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Nearly 7 In 10 Favor A Limit On How Long SCOTUS Justices Can Serve, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 85 Percent Of Americans Expect Economic Recession In Next Year

With all eyes on the Supreme Court following the leak of a draft opinion regarding abortion, Americans support 69 - 27 percent limiting the number of years a Supreme Court Justice can serve on the Supreme Court, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of adults released today. There is majority support among all party groups. Democrats (77 - 18 percent), independents (69 - 27 percent), and Republicans (61 - 36 percent) all support limiting how long a Supreme Court Justice can serve.

A majority of Americans (63 percent) say the Supreme Court is mainly motivated by politics, while 32 percent say the Supreme Court is mainly motivated by the law. There are stark divisions along party lines. Democrats say 86 - 11 percent and independents say 63 - 32 percent the Supreme Court is mainly motivated by politics, while Republicans say 53 - 42 percent the Supreme Court is mainly motivated by the law.

"Membership in the highest court in the land should not be a lifetime position say Americans, who view SCOTUS as driven by political agendas," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

Americans agree 65 - 29 percent with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion, which is similar to results from a Quinnipiac University poll in November 2021 when 63 percent agreed and 28 percent disagreed.

ABORTION AND CANDIDATES FOR CONGRESS

If a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate supports abortion rights, roughly 4 in 10 Americans (41 percent) say they are more likely to vote for that candidate, while 22 percent say they are less likely, and 36 percent say it does not make a difference.

If a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate opposes abortion rights, 18 percent of Americans say they are more likely to vote for that candidate, while almost half of Americans (47 percent) say they are less likely, and 33 percent say it does not make a difference.

ECONOMY

The overwhelming majority of Americans (85 percent) think it is either very likely (45 percent) or somewhat likely (40 percent) that there will be an economic recession in the next year, while 12 percent think it is either not so likely (8 percent) or not likely at all (4 percent).

Roughly 1 in 5 Americans (19 percent) say the state of the nation's economy these days is either excellent (2 percent) or good (17 percent), while 4 in 5 Americans (80 percent) say it's either not so good (34 percent) or poor (46 percent). This is Americans' most negative description of the state of the nation's economy in a Quinnipiac University poll since President Biden took office.

When asked how much control a president has over inflation, 29 percent of Americans say a lot and 38 percent say some, while 23 percent say only a little and 10 percent say none at all.

While 52 percent of Republicans say a president has a lot of control over inflation, only 8 percent of Democrats say a president has a lot of control over inflation.

"Americans believe a recession is not a mere threat, it's a looming reality," added Malloy.

UKRAINE

Three-quarters of Americans (75 percent) say they are either very concerned (32 percent) or somewhat concerned (43 percent) that Russia's invasion of Ukraine will escalate into a wider war directly involving the United States, while 23 percent say they are either not so concerned (16 percent) or not concerned at all (7 percent).

Just under half of Americans (46 percent) think the Ukrainians will be able to force the Russian soldiers out of Ukraine, while 36 percent think the Ukrainians will not be able to force the Russian soldiers out of Ukraine, with 18 percent not offering an opinion.

"As the daily carnage unfolds and Russia stays entrenched in Ukraine, a substantial majority of Americans are concerned about a war that could cross other borders and put American forces right in the middle of it," added Malloy.

BIDEN

Americans give President Joe Biden a negative 35 - 57 percent job approval rating with 7 percent not offering an opinion. In Quinnipiac's previous national poll released on April 27, 2022, he received a negative 38 - 52 percent job approval rating with 10 percent not offering an opinion.

In today's poll, registered voters give President Biden a negative 38 - 55 percent job approval rating with 7 percent not offering an opinion. In Quinnipiac's April 27, 2022 poll, registered voters gave him a negative 40 - 51 percent job approval rating with 9 percent not offering an opinion.

Americans were asked about President Biden's handling of...

  • the response to the coronavirus: 48 percent approve, while 47 percent disapprove;
  • the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 44 percent approve, while 50 percent disapprove;
  • the economy: 32 percent approve, while 63 percent disapprove;
  • the situation at the Mexican border: 28 percent approve, while 58 percent disapprove.

MIDTERM ELECTIONS

Among registered voters, if the election were held today, 47 percent say they would want to see the Republican Party win control of the United States House of Representatives, while 43 percent say the Democratic Party, and 9 percent did not offer an opinion. In Quinnipiac's April 27, 2022 poll, 45 percent of registered voters said the Republican Party, while 42 percent of registered voters said the Democratic Party, and 12 percent did not offer an opinion.

As for which party voters would want to see win control of the United States Senate, 48 percent of registered voters say the Republican Party, while 44 percent of registered voters say the Democratic Party, and 8 percent did not offer an opinion. In Quinnipiac's April 27, 2022 poll, registered voters were split as 44 percent said the Republican Party, while 44 percent said the Democratic Party, and 12 percent did not offer an opinion.

In measuring how motivated voters are in this year's midterm elections, nearly half of registered voters (47 percent) say they are more motivated to vote than in past midterm elections, while 10 percent say they are less motivated, and 43 percent say they are just as motivated as usual.

TRUMP AND TWITTER

After Elon Musk raised the possibility of allowing former President Donald Trump back on Twitter if Musk's deal to buy Twitter is finalized, a majority of Americans (54 percent) think Trump should be allowed to be back on Twitter, while 38 percent think he should continue to be banned from Twitter, and 8 percent did not offer an opinion.

While 89 percent of Republicans and 56 percent of independents think Trump should be allowed to be back on Twitter, 80 percent of Democrats think he should continue to be banned from Twitter.

1,586 U.S. adults nationwide were surveyed from May 12th - 16th with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey included 1,421 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

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