Carson Tops Trump In Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Bush Tied In Sixth Place With 5 Percent
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Additional Trend Information
With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 - 20 percent among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
- Trump tops Carson 41 - 12 percent on the economy;
- Trump over Carson 32 - 13 percent on taxes;
- Trump tops Carson 37 - 9 percent on illegal immigration;
- Rubio and Trump are close at 18 - 17 percent, respectively, on foreign policy, with Carson at 9 percent.
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 5% - 3% 3% 3% 9% 4% 5% Carson 28 32 36 32 27 23 25 33 Christie 1 - 2 - 1 4 1 3 Cruz 10 21 13 18 7 1 11 9 Fiorina 5 6 5 5 7 4 5 6 Gilmore - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - Huckabee 2 - 3 2 2 1 2 1 Jindal 3 1 3 2 3 3 2 4 Kasich 3 - 2 1 2 7 4 1 Pataki - - - - - 1 - - Paul 6 8 2 3 5 13 7 5 Rubio 13 9 9 13 17 10 12 15 Santorum 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 Trump 20 20 17 16 23 22 24 13 DK/NA 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Bush 7% 3% 4% 2% 5% 8% 5% 3% 4% 6% Carson 23 31 26 24 34 27 26 32 36 14 Christie 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 Cruz 11 10 12 7 13 7 9 15 8 9 Fiorina 8 4 5 5 5 8 9 4 5 6 Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - - - Huckabee 1 2 1 3 2 - 4 2 1 2 Jindal 3 2 - 4 4 1 3 2 3 2 Kasich 5 2 6 2 1 2 3 - 3 4 Pataki 1 - - - 1 - - - - - Paul 4 7 13 7 2 1 3 9 7 7 Rubio 17 11 13 17 11 12 7 11 12 21 Santorum - 1 - 2 1 1 2 2 - 1 Trump 12 24 18 22 17 26 25 14 18 23 DK/NA 4 2 2 2 2 5 4 5 1 3 MOST IMPORTANT FOR REP PRES NOMINEE Q55 Shares Strong Honest/ Values Leader CanWin Trustworthy Bush 1% 6% 8% 3% Carson 27 18 32 40 Christie 1 2 2 - Cruz 22 6 3 10 Fiorina 5 7 9 5 Gilmore - - - - Graham - - 1 - Huckabee 1 1 2 2 Jindal 1 3 1 5 Kasich 1 1 6 1 Pataki - - 1 1 Paul 11 5 1 5 Rubio 13 15 20 8 Santorum 1 - - 2 Trump 15 35 13 15 DK/NA 2 2 1 3
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 21% 35% 23% 27% 13% 22% 23% 19% Carson 4 1 3 2 2 7 5 1 Christie 14 24 15 19 7 12 14 14 Cruz 7 4 6 5 4 15 8 7 Fiorina 8 7 9 9 3 10 9 6 Gilmore 8 12 8 10 4 8 8 7 Graham 15 32 13 19 11 12 17 11 Huckabee 9 11 6 7 4 17 9 9 Jindal 7 6 6 5 5 11 8 5 Kasich 9 12 11 14 3 6 10 7 Pataki 10 17 10 13 5 8 10 8 Paul 10 9 11 11 7 11 10 10 Rubio 5 8 5 6 2 7 6 3 Santorum 10 12 8 10 3 15 9 11 Trump 30 18 31 24 27 45 28 35 No/No one 30 33 30 30 40 20 32 27 DK/NA 5 1 5 4 8 3 3 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Bush 18% 23% 20% 19% 24% 22% 18% 29% 16% 22% Carson 5 3 4 4 3 4 8 - 4 3 Christie 13 14 9 19 15 10 4 20 10 19 Cruz 9 7 8 7 7 10 7 7 8 7 Fiorina 6 9 7 8 6 10 7 13 5 8 Gilmore 7 8 4 7 7 13 6 14 5 8 Graham 12 17 6 23 17 12 11 17 15 19 Huckabee 10 8 2 11 12 10 3 11 11 9 Jindal 7 7 4 9 6 7 5 9 5 8 Kasich 8 9 3 10 13 9 3 10 10 11 Pataki 9 10 4 9 12 15 9 15 7 9 Paul 10 9 2 9 12 19 8 9 10 11 Rubio 5 5 1 6 6 4 5 6 3 6 Santorum 10 10 10 11 9 9 9 14 7 12 Trump 41 25 44 31 26 20 33 29 32 32 No/No one 30 31 18 35 31 39 40 28 30 29 DK/NA 4 5 6 2 5 6 1 5 5 5
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS........... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav Carson 84 10 6 - 74 Rubio 70 15 14 - 55 Cruz 65 18 16 1 47 Fiorina 61 18 21 - 43 Jindal 59 16 24 1 43 Huckabee 63 29 8 1 34 Santorum 50 32 17 1 18 Trump 53 43 3 2 10 Kasich 28 25 46 1 3 Paul 45 43 11 1 2 Bush 43 51 5 1 -8 Gilmore 3 14 82 - -11 Christie 36 52 11 1 -16 Pataki 9 28 62 - -19 Graham 18 47 34 - -29
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 43% 28% 40% 39% 45% 47% 41% 46% Unfavorable 51 67 51 55 45 49 55 45 Hvn't hrd enough 5 4 6 4 9 4 4 8 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 2 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 54% 36% 34% 40% 46% 52% 38% 32% 46% 50% Unfavorable 40 57 59 55 47 40 48 65 45 49 Hvn't hrd enough 3 6 6 4 4 7 10 3 7 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 - 2 -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 84% 92% 87% 93% 84% 68% 81% 89% Unfavorable 10 - 6 4 5 24 12 6 Hvn't hrd enough 6 7 7 3 10 8 6 6 REFUSED - 1 - - - - - - COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 81% 85% 73% 82% 89% 92% 74% 85% 84% 85% Unfavorable 13 9 18 10 6 5 16 10 8 10 Hvn't hrd enough 6 6 8 8 5 2 10 4 9 5 REFUSED - - - - - 1 - 1 - -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 36% 20% 30% 32% 38% 41% 34% 40% Unfavorable 52 72 53 58 42 51 55 45 Hvn't hrd enough 11 7 15 9 18 7 9 14 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 46% 31% 29% 37% 37% 49% 33% 35% 39% 40% Unfavorable 43 57 56 54 52 39 47 56 49 49 Hvn't hrd enough 9 11 15 8 7 10 18 9 11 9 REFUSED 2 1 - 1 3 1 2 1 1 2
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 65% 90% 72% 82% 68% 32% 70% 57% Unfavorable 18 1 11 7 13 39 19 15 Hvn't hrd enough 16 7 16 10 18 27 10 27 REFUSED 1 2 - - 1 2 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 61% 67% 54% 60% 72% 74% 67% 56% 68% 62% Unfavorable 22 15 21 20 15 17 17 21 14 25 Hvn't hrd enough 16 17 25 18 12 8 16 20 18 13 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 3 - 1
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 61% 70% 57% 68% 61% 48% 62% 58% Unfavorable 18 15 17 16 14 25 20 16 Hvn't hrd enough 21 14 25 15 25 27 18 26 REFUSED - - - 1 - - - 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 68% 57% 43% 65% 67% 72% 64% 58% 62% 64% Unfavorable 17 18 22 18 15 14 13 22 15 17 Hvn't hrd enough 14 24 35 17 17 12 21 19 23 19 REFUSED 1 - - - - 2 1 1 - -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 3% 8% 3% 4% 2% 3% 4% 2% Unfavorable 14 18 12 19 9 11 17 9 Hvn't hrd enough 82 75 85 77 88 86 79 89 REFUSED - - - 1 1 - 1 - COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 5% 2% 3% 7% 1% 2% 8% 3% 2% 3% Unfavorable 12 15 8 15 16 18 10 17 12 16 Hvn't hrd enough 82 83 89 79 81 79 82 80 85 80 REFUSED 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 1
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 18% 9% 20% 17% 17% 21% 18% 20% Unfavorable 47 64 42 53 44 37 52 38 Hvn't hrd enough 34 26 38 30 37 41 30 42 REFUSED - - - - 1 - - 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 24% 16% 14% 18% 18% 25% 19% 11% 19% 22% Unfavorable 43 48 30 56 52 47 37 56 45 47 Hvn't hrd enough 32 36 55 26 29 27 43 33 36 31 REFUSED 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 1 -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 63% 77% 74% 74% 71% 33% 63% 61% Unfavorable 29 18 15 18 23 52 30 26 Hvn't hrd enough 8 3 9 7 5 13 5 12 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 59% 65% 54% 60% 65% 70% 64% 55% 61% 63% Unfavorable 35 25 35 28 28 25 24 35 28 33 Hvn't hrd enough 6 9 9 11 6 4 10 10 10 2 REFUSED - 1 2 1 - 1 3 - - 2
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 59% 79% 65% 72% 64% 32% 62% 54% Unfavorable 16 8 13 10 13 32 18 14 Hvn't hrd enough 24 11 21 17 24 35 19 32 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 - - - 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 62% 58% 34% 68% 68% 65% 62% 54% 64% 54% Unfavorable 19 15 23 16 14 16 12 17 16 18 Hvn't hrd enough 18 27 43 17 17 17 25 27 20 28 REFUSED 1 1 - - - 2 1 1 - -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 28% 32% 23% 30% 27% 27% 30% 26% Unfavorable 25 36 22 31 19 19 27 20 Hvn't hrd enough 46 31 53 38 53 53 42 52 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 2 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 37% 24% 15% 28% 29% 44% 20% 23% 28% 36% Unfavorable 21 26 19 26 29 24 23 25 23 28 Hvn't hrd enough 42 48 65 44 40 32 55 50 49 35 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 - -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 9% 10% 8% 8% 7% 12% 12% 4% Unfavorable 28 42 25 38 20 22 32 22 Hvn't hrd enough 62 48 66 54 73 65 56 73 REFUSED - - - - 1 - - 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 11% 8% 4% 14% 7% 12% 11% 9% 8% 11% Unfavorable 26 30 10 30 36 37 25 36 24 29 Hvn't hrd enough 62 62 86 56 57 50 64 55 68 59 REFUSED 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 45% 51% 41% 41% 44% 50% 46% 42% Unfavorable 43 38 45 49 39 39 43 45 Hvn't hrd enough 11 10 13 9 16 9 10 13 REFUSED 1 1 2 - 2 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 44% 45% 54% 52% 40% 28% 48% 43% 45% 51% Unfavorable 43 43 34 37 46 61 37 45 41 41 Hvn't hrd enough 10 12 11 11 12 11 15 13 13 5 REFUSED 3 - 1 1 2 1 - - 1 3
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 70% 72% 67% 76% 73% 58% 71% 69% Unfavorable 15 16 13 15 8 25 16 14 Hvn't hrd enough 14 11 20 10 19 17 13 17 REFUSED - - - - 1 - - - COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 75% 67% 60% 70% 76% 76% 65% 64% 74% 74% Unfavorable 13 17 17 16 12 13 11 20 12 17 Hvn't hrd enough 11 16 23 13 11 10 23 16 13 8 REFUSED 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 50% 65% 61% 66% 52% 22% 50% 50% Unfavorable 32 21 19 20 27 55 32 30 Hvn't hrd enough 17 14 19 14 20 21 17 19 REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 2 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 47% 52% 40% 53% 51% 57% 49% 54% 50% 50% Unfavorable 40 27 36 31 30 29 27 31 31 35 Hvn't hrd enough 12 20 24 15 17 14 24 13 19 15 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 2 - - 2 1 1
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Favorable 53% 59% 51% 54% 63% 40% 56% 46% Unfavorable 43 34 43 39 36 57 40 47 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 4 4 1 1 1 5 REFUSED 2 3 2 3 - 2 2 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 40% 59% 33% 57% 59% 63% 45% 51% 54% 52% Unfavorable 56 37 63 41 36 31 47 45 42 44 Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 1 2 3 3 5 2 3 2 REFUSED 1 2 3 - 1 3 3 1 1 1
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 5% 1% 5% 4% 5% 8% 4% 8% Carson 12 11 16 14 10 11 9 16 Christie 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 Cruz 8 19 11 15 4 1 8 7 Fiorina 8 6 9 8 8 6 7 9 Gilmore - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - Huckabee - - - - - - - - Jindal 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 Kasich 4 1 3 1 3 8 5 1 Pataki - - - - - - - - Paul 6 10 3 4 6 11 7 5 Rubio 6 4 6 7 8 3 5 6 Santorum - - 1 - 1 - - 1 Trump 41 41 37 39 46 37 43 36 DK/NA 8 5 8 5 7 13 8 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Bush 9% 3% 1% 3% 8% 9% 2% 5% 7% 4% Carson 10 13 20 9 11 9 15 9 15 6 Christie 2 1 3 1 - 2 - 3 1 2 Cruz 5 10 7 7 10 8 7 8 8 7 Fiorina 12 5 6 12 6 7 9 8 5 11 Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - - - Huckabee - - - - - - 1 - - - Jindal 1 1 - 2 2 1 4 2 - 1 Kasich 6 2 6 4 2 3 4 1 3 6 Pataki - - - - - - - - - - Paul 3 8 17 4 3 1 3 9 7 6 Rubio 7 5 6 6 4 8 5 6 4 9 Santorum - - - - 1 - - 2 - - Trump 33 44 25 45 44 47 41 37 43 39 DK/NA 11 6 11 7 8 5 8 10 8 8
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 8% 2% 5% 6% 7% 12% 8% 7% Carson 9 11 13 9 9 10 9 9 Christie 2 1 1 - 2 3 1 3 Cruz 11 26 14 21 7 1 11 11 Fiorina 6 6 8 6 7 4 3 11 Gilmore - - - - - - - - Graham 3 1 3 2 2 5 3 2 Huckabee 2 1 4 2 3 1 2 2 Jindal 3 3 4 3 4 - 3 2 Kasich 2 2 1 1 4 3 3 - Pataki - - - - - 1 - - Paul 5 5 2 1 4 15 6 4 Rubio 18 13 13 19 19 15 17 19 Santorum 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 Trump 17 19 15 18 18 15 20 13 DK/NA 13 9 15 12 13 16 12 15 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Bush 11% 6% 8% 5% 10% 12% 4% 5% 8% 12% Carson 8 9 15 6 7 9 7 10 11 5 Christie 1 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 Cruz 9 13 7 10 15 12 12 13 10 10 Fiorina 7 6 9 3 5 8 11 8 5 3 Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - Graham 7 - 3 3 2 2 1 2 4 3 Huckabee 2 2 1 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 Jindal 3 2 4 2 3 - 7 1 2 2 Kasich 3 2 1 5 1 1 2 - 1 6 Pataki 1 - - - 1 - - - - - Paul 1 8 15 6 1 - 6 10 5 5 Rubio 19 17 10 22 20 17 10 17 19 20 Santorum 1 1 1 - 2 - - 1 1 1 Trump 9 21 14 19 14 24 24 12 16 18 DK/NA 18 10 10 15 13 11 12 17 13 11
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 5% 1% 4% 4% 3% 10% 5% 6% Carson 9 7 12 8 8 13 8 10 Christie 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 2 Cruz 14 30 19 23 9 3 15 13 Fiorina 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 Gilmore - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - 1 - 1 Huckabee 1 1 2 1 2 - 2 - Jindal 2 2 2 1 3 2 1 3 Kasich 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - Pataki - 2 - - - 1 1 - Paul 5 6 2 1 5 11 5 4 Rubio 15 4 15 15 15 16 14 18 Santorum - - - 1 - - - - Trump 37 41 34 36 44 32 40 33 DK/NA 8 6 8 8 9 9 8 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Bush 10% 3% 5% 4% 6% 8% 6% 1% 5% 8% Carson 9 9 14 4 11 8 17 12 9 3 Christie 1 - - 1 2 - - 1 1 1 Cruz 14 14 9 14 19 12 16 14 11 17 Fiorina 2 - - 1 1 1 - - - 2 Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - Graham 1 - - - - - - - 1 - Huckabee - 1 - 2 1 - 1 - 1 1 Jindal 2 2 - 4 2 - 2 4 4 - Kasich 1 1 1 1 - - - - - 2 Pataki - - - 1 - - 2 - - - Paul 2 6 12 4 2 - 3 8 3 5 Rubio 21 12 17 15 14 17 13 15 15 18 Santorum - - - 1 - - 2 - - - Trump 26 43 31 38 37 47 35 31 42 34 DK/NA 11 7 11 9 5 6 4 13 7 9
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 3% - 3% 2% 2% 7% 4% 3% Carson 31 37 35 37 32 22 29 35 Christie 1 - 1 - 1 3 1 2 Cruz 13 24 18 20 12 1 14 10 Fiorina 8 5 7 7 9 6 6 10 Gilmore - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - Huckabee 5 4 9 7 8 1 6 4 Jindal 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 Kasich 2 - 1 1 1 6 3 - Pataki - - - - - 1 - - Paul 6 6 2 2 4 15 6 5 Rubio 9 7 7 9 10 7 8 10 Santorum 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 Trump 11 11 9 7 10 15 13 7 DK/NA 7 2 5 4 7 11 6 9 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Bush 5% 3% 1% 3% 4% 6% 2% 6% 2% 4% Carson 27 33 33 28 33 31 25 32 36 28 Christie 2 1 1 1 1 3 - 1 1 2 Cruz 9 14 12 10 15 12 16 11 11 12 Fiorina 9 7 13 5 5 8 9 8 5 11 Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - - - Huckabee 9 4 5 5 4 8 4 3 7 5 Jindal 4 2 - 4 5 - 3 1 3 3 Kasich 3 1 5 2 1 1 3 - 2 3 Pataki 1 - - 1 1 - - - - 1 Paul 4 7 10 9 2 - 3 10 6 7 Rubio 10 8 8 11 8 7 13 8 9 6 Santorum 1 2 - 3 2 1 2 4 - 2 Trump 5 13 6 11 12 16 15 7 11 9 DK/NA 10 6 6 6 8 7 4 8 7 9
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 7% 3% 6% 5% 5% 11% 6% 8% Carson 13 15 20 14 17 7 11 17 Christie 1 - - - 1 2 1 1 Cruz 10 23 12 18 7 1 11 9 Fiorina 3 2 5 4 2 3 2 5 Gilmore - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - Huckabee 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 1 Jindal 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 Kasich 3 1 3 2 3 7 5 1 Pataki - - - - - 1 - - Paul 9 12 4 4 11 15 11 5 Rubio 6 3 4 8 5 4 5 8 Santorum 1 - - 1 - 1 - 2 Trump 32 32 30 30 36 29 34 28 DK/NA 10 5 11 9 8 13 9 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Bush 10% 5% 5% 3% 10% 10% 2% 5% 8% 7% Carson 11 14 18 10 14 11 17 12 16 10 Christie 2 - 1 1 - 2 - 1 - 2 Cruz 10 10 7 10 15 6 9 15 9 8 Fiorina 5 2 2 4 3 6 5 5 2 4 Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - Graham - - - - - - - - - - Huckabee 3 2 3 2 2 1 4 - 2 2 Jindal 4 3 - 4 5 2 4 4 4 2 Kasich 5 3 6 3 2 3 4 - 4 6 Pataki 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 Paul 4 11 19 12 2 1 3 9 13 7 Rubio 7 5 5 7 4 9 1 6 5 9 Santorum 1 1 3 - - - - - - 4 Trump 27 34 23 36 32 38 34 33 29 31 DK/NA 10 9 9 8 10 10 16 9 9 8
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 63% 55% 61% 63% 71% 56% 59% 70% No 32 42 34 33 26 40 37 25 DK/NA 4 3 6 4 3 5 4 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 72% 58% 56% 56% 70% 75% 59% 54% 65% 69% No 23 38 40 39 27 19 31 40 32 30 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 2 6 10 7 3 1
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 75% 73% 72% 78% 79% 64% 74% 75% No 15 20 15 10 13 23 17 11 DK/NA 11 7 13 11 8 14 9 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 81% 71% 66% 68% 81% 88% 72% 69% 76% 81% No 9 17 18 20 10 5 19 23 12 11 DK/NA 9 12 16 12 9 6 9 8 12 9
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 89% 94% 91% 95% 93% 75% 88% 91% No 8 5 6 3 6 19 11 5 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 1 5 1 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 92% 87% 79% 88% 93% 98% 76% 83% 93% 94% No 5 10 20 7 5 2 22 15 4 4 DK/NA 2 3 1 4 2 1 2 3 3 2
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 48% 53% 48% 49% 55% 37% 52% 43% No 45 43 46 42 37 60 43 49 DK/NA 7 4 5 8 8 3 5 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 43% 51% 38% 50% 49% 55% 46% 33% 50% 54% No 52 42 62 46 42 31 49 59 43 43 DK/NA 5 7 - 4 8 14 5 8 7 3
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 66% 71% 65% 72% 70% 52% 66% 65% No 18 17 14 12 16 32 20 15 DK/NA 16 12 21 17 14 17 14 19 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 71% 63% 52% 69% 70% 77% 64% 56% 68% 75% No 14 20 24 20 18 8 22 29 16 12 DK/NA 15 16 24 11 12 15 15 15 16 13
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 73% 91% 77% 87% 76% 46% 75% 70% No 17 5 12 7 15 35 20 12 DK/NA 10 4 11 6 10 19 5 18 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 72% 74% 59% 70% 78% 88% 73% 66% 75% 76% No 17 16 26 20 11 9 20 25 15 14 DK/NA 10 10 15 10 11 4 7 9 10 10
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 67% 53% 66% 61% 71% 71% 64% 71% No 29 40 29 33 26 25 32 24 DK/NA 4 7 5 6 3 3 4 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 73% 64% 70% 63% 67% 70% 76% 55% 70% 66% No 23 32 24 34 29 26 22 35 27 32 DK/NA 4 4 7 3 4 4 3 9 3 2
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 73% 74% 66% 79% 72% 65% 73% 72% No 16 15 18 13 17 19 18 12 DK/NA 12 11 16 8 12 16 8 17 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 79% 69% 65% 68% 77% 83% 69% 71% 76% 74% No 12 18 17 23 13 7 20 19 11 20 DK/NA 9 13 18 9 10 9 11 10 13 6
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 76% 84% 82% 83% 79% 61% 72% 83% No 19 10 12 13 12 35 22 13 DK/NA 5 6 6 3 9 4 6 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 70% 79% 69% 81% 74% 79% 75% 74% 80% 71% No 22 17 26 18 18 15 17 23 15 23 DK/NA 8 4 5 2 7 6 8 3 5 6
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 80% 88% 82% 83% 86% 70% 82% 77% No 18 11 16 14 13 29 17 19 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 1 1 1 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 75% 83% 77% 84% 82% 74% 80% 75% 83% 81% No 22 15 22 15 16 21 19 22 15 19 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 2 5 1 3 2 -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 69% 75% 69% 74% 73% 57% 68% 71% No 18 13 15 12 16 29 21 11 DK/NA 13 12 16 14 11 14 10 18 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 75% 66% 60% 71% 73% 75% 65% 64% 70% 78% No 16 18 22 19 15 15 19 22 18 14 DK/NA 9 16 18 10 11 11 16 14 12 8
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 70% 88% 73% 82% 73% 47% 71% 68% No 19 4 13 8 19 38 21 16 DK/NA 11 8 13 10 7 15 9 16 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 66% 71% 62% 68% 73% 74% 72% 68% 68% 70% No 22 17 25 21 15 15 17 21 21 21 DK/NA 12 11 13 10 12 11 11 11 11 9
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 53% 39% 53% 56% 59% 41% 50% 58% No 40 54 38 36 36 51 46 32 DK/NA 7 7 8 8 4 8 5 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 62% 48% 46% 49% 57% 65% 51% 44% 60% 55% No 29 46 46 45 38 29 41 49 36 41 DK/NA 9 6 8 5 5 6 7 7 4 4
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 74% 73% 71% 79% 76% 62% 71% 79% No 17 18 17 13 15 24 21 10 DK/NA 9 9 12 8 9 13 8 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 76% 73% 65% 71% 80% 85% 71% 74% 74% 79% No 13 19 22 19 14 9 26 20 15 14 DK/NA 11 9 13 10 7 6 2 6 11 7
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 87% 94% 90% 96% 88% 72% 86% 89% No 9 5 7 1 11 20 12 5 DK/NA 4 1 3 3 2 8 3 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 87% 87% 78% 88% 90% 96% 76% 85% 92% 89% No 7 10 18 8 7 4 23 13 4 7 DK/NA 6 3 4 4 3 - 2 2 4 5
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 49% 57% 48% 53% 55% 35% 51% 44% No 46 38 47 41 42 60 44 49 DK/NA 5 5 5 7 4 6 5 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 39% 53% 39% 52% 47% 60% 43% 44% 48% 52% No 53 42 57 46 45 35 51 51 47 44 DK/NA 8 4 4 2 8 5 6 5 4 4
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 65% 71% 64% 70% 68% 51% 65% 63% No 20 19 17 16 20 28 23 16 DK/NA 15 11 19 14 12 21 12 21 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 69% 62% 56% 65% 69% 72% 61% 60% 71% 67% No 17 22 23 23 20 12 28 24 17 18 DK/NA 13 16 21 12 11 16 11 16 12 15
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 71% 86% 74% 86% 75% 42% 71% 70% No 18 8 12 6 15 42 22 13 DK/NA 11 6 14 9 10 15 7 17 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 66% 73% 61% 71% 73% 81% 69% 69% 73% 71% No 21 17 26 22 16 9 27 19 16 21 DK/NA 13 10 14 7 11 10 5 12 12 8
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 76% 70% 76% 75% 82% 72% 74% 79% No 21 26 22 21 18 22 23 17 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 - 6 3 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 83% 72% 77% 77% 79% 73% 73% 69% 83% 80% No 14 24 20 22 18 21 23 27 17 18 DK/NA 3 4 3 2 3 6 4 4 1 2
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 69% 72% 67% 75% 70% 58% 71% 66% No 22 18 22 17 22 32 23 21 DK/NA 9 10 11 8 9 10 7 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 74% 67% 60% 72% 75% 70% 63% 72% 71% 71% No 20 23 27 21 20 18 27 24 19 23 DK/NA 6 10 13 7 5 12 10 4 9 6
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 57% 74% 68% 66% 60% 39% 56% 60% No 35 20 25 29 29 50 37 30 DK/NA 8 6 7 5 10 11 7 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 48% 62% 48% 59% 55% 66% 63% 57% 58% 49% No 44 30 42 36 36 26 27 34 35 43 DK/NA 8 8 10 5 9 8 10 8 7 8
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 56% 70% 55% 58% 65% 42% 57% 54% No 41 26 42 38 33 55 40 42 DK/NA 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 46% 61% 44% 62% 57% 60% 53% 55% 61% 52% No 50 36 56 35 38 34 44 41 37 46 DK/NA 4 3 - 4 5 7 3 4 2 2
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 51% 63% 55% 57% 59% 33% 51% 52% No 37 29 31 35 29 50 39 33 DK/NA 12 8 14 8 13 18 10 15 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 55% 50% 43% 57% 49% 57% 46% 43% 52% 62% No 35 38 41 35 41 31 40 42 37 31 DK/NA 10 13 17 8 10 12 13 15 11 7
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 70% 87% 74% 78% 76% 50% 72% 66% No 20 6 14 13 14 38 22 16 DK/NA 10 7 12 9 10 13 6 18 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 63% 74% 71% 69% 69% 70% 72% 73% 68% 69% No 24 18 18 21 23 21 27 14 22 21 DK/NA 14 8 12 10 8 9 1 13 10 10
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 50% 34% 50% 47% 58% 47% 46% 57% No 41 56 40 44 37 42 47 32 DK/NA 9 10 10 9 5 10 7 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 59% 45% 51% 46% 48% 60% 56% 39% 49% 57% No 31 47 42 42 45 34 37 46 42 39 DK/NA 10 8 7 12 7 6 6 14 9 4
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 68% 74% 66% 74% 68% 55% 66% 71% No 19 16 17 15 14 29 22 13 DK/NA 14 10 16 10 18 16 12 16 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 72% 65% 56% 66% 74% 80% 65% 60% 69% 75% No 15 20 23 20 15 13 20 25 19 15 DK/NA 12 14 22 13 11 7 15 14 12 10
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 84% 92% 87% 94% 87% 62% 80% 89% No 12 4 8 4 8 30 16 5 DK/NA 4 4 5 1 5 8 4 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 83% 84% 69% 87% 86% 93% 77% 76% 86% 88% No 11 12 23 10 9 5 16 21 8 10 DK/NA 5 4 8 2 5 2 8 3 6 2
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 42% 46% 37% 42% 52% 29% 45% 35% No 52 44 56 50 42 68 50 56 DK/NA 6 9 7 8 6 3 5 9 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 34% 46% 30% 47% 39% 52% 34% 37% 39% 50% No 59 49 70 47 53 35 57 56 56 47 DK/NA 8 6 - 6 8 13 9 8 5 4
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 58% 62% 57% 62% 64% 45% 56% 62% No 23 17 19 20 14 36 26 17 DK/NA 19 21 24 18 22 19 18 22 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 63% 56% 46% 59% 62% 69% 64% 53% 58% 61% No 18 25 28 22 23 15 23 31 19 21 DK/NA 19 19 26 19 15 16 13 16 23 18
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes 67% 87% 75% 86% 70% 34% 69% 65% No 23 7 14 8 20 50 24 21 DK/NA 10 5 11 7 9 16 7 15 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes 63% 70% 57% 63% 73% 77% 64% 64% 67% 70% No 25 22 33 26 17 15 28 23 22 24 DK/NA 12 9 10 11 9 9 8 12 10 6
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Shares values 28% 38% 35% 35% 23% 22% 29% 27% Cares needs/problems 9 6 9 8 6 14 7 12 Strong leadership 19 16 18 16 25 15 19 18 Honest/trustworthy 23 29 24 23 21 25 23 24 Right experience 5 2 4 2 4 10 5 4 Best chance/winning 13 8 8 12 16 10 12 14 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 5 2 4 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Shares values 25% 30% 42% 29% 22% 17% 26% 30% 26% 34% Cares needs/problems 6 10 13 8 9 6 14 9 7 8 Strong leadership 23 16 9 20 21 27 9 19 21 20 Honest/trustworthy 21 24 22 23 25 22 28 26 23 17 Right experience 6 4 4 5 6 4 6 4 6 4 Best chance/winning 16 11 9 12 14 18 13 8 14 17 DK/NA 3 4 1 2 4 6 4 4 4 -
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Governor 38% 33% 32% 35% 36% 45% 38% 37% U.S. Senate/House 15 9 16 13 15 19 12 20 Never held office 34 41 36 35 38 28 38 28 DK/NA 13 17 16 16 12 9 12 15 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Governor 52% 30% 28% 40% 44% 39% 30% 33% 40% 49% U.S. Senate/House 12 16 32 12 9 6 17 19 16 10 Never held office 23 40 28 39 33 39 40 29 35 30 DK/NA 14 13 12 9 14 16 12 19 10 11
Sample and Methodology detail