Christie Would Be Unhappy 'second Fiddle,' New Jersey Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Menendez Can't Break 50 Percent Against Unknown
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New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie would not be satisfied "playing second fiddle" as vice president, New Jersey voters say 52 - 36 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The only people who think the governor would be satisfied are Republicans, 49 - 39 percent. All other political, gender and regional groups say he would not be satisfied.
Christie gives no measurable boost to the Republican presidential effort in the Garden State as a ticket of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with Gov. Christie running for vice president trails President Barack Obama and Vice President Joseph Biden 50 - 42 percent.
In an Obama-Romney matchup, with no running mates named, the Democrat wins 49 - 39 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.
There is a big gender gap, even with Christie on the ticket, as men go 46 percent for the Republican slate to 43 percent for the Democrats while women go Democratic 56 - 38 percent. Republicans back their team 87 - 7 percent while Democrats stay loyal 90 - 5 percent. Independent voters are divided: 44 percent Republican and 43 percent Democratic.
"Gov. Christopher Christie is an in-the-spotlight soloist, in Trenton and on the national campaign trail. Would he be content to play second fiddle as vice president? New Jersey voters doubt it. They know their combative 'Jersey Guy' Gov and they continue to give him high marks on the way he does his job," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Color New Jersey blue. President Barack Obama beats Gov. Mitt Romney and Christie's presence on the Republican ticket doesn't help Romney."
New Jersey voters like President Obama and Gov. Christie best of the four national leaders, giving Obama a 54 - 41 percent favorability rating to Christie's 53 - 39 percent score. Romney has a negative 35 - 41 percent favorability and Biden gets a positive 41 - 34 percent score.
Voters approve 57 - 38 percent of the job Christie is doing, close to his all-time high 59 - 36 percent in an April 11 Quinnipiac University poll. Men approve 61 - 34 percent while women approve 53 - 41 percent. Approval is 87 - 11 percent among Republicans and 61 - 32 percent among independent voters. Democrats disapprove 63 - 30 percent.
New Jersey voters approve 53 - 43 percent of the job Obama is doing and say 52 - 44 percent he deserves to be reelected.
U.S. Senate Race
Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez leads State Sen. Joseph Kyrillos, the Republican challenger, 45 - 35 percent, compared to a 44 - 35 percent lead April 12. Democrats back Menendez 80 - 3 percent while Republicans back Kyrillos 79 - 7 percent. Independents back Menendez 39 - 33 percent. Women back the Democrat 47 - 29 percent while men are split 42 - 41 percent.
Menendez gets a 44 - 30 percent job approval rating and voters say 42 - 33 percent he deserves six more years in the U.S. Senate.
New Jersey voters have a 37 - 26 percent favorable opinion of Menendez, while 36 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion.
For Kyrillos, 75 percent don't know enough to form an opinion.
"We'll keep a close eye on this U.S. Senate race. Sen. Robert Menendez's lead is far from solid, running against State Sen. Joseph Kyrillos, who is about as close as a politician can get to anonymous," Carroll said. "As a long-time New Jersey power in Trenton and Washington, Menendez would feel a lot better if he could hit 50 percent on his approval rating and his matchup number."
From May 9 - 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,582 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 49% 5% 89% 44% 45% 52% 42% 92% Romney 39 84 2 41 44 34 45 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2 3 - DK/NA 8 7 7 10 6 10 8 5 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Obama 48% 39% 32% 38% 38% 46% Romney 41 47 56 49 52 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 4 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 4 3 3 DK/NA 8 8 8 8 5 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Obama 51% 47% 48% 54% 45% 53% 44% 47% 46% Romney 38 39 36 36 43 33 45 41 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 4 2 1 1 3 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 4 2 1 2 2 3 3 DK/NA 9 8 8 6 10 12 6 7 4
May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 Obama 49 49 49 48 49 47 Romney 39 40 39 38 40 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 4 4 3 3 DK/NA 8 7 7 9 7 7
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama/Biden 50% 7% 90% 43% 43% 56% 44% 93% Romney/Christie 42 87 5 44 46 38 48 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 - 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 - 2 3 1 2 - DK/NA 6 4 5 8 6 6 5 4 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Obama/Biden 50% 41% 35% 40% 37% 50% Romney/Christie 44 50 58 52 54 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 5 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Obama/Biden 53% 48% 51% 54% 46% 55% 44% 48% 43% Romney/Christie 40 42 38 39 46 36 48 45 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 2 - 1 1 2 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 3 DK/NA 5 7 5 5 7 8 4 5 3
May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 2012 2012 2012 Obama/Biden 50 49 49 Romney/Christie 42 42 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 DK/NA 6 6 5
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 54% 12% 89% 50% 49% 57% 47% 92% Unfavorable 41 83 8 42 45 37 47 4 Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 2 5 4 3 3 3 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 2 4 3 1 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 53% 43% 37% 44% 42% 52% Unfavorable 43 50 57 50 54 41 Hvn't hrd enough 2 3 1 3 3 3 REFUSED 2 3 5 2 2 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Favorable 55% 53% 58% 55% 51% 57% 47% 52% 53% Unfavorable 40 41 34 40 44 36 48 42 47 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 6 3 1 3 3 4 - REFUSED 3 3 3 2 4 4 2 2 -
FAVORABLE..... High Low May 16 Apr 12 Nov 16 Oct 13 Nov 19 Nov 19 Jan 25 2012 2012 2011 2011 2008 2008 2007 Favorable 54 52 50 47 64 64 41 Unfavorable 41 43 44 47 21 21 9 Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 3 3 11 11 49 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 4 4 1
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 35% 69% 8% 36% 39% 31% 38% 12% Unfavorable 41 12 67 37 39 43 39 52 Hvn't hrd enough 21 16 22 24 20 22 20 33 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 2 4 2 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 40% 37% 44% 45% 43% 34% Unfavorable 41 38 34 31 37 41 Hvn't hrd enough 17 22 17 22 18 22 REFUSED 2 3 5 2 2 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Favorable 37% 33% 28% 32% 40% 29% 41% 37% 46% Unfavorable 44 40 46 45 35 39 38 44 37 Hvn't hrd enough 17 24 25 21 20 27 20 16 16 REFUSED 3 3 - 2 5 4 1 2 1
FAVORABLE..... High Low May 16 Apr 12 Nov 16 Oct 13 Sep 26 Apr 12 Jan 25 2012 2012 2011 2011 2007 2012* 2007 Favorable 35 39 39 35 22 39 11 Unfavorable 41 37 29 31 27 37 12 Hvn't hrd enough 21 21 30 32 49 21 76 REFUSED 3 3 2 1 2 3 1
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 41% 15% 70% 35% 39% 43% 37% 69% Unfavorable 34 65 7 36 38 30 39 5 Hvn't hrd enough 24 18 21 28 21 26 22 24 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 45% 33% 29% 35% 34% 40% Unfavorable 37 39 48 42 44 34 Hvn't hrd enough 17 26 21 22 21 24 REFUSED 1 2 2 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Favorable 47% 37% 28% 45% 43% 42% 40% 43% 38% Unfavorable 34 34 24 34 38 26 41 36 45 Hvn't hrd enough 19 27 46 20 17 30 20 21 17 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 2 - 1 -
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 53% 84% 23% 57% 59% 47% 57% 23% Unfavorable 39 12 65 33 34 43 35 62 Hvn't hrd enough 7 3 9 8 6 8 6 14 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 1 2 2 2 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 55% 58% 67% 60% 63% 52% Unfavorable 39 33 25 31 31 39 Hvn't hrd enough 4 7 6 7 5 7 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Favorable 52% 53% 45% 54% 54% 47% 55% 54% 75% Unfavorable 40 38 41 40 37 42 37 41 21 Hvn't hrd enough 5 8 12 5 6 9 5 4 3 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 - 2
FAVORABLE..... High Low May 16 Jun 17 Jan 20 Nov 24 Jun 10 May 16 Aug 12 2012 2010 2010 2009 2009 2012 2008 Favorable 53 42 33 36 36 53 21 Unfavorable 39 40 27 25 16 39 7 Hvn't hrd enough 7 17 38 37 46 7 69 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 2 2 2
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Menendez 45% 7% 80% 39% 42% 47% 40% 77% Kyrillos 35 79 3 33 41 29 40 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - 1 - - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 1 2 1 2 DK/NA 19 14 15 26 15 22 19 14 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Menendez 57% 47% 34% 50% 35% Kyrillos 26 30 44 31 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 3 3 1 DK/NA 15 22 18 14 20
May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 2012 2012 2012 Menendez 45 44 49 Kyrillos 35 35 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 DK/NA 19 18 14
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 37% 10% 59% 36% 35% 38% 34% 50% Unfavorable 26 51 5 27 34 19 29 9 Hvn't hrd enough 36 38 34 36 30 41 36 37 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 4 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Favorable 53% 39% 30% 36% 28% Unfavorable 20 25 31 20 33 Hvn't hrd enough 27 35 37 43 35 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 3
May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 37 35 38 Unfavorable 26 27 24 Hvn't hrd enough 36 37 36 REFUSED 1 1 2
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 17% 35% 6% 15% 21% 13% 18% 11% Unfavorable 7 1 13 6 9 6 6 15 Hvn't hrd enough 75 62 81 78 69 81 76 72 REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 2 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Favorable 8% 17% 17% 14% 25% Unfavorable 8 8 7 6 6 Hvn't hrd enough 78 75 76 80 68 REFUSED 6 - - - -
May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 17 14 11 Unfavorable 7 6 6 Hvn't hrd enough 75 79 82 REFUSED 1 1 1
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 57% 87% 30% 61% 61% 53% 62% 28% Disapprove 38 11 63 32 34 41 34 64 DK/NA 6 2 7 7 5 7 4 8 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 47% 54% 67% 46% 70% Disapprove 45 41 30 44 26 DK/NA 8 5 3 9 5
APPROVE....... High Low May 16 Apr 11 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Apr 11 Jun 21 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011* Approve 57 59 55 53 56 59 44 Disapprove 38 36 38 39 38 36 47 DK/NA 6 5 7 8 6 5 10
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 25% 25% 25% 27% 30% 21% 27% 29% Disapprove 25 24 24 27 30 21 25 25 DK/NA 49 51 50 46 39 58 48 46 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 22% 23% 25% 29% 29% Disapprove 18 24 28 32 24 DK/NA 60 53 47 39 47
May 16 Apr 11 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 Approve 25 27 28 27 23 23 Disapprove 25 27 26 26 28 29 DK/NA 49 46 46 47 50 48
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 20% 13% 26% 20% 21% 19% 17% 42% Disapprove 19 25 13 20 24 15 20 16 DK/NA 61 61 61 59 55 66 63 42 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 31% 18% 18% 15% 22% Disapprove 13 20 25 19 19 DK/NA 56 62 58 65 58
APPROVAL...... High Low May 16 Apr 11 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Feb 29 Nov 16 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012* 2011** Approve 20 23 24 24 19 24 19 Disapprove 19 19 20 20 21 20 21 DK/NA 61 58 57 55 60 57 60
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 44% 16% 68% 44% 42% 46% 42% 62% Disapprove 30 59 6 32 38 23 33 12 DK/NA 26 25 26 25 20 31 25 26 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 61% 43% 37% 44% 41% Disapprove 23 28 39 26 36 DK/NA 17 29 24 30 23
APPROVE....... High Low May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Feb 29 Feb 20 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2008 Approve 44 45 48 42 43 48 30 Disapprove 30 31 31 39 34 31 31 DK/NA 26 24 21 20 23 21 39
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 46% 26% 67% 43% 45% 47% 44% 69% Disapprove 34 58 12 39 40 29 38 11 DK/NA 20 16 22 18 15 24 18 20 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 58% 49% 40% 40% 45% Disapprove 25 32 43 34 37 DK/NA 17 19 17 27 18
APPROVE....... High Low May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Jul 27 Feb 20 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2000* 2008 Approve 46 46 49 42 45 55 39 Disapprove 34 34 36 43 38 22 31 DK/NA 20 20 15 15 17 23 29
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 53% 9% 88% 50% 48% 57% 47% 92% Disapprove 43 89 8 44 49 38 50 5 DK/NA 4 2 4 6 3 5 3 4 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Approve 52% 44% 37% 43% 42% 52% Disapprove 45 53 60 54 56 44 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 1 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Approve 54% 51% 63% 54% 47% 56% 49% 50% 46% Disapprove 41 45 34 43 49 39 50 45 52 DK/NA 4 4 3 3 4 5 1 5 2
APPROVE....... High Low May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Jun 10 Oct 13 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2009 2011 Approve 53 51 51 49 48 68 43 Disapprove 43 46 45 48 48 25 52 DK/NA 4 3 4 3 5 7 5
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very satisfied 5% 9% 2% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% Smwht satisfied 47 58 38 50 49 46 50 37 Smwht dissatisfied 29 20 39 25 28 30 29 36 Very dissatisfied 18 12 20 19 17 19 15 20 DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 1 - Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Very satisfied 5% 5% 4% 4% 7% Smwht satisfied 40 48 49 46 51 Smwht dissatisfied 35 28 28 32 24 Very dissatisfied 20 18 19 18 16 DK/NA - - - - 1
VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low May 16 Apr 11 Feb 29 Jan 19 Nov 16 Dec 26 Jun 17 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2000* 2010 Very satisfied 5 8 6 4 5 10 2 Smwht satisfied 47 45 44 38 40 61 22 Smwht dissatisfied 29 30 30 34 33 21 36 Very dissatisfied 18 16 20 24 22 7 39 DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 1 1
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 52% 8% 90% 50% 47% 57% 45% 97% No/Does not 44 90 6 45 50 39 51 3 DK/NA 4 2 4 5 3 5 4 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes/Deserves 51% 42% 35% 40% 39% 50% No/Does not 45 54 61 55 58 44 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 2 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Yes/Deserves 54% 51% 57% 54% 49% 57% 47% 49% 48% No/Does not 42 45 39 42 47 38 51 48 50 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 4 6 2 3 3
May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 Aug 17 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 52 51 51 49 50 47 45 No/Does not 44 46 44 46 45 48 49 DK/NA 4 3 5 6 5 5 6
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 42% 12% 69% 40% 42% 43% 40% 61% No/Does not 33 67 7 35 40 28 38 8 DK/NA 24 21 25 25 19 29 23 31 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Yes/Deserves 58% 43% 36% 43% 35% No/Does not 26 30 43 30 41 DK/NA 17 27 21 27 24
May 16 Apr 12 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 Aug 17 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 42 43 48 45 44 40 41 No/Does not 33 34 34 38 37 38 43 DK/NA 24 23 19 17 20 21 16
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Like 57% 82% 35% 61% 60% 54% 60% 41% Don't like 31 11 49 28 28 34 30 42 DK/NA 12 8 16 11 12 12 10 17 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Like 47% 56% 65% 50% 65% Don't like 40 32 28 34 24 DK/NA 13 13 7 16 11
LIKE....... High Low May 16 Apr 11 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Apr 11 Jun 21 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012* 2011 Like 57 59 56 55 55 59 49 Don't like 31 31 32 32 32 31 33 DK/NA 12 10 13 13 12 10 19
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Like 54% 85% 25% 58% 59% 49% 60% 27% Don't like 40 13 68 33 36 43 35 66 DK/NA 7 3 6 9 6 8 5 6 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Like 41% 51% 65% 47% 64% Don't like 54 41 31 45 30 DK/NA 5 7 5 9 6
LIKE....... High Low May 16 Apr 11 Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Apr 11 Jun 21 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011 Like 54 55 54 52 54 55 45 Don't like 40 39 42 44 40 39 49 DK/NA 7 6 5 4 6 6 6
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Agree 52% 39% 64% 52% 46% 57% 52% 66% Disagree 36 49 25 36 41 31 36 26 DK/NA 12 13 11 13 13 12 11 9 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Agree 55% 52% 47% 53% 52% Disagree 29 35 44 35 38 DK/NA 17 14 9 12 10
Demographic Summary