June 8, 2015 - Pataki, Rubio, Bush Top Gop Pack In New York, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Empire State Dems In Clinton State Of Mind Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Looking at the 2016 presidential race New York State Republicans give former Gov. George Pataki and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida 11 percent each, with 10 percent for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton wins the heart of 55 percent of New York Democrats, with 15 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sander of Vermont and 9 percent for Vice President Joseph Biden, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other Democrat tops 2 percent and 13 percent remain undecided.

In the Republican primary race, Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin gets 7 percent, with 6 percent each for Ben Carson, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and Donald Trump. No other candidate tops 5 percent and 14 percent are undecided.

Among New York Democrats, Clinton has the support of 51 percent of men and 58 percent of women, 56 percent of those describing themselves as very liberal, 65 percent of those who are somewhat liberal and 51 percent of self-described moderates or conservatives.

"Nobody thinks New York will be a swing state in November, 2016, but in a Republican primary, which could count, New York's own Gov. George Pataki, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio and Gov. Jeb Bush, both from Florida, are the only double-digit finishers in the early going," said Maurice Carroll, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"For the Democrats, the one polling certainty, that a formal decision to run is followed by a bump in the numbers, lets U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders slip in behind - way behind - Hillary Clinton.

New York State voters give President Barack Obama a split 47 - 47 percent job approval rating, down from a 51 - 45 percent approval rating in a March 23 Quinnipiac University poll.

"He's still the president, but even in true-blue New York, Barack Obama only gets a stand-off in job approval," Carroll said.

From May 28 - June 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,229 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. The survey includes 356 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.2 percentage points and 508 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 10%     9%    11%    11%    12%     9%
Carson                6      7     11      3      5      8
Christie              6      2      6      8      7      6
Cruz                  3     11      1      1      3      3
Fiorina               3      3      2      4      4      2
Graham                -      1      -      -      1      -
Huckabee              5      5      7      2      3      7
Jindal                1      1      1      1      2      -
Kasich                1      2      -      2      2      1
Pataki               11      4     13     15      9     14
Paul                  6      6      5      6      9      3
Perry                 1      -      2      1      2      -
Rubio                11     12     13      9     12     10
Santorum              2      3      2      2      2      2
Trump                 6      2      6      6      5      6
Walker                7     17      7      3      9      6
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      4      5      2
DK/NA                14     12     11     19     10     19
 
TREND: If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Jun 08  Mar 23
                     2015    2015
 
Bush                 10      13
Carson                6       6
Christie              6      12
Cruz                  3       3
Fiorina               3      na
Graham                -       -
Huckabee              5       3
Jindal                1       1
Kasich                1       1
Pataki               11       6
Paul                  6       8
Perry                 1       1
Rubio                11      10
Santorum              2       1
Trump                 6      na
Walker                7      13
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                14      18
 
 
2. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS..................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Biden                 9%     4%     5%    12%    10%     8%
Chafee                1      -      -      1      1      -
Clinton              55     56     65     51     51     58
O'Malley              2      3      1      3      3      1
Sanders              15     25     20     10     20     11
Webb                  2      3      1      1      3      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      1      4      4      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      2      3      2      2
DK/NA                13     10      6     16      6     17
 
TREND: If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                     Jun 08  Mar 23
                     2015    2015
 
Biden                 9       8
Chaffee               1      na
Clinton              55      51
O'Malley              2       1
Sanders              15       5
Webb                  2       1
Cuomo                na       7
Warren               na      11
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       3
DK/NA                13      12
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              47%     5%    81%    41%    46%    49%    58%    49%    43%
Disapprove           47     93     14     54     50     44     33     47     53
DK/NA                 5      2      5      5      4      6      8      4      4
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Approve              36%    62%    43%
Disapprove           58     33     50
DK/NA                 5      5      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 08  Mar 23  Dec 23  Aug 21  May 21  Feb 19  Aug 12
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2009    2011
 
Approve              47      51      51      49      50      72      45
Disapprove           47      45      45      47      46      17      49
DK/NA                 5       4       4       4       4      10       6