April 7, 2016 - Toomey Tops Democrats In Pennsylvania Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gov. Wolf, Attorney General, Obama All Under Water Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Republican U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania tops either of the two Democrats challenging him for reelection, but falls short of the 50 percent threshold, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

In a rematch of their 2010 Senate race, Sen. Toomey leads former U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak 47 - 39 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Toomey bests Katie McGinty by a similar 47 - 38 percent margin.

In the Toomey-Sestak matchup, independent voters are divided with 40 percent for the Republican and 39 percent for the Democrat. Toomey leads McGinty 41 - 34 percent among independent voters.

Pennsylvania voters approve 50 - 29 percent of the job Toomey is doing and give him a 45 - 24 percent favorability rating.

The Democrats have an identity problem as 51 percent don't know enough about Sestak to form an opinion of him and 64 percent don't know enough about McGinty.

"U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey can take some comfort in the lead he has on his two Democratic challengers, but it's a lot easier to be the front runner when voters don't know much about the challengers," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Pennsylvania voters disapprove 52 - 35 percent of the job Gov. Tom Wolf is doing, his worst approval rating since he took office in January, 2015. Democrats give Wolf a lukewarm 59 - 28 percent approval rating, while Republicans disapprove 75 - 15 percent and independent voters disapprove 49 - 35 percent.

"It didn't take long for the honeymoon to come crashing in on Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf whose darling status with folks who threw out Gov. Tom Corbett has faded," Malloy said.

Pennsylvania voters also disapprove 51 - 25 percent of the job Attorney General Kathleen Kane is doing and say 47 - 32 percent that she should resign.

U.S. Sen. Robert Casey Jr. gets a 45 - 24 percent approval rating. President Obama's Approval and Supreme Court

Pennsylvania voters give President Barack Obama a 53 - 44 percent disapproval rating, consistent with his negative ratings in the Keystone State over the last two years. Republicans disapprove 92 - 7 percent, while Democrats approve 86 - 13 percent. Independent voters are divided as 47 percent approve and 49 percent disapprove.

Voters approve 48 - 30 percent of the president's nomination of Judge Merrick Garland to the U.S. Supreme Court and say 57 - 37 percent the U.S. Senate should consider Garland's nomination now, rather than wait until there is a new president.

Supporting Senate action are Democrats 83 - 13 percent and independent voters 58 - 36 percent. Republicans are opposed 60 - 34 percent.

From March 30 - April 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,737 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

14. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Sestak the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Sestak               39%     5%    78%    39%    36%    42%    45%    37%
Toomey               47     88      9     40     51     43     47     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      3      4      3      2      1      3
DK/NA                10      6      9     16      9     12      7     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Sestak               48%    34%    40%    37%    31%    37%    34%    78%
Toomey               32     51     47     55     58     49     54      3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      -      1      1      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      1      3      1      2      7
DK/NA                15      9     11      6      7     11      9     11
 
 
15. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Katie McGinty the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
McGinty              38%     6%    76%    34%    32%    43%    43%    35%
Toomey               47     84     11     41     52     42     46     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      -      3      4      4      2      1      4
DK/NA                12      8     10     20     12     13     10     14
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McGinty              44%    34%    39%    35%    27%    38%    33%    71%
Toomey               32     50     47     55     59     48     53      6
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      3      1      3      1      2      8
DK/NA                20     11     12      8     10     12     11     15
 
 
16. Is your opinion of Pat Toomey favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            45%    75%    19%    39%    49%    42%    45%    45%
Unfavorable          24      6     45     22     25     23     34     20
Hvn't hrd enough     29     19     35     37     25     33     20     34
REFUSED               1      1      1      3      1      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            31%    49%    49%    49%    54%    46%    50%    14%
Unfavorable          16     27     26     25     24     24     24     26
Hvn't hrd enough     52     24     23     24     21     29     25     56
REFUSED               -      -      3      3      -      2      1      3
 
 
17. Is your opinion of Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            30%    14%    54%    26%    30%    30%    36%    28%
Unfavorable          18     32      3     15     23     13     19     18
Hvn't hrd enough     51     54     41     58     46     55     44     54
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            25%    29%    31%    36%    29%    29%    29%    43%
Unfavorable           7     22     20     22     25     15     20      6
Hvn't hrd enough     67     48     47     41     46     55     51     47
REFUSED               -      1      2      1      -      1      1      5
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Katie McGinty favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            23%     9%    43%    16%    19%    26%    27%    21%
Unfavorable          12     21      3     11     15     10     12     12
Hvn't hrd enough     64     70     52     72     65     63     60     66
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            21%    21%    24%    26%    18%    26%    22%    31%
Unfavorable           7     14     14     13     16     10     13      7
Hvn't hrd enough     72     65     61     59     65     63     64     60
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      -      1      1      2
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Wolf is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              35%    15%    59%    35%    33%    37%    39%    34%
Disapprove           52     75     28     49     56     48     49     53
DK/NA                13     10     12     16     11     15     12     13
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              40%    36%    37%    32%    30%    36%    33%    60%
Disapprove           37     53     53     58     60     51     55     21
DK/NA                23     10     10     10      9     13     11     20
 
 
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              45%    36%    61%    39%    43%    47%    49%    43%
Disapprove           24     34     11     27     30     19     26     24
DK/NA                31     30     29     34     27     34     26     33
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              34%    46%    49%    49%    43%    48%    45%    46%
Disapprove           14     28     25     27     33     20     26     11
DK/NA                52     25     26     25     24     32     29     42
 
 
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              50%    77%    26%    44%    50%    49%    46%    51%
Disapprove           29      9     49     32     33     25     38     25
DK/NA                21     14     25     25     17     25     16     23
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              35%    52%    52%    57%    55%    53%    54%    25%
Disapprove           33     31     27     26     31     25     28     38
DK/NA                33     17     21     16     14     22     18     37
 
 
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kathleen Kane is handling her job as State Attorney General?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              25%    21%    30%    24%    24%    26%    18%    28%
Disapprove           51     57     45     53     54     49     63     46
DK/NA                24     22     25     23     22     25     19     26
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              23%    23%    26%    27%    23%    26%    24%    27%
Disapprove           40     60     51     51     58     51     54     37
DK/NA                37     17     23     22     19     24     21     36
 
 
23. Do you think Kathleen Kane should resign as State Attorney General or not?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Resign           47%    54%    39%    47%    48%    45%    54%    43%
No                   32     27     40     30     33     31     27     34
DK/NA                21     19     21     23     18     24     19     22
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Resign           33%    51%    50%    48%    51%    47%    49%    33%
No                   31     29     31     37     32     32     32     32
DK/NA                35     20     18     15     17     21     19     35
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              44%     7%    86%    47%    39%    49%    52%    41%
Disapprove           53     92     13     49     58     47     46     56
DK/NA                 3      2      2      4      2      4      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              63%    39%    42%    37%    31%    41%    36%    93%
Disapprove           33     58     55     60     67     55     60      6
DK/NA                 4      3      2      3      2      4      3      1
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama's nomination of Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              48%    22%    80%    48%    46%    51%    62%    42%
Disapprove           30     54      6     29     36     25     25     32
DK/NA                21     24     14     23     18     24     13     25
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              59%    45%    48%    45%    42%    46%    44%    78%
Disapprove           20     33     31     34     41     29     35      5
DK/NA                21     22     21     21     17     25     21     17
 
 
26. Do you think the Senate should consider the nomination of Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court, or do you think the Senate should not consider any Supreme Court nomination until there is a new President?
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Consider Garland     57%    34%    83%    58%    59%    55%    72%    50%
Do not consider      37     60     13     36     37     38     26     42
DK/NA                 6      6      4      6      4      7      2      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Consider Garland     66%    58%    55%    51%    55%    51%    53%    84%
Do not consider      25     38     40     42     41     42     42     10
DK/NA                 8      4      5      7      4      6      5      7
 
 

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