October 19, 2016 - Clinton Tops Trump By 7 Points, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Most Voters Say Media Is Biased Against Trump PDF format Additional Trend Information Sample and Methodology detail Republican Donald Trump's lead among men and white voters all but vanishes as Democrat Hillary Clinton takes a 47 - 40 percent likely voter lead, with 7 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. This compares to a 45 - 40 percent Clinton lead in an October 7 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Today, men are divided with 43 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton. Women back Clinton 52 - 37 percent. White voters go 45 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton, while non-white voters back Clinton 63 - 25 percent. In a head-to-head, two-way race, Clinton tops Trump 50 - 44 percent. The news media is biased against Trump, American likely voters say 55 - 42 percent, including Republicans 88 - 8 percent and independent voters 61 - 37 percent. Democrats say 77 - 20 percent that the media is not biased. American likely voters believe 51 - 31 percent that Trump assaulted several women. Democrats believe it 84 - 5 percent and independent voters believe it 45 - 34 percent. Republicans don't believe it 56 - 22 percent. "Donald Trump made the charge, and American likely voters agree: There IS a media bias against the GOP contender," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "But does that explain his lackluster standing with his core base?" Trump does not have a sense of decency, American likely voters say 59 - 36 percent and he is not fit to be president, voters say 58 - 38 percent. Clinton does have a sense of decency, voters say 55 - 42 percent, but they are divided on whether she is fit to be president, as 47 percent say yes and 49 percent say no. "Media bias or not, Trump's character issues have ominous implications," Malloy said. "The consensus opinion is that Trump groped women and is neither fit enough nor a decent enough person to be President." From October 17 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,007 likely voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia and the nation as a public service and for research. Visit http://www.qu.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. If the presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats, Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld the Libertarians, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka the Green party candidates, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Kaine, Trump and Pence, Johnson and Weld, or Stein and Baraka? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Clinton and Kaine 47% 7% 91% 38% 41% 52% 46% 35% Trump and Pence 40 80 4 42 43 37 42 49 Johnson and Weld 7 6 3 11 10 4 7 9 Stein and Baraka 1 2 1 2 1 2 - 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - DK/NA 5 4 2 6 5 4 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Clinton and Kaine 57% 47% 43% 46% 36% 45% 41% 63% Trump and Pence 20 35 48 47 49 42 45 25 Johnson and Weld 19 8 4 1 10 6 8 4 Stein and Baraka 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - - 1 1 - DK/NA 1 6 4 5 3 5 4 5 2. If the only candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats and Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Kaine or Trump and Pence? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Clinton and Kaine 50% 10% 93% 41% 44% 55% 49% 39% Trump and Pence 44 86 4 49 48 40 46 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - DK/NA 6 4 3 8 8 4 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Clinton and Kaine 63% 51% 45% 46% 40% 48% 44% 65% Trump and Pence 32 39 50 49 55 46 50 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - DK/NA 4 8 4 5 5 5 5 7 *Results based on total sample, only asked of respondents who did not choose Clinton or Trump Q1 Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q1 assigned to initial preference. 3. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of motivation to vote in this year's presidential election; are you more motivated than usual, less motivated, or about the same as usual? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More 53% 56% 52% 54% 50% 55% 54% 52% Less 17 21 14 17 19 15 13 20 About the same 29 22 34 29 30 28 33 27 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht More 46% 48% 55% 58% 51% 55% 53% 52% Less 28 23 11 13 17 15 16 18 About the same 26 30 33 27 32 28 30 30 DK/NA - - 1 2 - 2 1 - 4. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is fit to be President of the United States or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 47% 11% 86% 41% 43% 51% 51% 36% No 49 86 11 56 54 45 48 59 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 3 5 1 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes 52% 50% 44% 47% 41% 47% 44% 56% No 45 47 52 49 58 49 53 37 DK/NA 2 4 4 4 1 4 3 6 5. Would you say that Donald Trump is fit to be President of the United States or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 38% 71% 4% 42% 43% 33% 40% 46% No 58 27 93 52 53 62 58 49 DK/NA 4 3 2 6 4 5 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes 24% 33% 44% 41% 50% 36% 43% 24% No 74 64 50 53 48 58 54 70 DK/NA 2 3 5 6 2 6 4 6 6. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has a sense of decency or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 55% 21% 92% 47% 49% 59% 52% 48% No 42 75 7 50 48 37 46 49 DK/NA 3 5 1 2 3 3 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes 73% 53% 48% 53% 45% 55% 50% 67% No 25 44 48 44 52 43 47 28 DK/NA 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 5 7. Would you say that Donald Trump has a sense of decency or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 36% 64% 7% 40% 45% 28% 35% 43% No 59 31 90 54 51 66 61 51 DK/NA 5 4 3 6 4 6 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes 24% 31% 41% 41% 47% 31% 39% 28% No 76 65 52 55 48 64 56 66 DK/NA - 4 7 4 4 5 5 6 8. As you may know, there is a recently released tape in which Donald Trump brags about sexually assaulting women. Trump has since apologized and said that these comments were simply "locker room talk". In deciding your vote for president, is what Trump said in that video a deal breaker, a big deal but not a deal breaker, or not a big deal? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Deal breaker 27% 5% 48% 24% 21% 31% 29% 21% Big deal/Nt deal br. 35 36 34 36 36 34 34 33 Not a big deal 35 59 11 38 41 29 33 43 DK/NA 4 1 7 2 2 5 4 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Deal breaker 34% 29% 24% 23% 20% 30% 25% 31% Big deal/Nt deal br. 47 36 32 30 34 32 33 37 Not a big deal 19 33 38 42 44 32 38 27 DK/NA 1 2 6 5 1 5 3 5 9. As you may know, multiple women have recently said that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances towards them without their consent. Trump has denied these allegations, calling them lies. Do you believe that Donald Trump committed these actions, or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 51% 22% 84% 45% 44% 56% 50% 45% No 31 56 5 34 37 26 31 37 DK/NA 19 22 11 21 19 18 19 18 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes 64% 55% 44% 50% 42% 53% 48% 61% No 20 28 37 31 40 29 34 22 DK/NA 16 17 19 19 18 19 18 17 10. In deciding your vote for president, are the allegations that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances towards women a deal breaker, a big deal but not a deal breaker, or not a big deal? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Deal breaker 28% 8% 52% 22% 22% 34% 30% 23% Big deal/Nt deal br. 34 32 34 39 35 34 34 33 Not a big deal 33 59 10 33 39 28 33 42 DK/NA 4 1 4 6 4 4 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Deal breaker 46% 32% 22% 21% 20% 33% 26% 35% Big deal/Nt deal br. 35 32 36 35 34 33 33 37 Not a big deal 15 32 38 40 43 32 37 23 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 11. Do you think that the news media is biased against Donald Trump or not? LIKELY VOTERS.......................................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Biased 55% 88% 20% 61% 61% 49% 51% 66% No/Not biased 42 8 77 37 36 47 45 32 DK/NA 3 4 3 2 2 4 4 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Biased 60% 51% 56% 52% 66% 51% 58% 45% No/Not biased 39 48 39 45 32 45 39 51 DK/NA 2 1 5 3 1 4 3 5
