31% 20% 36% 34% 38% No 48 17 73 50 48 49 47 48 52 46 DK/NA 18 20 15 19 16 20 33 17 14 15 TREND: Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 33 33 No 48 48 DK/NA 18 20 18. Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 27% 54% 6% 24% 33% 21% 23% 28% 27% 28% No 43 18 64 43 45 41 39 42 46 41 DK/NA 30 28 30 33 22 38 38 30 27 31 TREND: Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 27 27 No 43 41 DK/NA 30 32 19. Do you think John Kasich would make a good President or not? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 34% 56% 16% 35% 44% 26% 34% 33% 34% 37% No 47 23 68 48 44 51 37 49 52 46 DK/NA 18 21 16 17 13 23 29 18 14 17 TREND: Do you think John Kasich would make a good President or not? Feb 20 Nov 27 2014 2013 Yes 34 32 No 47 49 DK/NA 18 19 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 48% 32% 68% 43% 46% 50% 43% 48% 52% 48% Disapprove 34 49 16 39 41 28 33 34 33 36 DK/NA 18 19 16 18 13 22 25 18 16 16 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% May 2009, Sep 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Feb 20 Nov 27 Jun 26 Apr 19 Feb 28 Dec 12 Jul 07 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012* 2009 Approve 48 47 46 47 51 52 41 Disapprove 34 37 38 38 33 35 29 DK/NA 18 16 16 15 16 13 30 23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 38% 57% 25% 37% 46% 32% 31% 36% 40% 46% Disapprove 32 16 43 32 32 31 34 31 33 29 DK/NA 30 27 32 31 22 37 35 33 27 26 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 44% Feb 2013) APPROVE...... High Low Feb 20 Nov 27 Jun 26 Apr 19 Feb 28 Jun 26 Mar 24 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013* 2011 Approve 38 41 44 40 44 44 30 Disapprove 32 28 26 31 24 26 25 DK/NA 30 30 30 29 33 30 45 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 40% 8% 80% 30% 34% 46% 38% 38% 43% 42% Disapprove 55 89 16 63 61 50 56 57 53 54 DK/NA 4 3 3 7 5 4 6 5 4 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Feb 20 Nov 27 Jun 26 Apr 19 Mar 01 Feb 06 Nov 27 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2009 2013 Approve 40 34 40 45 48 67 34 Disapprove 55 61 57 51 47 16 61 DK/NA 4 5 3 4 4 17 5 Demographic Summary
