3 Out Of 4 Republicans Want To See Trump Play A Big Role In GOP, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 68% Of Americans Say Trump Didn't Do Enough To Stop Insurrection
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Two days after the U.S. Senate voted to acquit former President Donald Trump in his second impeachment trial, three-quarters of Republicans say, 75 - 21 percent, that they would like to see Trump play a prominent role in the Republican Party, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of 1,056 adults released today. Overall, Americans say 60 - 34 percent that they do not want Trump to play a prominent role in the Republican Party. Democrats say 96 - 3 percent and independents say 61 - 32 percent they do not want to see Trump playing a prominent role in the GOP.
A majority of Americans, 55 - 43 percent, say Trump should not be allowed to hold elected office in the future. Republicans say 87 - 11 percent that Trump should be allowed to hold elected office in the future.
"He may be down, but he is certainly not out of favor with the GOP. Twice impeached, vilified by Democrats in the trial, and virtually silenced by social media... despite it all, Donald Trump keeps a solid foothold in the Republican Party," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
SENATE IMPEACHMENT TRIAL
After the Senate began conducting the impeachment trial, Americans were asked between February 11th and 14th whether they support or oppose convicting Trump. About half of Americans say 51 - 44 percent that they support convicting Trump. Democrats say 92 - 6 percent they support conviction, independents are divided with 50 percent supporting conviction and 44 percent opposing, while Republicans say 89 - 9 percent they oppose convicting Trump.
"The history books may recount the Senate choosing not to deliver a lethal blow to Trump's political career. But the second paragraph may well underscore the voting public's willingness to let that happen," added Malloy.
RESPONSIBILITY FOR VIOLENCE
More than half of Americans, 54 - 43 percent, hold the view that Trump is responsible for inciting violence against the government of the United States. When asked a follow-up question: 45 percent of Americans believe Trump is responsible and should face criminal charges, while 6 percent believe he is responsible but should not face criminal charges, and 43 percent say Trump is not responsible for inciting violence.
The public is divided about censuring former President Trump in the U.S. Senate for his actions after the 2020 presidential election, as 44 percent support it, 44 percent oppose, and 12 percent didn't offer an opinion.
Americans were asked whether they think individuals would have still stormed the U.S. Capitol on January 6th even if Donald Trump had not spent months talking about how the 2020 presidential election was stolen; 55 percent say "no," while 37 percent say "yes."
Americans were also asked whether they think individuals would have still stormed the U.S. Capitol on January 6th even if Donald Trump hadn't addressed them at a rally shortly beforehand; 49 percent say "no," while 43 percent say "yes."
TRUMP ON JANUARY 6th
Nearly 7 out of 10 Americans (68 percent) think that Donald Trump did not do everything he could to stop the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol, while 25 percent say he did do everything he could to stop it.
Republicans say 56 - 34 percent that Trump did everything he could to stop the insurrection. Democrats say 94 - 6 percent and independents say 70 - 23 percent that he did not do everything he could to stop the insurrection.
"Did the former president drop the ball on controlling the insurrection? Most assuredly, say the majority of Americans, fresh off hearings that brought visual proof of the mayhem on January 6th," added Malloy.
More than half of Americans (57 percent) say they think that extremism in the United States is growing since the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol, only 4 percent say it's subsiding, and 34 percent say it's staying the same. The responses were similar among all listed demographic groups.
TRUMP AND THE 2020 ELECTION
Half of Americans (50 percent) say former President Trump deliberately spread false information that there was widespread voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election, while roughly four in ten Americans (42 percent) say that Trump truly believed there was widespread voter fraud.
1,056 U.S. adults nationwide were surveyed from February 11th - 14th with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 11. Would you like to see Donald Trump play a prominent role in the Republican Party, or not?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 34% 75% 3% 32% 42% 26% 18% 47% No 60 21 96 61 54 66 76 45 DK/NA 6 4 1 7 4 8 6 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes 37% 28% 35% 31% 41% 33% 36% 28% No 60 62 60 66 53 60 56 69 DK/NA 3 10 5 4 6 8 7 4 -
Question 12. As you may know, the House of Representatives voted to impeach former President Trump and the Senate has been holding a trial. Do you support or oppose convicting former President Trump in the Senate trial?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 51% 9% 92% 50% 42% 59% 63% 35% Oppose 44 89 6 44 53 37 34 62 DK/NA 5 1 3 6 5 5 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 51% 52% 49% 56% 39% 50% 45% 63% Oppose 44 42 50 41 58 46 52 30 DK/NA 5 5 1 3 3 3 3 7 -
Question 12a. As you may know, the House of Representatives voted to impeach former President Trump and the Senate has been holding a trial. Do you support or oppose convicting former President Trump in the Senate trial? COMBINED WITH: (If support/oppose q12) Do you strongly or somewhat support/oppose?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support strongly 42% 7% 82% 39% 34% 50% 57% 28% Support smwht 8 2 9 11 8 8 5 6 Oppose smwht 4 4 2 7 5 4 4 5 Oppose strongly 40 85 3 37 48 33 30 58 DK/NA 5 1 3 6 5 5 4 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support strongly 32% 43% 46% 53% 34% 43% 39% 51% Support smwht 18 9 2 3 5 7 6 12 Oppose smwht 5 4 5 2 6 3 4 3 Oppose strongly 39 38 44 39 52 43 47 27 DK/NA 5 6 2 4 3 4 4 7 -
Question 13. Do you think former President Trump should be allowed to hold elected office in the future, or not?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Allowed 43% 87% 6% 42% 54% 32% 32% 58% No 55 11 93 56 44 65 66 40 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Allowed 46% 44% 43% 37% 56% 43% 49% 32% No 53 54 55 62 42 56 50 65 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 -
Question 14. Do you think former President Trump is responsible for inciting violence against the government of the United States, or don't you think so?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Responsible 54% 11% 96% 52% 45% 62% 66% 36% No 43 89 4 41 52 34 33 61 DK/NA 4 - - 6 3 4 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Responsible 52% 55% 53% 60% 40% 53% 47% 68% No 43 41 45 38 59 44 51 27 DK/NA 5 4 2 2 1 3 2 5 -
Question 14a. Do you think former President Trump is responsible for inciting violence against the government of the United States, or don't you think so? COMBINED WITH: (If yes q14) Do you think he should face criminal charges for inciting violence against the government of the United States, or don't you think so?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Face crim. charges 45% 6% 85% 42% 35% 54% 56% 30% Not face charges 6 3 7 7 7 4 6 3 Not responsible 43 89 4 41 52 34 33 61 DK/NA 7 2 4 9 6 7 5 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Face crim. charges 40% 48% 46% 54% 32% 46% 39% 57% Not face charges 9 5 5 4 5 4 4 8 Not responsible 43 41 45 38 59 44 51 27 DK/NA 8 6 4 5 4 6 5 8 -
Question 15. Do you support or oppose censuring - that is formally criticizing - former President Trump in the United States Senate for his actions after the 2020 presidential election?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 44% 16% 75% 42% 38% 49% 55% 32% Oppose 44 71 18 46 51 38 38 55 DK/NA 12 13 7 12 11 13 6 13 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Support 40% 44% 47% 50% 38% 43% 41% 51% Oppose 47 44 44 40 53 46 49 35 DK/NA 13 12 9 10 9 11 10 14 -
Question 16. Which comes closer to your point of view regarding President Trump and the 2020 presidential election: he truly believed that there was widespread voter fraud or he deliberately spread false information that there was widespread voter fraud?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Truly believed 42% 84% 8% 42% 51% 35% 32% 59% Spread false info 50 10 90 51 44 56 63 34 DK/NA 7 6 2 7 6 9 4 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Truly believed 40% 43% 46% 39% 56% 44% 49% 29% Spread false info 51 51 51 55 40 49 45 61 DK/NA 10 7 3 6 5 7 6 10 -
Question 17. Do you think that individuals would have still stormed the U.S. Capitol on January 6th even if Donald Trump had not - spent months talking about how the 2020 presidential election was stolen, or don't you think so?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Would have 37% 59% 16% 37% 42% 33% 28% 47% No 55 28 82 54 52 58 65 44 DK/NA 8 13 2 9 7 9 7 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Would have 39% 34% 42% 31% 45% 37% 40% 31% No 53 59 52 60 47 54 51 63 DK/NA 8 7 6 9 8 9 8 6 -
Question 18. Do you think that individuals would have still stormed the U.S. Capitol on January 6th even if Donald Trump had not - addressed them at a rally shortly beforehand, or don't you think so?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Would have 43% 66% 21% 42% 46% 39% 40% 50% No 49 24 74 49 45 52 51 40 DK/NA 8 10 5 9 8 8 9 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Would have 46% 43% 47% 34% 49% 44% 46% 36% No 44 50 48 56 41 48 44 57 DK/NA 10 7 5 10 10 9 9 7 -
Question 19. Do you think Donald Trump did everything he could to stop the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol, or don't you think so?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Did everything 25% 56% 6% 23% 29% 22% 17% 36% No 68 34 94 70 64 71 76 54 DK/NA 7 10 1 7 7 7 7 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Yes/Did everything 23% 19% 32% 25% 29% 29% 29% 17% No 72 74 62 67 61 63 62 79 DK/NA 6 7 6 8 10 8 9 4 -
Question 20. Since the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol, do you think that extremism in the United States is growing, subsiding, or staying about the same?
ADULTS................................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Growing 57% 60% 60% 52% 55% 58% 57% 62% Subsiding 4 2 5 4 4 3 4 4 Staying the same 34 30 33 38 33 34 37 28 DK/NA 6 7 2 7 7 5 2 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht NonWht Growing 53% 52% 62% 66% 59% 61% 60% 54% Subsiding 3 3 5 5 5 3 4 3 Staying the same 38 43 30 24 31 31 31 37 DK/NA 7 3 3 6 5 5 5 6