78% Of Republicans Want To See Trump Run For President In 2024, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Americans Now Split On Border Wall As Opposition Softens
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Nearly one year after the 2020 presidential election, a majority of Americans (58 - 35 percent) say they do not want to see Donald Trump run for president in 2024, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of adults released today. Democrats say 94 - 4 percent and independents say 58 - 35 percent that they do not want to see Trump run.
Republicans, however, say 78 - 16 percent that they do want to see Trump run for president in 2024, compared to 66 - 30 percent in May.
Just over half of Americans (51 percent) say Trump has had a mainly negative impact on American politics, while 41 percent say he has had a mainly positive impact on American politics.
When it comes to his impact on the Republican party, nearly half of Americans (49 percent) say Trump has had a mainly negative impact, while 43 percent say he has had a mainly positive impact.
About half of Americans (51 percent) think Donald Trump has been undermining democracy since the 2020 presidential election, while 39 percent think he has been protecting democracy.
A slight majority of Americans, 52 - 41 percent, say the country is worse off today than it was a year ago. There are sharp partisan divides. Democrats say 76 - 14 percent that the country is better off, while Republicans say 94 - 5 percent and independents say 56 - 38 percent that the country is worse off today than it was a year ago.
"While a majority of Americans say, 'been there, done that' about Trump, and half feel he has damaged the underpinnings of democracy, support for the former president within the GOP has grown," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
JOB APPROVALS
Americans give Joe Biden a negative 37 - 52 percent job approval rating, while 12 percent did not offer an opinion. The number is essentially unchanged from the negative 38 - 53 percent job approval rating he received on October 6th.
In today's poll, among registered voters, Biden receives a negative 40 - 51 percent job approval rating.
Americans give Democrats in Congress a negative 30 - 60 percent job approval rating.
Americans give Republicans in Congress a negative 23 - 65 percent job approval rating.
When asked about their opinion of Joe Biden, 38 percent of Americans say they have a favorable opinion of him, while 50 percent say they have an unfavorable opinion. In May, 49 percent had a favorable opinion, while 42 percent had an unfavorable opinion of him.
When asked about their opinion of Donald Trump, 39 percent of Americans say they have a favorable opinion of him, while 52 percent have an unfavorable opinion. In May, 37 percent had a favorable opinion, while 57 percent had an unfavorable opinion.
MOST URGENT ISSUE
When asked to choose the most urgent issue facing the country today, Americans say the top three are:
- The economy: 19 percent;
- COVID-19: 16 percent;
- Immigration: 14 percent.
Health care is ranked as the most urgent issue by 10 percent of Americans, climate change and election laws by 8 percent of Americans each, racial inequality by 6 percent, national security and the federal debt by 5 percent each, and foreign policy by 2 percent of Americans.
For Republicans, the top three urgent issues are: immigration (28 percent), the economy (24 percent), and the federal debt (10 percent).
For Democrats, the top three urgent issues are: COVID-19 (28 percent), health care (14 percent), and climate change (13 percent).
For independents, the top three urgent issues are: the economy (21 percent), COVID-19 (13 percent), and immigration (13 percent).
"What worries Republicans most does not top the list of Democratic concerns, and vice versa. But for the country as a whole, the state of the economy edges out the pandemic and issues at the border as the matter of greatest concern," added Malloy.
BORDER WALL
Americans are split on building a wall along the border with Mexico as 45 percent support building a wall, while 49 percent oppose it.
Among registered voters, 46 percent support building a wall, while 49 percent oppose it. That is the lowest level of opposition to building a wall along the border with Mexico since November 2016 when the question was first asked by the Quinnipiac University Poll. The highest percentage of voters opposed to building a wall along the border with Mexico was 64 percent in 2017.
"While it is a tossup, there is considerably less opposition to construction of a border wall under the Biden administration than there was when former President Trump made it a strident rallying cry," added Malloy.
JANUARY 6TH
About 6 in 10 Americans (59 - 35 percent) say they consider what happened at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th an attack on the government.
Roughly 4 in 10 Americans (42 percent) think former President Trump bears a lot of responsibility for the storming of the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, while 15 percent think he bears some responsibility, 13 percent think he bears not much responsibility, and 27 percent think he bears none at all.
As a special congressional committee investigates the storming of the U.S. Capitol on January 6th and has issued several subpoenas to witnesses as part of its investigation, a majority of Americans (56 percent) say enough is already known about what led to the events of that day, while 40 percent say they want to hear more information about what led to the events of that day.
1,342 U.S. adults nationwide were surveyed from October 15th - 18th with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 37% 3% 80% 28% 30% 43% 50% 25% Disapprove 52 95 11 56 58 45 46 65 DK/NA 12 3 9 15 12 12 4 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 31% 39% 37% 43% 26% 40% 33% 65% 33% Disapprove 48 50 55 53 65 53 59 22 51 DK/NA 21 11 8 4 9 8 8 13 16 -
Question 1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve strongly 18% 1% 45% 12% 13% 23% 27% 10% Approve smwht 18 2 34 16 16 20 23 14 Disapprove smwht 8 8 6 10 8 8 6 6 Disapprove strongly 43 87 5 46 49 37 40 58 DK/NA 12 3 9 16 13 12 4 11 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 8% 18% 20% 31% 11% 21% 16% 36% 18% Approve smwht 23 20 17 12 15 18 17 28 14 Disapprove smwht 18 4 4 5 6 6 6 8 12 Disapprove strongly 29 46 51 48 58 46 52 14 39 DK/NA 22 11 9 5 10 8 9 13 17 -
Question 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 23% 51% 6% 22% 24% 23% 18% 30% Disapprove 65 44 90 65 63 67 74 59 DK/NA 12 5 4 14 13 11 8 11 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 20% 20% 27% 28% 27% 25% 26% 15% 24% Disapprove 58 69 66 66 62 65 64 76 62 DK/NA 22 11 7 6 11 10 11 9 13 -
Question 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 30% 5% 64% 23% 24% 35% 38% 21% Disapprove 60 93 28 66 66 54 58 69 DK/NA 10 2 8 10 10 10 5 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 24% 35% 30% 33% 19% 33% 26% 53% 26% Disapprove 56 57 65 62 73 58 65 37 63 DK/NA 20 8 6 5 8 9 8 10 12 -
Question 4. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 38% 2% 83% 28% 29% 46% 52% 23% Unfavorable 50 93 8 57 57 44 45 65 Hvn't hrd enough 9 3 7 11 10 7 2 8 REFUSED 3 1 2 3 4 2 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 30% 40% 40% 44% 25% 40% 33% 67% 36% Unfavorable 46 51 52 51 65 52 58 21 49 Hvn't hrd enough 17 6 6 3 6 7 6 10 7 REFUSED 7 2 2 1 4 1 3 2 7 -
Question 5. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 39% 86% 3% 38% 43% 35% 32% 55% Unfavorable 52 10 91 49 46 57 63 35 Hvn't hrd enough 5 2 4 6 5 4 2 4 REFUSED 5 2 1 7 5 4 4 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 26% 41% 45% 47% 52% 42% 47% 7% 38% Unfavorable 55 53 48 49 38 51 45 83 49 Hvn't hrd enough 10 3 3 1 3 4 3 5 9 REFUSED 8 4 4 2 6 3 5 5 4 -
Question 6. Overall, do you think the country is better off or worse off today than it was a year ago?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better 41% 5% 76% 38% 37% 45% 53% 25% Worse 52 94 14 56 56 48 44 70 SAME(VOL) 5 1 7 4 4 5 1 3 DK/NA 3 - 2 2 3 2 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Better 44% 43% 37% 40% 30% 38% 34% 67% 42% Worse 44 51 58 56 65 58 61 24 50 SAME(VOL) 8 4 4 2 2 2 2 7 4 DK/NA 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 -
Question 7. In your opinion, what is the most urgent issue facing the country today: COVID-19, the economy, climate change, immigration, health care, national security, election laws, foreign policy, racial inequality, or the federal debt?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No COVID-19 16% 9% 28% 13% 15% 17% 13% 12% Economy 19 24 11 21 21 17 19 23 Climate change 8 - 13 9 7 9 15 8 Immigration 14 28 2 13 13 14 12 19 Health care 10 3 14 10 9 10 10 7 National security 5 9 3 5 4 7 4 6 Election laws 8 4 11 8 9 7 12 6 Foreign policy 2 4 - 3 3 2 1 2 Racial inequality 6 1 11 6 4 8 3 3 Federal debt 5 10 2 6 8 3 5 6 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 3 4 5 3 4 5 DK/NA 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp COVID-19 18% 16% 16% 14% 11% 14% 13% 35% 14% Economy 23 16 21 15 24 19 22 13 19 Climate change 9 10 5 8 9 11 10 3 4 Immigration 6 10 18 23 15 17 16 6 11 Health care 14 13 6 6 6 9 8 10 16 National security 3 6 7 6 4 6 5 2 8 Election laws 2 6 10 14 9 7 8 6 6 Foreign policy 6 2 1 - 3 1 2 2 5 Racial inequality 7 7 7 2 2 4 3 18 7 Federal debt 7 4 5 6 9 3 6 1 4 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 5 5 3 2 5 5 5 - 4 DK/NA 1 4 2 3 3 3 3 5 1 -
Question 8. Would you like to see Donald Trump run for president in 2024, or not?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 35% 78% 4% 35% 40% 30% 24% 53% No 58 16 94 58 51 64 71 41 DK/NA 7 6 2 7 8 5 6 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 29% 37% 40% 37% 50% 37% 43% 9% 33% No 63 56 55 57 44 57 51 89 58 DK/NA 8 8 5 6 6 6 6 2 8 -
Question 9. Overall, do you think Donald Trump has had a mainly positive or mainly negative impact on - American politics?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Positive 41% 84% 4% 45% 48% 35% 37% 58% Negative 51 9 94 47 44 58 60 36 DK/NA 8 7 2 8 8 7 4 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Positive 33% 36% 47% 49% 57% 45% 50% 12% 37% Negative 56 54 47 49 36 50 44 81 51 DK/NA 11 9 6 3 7 5 6 7 12 -
Question 10. Overall, do you think Donald Trump has had a mainly positive or mainly negative impact on - the Republican party?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Positive 43% 85% 7% 46% 47% 38% 36% 53% Negative 49 9 88 46 44 55 60 37 DK/NA 8 6 5 8 9 7 4 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Positive 38% 39% 47% 47% 54% 42% 48% 12% 52% Negative 50 53 46 49 39 50 45 85 39 DK/NA 12 8 6 3 7 8 8 4 10 -
Question 20. Since the 2020 presidential election, do you think that Donald Trump has been undermining democracy or protecting democracy?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Undermining 51% 8% 94% 48% 44% 56% 60% 35% Protecting 39 85 4 40 43 35 33 53 DK/NA 11 6 2 12 12 9 7 12 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Undermining 54% 52% 50% 49% 36% 50% 43% 83% 52% Protecting 28 38 44 44 50 42 46 11 35 DK/NA 18 9 6 7 13 8 10 6 13 -
Question 21. As you may know, a special congressional committee is investigating the storming of the U.S. Capitol that occurred on January 6th and it has issued several subpoenas to witnesses as part of its investigation. Do you want to hear more information about what led to the events of that day, or do you think enough is already known about what led to the events of that day?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Want to hear more 40% 22% 59% 38% 38% 42% 57% 36% Enough already known 56 74 38 58 58 54 41 59 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 4 5 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Want to hear more 40% 37% 41% 42% 41% 45% 43% 34% 33% Enough already known 57 57 54 56 54 52 53 61 63 DK/NA 3 6 5 2 5 3 4 5 5 -
Question 22. How much of the responsibility, if any, do you think former President Trump bears for the storming of the U.S. Capitol on January 6th: a lot, some, not much, or none at all?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A lot 42% 5% 81% 36% 33% 50% 53% 27% Some 15 15 11 19 18 13 11 14 Not much 13 21 1 17 16 10 14 18 None at all 27 56 5 26 31 25 20 37 DK/NA 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A lot 39% 42% 42% 46% 28% 43% 36% 77% 42% Some 23 17 12 8 13 13 13 9 20 Not much 13 10 13 16 20 14 17 2 12 None at all 23 25 30 29 36 27 31 10 25 DK/NA 2 5 2 1 4 3 4 1 1 -
Question 23. Do you consider what happened at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th an attack on the government, or not?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Attack on gov't 59% 29% 93% 56% 53% 66% 65% 49% No 35 66 5 40 42 29 32 44 DK/NA 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Attack on gov't 63% 64% 55% 56% 46% 63% 55% 83% 57% No 31 30 42 39 49 32 40 13 39 DK/NA 7 6 2 5 5 5 5 4 4 -
Question 27. Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 45% 91% 8% 48% 52% 38% 42% 59% Oppose 49 7 87 47 42 55 55 34 DK/NA 6 2 5 5 6 6 3 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 30% 45% 53% 55% 63% 45% 54% 20% 40% Oppose 61 51 41 42 33 48 41 74 53 DK/NA 9 4 6 3 4 7 6 6 7