April 20, 2016 - Trump Leads, Kasich Tops Cruz In Connecticut GOP Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Women, Blacks Give Clinton Lead Among Democrats Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Donald Trump is close to the 50 percent mark among Connecticut likely Republican primary voters, while Ohio Gov. John Kasich tops Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas in the race for second place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

A 66 - 25 percent lead among black likely Democratic primary voters and a wide margin among women Democrats propel former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to a 51 - 42 percent lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Another 6 percent remain undecided and 18 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

Likely Republican primary voters give Trump 48 percent, with 28 percent for Kasich and 19 percent for Cruz. Only 5 percent are undecided, but 25 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before the April 26 primary.

By 59 - 33 percent, Connecticut Republicans want an outsider for president, rather than someone experienced in politics. Among those who want an outsider 75 percent back Trump.

"Connecticut Republicans have gone for outsider candidates such as Linda McMahon and Tom Foley. They continue that trend with Donald Trump," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. "The conventional wisdom that Sen. Cruz is too conservative for Connecticut looks true, as he comes in a distant third in the Republican primary. Kasich clearly is outpacing Cruz for second, but running well behind Trump.

"Secretary Hillary Clinton wins on all the most important issues to voters, except for income inequality. Sen. Bernie Sanders wins on honesty, values, and empathy. But Clinton wins by bigger margins on leadership, electability, and experience."

Among Connecticut likely Republican primary voters, Trump gets 51 percent of men, with 27 percent for Kasich and 18 percent for Cruz. Women go 45 percent for Trump, 30 percent for Kasich and 20 percent for Cruz.

Trump gets 62 percent of Tea Party members, with Cruz at 24 percent and Kasich at 12 percent. Trump also gets 37 percent of white born-again Evangelical Christians, with Cruz at 31 percent and Kasich at 30 percent. Trump leads among very conservative and somewhat conservative voters and gets 42 percent of moderate/liberal Republicans to Kasich's 41 percent.

Kasich takes 39 percent of Republican voters 18 to 44 years old, with 32 percent for Trump and 27 percent for Cruz. Trump leads among older voters.

A total of 56 percent of Republicans have a strongly favorable or somewhat favorable opinion of Trump, with 37 percent somewhat or strongly unfavorable. Kasich gets a 58 - 18 percent favorability rating with Cruz at a negative 38 - 45 percent score.

Clinton-Sanders

There are wide gender and racial gaps among likely Democratic primary voters as women back Clinton 55 - 38 percent while men are divided, with 50 percent for Sanders and 45 percent for Clinton. White voters are divided with 49 percent for Clinton and 47 percent for Sanders, while black voters back Clinton 66 - 25 percent.

Sanders leads 54 - 43 percent among very liberal Democrats. Somewhat liberal Democrats go 51 percent for Clinton and 45 percent for Sanders. Moderate/conservative Democrats back Clinton 56 - 36 percent.

Sanders leads 73 - 26 percent among voters 18 - 34 years old, while Clinton leads among older Democrats.

A total of 67 percent of Democratic voters have a strongly or somewhat favorable opinion of Clinton, with 27 percent somewhat or strongly unfavorable. Sanders gets a 66 - 18 percent favorability rating.

From April 12 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 823 Connecticut likely Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points and 1,037 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican primary were being held today, and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Cruz, Kasich, or Trump?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Cruz                 19%    24%    31%    34%    15%    13%    18%    20%    18%    20%
Kasich               28     12     30     16     23     41     27     30     38     21
Trump                48     62     37     47     56     42     51     45     41     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      3      1      4      6      4      4      5      4      5
 
                                          MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q8
                     AGE IN YRS.......    Econ/  Terro- Gov
                     18-44  45-64  65+    Jobs   rism   Spend
 
Cruz                 27%    17%    16%    15%    15%    28%
Kasich               39     25     27     34     23     24
Trump                32     53     52     47     59     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 1      5      6      3      4      5
 
                     MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q9
                     Shares Strong        Best
                     Values Leader Honest Chance
 
Cruz                 34%    15%    13%    13%
Kasich               25     13     41     41
Trump                39     67     40     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 1      5      6      4
 
                     PRES PREFERENCE Q10  SATIS W/ NATION Q11  FINANCIAL SATIS Q12
                     Exper- Out-          Satis- Dissat-       Satis- Dissat-
                     ience  sider         fied   isfied        fied   isfied
 
Cruz                 30%    13%           13%    20%           17%    22%
Kasich               61      9            65     24            34     20
Trump                 4     75            21     51            45     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -             -      -             -      -
DK/NA                 5      3             2      5             4      5
 
 
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS......................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1............................
                                   CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1...........
                     Tot           Cruz          Kasich        Trump
 
Made up              74%           51%           80%           80%
Might change         25            49            19            19
DK/NA                 1             -             1             1
 
 
2. How would you feel with Ted Cruz as the Republican nominee for president; very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied       14%    30%    26%    33%    12%     5%    15%    14%    14%    15%
Smwht satisfied      32     38     40     33     30     33     33     30     32     32
Smwht dissatisfied   22     11     16     14     27     22     22     22     21     22
Very dissatisfied    29     20     16     18     27     38     28     31     30     28
DK/NA                 3      1      1      2      4      2      2      4      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1...........
                     18-44  45-64  65+    Cruz          Kasich        Trump
 
Very satisfied       16%    16%    11%    57%            3%            5%
Smwht satisfied      41     27     31     36            33            30
Smwht dissatisfied   20     23     19      5            29            22
Very dissatisfied    22     31     36      2            33            39
DK/NA                 1      3      4      -             2             3
 
 
3. How would you feel with John Kasich as the Republican nominee for president; very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied       25%    12%    32%    17%    24%    31%    24%    25%    31%    20%
Smwht satisfied      37     28     37     33     42     35     35     39     35     37
Smwht dissatisfied   20     31     14     26     19     17     19     20     16     22
Very dissatisfied    15     27     14     21     12     12     18     10     14     15
DK/NA                 4      1      3      3      3      5      4      6      4      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1...........
                     18-44  45-64  65+    Cruz          Kasich        Trump
 
Very satisfied       32%    22%    26%     6%           65%           10%
Smwht satisfied      33     38     37     50            27            36
Smwht dissatisfied   22     20     18     26             5            26
Very dissatisfied    12     17     12     12             2            24
DK/NA                 1      3      7      6             -             5
 
 
4. How would you feel with Donald Trump as the Republican nominee for president; very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied       36%    49%    26%    39%    42%    28%    39%    32%    29%    41%
Smwht satisfied      25     31     22     34     24     20     25     24     26     24
Smwht dissatisfied   14      7     17     10     17     15     15     14     13     15
Very dissatisfied    23     12     33     17     15     34     20     27     30     18
DK/NA                 2      1      1      -      2      3      1      3      2      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1...........
                     18-44  45-64  65+    Cruz          Kasich        Trump
 
Very satisfied       26%    38%    36%     4%            2%           71%
Smwht satisfied      21     28     23     33            16            25
Smwht dissatisfied   27     11     12     24            30             3
Very dissatisfied    25     21     28     37            51             1
DK/NA                 -      2      2      1             1             1
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Strongly favorable   15%    34%    32%    39%    10%     5%    17%    13%    15%    15%
Smwht favorable      23     28     19     24     25     22     24     22     25     22
Smwht unfavorable    14     10      9      8     17     15     14     15     16     13
Strongly unfavorable 31     20     18     20     32     37     31     31     32     31
Hvn't hrd enough     14      6     21      8     12     18     11     16     11     16
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      2      2      1      4      2      3      2      2      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Strongly favorable   18%    17%    12%
Smwht favorable      25     22     20
Smwht unfavorable    17     14     12
Strongly unfavorable 19     35     39
Hvn't hrd enough     21      8     15
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      3      1
 
 
6. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Strongly favorable   28%    17%    32%    25%    29%    31%    29%    28%    33%    25%
Smwht favorable      30     27     25     28     32     29     29     30     32     28
Smwht unfavorable     8     18      5     14      7      4      9      6      9      7
Strongly unfavorable 10     19     12     15      7      8     12      8      9     10
Hvn't hrd enough     24     19     25     17     25     26     21     27     16     30
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      -      1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Strongly favorable   32%    27%    30%
Smwht favorable      29     29     30
Smwht unfavorable     7      8      7
Strongly unfavorable  7     11     10
Hvn't hrd enough     25     23     21
REFUSED/DK/NA         -      1      1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Strongly favorable   36%    44%    28%    38%    44%    28%    40%    32%    29%    41%
Smwht favorable      20     32     17     29     20     16     21     19     22     19
Smwht unfavorable    11      7     19     10     10     14     12     10     13     10
Strongly unfavorable 26     12     33     18     19     36     23     30     30     22
Hvn't hrd enough      4      5      1      3      5      3      3      5      2      5
REFUSED/DK/NA         3      1      1      2      3      3      2      4      3      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Strongly favorable   26%    38%    37%
Smwht favorable      18     23     17
Smwht unfavorable    23     10      6
Strongly unfavorable 29     23     31
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      5
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      2      4
 
 
8. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, government spending, health care, foreign policy, climate change, income inequality, abortion, gun policy, education or taxes?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy and jobs     35%    32%    33%    31%    40%    36%    40%    30%    41%    31%
Terrorism            14     11     25     11     15     15     10     19     12     15
Immigration           6      6      5      9      5      5      6      6      6      5
Government spending  14     15     16     19     15     11     14     14     14     14
Health care           5      4      6      4      3      7      4      6      2      7
Foreign policy        6      4      7      4      6      8      7      6      8      6
Climate change        -      -      -      -      -      1      -      1      1      -
Income inequality     1      4      -      1      1      2      2      1      2      1
Abortion              2      6      2      4      3      -      1      3      2      2
Gun policy            3      5      -      5      3      2      5      1      2      4
Education             2      -      1      2      -      2      -      3      1      2
Taxes                 7      7      4     11      5      7      8      6      6      8
DK/NA                 4      5      1      1      4      4      3      5      3      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Economy and jobs     36%    39%    31%
Terrorism            13     13     17
Immigration           4      6      8
Government spending  12     14     16
Health care           9      3      6
Foreign policy        4      7      9
Climate change        -      -      1
Income inequality     3      1      1
Abortion              2      1      1
Gun policy            1      4      2
Education             4      1      1
Taxes                 9      8      3
DK/NA                 2      3      4
 
 
9. Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, who cares about your needs and problems, who is a strong leader, who is honest and trustworthy, who has the right experience, or who has the best chance of winning?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Shares values        18%    24%    18%    22%    13%    20%    19%    16%    14%    21%
Cares needs/problems  7      8      5      6      7      8      5      9      5      9
Strong leader        37     43     38     41     41     32     39     35     37     37
Honest/trustworthy   20      9     26     11     20     25     17     23     19     21
Right experience      8      2      7      8      7      9      6     11     12      6
Best chance/winning   9     13      6     12     10      5     11      5     12      6
DK/NA                 2      1      -      -      2      2      2      1      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Shares values        21%    16%    18%
Cares needs/problems 10      5      7
Strong leader        30     39     35
Honest/trustworthy   23     20     20
Right experience      7      9      9
Best chance/winning   8     10      7
DK/NA                 -      1      4
 
 
10. Which would you prefer: for the next president to have experience in politics or to be from outside the political establishment?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Experience           33%    19%    38%    29%    26%    41%    30%    37%    37%    30%
From outside         59     78     54     66     64     50     63     55     53     64
DK/NA                 8      3      8      4      9      9      7      8     10      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Experience           48%    27%    34%
From outside         43     66     58
DK/NA                 9      7      8
 
 
11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied        -      -      -      1%     -      1%     1%     -      1%     -
Smwht satisfied      10      4      7      3      5     17     11      8     13      7
Smwht dissatisfied   26     13     35     15     25     35     24     29     31     23
Very dissatisfied    63     83     59     82     70     47     63     63     56     69
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        -      -      1%
Smwht satisfied      14      8      9
Smwht dissatisfied   38     23     26
Very dissatisfied    48     68     64
DK/NA                 -      1      -
 
 
12. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going for you financially; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS..........................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied       13%     7%    13%    12%    12%    16%    17%     9%    16%    11%
Smwht satisfied      45     48     40     39     43     49     45     44     49     41
Smwht dissatisfied   26     32     26     28     31     23     26     27     23     29
Very dissatisfied    15     11     19     20     13     12     11     19     10     18
DK/NA                 1      1      2      2      1      -      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Very satisfied       15%    13%    13%
Smwht satisfied      47     45     47
Smwht dissatisfied   26     25     24
Very dissatisfied    12     16     14
DK/NA                 -      1      2
 
 
13. If the Democratic primary were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Clinton or Sanders?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton              51%    43%    51%    56%    45%    55%    53%    50%
Sanders              42     54     45     36     50     38     41     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      3      5      9      5      7      5      7
 
                                                               MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q18..
                     AGE IN YRS..............                  Econ/  Health Forgn  Income
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk    Jobs   Care   Policy Inequal
 
Clinton              26%    54%    63%    58%    49%    66%    52%    59%    82%    39%
Sanders              73     37     34     33     47     25     42     32     14     60
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 1      9      3      9      5      9      6      9      4      -
 
                     MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q19........
                     Shares        Strong        Exper- Best
                     Values Cares  Leader Honest ience  Chance
 
Clinton              44%    32%    70%    24%    82%    83%
Sanders              52     59     23     68     15     16
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      8      8      8      3      2
 
                     PRES PREFERENCE Q20  SATIS W/ NATION Q21  FINANCIAL SATIS Q22
                     Exper- Out-          Satis- Dissat-       Satis- Dissat-
                     ience  sider         fied   isfied        fied   isfied
 
Clinton              62%    16%           61%    43%           53%    48%
Sanders              33     76            34     50            42     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -             -      -             -      -
DK/NA                 5      8             5      7             5      8
 
 
13A. (If candidate chosen q13) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q13.................
                                   CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q13
                     Tot           Clinton       Sanders
 
Made up              81%           83%           79%
Might change         18            17            20
DK/NA                 1             1             1
 
 
14. How would you feel with Hillary Clinton as the Democratic nominee for president; very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS........................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied       40%    41%    42%    38%    33%    44%    43%    37%
Smwht satisfied      31     30     31     32     30     31     33     30
Smwht dissatisfied   13     13     18     10     15     12     12     14
Very dissatisfied    15     17      8     18     21     11     11     18
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      -      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............                  CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q13
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk    Clinton       Sanders
 
Very satisfied       17%    44%    47%    48%    38%    50%    70%            8%
Smwht satisfied      31     35     34     21     29     38     28            33
Smwht dissatisfied   25     10      7     11     13      5      1            26
Very dissatisfied    27      8     10     18     19      5      -            32
DK/NA                 -      3      1      2      1      3      -             1
 
 
15. How would you feel with Bernie Sanders as the Democratic nominee for president; very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS........................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied       35%    56%    38%    24%    41%    31%    33%    36%
Smwht satisfied      35     30     39     36     33     36     38     33
Smwht dissatisfied   14      8     10     18     11     15     17     11
Very dissatisfied    12      5      9     17     11     13     10     14
DK/NA                 4      1      5      5      4      5      2      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............                  CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q13
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk    Clinton       Sanders
 
Very satisfied       64%    28%    29%    25%    37%    28%     8%           71%
Smwht satisfied      22     43     33     38     33     43     44            24
Smwht dissatisfied    7     14     17     16     14     13     22             4
Very dissatisfied     7      8     19     14     14      9     20             1
DK/NA                 -      7      3      8      2      7      6             -
 
 
16. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Strongly favorable   42%    43%    44%    41%    35%    47%    44%    41%
Smwht favorable      25     26     25     24     29     22     27     24
Smwht unfavorable    10      9     12      9     11     10     11     10
Strongly unfavorable 17     19     13     18     23     13     13     20
Hvn't hrd enough      4      1      5      5      1      6      3      5
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      1      2      1      2      2      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk
 
Strongly favorable   19%    47%    50%    49%    39%    54%
Smwht favorable      24     28     27     19     26     24
Smwht unfavorable    22      9      5      8     12      5
Strongly unfavorable 29      8     14     19     21      7
Hvn't hrd enough      4      5      2      3      2      8
REFUSED/DK/NA         -      2      1      2      1      2
 
 
17. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Strongly favorable   40%    64%    47%    26%    46%    36%    42%    38%
Smwht favorable      26     24     22     29     24     28     32     22
Smwht unfavorable     6      3      4      8      6      6      8      4
Strongly unfavorable 12      5      8     16     14     11      8     14
Hvn't hrd enough     14      3     17     17      9     17      8     18
REFUSED/DK/NA         3      -      3      3      2      3      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk
 
Strongly favorable   68%    37%    31%    30%    43%    31%
Smwht favorable      15     27     29     30     29     20
Smwht unfavorable     1      7      8      6      7      5
Strongly unfavorable  4     10     19     14     13     10
Hvn't hrd enough      9     18     11     16      7     31
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      2      4      1      4
 
 
18. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, government spending, health care, foreign policy, climate change, income inequality, abortion, gun policy, education or taxes?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy and jobs     31%    20%    35%    36%    34%    30%    30%    32%
Terrorism             3      2      4      3      2      4      4      3
Immigration           3      1      1      4      3      3      -      5
Government spending   6      5      5      6      6      6      4      7
Health care          10      8     13      9      9     10      7     12
Foreign policy        8      8      7      9      7      9     11      6
Climate change        6     12      8      3      7      6      8      5
Income inequality    10     23      9      5     11     10     15      7
Abortion              2      2      2      2      1      3      2      2
Gun policy            3      6      3      2      3      4      4      3
Education             9      6      8     12     10      9      9     10
Taxes                 3      3      1      4      3      2      2      3
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      3      5      3      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk
 
Economy and jobs     31%    38%    29%    29%    29%    44%
Terrorism             1      2      4      6      4      1
Immigration           3      4      2      4      2      3
Government spending  10      4      6      5      6      5
Health care           5      8     13     11     10      7
Foreign policy        4      8     11     10     10      6
Climate change       10      5      7      4      9      -
Income inequality    12      9     10     10     12      6
Abortion              1      3      2      3      2      2
Gun policy            4      3      3      5      4      2
Education            16     10      8      3      6     20
Taxes                 1      4      2      3      3      2
DK/NA                 2      2      4      7      4      2
 
 
19. Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, who cares about your needs and problems, who is a strong leader, who is honest and trustworthy, who has the right experience, or who has the best chance of winning?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Shares values        16%    24%    15%    13%    15%    17%    19%    14%
Cares needs/problems 10     12     10      8      9     10      9     11
Strong leader        18      9     16     23     15     20     17     18
Honest/trustworthy   29     24     32     30     38     23     21     35
Right experience     21     21     20     21     16     23     24     18
Best chance/winning   5      9      6      3      6      5      9      2
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk
 
Shares values        14%    19%    16%    12%    18%    11%
Cares needs/problems 14     10      9      8      9     16
Strong leader         9     20     23     18     15     28
Honest/trustworthy   44     27     24     25     29     27
Right experience     17     18     22     25     21     18
Best chance/winning   2      4      6      9      7      1
DK/NA                 1      1      1      3      1      -
 
 
20. Which would you prefer: for the next president to have experience in politics or to be from outside the political establishment?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Experience           75%    81%    74%    74%    67%    80%    81%    70%
From outside         20     15     20     22     27     16     14     24
DK/NA                 5      4      6      4      6      4      5      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk
 
Experience           72%    75%    79%    73%    73%    82%
From outside         23     18     18     23     22     11
DK/NA                 4      7      3      4      5      7
 
 
21. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied        6%    10%     3%     5%     8%     5%     6%     5%
Smwht satisfied      41     42     42     41     42     41     45     39
Smwht dissatisfied   31     30     33     30     29     32     32     30
Very dissatisfied    22     18     22     23     20     23     17     26
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        1%     8%     7%     6%     5%    12%
Smwht satisfied      45     44     43     34     39     51
Smwht dissatisfied   34     34     24     32     34     20
Very dissatisfied    20     15     25     28     22     17
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
22. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going for you financially; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very satisfied       18%    18%    17%    17%    23%    14%    27%    10%
Smwht satisfied      44     48     38     45     40     46     48     41
Smwht dissatisfied   26     22     29     27     28     25     17     32
Very dissatisfied    11     11     14     10      9     13      8     14
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      -      2      -      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied       12%    17%    16%    23%    20%    16%
Smwht satisfied      41     42     49     42     46     36
Smwht dissatisfied   36     29     22     20     24     33
Very dissatisfied    11     12     12     10     10     14
DK/NA                 -      -      -      5      -      -
 
 

Sample and Methodology detail