Trump Begins Second Term Stronger Than The First, 6 In 10 Voters Approve Of Sending U.S. Troops To Southern Border, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Majority Disapprove Of Elon Musk's Role In Trump Administration
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President Donald Trump is starting his second term in the White House with a job approval rating ten points higher than at the start of his first presidential term, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
Just over a week after being sworn into office, 46 percent of voters approve of the job Trump is doing, while 43 percent disapprove and 11 percent did not offer an opinion. In Quinnipiac University's January 26, 2017 national poll, 36 percent approved of the job he was doing, while 44 percent disapproved and 19 percent did not offer an opinion.
In today's poll, Republicans 86 - 4 percent approve of the job Trump is doing, while Democrats 86 - 8 percent disapprove. Among independents, 41 percent approve, while 46 percent disapprove and 13 percent did not offer an opinion.
A majority of voters (54 percent) say they are generally optimistic about the next four years with Trump as president, while 42 percent are generally pessimistic. These results are nearly identical to a January 26, 2017 Quinnipiac University poll conducted following Trump's first inauguration.
They are split on the way he is handling the staffing of his administration, with 43 percent approving, 45 percent disapproving and 12 percent not offering an opinion.
Voters are also split on the way he is handling immigration issues, with 47 percent approving, 46 percent disapproving and 7 percent not offering an opinion.
IMMIGRATION & DEPORTATIONS
A majority of voters (60 percent) approve of sending U.S. troops to the southern border with Mexico to enforce border security, while 36 percent disapprove.
Republicans (95 - 5 percent) approve, while Democrats (68 - 29 percent) disapprove. Among independents, 57 percent approve, while 40 percent disapprove. Among voters in military households, 70 percent approve, while 26 percent disapprove.
"The huge deployment of boots on the ground is not to a dicey, far away war theater, but to the American border. And a majority of voters are just fine with that," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
More than 4 in 10 voters (44 percent) support deporting all undocumented immigrants and sending them back to their home countries, while 39 percent only support deporting undocumented immigrants convicted of violent crimes, and 6 percent oppose both scenarios, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
Voters were also asked about birthright citizenship, which allows all children born in the United States to be automatically granted U.S. citizenship. A majority of voters (61 percent) think that all children born in the U.S. should continue to be automatically granted citizenship, while 30 percent think this should be changed so that children of non-citizens are no longer automatically granted citizenship.
An overwhelming majority of voters (70 percent) support the H-1B Visa program that allows companies to hire skilled workers from other countries who meet certain requirements, while 18 percent oppose the program and 12 percent did not offer an opinion.
ELON MUSK
Voters 53 - 39 percent disapprove of Elon Musk playing a prominent role in the Trump administration, similar to Quinnipiac University's December 18 poll.
Democrats (90 - 6 percent) and independents (56 - 36 percent) disapprove, while Republicans (73 - 19 percent) approve of Musk's role.
"Elon Musk, a powerful and pivotal player in Trump's inner circle, gets a shaky assessment from voters, with women clearly more critical of him than men," added Malloy.
DEMOCRATIC & REPUBLICAN PARTIES
Voters' views of the Democratic Party and Republican Party set new records since the Quinnipiac University Poll began asking voters about the parties in November 2008.
In today's poll, 31 percent of voters have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party, while 57 percent have an unfavorable opinion. This is the highest percentage of voters having an unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party since the Quinnipiac University Poll began asking this question.
Forty-three percent of voters have a favorable opinion of the Republican Party, while 45 percent have an unfavorable opinion. This is the highest percentage of voters having a favorable opinion of the Republican Party since the Quinnipiac University Poll began asking this question.
This marks the biggest favorability advantage the Republican Party (43 percent) has held over the Democratic Party (31 percent) since the Quinnipiac University Poll began asking these questions.
TARIFFS
A plurality of voters (48 percent) expects U.S. tariffs on goods made in other countries to hurt the U.S. economy, while 42 percent expect them to help the U.S. economy.
JANUARY 6 PARDONS
Voters 57 - 37 percent disapprove of Trump's actions when he pardoned or commuted the sentences of more than 1,500 people who were involved in the January 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, including some convicted of violent acts.
Democrats (96 - 3 percent) and independents (60 - 32 percent) disapprove of Trump's actions, while Republicans (74 - 19 percent) approve.
BIDEN PARDONS
Voters 62 - 31 percent disapprove of former President Biden issuing preemptive pardons for five members of his family who haven't been charged with any crimes.
Republicans (87 - 11 percent) and independents (63 - 28 percent) disapprove, while Democrats (58 - 35 percent) approve.
Voters are divided on Biden issuing preemptive pardons for some people who President Trump had targeted for retaliation, with 44 percent disapproving, 42 percent approving, and 14 percent not offering an opinion.
Republicans (74 - 11 percent) disapprove, while Democrats (74 - 16 percent) approve. Independents are split, with 45 percent approving and 43 percent disapproving.
GREENLAND & THE PANAMA CANAL
Voters 55 - 28 percent disapprove of Trump's idea of the United States acquiring Greenland, with 17 percent not offering an opinion.
Voters are divided on Trump's idea of the United States taking back control of the Panama Canal, with 45 percent disapproving, 44 percent approving, and 11 percent not offering an opinion.
MOST URGENT ISSUE
Given a list of nine issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, the economy (24 percent) tops the list, followed by preserving democracy in the United States (20 percent) and immigration (18 percent). No other issue reached double digits.
Among Republicans, the top issue is immigration (37 percent) followed by the economy (33 percent), with no other issue reaching double digits.
Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (35 percent) followed by climate change (18 percent) and the economy (14 percent).
Among independents, the top issues are the economy (24 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (23 percent), followed by immigration (13 percent).
CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES
Half of voters (50 percent) think climate change played a role in the wildfires in Southern California, while 45 percent think climate change did not play a role in the wildfires.
Democrats (89 - 9 percent) and independents (53 - 40 percent) think climate change played a role, while Republicans (82 - 14 percent) think climate change did not play a role in the wildfires.
When voters were asked how confident they are that their insurance provider would sufficiently compensate them for their losses if they were a victim of a disaster like the Southern California wildfires and lost their home and/or major belongings, 61 percent say they are either not so confident (26 percent) or not confident at all (35 percent), while 35 percent say they are either very confident (9 percent) or somewhat confident (26 percent).
"As the wreckage from the California fires is cleared, a national poll gives the insurance industry a thumbs down, no confidence vote," added Malloy.
1,019 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from January 23rd - 27th with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on probability-based samples using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu or follow us on X @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 46% 86% 8% 41% 55% 36% Disapprove 43 4 86 46 33 53 DK/NA 11 10 6 13 12 11
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Question 1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 37% 76% 3% 34% 45% 29% Approve smwht 8 8 5 7 10 6 Disapprove smwht 5 1 5 8 3 6 Disapprove strongly 38 3 80 39 29 47 DK/NA 12 12 7 13 13 12
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Question 2. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 47% 91% 5% 43% 57% 37% Unfavorable 45 6 88 48 35 55 Hvn't hrd enough 5 2 5 4 4 6 REFUSED 3 1 2 4 4 2
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Question 3. Is your opinion of J.D. Vance favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 39% 76% 4% 37% 48% 30% Unfavorable 36 3 74 37 29 43 Hvn't hrd enough 23 20 22 23 20 26 REFUSED 2 1 - 2 3 1
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Question 4. Is your opinion of Melania Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 37% 72% 8% 34% 43% 32% Unfavorable 23 6 47 21 18 27 Hvn't hrd enough 35 20 40 39 34 36 REFUSED 5 3 5 6 6 5
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Question 5. Is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 31% 6% 77% 22% 22% 39% Unfavorable 57 90 15 59 67 47 Hvn't hrd enough 9 3 5 13 8 9 REFUSED 4 1 2 6 3 5
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Question 6. Is your opinion of the Republican party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 43% 87% 7% 36% 48% 37% Unfavorable 45 7 84 48 39 51 Hvn't hrd enough 8 4 7 10 9 8 REFUSED 4 1 3 5 4 4
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Question 7. Are you generally optimistic or pessimistic about the next four years with Donald Trump as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Optimistic 54% 91% 15% 54% 63% 46% Pessimistic 42 5 81 44 34 49 DK/NA 4 4 4 2 4 5
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Question 8. In your opinion, what is the most urgent issue facing the country today: the economy, climate change, health care, immigration, abortion, racial inequality, crime, preserving democracy in the United States, or international conflicts?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Economy 24% 33% 14% 24% 27% 22% Climate change 7 - 18 6 7 8 Health care 7 4 9 8 5 8 Immigration 18 37 6 13 20 16 Abortion 3 3 4 4 2 5 Racial inequality 4 1 5 4 4 4 Crime 4 5 3 4 5 3 Preserving democracy 20 6 35 23 18 23 Intl conflicts 5 3 2 8 7 3 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 2 4 DK/NA 4 5 3 2 3 5
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Question 9. Would you say you are optimistic or pessimistic about freedom of speech being protected in the United States?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Optimistic 57% 82% 28% 59% 67% 49% Pessimistic 38 12 67 38 31 44 DK/NA 5 7 6 2 2 7
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Question 10. Do you approve or disapprove of how President Trump is handling the staffing of his administration?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 43% 88% 7% 37% 53% 34% Disapprove 45 5 85 51 37 53 DK/NA 12 7 7 12 10 13
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Question 11. Do you approve or disapprove of Elon Musk playing a prominent role in the Trump administration?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 39% 73% 6% 36% 48% 29% Disapprove 53 19 90 56 41 64 DK/NA 9 9 4 8 11 7
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Question 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling immigration issues?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 47% 88% 7% 47% 57% 38% Disapprove 46 7 90 47 35 55 DK/NA 7 5 3 7 7 7
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Question 13. As you may know, President Trump pardoned or commuted the sentences of more than 1,500 people who were involved in the January 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, including some convicted of violent acts. Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump's actions?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 37% 74% 3% 32% 47% 28% Disapprove 57 19 96 60 46 67 DK/NA 6 7 1 8 7 4
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Question 14. Do you approve or disapprove of President Biden issuing preemptive pardons for five members of his family who haven't been charged with any crimes?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 31% 11% 58% 28% 26% 35% Disapprove 62 87 35 63 68 57 DK/NA 7 3 7 9 5 8
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Question 15. Do you approve or disapprove of President Biden issuing preemptive pardons for some people who President Trump had targeted for retaliation?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 42% 11% 74% 45% 36% 48% Disapprove 44 74 16 43 51 38 DK/NA 14 15 9 12 14 14
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Question 16. Do you expect U.S. tariffs on goods made in other countries to help or hurt the U.S. economy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Help 42% 75% 8% 41% 49% 34% Hurt 48 13 84 51 42 54 NO DIFFERENCE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 DK/NA 9 11 8 6 7 11
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Question 17. Do you support or oppose deporting all undocumented immigrants and sending them back to their home countries? COMBINED WITH: (If oppose) Do you support or oppose deporting undocumented immigrants convicted of violent crimes?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Supp/Deport all 44% 78% 16% 42% 52% 37% Supp/Deport convictd 39 12 62 47 33 46 Oppose 6 1 13 4 5 7 DK/NA 10 10 9 8 10 10
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Question 18. Do you approve or disapprove of sending U.S. troops to the southern border with Mexico to enforce border security?
REGISTERED VOTERS.............................. Mltry Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Hshld Approve 60% 95% 29% 57% 69% 52% 70% Disapprove 36 5 68 40 28 45 26 DK/NA 3 - 2 4 3 4 4
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Question 19. As you may know, under the U.S. Constitution, all children born in the United States are automatically granted U.S. citizenship. Do you think all children born in the U.S. should continue to be automatically granted citizenship or do you think this should be changed so that children of non-citizens are no longer automatically granted citizenship?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Continue granting 61% 31% 92% 62% 57% 65% Change/Not grant 30 56 7 30 33 27 DK/NA 9 13 1 8 10 8
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Question 20. As you may know, the H-1B Visa program allows companies to hire skilled workers from other countries who meet certain requirements. Do you support or oppose this program?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 70% 61% 77% 71% 69% 70% Oppose 18 28 14 16 18 19 DK/NA 12 11 8 12 12 12
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Question 21. Do you think climate change played a role in the wildfires in Southern California, or don't you think so?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Played role 50% 14% 89% 53% 39% 60% No 45 82 9 40 53 36 DK/NA 6 5 2 8 8 4
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Question 22. If you were a victim of a disaster like the Southern California wildfires and lost your home and/or major belongings, how confident are you that your insurance provider would sufficiently compensate you for your losses; very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very confident 9% 11% 8% 10% 11% 8% Somewhat confident 26 26 30 23 25 26 Not so confident 26 23 27 27 24 28 Not confident at all 35 35 33 37 37 34 DK/NA 4 5 1 4 3 4
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Question 23. Would you say that you are optimistic or pessimistic that the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal will hold?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Optimistic 38% 50% 34% 34% 38% 38% Pessimistic 52 41 60 54 53 50 DK/NA 11 9 7 12 10 12
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Question 24. Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump's idea of the United States acquiring Greenland?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 28% 55% 4% 25% 37% 19% Disapprove 55 21 88 59 46 64 DK/NA 17 24 8 16 16 17
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Question 25. Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump's idea of the United States taking back control of the Panama Canal?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 44% 79% 10% 42% 54% 33% Disapprove 45 11 83 47 37 53 DK/NA 11 10 8 11 9 14
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Question 26. Which comes closer to your point of view: TikTok should be banned regardless of who owns the app, TikTok should be banned unless it is sold by its Chinese parent company, or TikTok should not be banned regardless of who owns the app?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Banned regardless 15% 12% 17% 17% 17% 13% Banned unless sold 34 47 23 34 37 31 Not banned 37 27 46 37 37 37 DK/NA 14 14 14 12 9 19