Biden Keeps Above 50 Percent Mark With Steady Lead Over Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 63% Don't Expect To Know Winner Of 2020 Race On Election Night
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In the race for the White House, former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 52 - 42 percent among likely voters in a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. Those numbers are unchanged from a September 2nd national poll when Biden led Trump 52 - 42 percent.
"Voters think Biden is smarter, more honest, more level headed, and cares more about Americans than the president. And that, in part, translates into a ten-point lead," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
Democrats back Biden 96 - 2 percent, independents back him 49 - 41 percent, and Republicans back Trump 91 - 7 percent.
Ninety-four percent of likely voters who selected a candidate for president say their minds are made up, while 5 percent say they might change their minds.
VOTING IN 2020
Looking ahead, 47 percent plan to vote in person on Election Day, while 34 percent plan to vote by mail/absentee ballot, and 15 percent plan to vote at an early voting location.
Among voters who say they plan to vote in person on Election Day, 57 percent support Trump while 35 percent support Biden. However, among voters who plan to vote by mail/absentee ballot, 68 percent back Biden while 26 percent support Trump. Among those who plan on voting at an early voting location, 65 percent support Biden, while 34 percent support Trump.
THE 2020 ELECTION
Just 30 percent of likely voters think the country will know the winner of the presidential election on Election Night, while 63 percent say they think we will not know.
"Don't hold your breath on Election Night. Nearly two-thirds of likely voters don't anticipate going to bed on November 3rd with the election settled," added Malloy.
Sixty-six percent of likely voters say they are either "very" or "somewhat" concerned that a foreign government may try to interfere in the 2020 presidential election, while 33 percent say they are either "not so concerned" or "not concerned at all."
BIDEN VS. TRUMP: PERSONAL TRAITS
Biden receives a mixed favorability rating, as 45 percent have a favorable opinion and 45 percent have an unfavorable opinion. President Trump has a negative favorability rating, as 41 percent have a favorable opinion and 55 percent have an unfavorable opinion.
Likely voters give Biden better scores than Trump on six personal traits, as they say:
- 49 - 43 percent that Biden is honest, and 59 - 35 percent that Trump is not honest;
- 50 - 42 percent that Biden has good leadership skills, and 55 - 43 percent that Trump does not;
- 58 - 36 percent that Biden cares about average Americans, and 53 - 45 percent that Trump does not;
- 56 - 37 percent that Biden is level headed, and 61 - 36 percent that Trump is not level headed;
- 65 - 30 percent that Biden is intelligent, and 52 - 44 percent that Trump is also intelligent;
- A split 49 - 47 percent that Biden does not share their values, and 56 - 41 percent that Trump does not share their values.
BIDEN VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES
Likely voters were asked who would do a better job handling five issues:
- On handling the economy, Trump 49 percent, Biden 48 percent;
- On handling the military, Biden 49 percent, Trump 46 percent;
- On keeping you and your family safe, Biden 51 percent, Trump 44 percent;
- On handling the response to the coronavirus, Biden 55 percent, Trump 39 percent;
- On handling racial inequality, Biden 56 percent, Trump 36 percent.
"It's a toss-up on who best can manage the economy, but a thumping for Trump on race and who would best handle the coronavirus," added Malloy.
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL
Likely voters give President Trump a negative 43 - 53 percent job approval rating, which is essentially unchanged from a negative 43 - 54 percent job approval on September 2nd. Likely voters give President Trump a mixed 49 - 48 percent approval for his handling of the economy. This is also essentially unchanged from a 49 - 49 percent approval for his handling of the economy earlier this month.
CORONAVIRUS
On his coronavirus response, voters give President Trump a negative 42 - 56 percent approval, similar to the 41 - 57 percent rating on September 2nd.
A majority of likely voters (57 percent) say they don't think President Trump has been telling the truth about the coronavirus to the American people, while 37 percent think the president has been telling the truth.
"Was the president leveling with Americans in the early stages of the coronavirus? Likely voters say... not likely," said Malloy.
Given a choice between President Trump and CDC scientists and asked who is trusted more on information about the coronavirus, likely voters say 70 - 21 percent that they trust CDC scientists more than President Trump.
Nearly eight out of ten (79 percent) of likely voters say they believe that masks or face coverings are effective in slowing the spread of the coronavirus, while 19 percent say they don't. There are gaps among political parties, as Republicans say 60 - 36 percent mask and face coverings are effective, Democrats say 96 - 3 percent they are effective, and independents say 78 - 21 percent they are effective.
WILDFIRES
A majority of likely voters, 58 - 37 percent, say that climate change is a factor in making the wildfires on the West Coast more severe. Along party lines, Democrats say 93 - 4 percent that climate change is a factor, independents say 54 - 41 percent it's a factor, and Republicans say 70 - 22 percent that climate change is not a factor in making the wildfires more severe.
1,302 likely voters nationwide were surveyed from September 17 - 21 with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than twenty states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Joe Biden the Democrat or Donald Trump the Republican?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 52% 7% 96% 49% 46% 58% 61% 36% Trump 42 91 2 41 47 38 37 60 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 2 - 1 1 DK/NA 4 2 2 8 5 4 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 63% 45% 55% 49% 39% 50% 45% 83% 63% Trump 32 46 44 49 55 48 52 10 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - - 2 - 1 - - DK/NA 4 6 1 1 4 2 3 7 6 2020 VOTING METHOD Q2......... In Mail/Absnt EarlyVot Person Ballot Location Biden 35% 68% 65% Trump 57 26 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - DK/NA 6 4 1Trend TREND: If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Joe Biden the Democrat or Donald Trump the Republican?
LIKELY VOTERS................ SMONE Biden Trump ELSE DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 52 42 1 4 Sep 02, 2020 52 42 2 3 -
Question 1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
LIKELY VOTERS................ CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.......... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Tot Biden Trump Mind made up 94% 95% 92% Might change 5 4 5 DK/NA 2 1 2 -
Question 2. (If haven't already voted) Thinking about the 2020 election, do you think you will vote in person on Election Day, vote early by mail or absentee ballot, or vote at an early voting location?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No In person 47% 69% 30% 45% 51% 44% 39% 54% Mail/Absentee ballot 34 21 49 34 29 39 41 32 Early voting loc 15 9 18 18 17 14 17 13 WON'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp In person 43% 55% 46% 39% 53% 44% 49% 46% 39% Mail/Absentee ballot 41 27 31 44 31 38 35 21 46 Early voting loc 15 14 18 15 13 15 14 26 13 WON'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 1 3 5 1 2 2 2 7 3 -
Question 3. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 45% 6% 87% 40% 40% 50% 57% 30% Unfavorable 45 88 6 45 50 40 38 63 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 6 11 6 8 2 5 REFUSED 3 2 1 5 4 1 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 43% 38% 52% 48% 33% 45% 39% 70% 50% Unfavorable 40 49 41 48 58 51 54 18 28 Hvn't hrd enough 15 9 4 4 5 3 4 11 20 REFUSED 2 4 3 1 4 1 2 1 1Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............. Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 23, 2020 45 45 7 3 Sep 02, 2020 45 48 6 2 -
Question 3a. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable q3) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 29% 2% 63% 22% 24% 34% 36% 21% Smwht favorable 16 4 24 17 15 16 21 9 Smwht unfavorable 8 7 4 13 10 6 9 9 Strongly unfavorable 36 81 2 32 39 34 29 54 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 6 11 6 8 2 5 REFUSED 3 2 1 6 5 2 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Strongly favorable 13% 19% 41% 39% 20% 32% 26% 48% 26% Smwht favorable 31 18 11 8 13 13 13 20 24 Smwht unfavorable 18 8 4 5 11 7 9 3 10 Strongly unfavorable 23 41 37 43 47 44 45 15 18 Hvn't hrd enough 15 9 4 4 5 3 4 11 20 REFUSED 2 5 3 1 4 1 2 2 1Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................. Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly Hvn't Fav Fav Unfav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 23, 2020 29 16 8 36 7 3 Sep 02, 2020 29 15 11 35 6 4 -
Question 4. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 41% 89% 3% 39% 43% 39% 34% 58% Unfavorable 55 10 95 54 53 57 64 39 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 2 4 1 3 1 2 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 30% 44% 42% 48% 50% 48% 49% 13% 30% Unfavorable 66 51 55 49 47 49 48 81 64 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 3 5 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............. Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 23, 2020 41 55 2 2 Sep 02, 2020 41 56 1 2 -
Question 4a. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable q4) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 34% 79% 2% 27% 36% 32% 27% 50% Smwht favorable 7 9 1 11 7 6 7 7 Smwht unfavorable 5 4 3 6 7 3 4 5 Strongly unfavorable 49 6 90 47 45 53 60 35 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 2 4 1 3 1 2 REFUSED 3 1 2 4 3 3 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Strongly favorable 20% 34% 37% 42% 42% 42% 42% 13% 20% Smwht favorable 9 10 4 5 8 6 7 - 10 Smwht unfavorable 11 4 5 2 6 3 4 8 4 Strongly unfavorable 56 46 51 47 41 46 44 71 60 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 3 5 REFUSED 1 3 1 3 2 1 2 5 1Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................. Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly Hvn't Fav Fav Unfav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 23, 2020 34 7 5 49 2 3 Sep 02, 2020 31 9 5 49 1 4 -
Question 5. How upset would you be if the candidate you support in the 2020 presidential election lost: very upset, somewhat upset, not so upset, or not upset at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very upset 62% 62% 77% 49% 53% 70% 72% 63% Somewhat upset 18 20 14 19 23 14 19 19 Not so upset 7 10 2 9 7 6 3 6 Not upset at all 11 5 6 19 14 8 4 9 DK/NA 3 3 1 4 3 2 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very upset 50% 54% 74% 70% 54% 77% 66% 59% 50% Somewhat upset 25 19 15 18 24 15 19 14 18 Not so upset 11 11 3 3 6 4 5 4 13 Not upset at all 14 14 7 8 12 2 7 17 19 DK/NA 1 3 1 2 4 2 3 6 - CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Biden Trump Very upset 72% 56% Somewhat upset 16 22 Not so upset 5 8 Not upset at all 6 12 DK/NA 1 2 -
Question 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No WhtEvang Approve 43% 92% 3% 43% 48% 39% 36% 60% 79% Disapprove 53 8 96 51 48 58 62 38 19 DK/NA 3 - 1 6 4 3 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 32% 48% 44% 50% 54% 49% 51% 16% 31% Disapprove 64 49 55 48 43 50 47 82 62 DK/NA 4 3 2 2 3 1 2 1 7Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
LIKELY VOTERS........ App Dis DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 43 53 3 Sep 02, 2020 43 54 3 -
Question 6a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q6) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
LIKELY VOTERS.................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No WhtEvang Approve strongly 34% 81% 2% 29% 36% 33% 28% 51% 70% Approve smwht 9 11 2 14 12 6 8 8 8 Disapprove smwht 5 6 3 6 4 5 3 3 2 Disapprove strongly 49 3 93 46 44 53 59 35 17 DK/NA 3 - 1 6 4 3 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 17% 36% 40% 44% 43% 43% 43% 12% 19% Approve smwht 15 12 4 6 11 6 8 4 12 Disapprove smwht 9 5 3 2 4 2 3 5 11 Disapprove strongly 55 45 51 47 39 47 44 78 52 DK/NA 4 3 2 2 3 1 2 1 7Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
LIKELY VOTERS........................ APPROVE...... DISAPPROVE..... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 34 9 5 49 3 Sep 02, 2020 34 9 5 49 3 -
Question 7. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to vote for in the election for president: the economy, immigration, health care, climate change, the coronavirus pandemic, racial inequality, law and order, or the Supreme Court?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Economy 24% 39% 7% 29% 28% 20% 24% 29% Immigration 4 5 5 3 4 4 2 4 Health care 8 3 13 7 6 10 10 8 Climate change 6 1 11 7 5 7 10 6 Coronavirus 13 2 24 14 14 13 16 12 Racial inequality 13 2 20 13 10 15 6 6 Law and order 17 31 2 17 16 17 13 22 Supreme Court 8 11 8 5 10 7 12 9 DK/NA 7 7 10 4 6 8 7 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Economy 23% 31% 23% 22% 32% 22% 27% 14% 26% Immigration 4 3 2 3 4 3 4 5 6 Health care 6 10 6 10 6 11 9 8 7 Climate change 9 4 6 6 6 8 7 1 7 Coronavirus 12 8 18 14 13 13 13 14 12 Racial inequality 29 10 11 4 5 7 6 36 20 Law and order 7 21 14 22 16 21 18 3 11 Supreme Court 5 7 11 9 11 9 10 9 4 DK/NA 3 6 7 9 6 6 6 10 8 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Biden Trump Economy 8% 45% Immigration 3 4 Health care 13 2 Climate change 11 - Coronavirus 24 1 Racial inequality 22 1 Law and order 3 33 Supreme Court 8 9 DK/NA 8 5 -
Question 8. Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 49% 12% 88% 44% 45% 53% 63% 36% No 43 80 9 46 48 39 31 58 DK/NA 7 8 4 10 7 8 6 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 48% 38% 58% 53% 42% 49% 46% 67% 49% No 41 53 39 41 52 45 48 25 41 DK/NA 11 9 3 7 7 6 6 8 10 -
Question 9. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 35% 79% 2% 31% 36% 34% 29% 52% No 59 16 96 61 59 60 68 45 DK/NA 5 5 2 8 5 6 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 25% 36% 36% 44% 43% 44% 44% 8% 24% No 71 55 62 51 53 53 53 85 65 DK/NA 4 9 2 5 4 2 3 7 11 -
Question 10. Would you say that - Joe Biden has good leadership skills, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 50% 11% 90% 46% 43% 56% 59% 35% No 42 83 6 43 50 36 36 59 DK/NA 7 6 4 11 7 8 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 52% 45% 56% 48% 39% 48% 44% 76% 58% No 38 45 42 46 56 46 51 13 31 DK/NA 9 10 2 7 5 5 5 11 11 -
Question 11. Would you say that - Donald Trump has good leadership skills, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 43% 87% 6% 42% 47% 39% 36% 59% No 55 12 93 53 50 59 63 39 DK/NA 3 1 1 5 3 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 33% 46% 42% 49% 53% 49% 51% 20% 27% No 62 53 58 49 45 50 48 80 70 DK/NA 5 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 3 -
Question 12. Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about average Americans, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 58% 24% 90% 57% 53% 62% 71% 44% No 36 68 7 35 42 30 25 51 DK/NA 6 8 3 8 5 7 4 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 64% 49% 63% 58% 50% 57% 54% 75% 66% No 29 42 34 37 45 38 42 16 23 DK/NA 7 9 3 5 5 4 5 9 12 -
Question 13. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about average Americans, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 45% 89% 5% 48% 48% 42% 36% 60% No 53 8 94 50 50 56 63 38 DK/NA 2 3 1 2 3 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 40% 45% 43% 49% 53% 51% 52% 15% 34% No 57 52 56 48 46 48 47 83 59 DK/NA 3 3 - 3 2 1 1 1 7 -
Question 14. Would you say that - Joe Biden is level headed, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 56% 16% 94% 53% 53% 58% 68% 42% No 37 74 5 37 41 33 30 52 DK/NA 7 9 1 10 6 8 3 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 58% 54% 61% 53% 49% 53% 51% 79% 66% No 30 41 36 41 47 42 44 14 21 DK/NA 12 5 3 6 5 6 5 7 13 -
Question 15. Would you say that - Donald Trump is level headed, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 36% 79% 5% 30% 38% 34% 27% 51% No 61 19 94 64 59 63 72 46 DK/NA 3 2 1 6 4 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 23% 34% 37% 46% 41% 44% 42% 16% 24% No 73 62 61 52 56 55 56 80 69 DK/NA 4 4 1 2 3 1 2 3 7 -
Question 16. Would you say that - Joe Biden is intelligent, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 65% 34% 93% 65% 62% 67% 73% 53% No 30 60 5 28 32 27 22 41 DK/NA 5 6 3 7 6 5 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 71% 62% 68% 61% 59% 62% 60% 81% 74% No 24 32 29 35 35 34 34 11 23 DK/NA 5 6 3 5 6 5 6 7 3 -
Question 17. Would you say that - Donald Trump is intelligent, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 52% 94% 18% 51% 59% 47% 47% 65% No 44 5 78 41 38 49 49 32 DK/NA 4 1 3 7 3 5 4 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 45% 57% 51% 58% 62% 55% 59% 26% 46% No 52 40 46 38 35 42 38 68 50 DK/NA 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 6 4 -
Question 18. Would you say that - Joe Biden shares your values, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 47% 10% 87% 41% 41% 53% 58% 33% No 49 88 10 53 55 43 40 64 DK/NA 4 2 3 6 4 4 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 44% 41% 54% 49% 36% 47% 42% 69% 54% No 50 54 44 47 61 50 56 24 39 DK/NA 6 5 2 4 2 3 3 7 7 -
Question 19. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 41% 89% 3% 38% 46% 37% 35% 57% No 56 11 96 55 52 59 63 41 DK/NA 3 1 1 7 2 4 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 29% 43% 44% 48% 51% 48% 49% 11% 28% No 67 54 55 49 47 50 49 84 66 DK/NA 3 3 1 3 1 2 2 5 6 -
Question 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 49% 95% 9% 51% 56% 43% 41% 62% Disapprove 48 3 89 46 42 54 57 36 DK/NA 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 38% 56% 48% 52% 59% 50% 55% 24% 41% Disapprove 59 43 51 46 40 47 44 75 56 DK/NA 3 1 1 2 1 3 2 1 3Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy?
LIKELY VOTERS........ App Dis DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 49 48 2 Sep 02, 2020 49 49 2 -
Question 21. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling the economy: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 49% 96% 6% 52% 56% 43% 41% 62% Biden 48 3 93 42 41 54 56 34 DK/NA 3 2 1 6 4 3 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 41% 54% 48% 52% 60% 50% 55% 22% 44% Biden 53 41 52 46 36 48 42 78 52 DK/NA 6 5 - 2 4 2 3 - 4Trend TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling the economy: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Trump Biden DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 49 48 3 Sep 02, 2020 48 48 4 -
Question 22. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling the response to the coronavirus: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 39% 84% 1% 40% 44% 35% 34% 56% Biden 55 10 97 53 50 60 62 40 DK/NA 5 5 1 8 6 4 4 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 28% 43% 40% 45% 51% 45% 48% 12% 25% Biden 67 52 58 48 44 51 48 85 69 DK/NA 5 6 2 7 5 4 4 3 6 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb Rural Trump 31% 37% 44% 41% 31% 34% 58% Biden 65 55 51 55 63 61 37 DK/NA 3 8 5 5 6 5 5Trend TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling the response to the coronavirus: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Trump Biden DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 39 55 5 Sep 02, 2020 40 56 5 -
Question 23. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling racial inequality: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 36% 82% 2% 32% 39% 34% 29% 53% Biden 56 11 95 57 51 61 64 42 DK/NA 7 6 2 11 9 6 7 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 23% 38% 39% 42% 46% 43% 45% 15% 19% Biden 68 53 57 51 46 53 50 80 70 DK/NA 9 9 4 6 8 4 6 5 11Trend TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling racial inequality: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Trump Biden DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 36 56 7 Sep 02, 2020 36 58 6 -
Question 24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling the military: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No MltryHshld Trump 46% 91% 5% 48% 53% 41% 38% 63% 56% Biden 49 6 92 46 44 54 59 33 43 DK/NA 4 3 3 5 3 5 3 4 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 42% 49% 46% 50% 58% 50% 54% 14% 36% Biden 53 45 53 47 38 47 43 82 57 DK/NA 5 6 1 3 4 3 4 4 7 -
Question 25. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - keeping you and your family safe: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS...................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No MltryHshld Trump 44% 90% 3% 47% 50% 39% 38% 61% 51% Biden 51 5 95 47 45 56 59 35 44 DK/NA 5 4 2 6 4 5 4 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 35% 47% 44% 50% 57% 49% 53% 9% 31% Biden 58 48 54 47 39 48 44 80 63 DK/NA 7 5 2 3 4 3 3 11 6 -
Question 26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the response to the coronavirus?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 42% 87% 4% 41% 46% 38% 35% 57% Disapprove 56 11 96 55 51 60 63 41 DK/NA 3 2 - 4 3 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 33% 45% 40% 47% 52% 46% 49% 15% 32% Disapprove 67 53 59 49 46 52 49 85 66 DK/NA - 2 1 4 1 2 2 - 3 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb Rural Approve 34% 40% 45% 43% 33% 38% 59% Disapprove 65 55 52 55 66 59 39 DK/NA 1 5 3 1 2 3 2Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the response to the coronavirus?
LIKELY VOTERS........ App Dis DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 42 56 3 Sep 02, 2020 41 57 3 -
Question 27. Do you think that President Trump is helping or hurting efforts to slow the spread of the coronavirus?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Helping 40% 83% 3% 40% 44% 36% 33% 56% Hurting 54 9 95 52 50 58 61 38 DK/NA 6 8 2 8 7 6 6 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Helping 30% 46% 39% 45% 49% 47% 48% 13% 30% Hurting 64 51 56 48 45 47 46 83 68 DK/NA 6 3 5 7 6 6 6 4 2 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb Rural Helping 33% 40% 41% 42% 30% 36% 58% Hurting 61 53 52 53 64 58 35 DK/NA 6 7 6 5 6 6 7Trend TREND: Do you think that President Trump is helping or hurting efforts to slow the spread of the coronavirus?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Helping Hurting DK/NA Sep 23, 2020 40 54 6 Sep 02, 2020 39 55 7 -
Question 28. Do you think that President Trump has been telling the truth about the coronavirus to the American people, or don't you think so?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Telling truth 37% 81% 3% 35% 40% 35% 33% 53% No 57 13 96 57 56 59 64 42 DK/NA 5 6 2 8 4 6 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Telling truth 22% 42% 39% 44% 46% 45% 46% 13% 20% No 73 51 59 51 50 50 50 84 68 DK/NA 5 8 2 6 4 4 4 3 12 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb Rural Yes/Telling truth 32% 35% 42% 37% 29% 33% 55% No 64 62 53 55 64 64 39 DK/NA 4 3 6 8 6 3 6 -
Question 29. Who do you trust more on information about the coronavirus: President Trump or scientists at the CDC?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 21% 51% 1% 17% 21% 22% 18% 30% CDC scientists 70 36 97 73 71 69 75 61 DK/NA 9 13 2 10 9 9 7 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 12% 26% 23% 25% 22% 29% 26% 9% 14% CDC scientists 82 63 69 66 68 63 66 83 77 DK/NA 6 11 7 9 9 7 8 8 9 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb Rural Trump 18% 21% 22% 24% 15% 18% 35% CDC scientists 74 71 68 69 78 74 54 DK/NA 8 8 11 7 8 7 11 -
Question 30. When do you think a vaccine for the coronavirus will be widely available to the public: within 2 months, within 6 months, within a year, or longer than that?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Within 2 months 10% 18% 2% 11% 11% 9% 6% 14% Within 6 months 29 40 20 31 33 26 29 36 Within a year 33 20 47 30 32 33 42 28 Longer than that 19 11 28 18 15 23 16 13 DK/NA 9 12 3 11 9 9 6 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Within 2 months 11% 8% 10% 12% 13% 10% 11% 5% 11% Within 6 months 29 25 30 35 37 30 33 12 23 Within a year 34 33 37 28 30 36 33 42 27 Longer than that 19 26 16 17 12 16 14 29 33 DK/NA 8 8 7 8 9 8 8 12 5 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb Rural Within 2 months 7% 12% 12% 8% 9% 6% 16% Within 6 months 29 32 27 31 29 32 29 Within a year 34 32 32 33 29 43 26 Longer than that 21 15 20 20 25 14 17 DK/NA 9 8 9 8 8 6 13 -
Question 31. Do you believe that masks or face coverings are effective in slowing the spread of the coronavirus, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Effective 79% 60% 96% 78% 78% 80% 85% 72% No 19 36 3 21 20 18 14 26 DK/NA 2 5 1 1 3 2 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Effective 82% 74% 79% 83% 77% 76% 77% 90% 86% No 17 23 20 13 21 22 21 8 11 DK/NA 1 2 1 4 2 2 2 2 3 REGION................... DENSITY............ NEast MWest South West City Suburb Rural Yes/Effective 83% 78% 79% 77% 85% 84% 65% No 14 21 18 22 13 14 31 DK/NA 4 1 3 1 1 2 3 -
Question 32. Regarding the wildfires in the states of California, Oregon, and Washington, do you think climate change is a factor in making these wildfires more severe, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/A factor 58% 22% 93% 54% 52% 62% 66% 46% No 37 70 4 41 42 32 30 48 DK/NA 6 8 3 5 6 6 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/A factor 73% 51% 57% 53% 49% 58% 53% 72% 71% No 21 42 38 43 46 37 41 23 21 DK/NA 6 7 5 5 6 5 5 5 8 -
Question 33. Thinking about election night in November of 2020, do you think we will know the winner of the presidential election that night, or don't you think so?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Will know 30% 32% 28% 32% 35% 25% 27% 26% No 63 64 64 60 60 66 67 68 DK/NA 7 4 7 8 5 9 6 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Will know 38% 38% 28% 19% 33% 20% 26% 42% 40% No 50 57 67 74 62 72 68 51 51 DK/NA 12 5 4 7 4 8 6 6 9 -
Question 34. How concerned are you that a foreign government may try to interfere in the 2020 presidential election: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very concerned 39% 16% 70% 28% 34% 42% 43% 31% Somewhat concerned 27 31 21 31 28 27 29 26 Not so concerned 14 22 6 16 14 15 13 17 Not concerned at all 19 31 4 24 23 15 14 25 DK/NA 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very concerned 27% 33% 46% 46% 32% 39% 35% 56% 41% Somewhat concerned 33 27 23 27 26 28 27 24 25 Not so concerned 21 13 12 13 16 16 16 7 15 Not concerned at all 19 27 17 13 27 16 21 12 18 DK/NA - 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1