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Biden Ahead Of Trump By 8 Points In Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Nearly 6 In 10 Support Vote By Mail In November

If the election for president were being held today, former Vice President Joe Biden would receive 49 percent of the vote and President Donald Trump would receive 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today. This compares to a May 20th national poll when Biden led Trump 50 - 39 percent. In today's poll, Democrats go to Biden 93 - 4 percent and independents are split with Biden at 43 percent and Trump at 40 percent, while Republicans go for Trump 92 - 7 percent. There are wide gaps among gender, race, and education groups:

  • Women back Biden 59 - 33 percent, while men back Trump 51 - 38 percent;
  • Black voters back Biden 82 - 9 percent, Hispanic voters back Biden 57 - 31 percent, and white voters back Trump 50 - 42 percent;
  • White voters with a college degree back Biden 57 - 35 percent, while white voters without a college degree back Trump 59 - 33 percent.
"The country gyrates uneasily through a killer virus, unrest in the streets, and volatile ugly divisiveness, but the presidential horserace looks now like it did back in February," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

BIDEN VS. TRUMP

When asked who would do a better job handling various issues, Biden leads in 4 of them, while Trump leads Biden only on handling the economy:

  • On the economy, Trump has a slight lead 51 - 46 percent;
  • On handling a crisis, Biden leads 54 - 43 percent;
  • On the coronavirus response, Biden leads 54 - 41 percent;
  • On health care, Biden leads 55 - 41 percent;
  • On race relations, Biden leads 58 - 36 percent.

PERSONAL TRAITS

Neither candidate has a positive favorability rating. While 42 percent have a favorable opinion of Biden, 46 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him. While 40 percent have a favorable opinion of Trump, 56 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.

Asked about honesty, voters say 61 - 35 percent that Trump is not honest. They are split about Biden's honesty, with 45 percent saying he is not honest and 44 percent saying he is honest.

Voters are also split on whether Biden has good leadership skills, as 46 percent say "yes" and 45 percent say "no." This is down from last month when 51 percent said he had good leadership skills, while 40 percent said he did not have good leadership skills. As for President Trump, voters say 58 - 41 percent that he does not have good leadership skills, essentially unchanged from a month ago.

Biden does care about average Americans, voters say 56 - 36 percent, but this is down from 61 - 30 percent in May. Voters say Trump does not care about average Americans, 56 - 43 percent, essentially unchanged from a month ago.

TRUMP JOB APPROVALS

42 percent of voters approve of the job President Trump is doing while 55 percent disapprove, essentially unchanged from May's 42 - 53 percent negative approval rating. On Trump's handling of:

  • The economy, 52 percent of voters approve, 45 percent disapprove;
  • The military, 44 percent approve, 52 percent disapprove;
  • The response to the coronavirus, 42 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove;
  • Health care, 39 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove;
  • Race relations, 36 percent approve, 59 percent disapprove.

PROTESTS OUTSIDE THE WHITE HOUSE

Voters were asked specifically about protests outside the White House following the death of George Floyd, and how President Trump handled those protests. 32 percent of voters approve of the way President Trump handled those protests, while 60 percent of voters disapprove.

"President Trump stays above water on the economy, but it goes drastically south from there. From health care to race relations to our troops, red flags and red numbers. And that walk to the church? Disastrous," said Malloy.

MAIL-IN BALLOTS

Less than five months until the presidential election, a majority of voters say 59 - 38 percent that all voters in the United States should be allowed to vote by mail in November due to the coronavirus pandemic. There are sharp divides along party lines, as Democrats 90 - 8 percent and independents 57 - 41 percent support mail-in ballots, while Republicans oppose them 73 - 23 percent.

EXPECTATIONS FOR CORONAVIRUS AND BUSINESSES

Three-quarters of voters, 75 percent, say it is either very or somewhat likely that there will be another wave of coronavirus infections that will cause businesses in their state to close again, while 22 percent of voters say it's not so likely or not likely at all.

THE ECONOMY

38 percent of voters describe the economy as excellent or good, while 61 percent describe it as not so good or poor. Views of the economy vary greatly by political party. Republicans give the economy high ratings with 69 percent describing it as excellent or good, compared to 38 percent of independents and 10 percent of Democrats who say the same. Among those rating the economy as not so good or poor: 89 percent of Democrats, 59 percent of independents, and 27 percent of Republicans.

"Call it a dark uncertainty over a struggling economy or, even more poignantly, the genuine fear of a lingering pandemic. Either way, Americans, not so long ago bullish on the future, can't muster much optimism," added Malloy.

SATISFACTION IN THE COUNTRY

As for how satisfied people are with the way things are going in the nation today, 25 percent say they are either very or somewhat satisfied and 71 percent say they are somewhat or very dissatisfied.

1,332 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from June 11 - 15 with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

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