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75% Of Voters Say Allow Witnesses In Senate Impeachment Trial, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 53% Say President Trump Not Telling Truth About Ukraine

On week two of the Senate impeachment trial of President Donald Trump, registered voters say 75 - 20 percent that witnesses should be allowed to testify in the impeachment trial, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. Support for witness testimony includes 49 percent of Republicans, 95 percent of Democrats, and 75 percent of independents.

"There may be heated debate among lawmakers about whether witnesses should testify at the impeachment trial of President Trump, but it's a different story outside the Beltway. Three-quarters of American voters say witnesses should be allowed to testify, and that includes nearly half of Republican voters," said Quinnipiac University Poll Analyst Mary Snow.

On the question of whether President Trump should be removed from office, voters remain divided, as 48 percent say the Senate should not remove President Trump from office, while 47 percent say the Senate should. That compares to a January 13 poll, conducted prior to the start of the Senate impeachment trial, in which 48 percent said the president should not be removed from office, while 46 percent said he should.

Among voters who say President Trump should not be removed from office, 77 percent say the president did nothing wrong in his actions involving Ukraine, while 14 percent say he did something wrong.

The overwhelming majority of voters who have an opinion on whether the Senate should vote to remove President Trump or not, 89 percent, say they've already made up their minds, while 10 percent say they might change their minds.

PRESIDENT TRUMP AND UKRAINE

More than half of voters, 53 - 40 percent, say President Trump is not telling the truth about his actions involving Ukraine. There are sharp divides along party lines, with 89 percent of Republicans saying the president is telling the truth and 92 percent of Democrats saying he is not telling the truth. More independents, 56 percent, believe President Trump is not telling the truth, compared to the 33 percent who say he is telling the truth.

A majority of voters, 57 percent, say they would like President Trump to provide more details about his actions involving Ukraine, while 38 percent say they are satisfied with the explanation he has provided.

More than half of voters, 54 percent, believe President Trump abused his power regarding his actions involving Ukraine, while 42 percent say he did not.

A similar 52 percent think that President Trump obstructed Congress regarding its investigation of his actions involving Ukraine, while 42 percent think he did not.

Just over half of American voters, 52 percent, think the Trump administration's withholding of U.S. aid to Ukraine was not justified, while 34 percent say it was justified.

Voters continue to tune into news about impeachment, as 57 percent say they are paying a lot of attention. This compares to 59 percent who said they were paying a lot of attention in mid-December 2019, before the Senate trial began.

Despite the ongoing impeachment trial, President Trump matches his highest job approval rating since taking office, as 43 percent of voters approve of the job he's doing and 52 percent disapprove. Republicans approve 94 - 4 percent, while Democrats disapprove 95 - 3 percent and independents disapprove 53 - 38 percent.

SENATE REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS ON IMPEACHMENT PROCESS

Voters don't think senators on either side of the aisle are open minded about the impeachment process. Only 16 percent of voters say Senate Republicans are open minded about the impeachment process, while 76 percent say Senate Republicans have already made up their minds. Only 15 percent of voters say Senate Democrats are open minded about the impeachment process, while 79 percent say Senate Democrats have already made up their minds.

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

With days to go before the Iowa caucuses, former Vice President Joe Biden holds a modest lead in the Democratic primary for president. Biden gets 26 percent of the vote among Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic, while Senator Bernie Sanders gets 21 percent and Senator Elizabeth Warren receives 15 percent. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg receives 8 percent, Senator Amy Klobuchar gets 7 percent, former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg receives 6 percent, and businessman Andrew Yang gets 3 percent. No other candidate tops 2 percent.

In a January 13 poll, prior to the last debate, Biden had 25 percent of the vote, Sanders received 19 percent, Warren got 16 percent, Buttigieg had 8 percent, and Bloomberg got 6 percent.

"After months of leading national polls, Joe Biden's support is holding steady - but he no longer sits comfortably at the top of the Democratic presidential pack. Bernie Sanders' support breaks into the 20's for the first time, and Elizabeth Warren remains in third place. In their rearview mirror, small but steady moves are changing the line-up of candidates in single digits. There's not much daylight between Michael Bloomberg, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg as they are within a 2 point spread of one another," Snow added.

There is plenty of room for movement in the Democratic primary race as 55 percent of Democrats and independents who lean Democratic say they might change their mind about their vote, while 43 percent say their mind is made up.

Motivation to vote in the primary is sky high as two thirds of these voters, 67 percent, say they are extremely motivated to vote in the primary, 18 percent say they are very motivated, and 12 percent say they are somewhat motivated. Only 3 percent say they are not so motivated or not motivated at all.

A little more than three quarters, 78 percent, say they are choosing a candidate with their head, while 13 percent say they are choosing a candidate with their heart.

Less than half of these voters, 46 percent, say the Democratic primary debates have influenced their decision in choosing a candidate, while 51 percent say the debates haven't influenced their vote.

Only 21 percent say the results of the Iowa caucuses will influence their decision about which Democratic presidential candidate to support, while 73 percent say those results will not influence their decision.

Although the candidates have stepped up their criticism of each other, Democrats and Democratic leaners don't appear concerned about the party ultimately unifying behind a candidate, as 79 percent say the Democratic party will unite behind whoever wins the 2020 Democratic primary, while 14 percent say it will not.

Looking at the candidates' strengths, Biden does best on electability and leadership, while Sanders wins on honesty and empathy, and Warren gets the top spot on intelligence. Taking a closer look:

  • Best chance of winning against Donald Trump: Biden 44 percent, Sanders 19 percent, Bloomberg 9 percent
  • Best leader: Biden 31 percent, Sanders 18 percent, Warren 17 percent
  • Cares the most about people like you: Sanders 28 percent, Biden 20 percent, Warren 19 percent
  • Most honest: Sanders 26 percent, Biden 17 percent, Warren 14 percent
  • Most intelligent: Warren 26 percent, Buttigieg 14 percent, Biden 13 percent
  • Best policy ideas: Sanders 22 percent, Warren 21 percent, Biden 18 percent

THE SUPER BOWL

Slightly more American adults will be rooting for the Kansas City Chiefs than for the San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl, as 26 percent say they want the Chiefs to win, 21 percent want the 49ers to win, and 50 percent say they don't care who wins.

Most Americans, 56 percent, say they will be watching the Super Bowl, while 41 percent say they will not be watching the game.

From January 22 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,905 self-identified registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points and 2,170 adults with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points. The survey includes 827 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

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