New Yorkers Want Bloomberg For Mayor, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But Not Enough To Change Term Limits
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Michael Bloomberg 32 41 17 7 3
Rudolph Giuliani 23 29 22 11 13
David Dinkins 6 24 28 16 15
Edward Koch 19 33 25 6 3
"Bloomberg is at the head of the class, as voters give him higher grades than his
predecessors. His overall mark matches his current stratospheric job rating. Mayors Giuliani and
Koch get fairly high grades. Mayor Dinkins rates well only among black voters," Carroll said.
New York City voters approve 60 - 27 percent of the job Police Commissioner Kelly is
doing. Approval ratings for other city officials are:
- 51 - 13 percent for Comptroller Thompson;
- 44 - 25 percent for Council Speaker Quinn;
- 45 - 17 percent for Public Advocate Gotbaum;
- 44 - 37 percent for Schools Chancellor Joel Klein;
From July 10 - 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 999 New York City registered voters,
with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and
nationwide as a public service and for research.
For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 71% 76% 74% 69% 75% 64% 70%
Disapprove 22 19 21 24 20 25 26
DK/NA 6 5 6 7 6 10 4
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 77% 64% 76% 72% 68% 73% 70%
Disapprove 18 26 19 24 24 23 22
DK/NA 5 10 5 4 8 4 8
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? * also 75% on 1/16/07 & 11/17/2005
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 May 7 Mar 12 Jan 9 Nov 19 Mar 12 Jul 2
2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2008* 2003
Approve 71 70 75 73 71 75 31
Disapprove 22 22 17 20 21 17 60
DK/NA 6 8 8 7 8 8 8
2. Now I'm going to name seven people who might run for mayor next year. After I read all seven names, please tell me which one you would most like to see elected mayor in 2009. Here are the choices: Mayor Michael Bloomberg, Brooklyn Borough President Marty Markowitz, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly, Congressman Anthony Weiner, City Council Speaker Christine Quinn, City Comptroller William Thompson or Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Bloomberg 38% 43% 35% 43% 43% 24% 43%
Markowitz 11 7 12 12 7 25 10
Kelly 12 27 8 12 17 7 8
Weiner 10 6 11 12 10 5 9
Quinn 7 1 10 2 7 7 6
Thompson 7 6 8 5 3 18 5
Gotbaum 4 2 5 4 3 6 7
DK/NA 10 8 10 10 10 8 13
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Bloomberg 33% 27% 48% 42% 46% 40% 36%
Markowitz 2 27 5 7 4 9 13
Kelly 16 15 4 12 23 13 12
Weiner 10 9 9 12 6 10 10
Quinn 7 7 11 3 5 7 7
Thompson 14 6 6 6 5 9 6
Gotbaum 10 1 7 2 5 3 6
DK/NA 9 7 10 16 6 9 12
TREND: Now I'm going to name seven people who might run for mayor next year. After I read all seven names, please tell me which one you would most like to see elected mayor in 2009. Here are the choices: Mayor Michael Bloomberg, Brooklyn Borough President Marty Markowitz, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly, Congressman Anthony Weiner, City Council Speaker Christine Quinn, City Comptroller William Thompson, and Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum? na = not asked
Jul 16 May 7 Mar 13
2008 2008 2008
Bloomberg 38 na na
Markowitz 11 13 14
Kelly 12 23 22
Weiner 10 16 14
Quinn 7 10 13
Thompson 7 10 8
Gotbaum 4 6 8
DK/NA 10 22 21
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 60% 79% 53% 68% 76% 39% 57%
Disapprove 27 13 33 20 12 50 32
DK/NA 13 9 14 12 13 11 11
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 58% 56% 58% 64% 73% 67% 54%
Disapprove 38 25 28 25 14 24 30
DK/NA 3 18 14 11 13 9 16
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? * also 70% on 2/3/06
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 May 7&8 Mar 13 Jan 9 Nov 19 Mar 9 Jan 16
2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2006 * 2007
Approve 60 59 62 60 55 70 52
Disapprove 27 30 28 23 30 17 34
DK/NA 13 11 10 16 16 13 14
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joel Klein is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 44% 49% 44% 45% 42% 48% 46%
Disapprove 37 30 38 36 35 39 37
DK/NA 19 20 18 19 23 13 17
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 45% 43% 47% 44% 43% 48% 41%
Disapprove 40 37 32 38 41 33 40
DK/NA 16 21 20 18 17 19 19
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joel Klein is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 May 7 Mar 13 Jan 9 Nov 21 Feb 26 Mar 15
2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2003 2007
Approve 44 37 40 40 44 46 33
Disapprove 37 41 39 37 36 27 43
DK/NA 19 22 21 24 20 28 24
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 45% 27% 50% 43% 42% 47% 47%
Disapprove 17 30 14 17 18 21 8
DK/NA 38 43 36 40 40 32 45
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 43% 46% 43% 47% 42% 44% 46%
Disapprove 23 15 19 15 16 19 16
DK/NA 34 40 38 38 41 37 39
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 May 7 Mar 13 Jan 9 Nov 19 May 7 Feb 26
2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2008 2003
Approve 45 48 45 44 40 48 34
Disapprove 17 18 18 18 19 18 17
DK/NA 38 33 37 38 40 33 49
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 44% 40% 48% 41% 42% 45% 41%
Disapprove 25 34 21 27 26 24 23
DK/NA 31 27 30 33 32 31 37
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 43% 46% 48% 41% 39% 46% 42%
Disapprove 30 21 24 28 22 28 22
DK/NA 27 33 29 31 39 25 36
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 May 7 Mar 13 Jan 9 Nov 19 Mar 14 May 7
2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2008
Approve 44 43 48 48 46 51 43
Disapprove 25 30 15 14 16 12 30
DK/NA 31 27 37 38 37 37 27
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 51% 49% 52% 53% 45% 60% 49%
Disapprove 13 13 13 13 13 10 18
DK/NA 36 38 36 35 43 30 33
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 59% 49% 52% 50% 46% 55% 48%
Disapprove 9 13 14 14 18 14 13
DK/NA 32 38 34 36 36 31 39
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller? * also 51% 5/7/08
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 May 7 Mar 13 Jan 9 Nov 19 Jul 16 Feb 26
2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2008* 2003
Approve 51 51 44 48 45 51 35
Disapprove 13 16 11 14 15 13 13
DK/NA 36 33 46 38 41 36 52
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 43% 38% 49% 38% 42% 45% 46%
Disapprove 38 46 33 43 38 36 39
DK/NA 18 16 17 19 20 19 15
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 35% 43% 44% 51% 36% 42% 44%
Disapprove 50 37 35 36 39 42 35
DK/NA 15 20 21 13 25 15 21
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 May 7 Mar 13 Jan 9 Nov 19 Mar 13 Jul 16
2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2008 2008
Approve 43 47 50 46 45 50 43
Disapprove 38 38 29 31 32 29 38
DK/NA 18 16 21 23 23 21 18
9. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Very satisfied 9% 15% 6% 12% 14% 4% 7%
Smwht satisfied 48 53 51 46 54 37 42
Smwht dissatisfied 26 18 27 27 21 35 29
Very dissatisfied 15 12 16 14 10 22 20
DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 2
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Very satisfied 7% 8% 11% 8% 12% 12% 6%
Smwht satisfied 46 48 58 43 37 51 46
Smwht dissatisfied 26 24 22 31 39 24 28
Very dissatisfied 21 17 8 18 12 12 18
DK/NA - 3 1 1 - 1 1
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Jul 16 May 8 Nov 19 Jul 25 Jul 12 Apr 12 Mar 8
2008 2008 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006
Very satisfied 9 8 12 10 16 12 14
Smwht satisfied 48 47 53 54 51 56 54
Smwht dissatisfied 26 28 22 23 22 22 20
Very dissatisfied 15 16 11 12 10 9 12
DK/NA 1 - 2 1 1 1 1
10. How would you rate the job Michael Bloomberg has done as mayor? IF NEEDED: Using an A, B, C, D and F grading scale like they do in school, please rate the job Michael Bloomberg has done as mayor of New York City?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
A 32% 34% 29% 40% 40% 22% 31%
B 41 37 47 32 40 42 41
C 17 20 15 18 13 23 18
D 7 4 7 6 5 11 6
F 3 2 2 3 3 2 3
DK/NA 1 3 - - - - 2
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
A 28% 31% 34% 33% 33% 32% 32%
B 49 37 45 40 34 46 37
C 17 21 14 15 18 14 20
D 4 9 4 8 8 5 8
F 2 2 2 3 7 3 3
DK/NA - 1 - 1 - 1 1
11. How would you rate the job Rudy Giuliani did as mayor? IF NEEDED: Using an A, B, C, D and F grading scale like they do in school, please rate the job Rudy Giuliani did as mayor of New York City?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
A 23% 59% 12% 29% 32% 11% 17%
B 29 26 31 29 29 24 32
C 22 10 28 17 20 25 25
D 11 1 13 11 9 16 10
F 13 1 15 14 9 22 12
DK/NA 2 3 2 1 1 2 4
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
A 22% 25% 19% 22% 39% 27% 21%
B 21 26 31 35 28 31 28
C 31 21 20 21 16 20 23
D 10 11 13 8 12 9 12
F 13 14 15 12 5 12 14
DK/NA 1 3 2 2 - 1 2
12. How would you rate the job Ed Koch did as mayor?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
A 19% 21% 18% 20% 21% 14% 27%
B 33 39 33 31 40 30 23
C 25 22 25 28 19 30 29
D 6 3 6 6 6 6 5
F 3 1 3 3 2 4 1
DK/NA 15 13 15 13 12 16 15
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
A 23% 14% 20% 16% 38% 20% 18%
B 34 32 33 35 31 33 33
C 28 24 22 27 23 26 24
D 3 7 4 8 3 6 5
F 5 2 3 3 - 3 2
DK/NA 8 21 18 11 6 11 18
13. How would you rate the job David Dinkins did as mayor?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
A 6% - 9% 1% 3% 13% 4%
B 24 6 29 21 13 41 25
C 28 28 28 28 29 27 30
D 16 23 16 16 21 8 15
F 15 37 6 24 23 3 10
DK/NA 11 6 13 10 10 8 16
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
A 6% 5% 8% 4% 1% 2% 8%
B 28 23 26 22 19 19 28
C 33 26 22 29 39 29 26
D 14 13 19 18 20 20 14
F 12 18 13 15 18 22 10
DK/NA 7 14 11 12 4 7 14
14. Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose setting limits on the number of years elected officials can hold office?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Favor 71% 68% 73% 70% 69% 77% 60%
Oppose 23 27 21 27 27 18 30
DK/NA 6 5 6 3 4 6 10
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Favor 75% 70% 67% 75% 72% 70% 72%
Oppose 20 23 27 22 24 25 22
DK/NA 5 7 6 4 4 5 6
TREND: Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose setting limits on the number of years elected officials can hold office?
Jul 16 Mar 1
2008 2001
Favor 71 67
Oppose 23 28
DK/NA 6 5
15. Currently, there is an 8 year term limit for all elected New York City officials. Do you favor or oppose extending this limit to 12 years?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Favor 32% 45% 31% 33% 41% 22% 32%
Oppose 65 53 66 63 56 76 62
DK/NA 3 2 3 4 3 2 6
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Favor 24% 34% 42% 27% 26% 36% 29%
Oppose 76 60 55 71 68 61 68
DK/NA - 6 3 1 6 3 3
TREND: Currently, there is an 8 year term limit for all elected New York City officials. Do you favor or oppose extending this limit to 12 years?
Jul 16 Mar 1
2008 2001
Favor 32 34
Oppose 65 63
DK/NA 3 4
16. As you may know, Michael Bloomberg will have served 8 years as Mayor by the end of 2009. If Mayor Bloomberg commits to running for a third term as mayor, would you favor or oppose extending the 8 year time limit so you could vote for him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Favor 38% 47% 38% 39% 46% 26% 42%
Oppose 56 50 58 53 47 67 55
DK/NA 5 2 4 8 7 7 3
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Favor 31% 37% 44% 39% 38% 40% 37%
Oppose 65 55 51 57 59 55 58
DK/NA 4 8 4 4 4 5 5
17. Would you favor or oppose extending the 8 year time limit so your local City Council member can serve four more years?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Favor 26% 22% 29% 24% 30% 27% 22%
Oppose 66 69 63 68 60 68 71
DK/NA 8 9 7 8 10 5 7
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Favor 23% 23% 31% 25% 34% 31% 23%
Oppose 70 66 61 69 64 64 68
DK/NA 6 11 7 6 2 5 10
18. If term limits are altered or abolished and Mayor Bloomberg could run again, which comes closest to your feelings: A) Bloomberg has a lot of good programs he wants to finish; he should get four more years in office OR B) Changing the rules in the middle of the game is unfair; someone else should have the chance to be mayor?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
A) Four more years in
office 40% 43% 38% 45% 48% 31% 34%
B) Changing the rules
is unfair 55 51 57 50 47 67 59
DK/NA 5 6 5 5 5 3 7
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
A) Four more years in
office 34% 38% 46% 40% 39% 42% 38%
B) Changing the rules
is unfair 61 55 51 54 60 54 56
DK/NA 4 6 3 7 1 4 6
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Approve 56% 63% 54% 59% 61% 56% 47%
Disapprove 32 21 34 31 25 37 38
DK/NA 12 16 12 10 14 7 15
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Approve 57% 59% 55% 56% 52% 61% 52%
Disapprove 34 30 29 33 40 26 37
DK/NA 10 11 15 11 9 13 11
HvKidsPubSch
Approve 52%
Disapprove 38
DK/NA 10
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jul 16 Jul 26 Mar 15 Mar 8 Sep 22 Jul 16 May 7
2008 2007 2007 2006 2005 2008 2003
Approve 56 52 50 54 52 56 35
Disapprove 32 33 39 34 33 32 52
DK/NA 12 14 11 13 14 12 12
20. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Satisfied 29% 30% 29% 31% 28% 23% 31%
Not satisfied 59 55 61 56 56 70 58
DK/NA 12 15 11 13 16 7 11
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Satisfied 20% 28% 32% 34% 26% 32% 27%
Not satisfied 74 59 52 53 70 56 62
DK/NA 6 12 16 13 4 13 11
HvKidsPubSch
Satisfied 38%
Not satisfied 58
DK/NA 3
TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied? * - also 12% on 2/5/04, 3/27/02, 4/20/00, 3/31/97
Highest Lowest
Satis Satis
Jul 16 Nov 21 Jul 26 Mar 15 Mar 8 Jul 16 Feb 5
2008 2007 2007 2007 2006 2008 2004 *
Satisfied 29 27 25 19 21 29 12
Not satisfied 59 55 63 64 67 59 74
DK/NA 12 18 12 16 12 12 13
21. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Satisfied 43% 48% 41% 48% 48% 32% 45%
Not satisfied 45 40 46 38 35 61 45
DK/NA 12 12 12 14 17 8 10
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Satisfied 30% 43% 43% 47% 60% 44% 42%
Not satisfied 58 46 39 42 34 41 47
DK/NA 12 11 18 11 6 15 11
HvKidsPubSch
Satisfied 53%
Not satisfied 45
DK/NA 3
TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?
Highest Lowest
Satis Satis
Jul 16 Nov 21 Jul 26 Mar 15 Mar 8 Jul 16 Feb 5
2008 2007 2007 2007 2006 2008 2004
Satisfied 43 40 38 34 36 43 27
Not satisfied 45 40 46 47 46 45 56
DK/NA 12 20 16 19 18 12 17
22. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg's take-over of the public schools has been a success or failure?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Success 54% 63% 53% 57% 56% 51% 60%
Failure 26 18 28 21 24 28 27
DK/NA 20 19 19 22 20 21 14
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Success 60% 46% 60% 56% 54% 62% 48%
Failure 25 25 21 29 32 21 30
DK/NA 15 29 19 15 14 17 22
HvKidsPubSch
Success 57%
Failure 26
DK/NA 17
TREND: Do you think Mayor Bloomberg's take-over of the public schools has been a success or failure?
Jul 16 Nov 21 Jul 26 Mar 15
2008 2007 2007 2007
Success 54 47 51 39
Failure 26 25 27 34
DK/NA 20 27 22 27
23. When Michael Bloomberg leaves office, do you think that the next mayor should retain complete control of the public schools, should share control with an independent school board, or should give up all control of the public schools?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Retain control 29% 44% 23% 36% 31% 27% 32%
Share control 55 42 63 50 54 59 49
Give up control 8 8 7 7 6 7 11
DK/NA 7 6 7 6 9 7 8
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Retain control 32% 29% 34% 24% 25% 36% 24%
Share control 57 53 50 58 68 49 60
Give up control 7 8 6 10 5 8 8
DK/NA 3 9 9 8 2 7 8
HvKidsPubSch
Retain control 23%
Share control 64
Give up control 4
DK/NA 9
TREND: When Michael Bloomberg leaves office, do you think that the next mayor should retain complete control of the public schools, should share control with an independent school board, or should give up all control of the public schools?
Jul 16 Jul 26
2008 2007
Retain control 29 28
Share control 55 51
Give up control 8 9
DK/NA 7 11
24. As you may know, there was a proposal to use congestion pricing to reduce traffic in New York City by charging a fee for vehicles that drive south of 60th Street in Manhattan. The New York State legislature did not pass this plan. Would you like to see the city try again to get a congestion pricing plan passed?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Yes 39% 41% 39% 40% 45% 35% 29%
No 58 53 58 58 52 62 64
DK/NA 4 6 3 2 3 3 7
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Yes 31% 34% 52% 38% 31% 47% 31%
No 65 62 43 59 67 51 64
DK/NA 4 4 5 3 3 2 5
25. As you may know, the New York State legislature is divided. The Democrats control the Assembly while the Republicans control the State Senate. Regardless of your personal political leaning, do you think this split control of the state legislature has been a good thing or a bad thing?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp
Good thing 43% 57% 41% 44% 42% 45% 42%
Bad thing 43 33 48 40 44 45 45
DK/NA 13 10 11 17 14 10 13
Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom
Good thing 51% 44% 33% 46% 52% 46% 41%
Bad thing 36 42 53 42 39 45 42
DK/NA 14 13 15 12 9 9 17
26. (Republicans and Independents leaning Republican) There has been talk that Mayor Bloomberg would like to install new leadership in the state Republican party. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
REPUBLICANS
Tot
Good idea 64%
Bad idea 18
DK/NA 18