75% Of Voters Say Allow Witnesses In Senate Impeachment Trial, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 53% Say President Trump Not Telling Truth About Ukraine
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On week two of the Senate impeachment trial of President Donald Trump, registered voters say 75 - 20 percent that witnesses should be allowed to testify in the impeachment trial, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. Support for witness testimony includes 49 percent of Republicans, 95 percent of Democrats, and 75 percent of independents.
"There may be heated debate among lawmakers about whether witnesses should testify at the impeachment trial of President Trump, but it's a different story outside the Beltway. Three-quarters of American voters say witnesses should be allowed to testify, and that includes nearly half of Republican voters," said Quinnipiac University Poll Analyst Mary Snow.
On the question of whether President Trump should be removed from office, voters remain divided, as 48 percent say the Senate should not remove President Trump from office, while 47 percent say the Senate should. That compares to a January 13 poll, conducted prior to the start of the Senate impeachment trial, in which 48 percent said the president should not be removed from office, while 46 percent said he should.
Among voters who say President Trump should not be removed from office, 77 percent say the president did nothing wrong in his actions involving Ukraine, while 14 percent say he did something wrong.
The overwhelming majority of voters who have an opinion on whether the Senate should vote to remove President Trump or not, 89 percent, say they've already made up their minds, while 10 percent say they might change their minds.
PRESIDENT TRUMP AND UKRAINE
More than half of voters, 53 - 40 percent, say President Trump is not telling the truth about his actions involving Ukraine. There are sharp divides along party lines, with 89 percent of Republicans saying the president is telling the truth and 92 percent of Democrats saying he is not telling the truth. More independents, 56 percent, believe President Trump is not telling the truth, compared to the 33 percent who say he is telling the truth.
A majority of voters, 57 percent, say they would like President Trump to provide more details about his actions involving Ukraine, while 38 percent say they are satisfied with the explanation he has provided.
More than half of voters, 54 percent, believe President Trump abused his power regarding his actions involving Ukraine, while 42 percent say he did not.
A similar 52 percent think that President Trump obstructed Congress regarding its investigation of his actions involving Ukraine, while 42 percent think he did not.
Just over half of American voters, 52 percent, think the Trump administration's withholding of U.S. aid to Ukraine was not justified, while 34 percent say it was justified.
Voters continue to tune into news about impeachment, as 57 percent say they are paying a lot of attention. This compares to 59 percent who said they were paying a lot of attention in mid-December 2019, before the Senate trial began.
Despite the ongoing impeachment trial, President Trump matches his highest job approval rating since taking office, as 43 percent of voters approve of the job he's doing and 52 percent disapprove. Republicans approve 94 - 4 percent, while Democrats disapprove 95 - 3 percent and independents disapprove 53 - 38 percent.
SENATE REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS ON IMPEACHMENT PROCESS
Voters don't think senators on either side of the aisle are open minded about the impeachment process. Only 16 percent of voters say Senate Republicans are open minded about the impeachment process, while 76 percent say Senate Republicans have already made up their minds. Only 15 percent of voters say Senate Democrats are open minded about the impeachment process, while 79 percent say Senate Democrats have already made up their minds.
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
With days to go before the Iowa caucuses, former Vice President Joe Biden holds a modest lead in the Democratic primary for president. Biden gets 26 percent of the vote among Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic, while Senator Bernie Sanders gets 21 percent and Senator Elizabeth Warren receives 15 percent. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg receives 8 percent, Senator Amy Klobuchar gets 7 percent, former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg receives 6 percent, and businessman Andrew Yang gets 3 percent. No other candidate tops 2 percent.
In a January 13 poll, prior to the last debate, Biden had 25 percent of the vote, Sanders received 19 percent, Warren got 16 percent, Buttigieg had 8 percent, and Bloomberg got 6 percent.
"After months of leading national polls, Joe Biden's support is holding steady - but he no longer sits comfortably at the top of the Democratic presidential pack. Bernie Sanders' support breaks into the 20's for the first time, and Elizabeth Warren remains in third place. In their rearview mirror, small but steady moves are changing the line-up of candidates in single digits. There's not much daylight between Michael Bloomberg, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg as they are within a 2 point spread of one another," Snow added.
There is plenty of room for movement in the Democratic primary race as 55 percent of Democrats and independents who lean Democratic say they might change their mind about their vote, while 43 percent say their mind is made up.
Motivation to vote in the primary is sky high as two thirds of these voters, 67 percent, say they are extremely motivated to vote in the primary, 18 percent say they are very motivated, and 12 percent say they are somewhat motivated. Only 3 percent say they are not so motivated or not motivated at all.
A little more than three quarters, 78 percent, say they are choosing a candidate with their head, while 13 percent say they are choosing a candidate with their heart.
Less than half of these voters, 46 percent, say the Democratic primary debates have influenced their decision in choosing a candidate, while 51 percent say the debates haven't influenced their vote.
Only 21 percent say the results of the Iowa caucuses will influence their decision about which Democratic presidential candidate to support, while 73 percent say those results will not influence their decision.
Although the candidates have stepped up their criticism of each other, Democrats and Democratic leaners don't appear concerned about the party ultimately unifying behind a candidate, as 79 percent say the Democratic party will unite behind whoever wins the 2020 Democratic primary, while 14 percent say it will not.
Looking at the candidates' strengths, Biden does best on electability and leadership, while Sanders wins on honesty and empathy, and Warren gets the top spot on intelligence. Taking a closer look:
- Best chance of winning against Donald Trump: Biden 44 percent, Sanders 19 percent, Bloomberg 9 percent
- Best leader: Biden 31 percent, Sanders 18 percent, Warren 17 percent
- Cares the most about people like you: Sanders 28 percent, Biden 20 percent, Warren 19 percent
- Most honest: Sanders 26 percent, Biden 17 percent, Warren 14 percent
- Most intelligent: Warren 26 percent, Buttigieg 14 percent, Biden 13 percent
- Best policy ideas: Sanders 22 percent, Warren 21 percent, Biden 18 percent
THE SUPER BOWL
Slightly more American adults will be rooting for the Kansas City Chiefs than for the San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl, as 26 percent say they want the Chiefs to win, 21 percent want the 49ers to win, and 50 percent say they don't care who wins.
Most Americans, 56 percent, say they will be watching the Super Bowl, while 41 percent say they will not be watching the game.
From January 22 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,905 self-identified registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points and 2,170 adults with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points. The survey includes 827 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A lot 50% 54% 57% 42% 53% 47% 56% 45% Some 28 28 27 30 26 29 31 30 Only a little 15 12 10 21 15 15 9 17 None at all 7 6 5 7 6 7 4 8 DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A lot 39% 45% 56% 59% 53% 49% 50% 48% 42% Some 30 32 25 26 29 31 30 21 23 Only a little 24 14 13 10 12 14 13 21 24 None at all 6 9 6 4 6 6 6 10 6 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - - - - 5 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No A lot 55% 68% 53% 50% 57% 53% 60% 49% 64% 53% Some 27 21 31 28 24 29 28 20 28 30 Only a little 12 9 12 13 13 11 7 20 7 8 None at all 6 2 4 8 6 6 4 11 1 8 DK/NA 1 - - - - 1 - - - - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ A lot 57% 48% 45% 47% 58% 66% 42% 62% 61% Some 27 25 35 28 24 22 31 23 27 Only a little 10 19 20 14 9 6 15 13 8 None at all 5 8 - 12 9 4 10 2 4 DK/NA 1 - - - - 1 3 - -
Trend TREND: How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
OnlyA None A lot Some Little AtAll DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 50 28 15 7 1 Jan 13, 2020 51 28 14 8 - Dec 16, 2019 54 25 14 7 - Dec 10, 2019 51 29 15 6 - Nov 26, 2019 49 29 15 7 1 Oct 24, 2019 51 27 14 7 - Oct 14, 2019 54 25 11 9 - Oct 08, 2019 53 24 15 8 - Sep 25, 2019 48 25 17 8 1 Aug 28, 2019 47 30 16 6 1 See additional trend information at top of page
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Question 2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Tulsi Gabbard, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Michael Bennet, Tom Steyer, Deval Patrick, and Michael Bloomberg, for whom would you vote?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 26% 17% 19% 33% 26% 25% 21% 49% 21% 20% Sanders 21 35 22 13 26 17 18 17 16 22 Warren 15 27 19 8 12 18 16 7 18 14 Klobuchar 7 3 8 8 6 7 9 2 13 3 Gabbard 1 - 1 2 2 1 2 - 2 1 Delaney - - - - 1 - - 1 - - Buttigieg 6 5 5 7 7 5 9 - 9 11 Yang 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 Bennet - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 Steyer 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 5 Patrick - - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 8 3 11 9 7 8 10 7 9 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 11 5 10 14 9 13 9 12 8 10 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 28% 17% 3% 25% 36% 36% 30% 24% 24% Sanders 20 24 53 16 11 7 28 22 14 Warren 17 9 23 19 12 9 12 20 17 Klobuchar 6 8 - 5 10 10 4 7 8 Gabbard 1 3 1 4 1 - - 2 2 Delaney - - - - 1 - - - - Buttigieg 5 9 4 7 5 7 3 8 9 Yang 3 3 4 5 2 - 4 2 4 Bennet - - - - 1 1 - - 1 Steyer 1 5 1 3 3 1 2 2 1 Patrick - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 7 9 2 8 4 14 5 4 13 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 11 11 7 7 14 15 13 9 8 ATTN TO PRES CAMPAIGN Q1 MOTIVATED TO VOTE Q9...... Little/ Smwht/NotSo/ A lot Some None Extr Very NotAtAll Biden 28% 22% 24% 26% 24% 26% Sanders 17 29 23 20 28 18 Warren 17 15 10 17 15 9 Klobuchar 9 6 2 8 5 1 Gabbard 1 1 2 1 - 5 Delaney - - 1 - - - Buttigieg 7 6 2 5 6 7 Yang 2 3 4 3 4 1 Bennet - - 1 1 - - Steyer 1 3 3 2 - 3 Patrick - - - - - - Bloomberg 9 6 7 7 8 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 9 7 21 10 11 21 CHOOSE CANDIDATE W/ Q11 Head Heart Biden 27% 36% Sanders 25 16 Warren 17 17 Klobuchar 8 6 Gabbard 2 - Delaney - 2 Buttigieg 7 6 Yang 2 9 Bennet - - Steyer 2 4 Patrick - - Bloomberg 9 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - DK/NA - -
Trend TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Tulsi Gabbard, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Michael Bennet, Tom Steyer, Deval Patrick, and Michael Bloomberg, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through Mar 2019)
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................... Jan 28 Jan 13 Dec 16 Dec 10 Nov 26 Oct 24 Oct 14 Oct 08 Sep 25 2020 2020 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 Biden 26 25 30 29 24 21 27 26 25 Sanders 21 19 16 17 13 15 11 16 16 Warren 15 16 17 15 14 28 30 29 27 Klobuchar 7 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 Gabbard 1 1 1 2 1 1 - - 1 Delaney - - - 1 - - - - - Buttigieg 6 8 9 9 16 10 8 4 7 Yang 3 5 3 4 2 1 2 3 2 Bennet - 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 1 Steyer 2 1 1 1 - 1 2 - - Patrick - 1 - - - na na na na Bloomberg 8 6 7 5 3 na na na na Booker na 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 - Castro na na 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 Williamson na na - 1 - - - - - Bullock na na na na - - - - - Harris na na na na 3 5 4 3 3 Sestak na na na na - - - - - Messam na na na na na - - - - O'Rourke na na na na na 1 2 1 2 Ryan na na na na na - - 1 - de Blasio na na na na na na na na na Gillibrand na na na na na na na na na Gravel na na na na na na na na na Hickenlooper na na na na na na na na na Inslee na na na na na na na na na Moulton na na na na na na na na na Swalwell na na na na na na na na na SMONE ELSE - - - - - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE - 1 - 1 1 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 11 11 10 11 11 9 8 8 13
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Question 2a. (If candidate chosen q2) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.................... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2............................. CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2................... Tot Biden Sanders Warren Bloomberg Klobuchar Made up 43% 51% 56% 36% 26% 20% Might change 55 49 43 62 69 80 DK/NA 1 - 1 2 4 -
Trend TREND: (If candidate chosen) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS CANDIDATE CHOSEN..... MadeUp Change DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 43 55 1 Jan 13, 2020 35 63 1 Dec 16, 2019 38 61 1 Dec 10, 2019 39 59 2 Nov 26, 2019 33 64 3 Sep 25, 2019 34 63 3
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Question 2b. (If candidate chosen q2) Who is your second choice?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.................... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2................... Tot Biden Sanders Warren Bloomberg Klobuchar Biden 15% - 22% 20% 33% 22% Sanders 11 13 - 35 4 9 Warren 17 17 44 - 13 17 Klobuchar 7 16 1 9 4 - Gabbard 1 1 3 - - - Delaney - 1 1 - - - Buttigieg 12 9 12 15 16 36 Yang 4 2 6 9 - 3 Bennet - - - - 1 1 Steyer 2 2 3 1 4 1 Patrick - 1 - - - - Bloomberg 5 13 1 3 - 8 No first choice 12 - - - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - - - DK/NA 13 25 7 6 25 3
Trend TREND: (If candidate chosen) Who is your second choice?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... Jan 28 Jan 13 Dec 16 Dec 10 Nov 26 2020 2020 2019 2019 2019 Biden 15 13 13 13 12 Sanders 11 18 14 11 11 Warren 17 19 21 16 20 Klobuchar 7 3 5 5 4 Gabbard 1 1 1 - 1 Delaney - - - - - Buttigieg 12 7 9 11 10 Yang 4 2 2 3 2 Bennet - - - - - Steyer 2 2 1 1 1 Patrick - 1 - 1 - Bloomberg 5 7 6 4 2 Booker na 4 3 4 2 Castro na na 1 - - Williamson na na - 1 - Bullock na na na na - Harris na na na na 6 Sestak na na na na - No first choice 12 12 10 12 12 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1 - DK/NA 13 11 14 16 16
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Question 3. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - would be the best leader?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 31% 22% 24% 37% 27% 33% 25% 52% 26% 24% Sanders 18 29 20 11 23 15 16 15 14 18 Warren 17 28 22 8 13 19 19 7 20 17 Klobuchar 6 3 8 6 4 6 8 1 11 3 Gabbard 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 - 1 - Delaney - - - - 1 - - 1 - - Buttigieg 5 4 2 7 7 3 7 - 8 6 Yang 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 4 2 3 Bennet - - - - - - - - - - Steyer 1 1 - 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 Patrick - - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 9 4 12 10 9 9 11 8 10 12 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - 1 - - DK/NA 11 7 9 12 11 11 9 10 7 14 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 32% 26% 14% 26% 40% 39% 33% 27% 29% Sanders 16 25 41 18 12 5 24 18 13 Warren 19 7 26 20 12 11 11 20 20 Klobuchar 5 6 1 5 9 6 3 7 7 Gabbard 1 2 1 2 1 1 - 1 1 Delaney - - - - 1 - 1 - - Buttigieg 4 7 4 5 7 4 2 7 7 Yang 2 3 4 4 - - 4 2 1 Bennet - - - - - - - - - Steyer 1 3 - 3 2 1 1 2 1 Patrick - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 9 10 2 10 7 16 5 5 16 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - - - 1 - DK/NA 11 10 6 7 9 17 15 9 5
Trend TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think would be the best leader?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................... Jan 28 Dec 16 Nov 26 Oct 24 Oct 14 Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Apr 30 2020 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 Biden 31 32 26 28 32 33 36 26 44 Sanders 18 14 12 13 9 13 12 15 11 Warren 17 19 19 24 28 22 17 15 11 Klobuchar 6 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 Gabbard 1 1 - - - 1 - 1 - Delaney - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 5 6 12 8 7 5 5 4 7 Yang 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 - - Bennet - - - - - - - - na Steyer 1 1 - - 1 - - na na Patrick - - - na na na na na na Bloomberg 9 8 3 na na na na na na Booker na 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 2 Castro na 1 - - 1 1 - 1 1 Williamson na - - - - - 1 - - Bullock na na - - - - - - na Harris na na 4 4 4 7 9 16 6 Sestak na na - - - - - - na Messam na na na - - - - - - O'Rourke na na na 1 1 1 1 1 3 Ryan na na na - - - - - - de Blasio na na na na na - - - na Gillibrand na na na na na - - - 1 Gravel na na na na na - - - na Hickenlooper na na na na na - - - - Inslee na na na na na - - - - Moulton na na na na na - - - - Swalwell na na na na na na na - - SMONE ELSE - - 1 1 1 - - - - DK/NA 11 12 15 13 11 12 15 15 12
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Question 4. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best policy ideas?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 18% 11% 14% 23% 13% 21% 15% 30% 14% 18% Sanders 22 38 22 13 26 19 20 20 19 22 Warren 21 30 27 13 20 21 21 10 26 14 Klobuchar 6 3 7 7 6 6 8 3 10 4 Gabbard - - - 1 1 - - - 1 - Delaney - - - - 1 - - 1 - - Buttigieg 6 5 7 6 5 6 10 - 11 8 Yang 3 3 1 4 4 2 4 3 4 4 Bennet - - - - - - - - - - Steyer 2 2 1 3 1 3 4 - 2 7 Patrick - - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 6 1 5 9 7 5 6 6 5 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 16 7 16 19 15 16 11 27 9 14 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 20% 12% 3% 12% 24% 29% 22% 14% 15% Sanders 21 26 50 23 13 6 25 25 17 Warren 22 16 26 22 22 15 15 23 26 Klobuchar 6 8 2 4 8 8 2 8 8 Gabbard - 1 1 1 1 - - 1 1 Delaney - - - - 1 - 1 - - Buttigieg 6 6 5 8 6 6 3 5 11 Yang 2 5 5 1 3 1 3 3 4 Bennet - - - - - - - - - Steyer 2 4 1 3 2 3 2 2 2 Patrick - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 6 7 - 3 6 10 4 3 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 16 15 7 22 14 20 22 16 7
Trend TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best policy ideas?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................... Jan 28 Dec 16 Nov 26 Oct 24 Oct 14 Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Apr 30 2020 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 Biden 18 23 15 15 16 17 21 11 23 Sanders 22 19 15 20 12 16 16 18 16 Warren 21 19 23 30 40 32 26 31 19 Klobuchar 6 3 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 Gabbard - 1 - - - 1 1 1 - Delaney - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 6 8 14 9 6 5 5 3 9 Yang 3 4 3 2 2 1 2 - 1 Bennet - - 1 - - - - - na Steyer 2 1 1 - 1 - - na na Patrick - - - na na na na na na Bloomberg 6 4 - na na na na na na Booker na 2 - 1 1 1 1 2 1 Castro na 1 1 - - - 1 1 - Williamson na - - - - - 1 - - Bullock na na - - - - - - na Harris na na 2 4 1 5 6 8 7 Sestak na na - - - - - - na Messam na na na - - - - - - O'Rourke na na na 1 2 1 1 - 2 Ryan na na na - - - - - - de Blasio na na na na na - - - na Gillibrand na na na na na - - - 1 Gravel na na na na na - - - na Hickenlooper na na na na na - - - - Inslee na na na na na 1 - - 1 Moulton na na na na na - - - - Swalwell na na na na na na na - - SMONE ELSE - - 1 1 - - - - - DK/NA 16 16 19 13 16 17 20 22 19
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Question 5. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 44% 36% 42% 51% 41% 46% 42% 57% 47% 33% Sanders 19 35 20 10 23 15 17 14 15 20 Warren 7 11 11 2 4 8 7 5 7 8 Klobuchar 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 - 2 2 Gabbard - - - - 1 - - - - - Delaney - - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 2 1 2 3 3 1 3 - 3 2 Yang 1 1 - 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 Bennet - - - - - - - - - - Steyer 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - - 3 Patrick - - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 9 4 8 12 9 8 10 10 9 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - 1 - - DK/NA 16 10 16 16 14 16 16 11 14 20 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 46% 40% 25% 45% 54% 51% 43% 40% 49% Sanders 17 25 45 24 7 5 22 22 15 Warren 8 3 11 5 5 6 5 11 6 Klobuchar 1 3 - 1 4 2 1 2 2 Gabbard - - - - - 1 - - - Delaney - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 4 1 Yang 2 1 3 3 - - 3 1 1 Bennet - - - - - - - - - Steyer - 1 - 3 - - 1 1 - Patrick - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 9 8 2 6 7 16 8 5 13 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - - - 1 - DK/NA 16 15 10 11 21 18 17 13 13
Trend TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................... Jan 28 Dec 16 Nov 26 Oct 24 Oct 14 Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Apr 30 2020 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 Biden 44 44 46 42 48 49 51 42 56 Sanders 19 15 10 14 7 12 10 13 12 Warren 7 9 10 20 21 9 8 9 3 Klobuchar 2 1 1 1 - - - - - Gabbard - 1 1 - - - - 1 - Delaney - - - - - - 1 - - Buttigieg 2 3 6 2 2 1 1 1 4 Yang 1 1 1 - - 1 - - - Bennet - - 1 - - - - - na Steyer 1 - - 1 1 - - na na Patrick - - - na na na na na na Bloomberg 9 7 3 na na na na na na Booker na - - 1 1 1 1 1 3 Castro na - - - - - - - - Williamson na - - - - - - - - Bullock na na - - - - - - na Harris na na 1 3 1 6 8 14 2 Sestak na na - - - - - - na Messam na na na - - - - - - O'Rourke na na na - 1 2 - - 3 Ryan na na na - - 1 - - - de Blasio na na na na na - - - na Gillibrand na na na na na - - - 1 Gravel na na na na na - - - na Hickenlooper na na na na na - - - - Inslee na na na na na - - - - Moulton na na na na na - - - - Swalwell na na na na na na na - - SMONE ELSE - - - 1 - 1 - - 1 DK/NA 16 19 20 15 16 17 20 17 15
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Question 6. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - cares the most about people like you?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 20% 12% 11% 27% 16% 22% 14% 41% 14% 15% Sanders 28 40 37 17 32 26 26 22 24 30 Warren 19 25 23 15 16 21 22 13 25 17 Klobuchar 4 3 6 4 3 5 5 2 8 2 Gabbard - - 1 1 1 - - - 1 - Delaney - - - 1 - - - - - - Buttigieg 6 5 6 6 7 5 9 - 8 10 Yang 3 3 1 4 4 1 3 2 3 5 Bennet - 1 - - - - - - - - Steyer 2 1 1 3 1 3 3 - 2 5 Patrick - - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 5 1 5 7 7 4 5 5 5 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 DK/NA 12 9 9 14 12 12 10 14 11 9 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 20% 19% 2% 11% 28% 32% 22% 18% 16% Sanders 28 29 64 29 15 13 29 35 25 Warren 21 13 19 23 22 15 16 18 24 Klobuchar 4 6 2 - 6 7 1 6 6 Gabbard - 1 - 1 1 - - 1 1 Delaney - - - - 1 - 1 - - Buttigieg 6 5 3 6 6 7 3 7 8 Yang 2 4 5 5 1 - 3 2 3 Bennet - - - 1 - 1 1 - - Steyer 2 3 - 3 5 2 3 1 2 Patrick - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 5 6 - 5 5 7 4 1 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - DK/NA 12 13 4 16 10 16 17 11 6
Trend TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think cares the most about people like you?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.. Jan 28 Dec 16 Nov 26 Oct 24 2020 2019 2019 2019 Biden 20 20 19 14 Sanders 28 24 24 28 Warren 19 19 18 24 Klobuchar 4 3 5 3 Gabbard - 1 - - Delaney - - - - Buttigieg 6 6 8 7 Yang 3 3 2 1 Bennet - - 1 - Steyer 2 1 1 1 Patrick - - - na Bloomberg 5 2 1 na Booker na 3 2 1 Castro na 1 2 1 Williamson na - - - Bullock na na - - Harris na na 2 5 Sestak na na - - Messam na na na - O'Rourke na na na 1 Ryan na na na - SMONE ELSE - - 1 - DK/NA 12 17 15 12
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Question 7. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - is the most honest?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 17% 12% 13% 21% 13% 20% 14% 32% 13% 15% Sanders 26 36 32 18 29 24 23 20 21 28 Warren 14 25 16 7 13 15 14 15 17 10 Klobuchar 5 4 7 6 6 5 8 1 10 5 Gabbard 1 - 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 - Delaney - - - 1 1 - - 1 - - Buttigieg 6 5 5 8 7 6 8 4 10 6 Yang 5 4 4 6 6 4 5 4 7 3 Bennet - - - - - - - - - - Steyer 2 2 2 3 1 3 3 1 2 5 Patrick - - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 5 1 6 7 6 4 5 6 4 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 17 9 15 21 17 17 17 17 14 22 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 18% 15% 2% 12% 20% 29% 19% 16% 14% Sanders 26 26 55 27 18 10 28 28 24 Warren 15 8 19 17 13 8 11 18 16 Klobuchar 6 4 1 4 6 10 3 5 7 Gabbard - 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 Delaney 1 - - - 2 - 1 - - Buttigieg 6 8 3 8 7 8 5 6 8 Yang 5 6 10 4 5 2 4 5 7 Bennet - - - - - 1 - - - Steyer 2 4 - 4 3 3 2 2 3 Patrick - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 5 5 - 3 7 8 4 2 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - 1 - - - - DK/NA 16 21 9 20 18 20 21 15 12
Trend TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think is the most honest?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.. Jan 28 Dec 16 Nov 26 Oct 24 2020 2019 2019 2019 Biden 17 18 15 15 Sanders 26 28 25 28 Warren 14 10 14 15 Klobuchar 5 4 2 4 Gabbard 1 1 - 1 Delaney - - - - Buttigieg 6 8 13 11 Yang 5 4 3 2 Bennet - - 1 - Steyer 2 1 - 1 Patrick - - - na Bloomberg 5 3 - na Booker na 3 2 2 Castro na 1 1 1 Williamson na - - - Bullock na na - - Harris na na 2 2 Sestak na na - - Messam na na na - O'Rourke na na na 2 Ryan na na na - SMONE ELSE - - 1 - DK/NA 17 21 20 17
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Question 8. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - is the most intelligent?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 13% 9% 7% 16% 8% 16% 8% 28% 7% 9% Sanders 12 22 12 7 14 11 10 12 7 15 Warren 26 38 32 18 25 27 30 19 36 21 Klobuchar 3 1 4 4 3 3 4 1 4 5 Gabbard 1 - - 2 2 - 1 - 1 - Delaney - - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 14 13 14 16 16 12 17 8 20 14 Yang 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 4 5 4 Bennet - 1 - - - - - - - - Steyer 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 - 1 4 Patrick - - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 6 1 6 9 7 5 7 6 5 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - 1 - - DK/NA 17 10 17 21 17 17 16 20 15 19 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 14% 10% 7% 8% 15% 17% 20% 9% 8% Sanders 12 14 28 12 8 5 18 11 6 Warren 29 17 30 37 26 17 16 35 33 Klobuchar 3 4 1 1 4 6 2 2 4 Gabbard 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Delaney - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 14 14 9 11 17 18 8 17 19 Yang 5 6 10 5 6 2 5 3 9 Bennet - - - 1 - - - - - Steyer 1 4 2 3 1 1 3 2 1 Patrick - - - - - - - - - Bloomberg 5 9 - 5 9 9 6 4 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - - - 1 - DK/NA 17 20 12 17 13 23 21 16 12
Trend TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think is the most intelligent?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Jan 28 Dec 16 Nov 26 2020 2019 2019 Biden 13 11 11 Sanders 12 13 9 Warren 26 23 22 Klobuchar 3 2 2 Gabbard 1 1 - Delaney - 1 - Buttigieg 14 15 22 Yang 5 4 4 Bennet - - - Steyer 2 1 - Patrick - 1 - Bloomberg 6 7 1 Booker na 1 2 Castro na - 1 Williamson na - - Bullock na na - Harris na na 4 Sestak na na - SMONE ELSE - - 1 DK/NA 17 21 21
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Question 9. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) How motivated are you to vote in the Democratic primary in your state: extremely motivated, very motivated, somewhat motivated, not so motivated, or not motivated at all?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Extremely motivated 67% 76% 61% 67% 64% 68% 72% 64% 76% 65% Very motivated 18 16 26 14 19 17 15 19 10 24 Somewhat motivated 12 5 9 14 12 12 8 16 9 6 Not so motivated 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 1 2 3 Not motivated at all 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Extremely motivated 68% 61% 60% 61% 73% 73% 57% 69% 73% Very motivated 18 18 27 15 14 16 22 19 14 Somewhat motivated 11 13 11 18 9 7 17 8 8 Not so motivated 2 4 - 5 3 1 2 2 3 Not motivated at all 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 DK/NA - 3 - 1 1 2 1 1 1
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Question 10. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Have the Democratic primary debates influenced your decision in choosing a candidate, or not?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes/Influenced 46% 56% 44% 42% 41% 49% 45% 38% 48% 39% No 51 44 53 56 57 47 52 59 50 56 DK/NA 3 - 3 2 2 4 3 3 1 6 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes/Influenced 46% 44% 59% 48% 40% 37% 47% 46% 45% No 50 55 39 51 55 60 48 52 54 DK/NA 4 1 2 - 5 3 5 2 1
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Question 11. (If candidate chosen q2) Would you say you are choosing a candidate with your head or your heart?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2................................................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Head 78% 80% 78% 78% 83% 74% 84% 63% 84% 85% Heart 13 12 11 14 13 13 10 21 10 9 DK/NA 9 9 11 7 4 13 6 15 6 7 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Head 76% 83% 82% 81% 74% 80% 71% 84% 81% Heart 15 8 11 13 17 12 15 11 12 DK/NA 9 9 7 6 9 8 13 4 7 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2................... Biden Sanders Warren Bloomberg Klobuchar Head 72% 82% 76% 81% 87% Heart 17 9 13 6 11 DK/NA 11 9 11 13 2
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Question 12. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Do you think the results of the Iowa caucuses will influence your decision about which Democratic presidential candidate to support, or don't you think so?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes/Will influence 21% 23% 19% 21% 22% 20% 20% 16% 20% 20% No 73 70 74 75 76 71 76 74 76 74 DK/NA 7 7 7 4 2 9 5 10 4 6 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes/Will influence 22% 14% 30% 23% 19% 14% 21% 19% 24% No 70 83 64 73 79 78 71 73 73 DK/NA 8 3 6 4 2 8 7 8 4
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Question 13. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Do you think the Democratic party will unite behind whoever wins the 2020 primary, or not?
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes 79% 77% 81% 80% 76% 81% 80% 73% 83% 75% No 14 19 10 14 19 11 14 15 11 18 DK/NA 7 4 9 6 5 8 6 12 5 7 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes 80% 76% 66% 80% 84% 86% 73% 84% 83% No 13 20 28 17 11 5 18 13 13 DK/NA 8 3 6 3 6 9 9 3 4 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2................... Biden Sanders Warren Bloomberg Klobuchar Yes 82% 71% 82% 81% 93% No 11 27 9 9 6 DK/NA 6 2 8 9 2
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Question 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No WhtEvang Approve 43% 94% 3% 38% 49% 37% 44% 58% 75% Disapprove 52 4 95 53 46 59 54 36 21 DK/NA 5 2 3 8 6 4 3 5 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 31% 44% 49% 41% 55% 47% 51% 12% 26% Disapprove 61 51 48 55 39 50 45 82 62 DK/NA 7 4 3 4 6 3 4 6 11
Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
App Dis DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 43 52 5 Jan 13, 2020 43 52 5 Dec 16, 2019 43 52 5 Dec 10, 2019 41 55 4 Nov 26, 2019 40 54 6 Oct 23, 2019 38 58 5 Oct 14, 2019 41 54 5 Oct 08, 2019 40 54 6 Sep 30, 2019 41 53 6 Sep 25, 2019 40 55 5 See additional trend information at top of page
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Question 14a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q14) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No WhtEvang Approve strongly 34% 83% 1% 24% 40% 29% 33% 51% 65% Approve smwht 8 10 1 14 8 7 11 6 9 Disapprove smwht 6 2 4 11 7 5 4 6 4 Disapprove strongly 47 2 91 43 39 54 49 30 17 DK/NA 5 3 3 8 6 4 3 6 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 24% 29% 42% 36% 45% 39% 42% 9% 19% Approve smwht 7 15 7 5 9 8 9 3 7 Disapprove smwht 13 5 4 2 5 5 5 4 10 Disapprove strongly 48 46 43 52 34 45 40 78 52 DK/NA 7 5 4 5 6 3 5 6 11
Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
APPROVE...... DISAPPROVE..... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 34 8 6 47 5 Jan 13, 2020 34 9 6 46 6 Dec 16, 2019 34 9 5 46 6 Dec 10, 2019 31 10 5 49 4 Nov 26, 2019 32 7 4 50 6 Oct 23, 2019 28 9 4 53 5 Oct 14, 2019 31 10 5 48 5 Oct 08, 2019 29 11 6 47 7 Sep 30, 2019 35 6 4 48 7 Sep 25, 2019 29 11 7 48 5 See additional trend information at top of page
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Question 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mitch McConnell is handling his job as Majority Leader of the U.S. Senate?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 33% 68% 6% 32% 38% 28% 35% 40% Disapprove 50 16 81 49 47 53 54 42 DK/NA 17 16 12 19 14 19 11 18 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 22% 25% 43% 38% 41% 35% 38% 17% 25% Disapprove 51 54 48 51 46 50 48 65 50 DK/NA 27 21 9 11 13 16 14 17 25
Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mitch McConnell is handling his job as Majority Leader of the U.S. Senate?
App Dis DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 33 50 17 Jan 13, 2020 36 49 15 Oct 23, 2019 24 57 19 Sep 30, 2019 28 57 15 Apr 25, 2018 22 62 16
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Question 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chuck Schumer is handling his job as Minority Leader of the U.S. Senate?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 35% 11% 62% 31% 32% 37% 42% 23% Disapprove 44 72 18 46 49 39 42 55 DK/NA 21 16 19 24 18 24 16 22 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 24% 33% 37% 46% 30% 36% 33% 54% 32% Disapprove 37 44 50 40 53 44 48 23 32 DK/NA 39 23 14 13 17 21 19 22 35
Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chuck Schumer is handling his job as Minority Leader of the U.S. Senate?
App Dis DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 35 44 21 Jan 13, 2020 36 46 19 Apr 25, 2018 34 46 20
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Question 17. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Almost all the time 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 4% Most of the time 14 15 16 11 14 13 16 14 Some of the time 51 50 55 51 50 53 56 47 Hardly ever 30 27 26 34 31 29 25 31 DK/NA 2 4 1 2 2 3 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Almost all the time 3% - 2% 5% 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% Most of the time 14 10 14 18 15 15 15 7 16 Some of the time 53 52 53 48 51 52 51 55 56 Hardly ever 29 36 30 27 29 27 28 33 24 DK/NA 1 2 1 3 2 3 2 - 3
Trend TREND: How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever?
Almost Hardly All Most Some Ever DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 3 14 51 30 2 Jan 24, 2018 2 12 54 30 1 Mar 22, 2017 1 16 56 26 2 Feb 07, 2017 4 19 47 29 2 Jan 10, 2017 2 16 52 27 3 Aug 31, 2015 2 13 51 34 1 Nov 26, 2014 2 12 50 34 1 Jul 02, 2014 2 12 49 37 1 Jan 21, 2014 2 13 50 33 2 Dec 10, 2013 1 11 46 41 1 See additional trend information at top of page
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Question 18. (Intro: As you may know, the House of Representatives has voted to impeach President Trump following their investigation into the president's actions involving Ukraine. The Senate is holding a trial to decide whether or not he should be removed from office.) Do you think the Senate should vote to remove President Trump from office, or don't you think so?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Vote to remove 47% 2% 92% 44% 39% 55% 49% 31% No 48 97 4 48 56 41 48 65 DK/NA 5 - 4 8 5 4 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Vote to remove 52% 48% 43% 51% 34% 45% 40% 77% 58% No 43 47 54 44 61 52 57 15 34 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 4 3 3 7 9
Trend TREND: Do you think the Senate should vote to remove President Trump from office, or don't you think so?
Yes/ Vote No DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 47 48 5 Jan 13, 2020 46 48 6
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Question 18a. (If response on removal q18) Is your mind made up about whether the Senate should vote to remove President Trump from office, or do you think you might change your mind?
HAVE RESPONSE ON REMOVAL Q18............................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Made up 89% 93% 92% 84% 87% 90% 88% 89% Might change 10 5 8 15 11 9 10 9 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Made up 80% 90% 91% 92% 87% 90% 89% 95% 83% Might change 19 9 9 6 10 9 10 4 16 DK/NA 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 VOTE TO REMOVE Q18 Yes No Made up 91% 87% Might change 8 12 DK/NA 1 2
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Question 18b. (If no to removal q18) Would you say that President Trump did something wrong in his actions involving Ukraine, or would you say that he did nothing wrong in his actions involving Ukraine?
NO TO REMOVAL Q18..................... WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Men Wom Yes No Did something wrong 14% 14% 14% 15% 12% Did nothing wrong 77 77 77 75 80 DK/NA 9 8 9 10 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Did something wrong 22% 23% 11% 8% 13% 13% Did nothing wrong 68 70 82 84 78 77 DK/NA 11 7 7 8 9 10
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Question 18c. Do you think the Senate should vote to remove President Trump from office, or don't you think so? COMBINED WITH: (If no to removal q18) Would you say that President Trump did something wrong in his actions involving Ukraine, or would you say that he did nothing wrong in his actions involving Ukraine?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Vote to remove 47% 2% 92% 44% 39% 55% 49% 31% No to remove/ Did something wrong 7 7 2 12 8 6 7 7 No to remove/ Did nothing wrong 37 85 2 30 43 31 36 52 DK/NA 9 5 4 15 10 8 8 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Vote to remove 52% 48% 43% 51% 34% 45% 40% 77% 58% No to remove/ Did something wrong 9 11 6 4 8 7 7 4 7 No to remove/ Did nothing wrong 29 33 44 37 48 40 44 11 25 DK/NA 10 8 7 8 10 8 9 7 11
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Question 19. How much attention have you been paying to news about impeachment: a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A lot 57% 63% 61% 48% 60% 54% 64% 56% Some 29 23 29 35 28 31 28 28 Only a little 11 11 7 14 9 13 7 13 None at all 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 DK/NA - - - - - - - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A lot 43% 51% 64% 71% 62% 58% 60% 48% 49% Some 41 35 23 20 26 29 28 36 32 Only a little 14 12 10 7 10 10 10 13 16 None at all 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 DK/NA - - - - - - - 1 -
Trend TREND: How much attention have you been paying to news about impeachment: a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
OnlyA None A lot Some Little AtAll DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 57 29 11 2 - Dec 16, 2019 59 26 12 3 - Nov 26, 2019 59 27 10 4 - Oct 08, 2019 61 25 10 3 1
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Question 20. Do you think witnesses should be allowed to testify in the Senate impeachment trial of President Trump, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Be allowed 75% 49% 95% 75% 70% 79% 73% 68% No 20 43 3 18 26 15 22 26 DK/NA 5 8 2 7 5 6 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Be allowed 86% 81% 69% 67% 66% 75% 71% 89% 81% No 10 16 27 25 29 19 24 7 16 DK/NA 4 3 4 7 5 6 6 4 4
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Question 21. Are you satisfied with the explanation President Trump has given about his actions involving Ukraine, or would you like to hear him provide more details?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Satisfied 38% 76% 10% 32% 40% 35% 41% 47% Hear more details 57 21 85 61 55 59 55 47 DK/NA 5 3 5 7 5 6 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Satisfied 22% 38% 45% 39% 46% 42% 44% 17% 25% Hear more details 72 58 52 53 49 53 51 77 72 DK/NA 6 4 3 8 5 5 5 7 3
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Question 22. Do you think President Trump is telling the truth about his actions involving Ukraine, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Telling truth 40% 89% 5% 33% 46% 35% 40% 56% No 53 7 92 56 47 59 54 38 DK/NA 6 5 4 10 7 6 6 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Telling truth 31% 39% 48% 38% 52% 44% 48% 12% 27% No 62 55 47 55 41 51 46 81 65 DK/NA 7 6 4 7 7 5 6 7 8
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Question 23. Do you think the Trump administration's withholding of U.S. aid to Ukraine was justified or not justified?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Justified 34% 77% 2% 30% 41% 28% 35% 47% Not justified 52 9 90 56 46 58 53 38 DK/NA 14 15 8 14 13 15 11 14 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Justified 26% 32% 42% 34% 47% 37% 41% 12% 23% Not justified 59 55 48 53 40 51 46 75 63 DK/NA 15 13 10 13 13 13 13 13 14
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Question 24. Do you think Senate Republicans are open minded about the impeachment process, or have they already made up their minds?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Open minded 16% 29% 3% 17% 16% 16% 14% 22% Minds made up 76 62 92 75 77 75 78 71 DK/NA 8 9 6 9 7 9 7 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Open minded 18% 11% 20% 14% 17% 20% 18% 7% 16% Minds made up 76 81 75 75 77 72 75 84 75 DK/NA 6 8 6 10 6 8 7 9 9
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Question 25. Do you think Senate Democrats are open minded about the impeachment process, or have they already made up their minds?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Open minded 15% 3% 28% 13% 13% 17% 14% 11% Minds made up 79 95 65 82 82 76 81 85 DK/NA 6 2 7 5 4 7 6 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Open minded 12% 15% 15% 16% 12% 13% 13% 30% 16% Minds made up 83 82 79 75 84 81 83 62 77 DK/NA 5 2 5 9 4 6 5 8 7
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Question 26. Do you think President Trump abused his power regarding his actions involving Ukraine, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Abused power 54% 5% 94% 57% 46% 60% 54% 38% No 42 92 2 39 49 36 43 59 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 5 4 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Abused power 63% 55% 49% 54% 40% 51% 46% 84% 70% No 34 38 48 42 56 46 51 13 24 DK/NA 4 6 3 4 4 3 4 4 7
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Question 27. Do you think President Trump obstructed Congress regarding its investigation of his actions involving Ukraine, or not?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Obstructed 52% 5% 92% 53% 45% 58% 53% 35% No 42 89 3 38 48 36 42 59 DK/NA 7 5 5 9 7 6 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Obstructed 58% 53% 47% 53% 38% 49% 44% 80% 69% No 35 39 48 42 56 46 51 8 25 DK/NA 7 9 5 5 6 5 5 12 6
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Question 28. Do you think the impeachment charges against President Trump are more serious, less serious, or about as serious as the charges made against President Clinton in the Monica Lewinsky matter?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More serious 51% 12% 87% 47% 44% 57% 53% 36% Less serious 29 61 3 25 33 24 30 39 About as serious 14 16 6 21 16 11 12 16 DK/NA 7 10 4 7 6 8 5 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More serious 52% 57% 48% 51% 38% 51% 45% 77% 52% Less serious 20 23 36 32 38 31 35 8 19 About as serious 22 16 12 7 18 11 14 10 21 DK/NA 6 4 3 10 6 8 7 5 7
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Question 29. Do you think the impeachment charges against President Trump are more serious, less serious, or about as serious as the charges made against President Nixon in Watergate?
WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More serious 24% 4% 46% 20% 20% 28% 25% 17% Less serious 40 73 10 43 48 32 41 51 About as serious 27 11 39 29 23 30 27 22 DK/NA 9 13 5 9 8 10 6 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More serious 14% 24% 25% 35% 18% 23% 21% 44% 25% Less serious 40 35 44 39 55 39 46 11 32 About as serious 39 31 24 20 20 29 25 35 33 DK/NA 7 9 7 7 7 9 8 10 10
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Question 30. (Adults) Which team do you want to win the Super Bowl: the Kansas City Chiefs, the San Francisco 49ers, or don't you care who wins the Super Bowl?
ADULTS................................................... AGE IN YRS.............. Watching Tot Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Game q31 Chiefs 26% 31% 21% 20% 26% 34% 26% 38% 49ers 21 22 21 23 24 20 17 30 Don't care 50 45 55 54 48 43 54 30 DK/NA 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 1 REGION................... NEast MWest South West Chiefs 26% 32% 27% 18% 49ers 18 13 17 39 Don't care 52 54 53 39 DK/NA 4 1 3 4 HAVE TEAM PREFERENCE Q30................................. AGE IN YRS.............. Watching Tot Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Game q31 Chiefs 55% 59% 49% 46% 52% 63% 61% 56% 49ers 45 41 51 54 48 37 39 44 REGION................... NEast MWest South West Chiefs 59% 71% 61% 32% 49ers 41 29 39 68
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Question 31. (Adults) Do you plan to watch the Super Bowl, or not?
ADULTS....................................... AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 56% 65% 47% 50% 59% 63% 56% No 41 32 48 48 37 34 40 DK/NA 4 3 5 3 4 3 4 REGION................... NEast MWest South West Yes 62% 53% 55% 54% No 34 45 41 41 DK/NA 3 3 4 6 HAVE TEAM PREFERENCE Q30..................... AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Men Wom 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 81% 86% 75% 74% 79% 88% 84% No 15 12 19 21 19 10 13 DK/NA 4 2 6 5 2 2 3 REGION................... NEast MWest South West Yes 88% 78% 85% 73% No 8 19 11 21 DK/NA 3 3 3 6
Trend TREND: (Adults) Do you plan to watch the Super Bowl, or not?
ADULTS............... Yes No DK/NA Jan 28, 2020 56 41 4 Feb 05, 2016 65 31 4