October 5, 2017 - de Blasio Has 61% Of New York City Likely Voters, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 58% Approve Of Mayor And 57% Say Reelect Him PDF format Sample and Methodology detail New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is leaving his challengers in the dust as he takes 61 percent of likely voters in his reelection bid, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Assembly member Nicole Malliotakis, the Republican challenger, has 17 percent, with 8 percent for Reform Party candidate Sal Albanese and 6 percent for independent candidate Bo Dietl, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. This survey of likely voters can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters. New York City likely voters are divided along racial lines: De Blasio gets 44 percent of white voters, with 32 percent for Malliotakis, 11 percent for Albanese and 5 percent for Dietl; Black voters go 84 percent for de Blasio, 5 percent for Dietl, 4 percent for Malliotakis and 1 percent for Albanese; Hispanic voters go 65 percent for the mayor, 10 percent each for Albanese and Dietl and 9 percent for Malliotakis. Malliotakis leads 47 - 34 percent among likely voters in Staten Island, while de Blasio sweeps the other boroughs by wide margins. The economy is the most important issue in deciding how they will vote for mayor, 21 percent of voters say, with 20 percent each for education and crime; 17 percent say housing and 10 percent cite homelessness. "With a solid grip on four out of five boroughs and his challengers still distant also rans, Mayor Bill de Blasio would seem to be gliding toward reelection in about four weeks," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "The racial divide, which has bedeviled Mayor de Blasio since his first day in office, continues even as he finishes his first term." "The economy, education and crime stack up evenly in New Yorkers' worry list." New York City likely voters give de Blasio a 56 - 36 percent favorability rating. His challengers remain largely unknown: 64 percent of likely voters don't know enough about Malliotakis to form an opinion of her; 66 percent don't know enough about Dietl; 67 percent don't know enough about Albanese. De Blasio gets a 58 - 36 percent job approval rating. Approval is 83 - 10 percent among black voters and 63 - 31 percent among Hispanic voters, while white voters disapprove 56 - 38 percent. The Mayor deserves reelection, likely voters say 57 - 37 percent. Grading the job de Blasio is doing as mayor: 14 percent of likely voters give him an A; 36 percent give him a B; 23 percent say C; 10 percent give a D; 15 percent give an F. President Trump, Gov. Cuomo Approval Ratings New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo soars among New York City likely voters with a 70 - 24 percent approval rating, including 53 - 40 percent among Republicans. These same voters disapprove 78 - 18 percent of the job President Donald Trump is doing. Job approval ratings for other leaders are: 59 - 14 percent for Comptroller Scott Stringer; 64 - 16 percent for Police Commissioner James O'Neill; 51 - 20 percent for Public Advocate Letitia James; 43 - 21 percent for City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito; 44 - 32 percent for Schools Chancellor Carmen Farina. From September 27 - October 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 731 New York City likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points, including the design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys nationwide, and in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and Colorado as a public service and for research. Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, Nicole Malliotakis the Republican, Sal Albanese the Reform Party candidate, and Bo Dietl running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Bill de Blasio the Democrat, Nicole Malliotakis the Republican, Sal Albanese the Reform Party candidate, or Bo Dietl running as an independent candidate? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio 61% 25% 78% 39% 59% 63% 44% 84% 65% Malliotakis 17 59 7 25 18 15 32 4 9 Albanese 8 8 6 11 9 7 11 1 10 Dietl 6 7 3 11 6 6 5 5 10 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 1 - - DK/NA 8 1 5 12 7 8 8 7 5 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ de Blasio 69% 68% 68% 48% 34% 59% 67% 65% 55% Malliotakis 9 14 12 23 47 11 15 17 23 Albanese 6 7 10 7 7 4 8 7 10 Dietl 11 2 2 10 10 11 6 3 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - 3 - 1 1 - DK/NA 5 8 7 11 - 14 4 7 6 2. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 56% 22% 70% 38% 54% 58% 36% 82% 59% Unfavorable 36 71 23 53 41 32 57 14 26 Hvn't hrd enough 4 7 3 4 3 4 3 1 9 REFUSED 4 - 4 6 2 5 4 3 5 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 72% 62% 58% 45% 31% 52% 60% 61% 52% Unfavorable 25 28 35 46 69 39 33 35 40 Hvn't hrd enough 2 6 4 3 - 5 4 2 3 REFUSED 2 4 4 6 - 5 3 2 5 3. Is your opinion of Nicole Malliotakis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 18% 45% 9% 27% 24% 14% 29% 6% 15% Unfavorable 17 - 23 11 15 18 19 14 9 Hvn't hrd enough 64 55 68 62 61 67 51 80 75 REFUSED 1 - 1 - - 1 1 - 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 13% 16% 10% 24% 57% 10% 20% 20% 24% Unfavorable 8 17 25 15 15 12 24 17 11 Hvn't hrd enough 79 67 64 60 28 78 56 62 65 REFUSED - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 4. Is your opinion of Bo Dietl favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 15% 18% 13% 18% 19% 12% 13% 14% 21% Unfavorable 18 10 20 20 19 17 22 15 8 Hvn't hrd enough 66 72 67 61 62 70 64 69 70 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 27% 11% 11% 12% 32% 15% 15% 13% 21% Unfavorable 8 17 25 19 13 12 21 17 18 Hvn't hrd enough 64 71 64 67 55 74 63 68 60 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - - - 1 1 5. Is your opinion of Sal Albanese favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 18% 17% 19% 19% 24% 14% 21% 11% 22% Unfavorable 14 17 14 11 14 14 16 10 14 Hvn't hrd enough 67 66 66 69 61 71 61 78 63 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 12% 18% 18% 24% 20% 17% 19% 19% 20% Unfavorable 8 12 20 14 15 7 15 15 18 Hvn't hrd enough 79 69 62 61 65 76 65 65 60 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 - - 1 1 2 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Mayor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 58% 23% 73% 38% 53% 62% 38% 83% 63% Disapprove 36 76 21 58 41 32 56 10 31 DK/NA 6 1 6 4 6 6 5 8 6 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 67% 65% 62% 46% 32% 54% 61% 61% 53% Disapprove 25 29 33 49 65 41 32 33 42 DK/NA 8 6 5 5 4 5 6 6 5 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James O'Neill is handling his job as Police Commissioner? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 64% 67% 67% 61% 66% 63% 66% 61% 65% Disapprove 16 18 14 21 18 14 14 19 16 DK/NA 20 15 20 18 16 23 20 20 19 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 59% 64% 66% 64% 75% 51% 71% 66% 67% Disapprove 20 14 15 17 15 27 17 15 11 DK/NA 21 22 19 19 10 22 12 19 22 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Carmen Farina is handling her job as New York City Schools Chancellor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 44% 34% 53% 29% 42% 46% 39% 54% 45% Disapprove 32 40 24 47 34 31 32 28 33 DK/NA 24 26 23 25 25 24 29 18 22 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 45% 43% 46% 40% 52% 40% 52% 43% 40% Disapprove 33 27 31 37 35 36 31 31 31 DK/NA 22 30 23 23 13 24 17 26 29 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Letitia James is handling her job as Public Advocate? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 51% 25% 61% 38% 54% 49% 40% 72% 52% Disapprove 20 42 11 30 23 17 24 11 22 DK/NA 29 33 27 33 23 34 37 17 26 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 52% 56% 54% 45% 37% 48% 56% 54% 44% Disapprove 21 15 20 21 32 22 17 22 20 DK/NA 27 29 26 34 32 30 27 24 35 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Melissa Mark-Viverito is handling her job as City Council Speaker? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 43% 28% 52% 31% 45% 42% 32% 55% 51% Disapprove 21 36 13 33 25 17 29 10 21 DK/NA 36 36 36 36 30 41 39 35 27 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 43% 43% 49% 42% 27% 50% 47% 48% 32% Disapprove 26 12 20 25 34 10 21 23 28 DK/NA 31 45 31 34 39 40 32 29 40 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Stringer is handling his job as City Comptroller? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 59% 51% 63% 53% 60% 58% 61% 62% 59% Disapprove 14 18 12 18 19 11 15 18 4 DK/NA 27 31 25 29 21 31 24 20 37 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 62% 57% 62% 57% 59% 45% 58% 68% 61% Disapprove 9 10 18 18 20 20 18 10 12 DK/NA 29 33 20 26 21 35 24 22 27 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 70% 53% 79% 61% 67% 74% 61% 78% 84% Disapprove 24 40 18 30 28 21 32 17 14 DK/NA 5 7 3 9 6 5 7 5 2 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 76% 72% 71% 67% 57% 64% 69% 78% 70% Disapprove 22 22 25 24 38 31 25 18 26 DK/NA 2 6 4 8 5 5 6 4 4 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 18% 69% 5% 24% 20% 16% 30% 3% 14% Disapprove 78 26 92 71 76 80 67 94 78 DK/NA 4 5 3 5 4 4 4 3 7 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Approve 17% 19% 8% 19% 48% 15% 12% 17% 26% Disapprove 79 77 87 76 50 82 84 79 69 DK/NA 4 4 5 5 1 3 5 3 5 14. What letter grade would you give Bill de Blasio for the job he has been doing as mayor; A, B, C, D, or F? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A 14% 5% 18% 12% 12% 17% 3% 26% 20% B 36 12 45 25 35 37 32 46 36 C 23 20 24 23 23 23 22 21 25 D 10 21 6 15 10 10 17 4 5 F 15 38 6 25 20 10 25 2 11 DK/NA 2 3 2 - 1 3 2 1 3 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ A 23% 19% 7% 14% 3% 17% 17% 11% 12% B 39 37 42 31 21 34 35 40 34 C 18 23 32 17 23 22 25 26 18 D 10 10 9 11 10 12 9 7 12 F 6 10 9 25 42 11 13 15 20 DK/NA 4 1 1 3 - 5 - - 4 15. Do you feel that Bill de Blasio deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Deserves 57% 25% 71% 39% 56% 59% 36% 85% 62% No/Does not 37 74 23 57 40 35 57 11 34 DK/NA 5 1 6 4 4 6 7 4 4 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes/Deserves 72% 63% 62% 42% 31% 55% 59% 62% 53% No/Does not 24 32 31 52 68 42 36 33 40 DK/NA 4 5 7 5 1 3 5 5 7 17. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote for mayor this year: the economy, education, crime, housing, homelessness, or public transportation? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Economy 21% 32% 19% 21% 25% 18% 21% 23% 16% Education 20 17 21 20 17 23 18 18 26 Crime 20 27 19 18 21 19 16 20 25 Housing 17 12 19 16 17 17 18 20 13 Homelessness 10 6 10 12 9 11 11 10 13 Public transp 8 2 11 7 10 7 13 6 6 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 1 - DK/NA 2 4 1 4 1 3 2 1 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Economy 13% 21% 20% 28% 26% 26% 14% 24% 21% Education 22 19 15 27 21 25 26 13 22 Crime 30 21 16 16 25 14 25 19 19 Housing 20 18 22 10 9 17 16 21 14 Homelessness 6 12 12 7 14 4 11 12 11 Public transp 5 7 14 8 2 13 8 9 7 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) - 1 2 1 1 1 - 1 3 DK/NA 4 1 1 3 1 - 1 2 4
