Biden Holds Stable Double-Digit Lead Over Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Nearly 6 In 10 Say Coronavirus Is Out Of Control
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With less than two weeks until Election Day, likely voters support former Vice President Joe Biden over President Donald Trump 51 - 41 percent in a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University national poll. This is the third national survey among likely voters since September that shows Biden with a 10-point lead, as Biden led Trump 52 - 42 percent on both September 2nd and September 23rd.
Among likely voters who say they will vote in person on Election Day, about two-thirds (65 percent) say they back Trump, while 28 percent support Biden. Among likely voters who have voted or plan on voting by mail or absentee ballot, roughly 7 in 10 (69 percent) say they are supporting Biden, while 21 percent support Trump. For likely voters who have or plan to cast their ballot at an early voting location, a majority (57 percent) support Biden and just over one-third (35 percent) support Trump.
"Three straight polls in the double-digit zone... For Biden-Harris, flush with cash and propelled by consistent support, it remains steady as she goes through the turbulent waters of a bitter, personal, and unsettling campaign," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
VOTING IN 2020
Thirty-six percent of likely voters say have voted or plan to vote by mail or absentee ballot, while 33 percent say they plan to vote in person on Election Day and 28 percent say they have cast or plan to cast their ballot at an early voting location.
More than two-thirds (68 percent) of voters who chose a candidate in the presidential match up say they decided who to vote for in this year's presidential election more than six months ago, while 20 percent say they decided in the last six months. Seven percent say they decided in the last two months, and 4 percent say they decided in the last two weeks.
In measuring just how motivated voters are in the 2020 presidential election, 68 percent of likely voters say they are more motivated to vote than in past presidential elections, 28 percent say their level of motivation is about the same as usual, and 3 percent say they are less motivated.
Compared to the 2016 presidential election, there is a 15-point increase in those who say they are more motivated to vote. On October 19th, 2016, 53 percent of likely voters said they were more motivated, 29 percent said their motivation to vote was about the same as usual, and 17 percent said they were less motivated.
Among likely voters who chose a candidate in the presidential match up, nearly half (48 percent) say if their candidate loses in November, they would think the outcome was legitimate, while 31 percent say they would think the outcome was rigged and 22 percent say they don't know.
A little more than half of likely voters (54 percent) say they expect that the election will be close, while 37 percent think one of the candidates will win in a landslide, and 9 percent don't know.
Forty-four percent of likely voters believe Biden will win the presidential election, while 42 percent believe Trump will win and 14 percent don't know.
BIDEN VS. TRUMP: PERSONAL TRAITS
Just under half (49 percent) of likely voters say they have a favorable opinion of Biden, while 44 percent have an unfavorable opinion.
More than half of likely voters (55 percent) have an unfavorable opinion of Trump, while 40 percent have a favorable opinion.
Likely voters say 64 - 30 percent that Biden has a sense of decency, but say 60 - 37 percent that Trump does not have a sense of decency.
The same question was asked in 2016 about Trump and then-presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. In an October 19, 2016 poll, 55 percent said Clinton had a sense of decency, while 42 percent said she did not. In that same 2016 survey, 59 percent of voters said Trump did not have a sense of decency and 36 percent said he did.
BIDEN VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES
Likely voters were asked who would do a better job handling four issues.
- On handling the economy, they said Trump 48 percent, Biden 47 percent;
- On handling health care, they said Biden 55 percent, Trump 39 percent;
- On handling the response to the coronavirus, they said Biden 55 percent, Trump 38 percent;
- On handling Supreme Court nominations, they said Biden 49 percent, Trump 43 percent.
"Americans vote from their wallets... but character also counts. The president may still engender some confidence when it comes to handling the economy, but on decency, voters see a yawning void between Trump and Biden," added Malloy.
TRUMP HANDLING JOB & CORONAVIRUS
Likely voters give Trump a negative 41 - 55 percent job approval rating. That compares to a negative 43 - 53 percent job approval rating on September 23rd.
He also gets a negative 41 - 57 percent approval rating for his handling of the coronavirus response, which compares to a negative 42 - 56 percent rating on September 23rd.
Roughly 6 in 10 likely voters (59 percent) say the spread of the coronavirus is out of control in the United States, while 35 percent say it is under control.
"In a historically chaotic election year, voters are feeling like the coronavirus is out of control," said Malloy.
About two-thirds of likely voters (67 percent) think everyone should be required to wear face masks in public, while 30 percent don't think they should be required.
SUPREME COURT, ACA, & ABORTION
A majority of likely voters say 52 - 43 percent the presidential election winner, not President Trump before the election, should fill the vacancy on the Supreme Court created by the passing of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
As to whether or not the Senate should confirm President Trump's nominee Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, voters are split 46 - 46 percent.
A majority of likely voters say 56 - 36 percent they would like to see the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, remain in place.
Two-thirds (66 percent) of likely voters say they agree with the 1973 Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion, while 27 percent say they disagree.
SATISFACTION IN THE NATION
Thirty percent of likely voters say they are either very satisfied (11 percent) or somewhat satisfied (19 percent) with the way things are going in the nation today, while 68 percent say they are either somewhat dissatisfied (20 percent) or very dissatisfied (48 percent).
However, when likely voters were asked how satisfied they are with the way things are going for them, 75 percent say they are very or somewhat satisfied, and 24 percent say they are very or somewhat dissatisfied.
1,426 likely voters nationwide were surveyed from October 16th - 19th with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than twenty states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Joe Biden the Democrat or Donald Trump the Republican?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 51% 10% 95% 47% 41% 60% 62% 37% Trump 41 87 2 37 48 34 35 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 4 4 - 1 2 DK/NA 6 2 3 11 7 6 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 54% 48% 47% 55% 36% 55% 46% 81% 51% Trump 29 45 47 39 57 42 49 5 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 1 - 4 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 13 4 4 5 4 3 3 13 14 VOTING METHOD Q2... In Mail/ Early Person Absnt VtLoc Biden 28% 69% 57% Trump 65 21 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 DK/NA 5 8 6Trend TREND: If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Joe Biden the Democrat or Donald Trump the Republican?
LIKELY VOTERS................ SMONE Biden Trump ELSE DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 51 41 2 6 Sep 23, 2020 52 42 1 4 Sep 02, 2020 52 42 2 3 -
Question 2. Thinking about the 2020 two thousand twenty election, do you think you will vote in person on Election Day, vote early by mail or absentee ballot, or vote at an early voting location?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No In person 33% 48% 17% 35% 39% 29% 26% 42% Mail/Absentee ballot 36 23 47 37 34 38 44 33 Early voting loc 28 26 35 26 25 31 29 24 WON'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 2 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp In person 36% 37% 35% 26% 42% 31% 36% 21% 28% Mail/Absentee ballot 43 31 32 42 31 42 37 29 40 Early voting loc 21 29 32 30 26 26 26 48 28 WON'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 2 4Trend TREND: Thinking about the 2020 election, do you think you will vote in person on Election Day, vote early by mail or absentee ballot, or vote at an early voting location?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................. In Mail/ Early person Absent locatn WON'T VOTE DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 33 36 28 - 2 Sep 23, 2020 47 34 15 - 3 Sep 02, 2020 45 35 16 - 3 -
Question 3. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of motivation to vote in this year's presidential election; are you more motivated than usual, less motivated, or about the same as usual?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More 68% 74% 77% 56% 63% 73% 69% 70% Less 3 4 2 5 6 1 1 2 About the same 28 22 21 38 30 25 29 27 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 55% 64% 75% 76% 68% 71% 70% 60% 71% Less 9 4 1 1 3 1 2 3 6 About the same 33 31 24 23 28 28 28 35 20 DK/NA 3 - - 1 1 - 1 1 3Trend TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of motivation to vote in this year's presidential election; are you more motivated than usual, less motivated, or about the same as usual?
LIKELY VOTERS................ More Less Same DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 68 3 28 1 Oct 19, 2016 53 17 29 1 Oct 07, 2016 56 14 30 - Sep 26, 2016 55 11 33 1 Sep 14, 2016 46 14 39 1 -
Question 4. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 49% 9% 93% 43% 37% 59% 60% 37% Unfavorable 44 86 3 46 53 35 37 58 Hvn't hrd enough 5 4 3 8 6 3 2 3 REFUSED 3 1 1 3 4 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 47% 45% 46% 56% 34% 55% 45% 74% 48% Unfavorable 37 48 49 40 59 42 50 11 38 Hvn't hrd enough 10 6 3 1 4 2 3 9 8 REFUSED 5 2 3 4 3 1 2 5 6Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............. Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Oct 22, 2020 49 44 5 3 Sep 23, 2020 45 45 7 3 Sep 02, 2020 45 48 6 2 -
Question 4a. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable q4) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 30% 4% 64% 22% 21% 38% 39% 22% Smwht favorable 18 5 29 20 16 20 21 14 Smwht unfavorable 9 9 1 15 11 7 10 8 Strongly unfavorable 35 77 1 31 42 29 27 49 Hvn't hrd enough 5 4 3 8 6 3 2 3 REFUSED 4 1 2 4 5 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Strongly favorable 14% 24% 32% 45% 19% 37% 28% 48% 26% Smwht favorable 33 20 13 10 15 18 17 27 22 Smwht unfavorable 16 10 7 4 11 7 9 4 11 Strongly unfavorable 20 38 42 35 47 36 41 7 27 Hvn't hrd enough 10 6 3 1 4 2 3 9 8 REFUSED 6 2 3 4 4 1 2 5 6Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................. Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly Hvn't Fav Fav Unfav Unfav HrdEn REF Oct 22, 2020 30 18 9 35 5 4 Sep 23, 2020 29 16 8 36 7 3 Sep 02, 2020 29 15 11 35 6 4 -
Question 5. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 40% 86% 4% 35% 46% 34% 32% 57% Unfavorable 55 12 93 57 48 61 66 41 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 3 4 3 2 1 1 REFUSED 3 2 1 4 3 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 29% 42% 47% 39% 54% 42% 48% 6% 36% Unfavorable 58 54 51 56 42 57 50 83 55 Hvn't hrd enough 8 2 1 1 1 - 1 6 3 REFUSED 5 2 1 4 3 1 2 5 6Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............. Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Oct 22, 2020 40 55 2 3 Sep 23, 2020 41 55 2 2 Sep 02, 2020 41 56 1 2 Sep 14, 2016 35 59 3 3 Aug 25, 2016 33 61 4 2 -
Question 5a. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable q5) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Strongly favorable 31% 76% 1% 21% 34% 28% 23% 45% Smwht favorable 9 10 2 14 12 6 9 12 Smwht unfavorable 6 4 2 12 8 4 5 4 Strongly unfavorable 48 7 90 45 39 56 60 37 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 3 4 3 2 1 1 REFUSED 3 2 1 4 4 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Strongly favorable 18% 32% 39% 33% 40% 34% 37% 5% 30% Smwht favorable 12 10 8 6 14 8 11 - 6 Smwht unfavorable 12 6 4 3 5 3 4 10 7 Strongly unfavorable 46 47 47 52 36 54 45 72 48 Hvn't hrd enough 8 2 1 1 1 - 1 6 3 REFUSED 5 2 1 4 3 1 2 6 6Trend TREND: Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you have a strongly or somewhat favorable/unfavorable opinion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................. Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly Hvn't Fav Fav Unfav Unfav HrdEn REF Oct 22, 2020 31 9 6 48 2 3 Sep 23, 2020 34 7 5 49 2 3 Sep 02, 2020 31 9 5 49 1 4 Sep 14, 2016 22 13 6 53 3 3 Aug 25, 2016 21 12 8 53 4 2 -
Question 6. (If candidate chosen q1) When did you decide who to vote for in this year's election for president: in the last two weeks, in the last two months, in the last six months, or before that?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1........................................ WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Last two weeks 4% 3% 2% 8% 6% 3% 3% 3% Last two months 7 6 4 11 8 6 7 7 Last six months 20 20 17 24 18 22 21 17 Before that 68 71 77 55 66 69 69 72 DK/NA 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Last two weeks 10% 4% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 6% 6% Last two months 6 8 7 8 8 7 7 2 8 Last six months 30 22 19 12 19 17 18 16 31 Before that 53 66 72 75 68 73 71 76 54 DK/NA 2 1 - 2 1 1 1 - 2 -
Question 7. (If candidate chosen q1) If your candidate loses in November, would you think that the outcome was legitimate, or would you think that the election was rigged?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1........................................ WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Legitimate 48% 38% 51% 57% 52% 44% 57% 43% Rigged 31 40 27 26 30 32 22 32 DK/NA 22 22 22 18 18 24 21 25 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Legitimate 56% 46% 47% 46% 52% 45% 48% 47% 47% Rigged 28 31 33 32 29 28 28 37 42 DK/NA 15 23 20 22 20 27 23 15 11 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Biden Trump Legitimate 56% 37% Rigged 26 37 DK/NA 18 26Trend TREND: (If candidate chosen) If your candidate loses in November, would you think that the outcome was legitimate, or would you think that the election was rigged?
LIKELY VOTERS........ CANDIDATE CHOSEN..... Legit- imate Rigged DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 48 31 22 Sep 14, 2016 62 27 11 -
Question 8. Do you think this year's presidential election will be a close election, or do you think one of the candidates will win in a landslide?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Close election 54% 51% 49% 60% 55% 53% 57% 54% Landslide 37 43 42 29 38 37 33 40 DK/NA 9 6 9 11 7 11 10 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Close election 72% 50% 48% 53% 57% 53% 55% 44% 53% Landslide 22 41 46 38 37 38 37 47 38 DK/NA 6 9 6 9 6 9 7 9 9 CANDIDATE WHO WILL WIN Q9 Biden Trump Close election 48% 56% Landslide 44 40 DK/NA 8 4Trend TREND: Do you think this year's presidential election will be a close election, or do you think one of the candidates will win in a landslide?
LIKELY VOTERS................ Close LndSlde INBTWN DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 54 37 na 9 Sep 14, 2016 69 22 1 8 Aug 25, 2016 56 35 2 8 -
Question 9. Regardless of who you're voting for, who do you believe will win the presidential election this year: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 44% 11% 82% 42% 40% 49% 57% 32% Trump 42 83 6 39 51 34 32 58 DK/NA 14 7 12 19 10 17 11 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 42% 43% 44% 51% 34% 48% 41% 75% 41% Trump 40 45 47 37 57 41 49 12 39 DK/NA 18 12 9 13 8 12 10 14 20Trend TREND: Regardless of who you're voting for, who do you believe will win the presidential election this year: Joe Biden or Donald Trump? (* Note: prior to October 22, 2020, included Hillary Clinton)
LIKELY VOTERS................ SMONE Biden Trump ELSE DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 44 42 na 14 Sep 14, 2016 58 31 1 10 Aug 25, 2016 62 28 1 10 -
Question 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 41% 87% 4% 38% 48% 35% 34% 58% Disapprove 55 11 95 56 47 61 64 40 DK/NA 4 2 1 6 5 4 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 31% 43% 49% 40% 57% 42% 49% 6% 36% Disapprove 61 53 50 57 41 56 49 89 53 DK/NA 8 3 2 3 2 2 2 5 10Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
LIKELY VOTERS........ App Dis DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 41 55 4 Sep 23, 2020 43 53 3 Sep 02, 2020 43 54 3 -
Question 10a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q10) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve strongly 33% 77% 2% 25% 38% 29% 26% 49% Approve smwht 8 9 2 13 10 6 8 9 Disapprove smwht 7 3 6 11 9 4 4 5 Disapprove strongly 48 9 89 44 37 57 60 35 DK/NA 5 2 2 7 5 4 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 19% 36% 42% 33% 46% 35% 41% 5% 27% Approve smwht 12 7 7 7 11 6 8 1 8 Disapprove smwht 14 7 4 4 7 2 5 16 8 Disapprove strongly 47 46 46 52 34 54 44 73 46 DK/NA 9 3 2 3 2 3 2 5 11Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
LIKELY VOTERS........................ APPROVE...... DISAPPROVE..... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 33 8 7 48 5 Sep 23, 2020 34 9 5 49 3 Sep 02, 2020 34 9 5 49 3 -
Question 11. Would you say that - Joe Biden has a sense of decency, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 64% 32% 95% 67% 59% 69% 75% 53% No 30 61 3 28 35 26 20 41 DK/NA 6 7 2 5 6 5 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 69% 61% 60% 69% 57% 65% 61% 86% 66% No 22 34 36 27 38 30 34 11 26 DK/NA 9 4 4 4 6 5 5 3 8 -
Question 12. Would you say that - Donald Trump has a sense of decency, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 37% 79% 3% 34% 43% 31% 30% 52% No 60 19 96 62 54 65 67 45 DK/NA 3 3 1 3 3 4 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 27% 38% 43% 39% 50% 39% 44% 8% 33% No 70 58 55 58 48 58 53 89 63 DK/NA 3 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3Trend TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump has a sense of decency, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Yes No DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 37 60 3 Oct 19, 2016 36 59 5 -
Question 13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling the economy: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 48% 92% 6% 52% 59% 39% 41% 62% Biden 47 7 92 42 37 57 56 35 DK/NA 5 1 2 6 5 5 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 44% 51% 53% 44% 65% 45% 54% 14% 48% Biden 51 43 44 51 32 53 43 79 44 DK/NA 6 5 2 5 4 2 3 7 8Trend TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling the economy: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Trump Biden DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 48 47 5 Sep 23, 2020 49 48 3 Sep 02, 2020 48 48 4 -
Question 14. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling health care: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 39% 84% 1% 36% 46% 33% 33% 56% Biden 55 12 97 55 48 62 63 40 DK/NA 6 3 1 9 6 6 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 26% 41% 48% 38% 55% 41% 48% 5% 30% Biden 65 53 49 58 41 56 49 87 63 DK/NA 9 6 3 5 4 3 3 8 7Trend TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling health care: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Trump Biden DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 39 55 6 Sep 02, 2020 41 55 4 -
Question 15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling the response to the coronavirus: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 38% 82% 2% 33% 45% 31% 32% 53% Biden 55 11 95 56 46 62 64 41 DK/NA 8 7 3 11 8 7 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 26% 42% 45% 35% 52% 39% 45% 5% 34% Biden 62 51 50 57 42 56 49 87 53 DK/NA 13 7 4 8 6 5 6 8 13Trend TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling the response to the coronavirus: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS........ Trump Biden DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 38 55 8 Sep 23, 2020 39 55 5 Sep 02, 2020 40 56 5 -
Question 16. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling Supreme Court nominations: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 43% 89% 3% 41% 52% 35% 36% 59% Biden 49 7 94 46 39 59 58 36 DK/NA 8 3 3 13 9 6 6 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 32% 48% 49% 41% 59% 43% 51% 6% 40% Biden 58 45 46 51 34 52 44 85 48 DK/NA 10 8 5 8 6 5 6 9 12 -
Question 17. Do you think Donald Trump's track record in business is good, bad, or somewhere in between?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Good 34% 73% 3% 28% 37% 30% 25% 47% Bad 41 5 78 38 32 48 53 31 In between 23 20 17 32 28 19 19 20 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good 27% 32% 42% 32% 43% 36% 39% 11% 28% Bad 36 38 41 46 31 46 39 58 38 In between 36 27 16 17 24 16 20 30 30 DK/NA 1 2 1 5 2 2 2 2 4Trend TREND: Do you think Donald Trump's track record in business is good, bad, or somewhere in between?
LIKELY VOTERS................ Good Bad Btwn DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 34 41 23 2 Aug 25, 2016 33 29 37 1 -
Question 18. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very satisfied 11% 25% 3% 6% 9% 12% 9% 14% Smwht satisfied 19 34 5 21 24 15 16 24 Smwht dissatisfied 20 18 14 27 21 18 19 19 Very dissatisfied 48 21 78 42 43 53 55 40 DK/NA 3 3 1 3 4 2 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very satisfied 5% 10% 14% 11% 10% 14% 12% 3% 10% Smwht satisfied 22 20 22 17 24 18 21 7 26 Smwht dissatisfied 22 20 16 20 20 18 19 15 21 Very dissatisfied 47 47 47 49 42 48 45 73 41 DK/NA 3 2 1 3 3 2 3 2 2Trend TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS........................ Very Smwht Smwht Very sat sat dis dis DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 11 19 20 48 3 Sep 16, 2016 6 28 29 37 - Oct 02, 2012 9 28 18 43 1 Sep 18, 2008 2 22 37 39 1 Aug 20, 2008 2 19 41 38 1 Jul 15, 2008 2 15 40 42 1 -
Question 19. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going for you; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very satisfied 36% 62% 14% 32% 36% 35% 33% 44% Smwht satisfied 39 27 48 41 40 38 45 36 Smwht dissatisfied 15 7 23 16 15 16 15 14 Very dissatisfied 9 4 13 8 8 9 6 6 DK/NA 1 - 2 2 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very satisfied 30% 38% 40% 35% 41% 39% 40% 15% 37% Smwht satisfied 41 44 35 37 41 38 39 45 35 Smwht dissatisfied 18 11 16 17 13 16 14 23 13 Very dissatisfied 9 5 9 10 5 6 6 15 12 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3Trend TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going for you; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY VOTERS........................ Very Smwht Smwht Very sat sat dis dis DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 36 39 15 9 1 Sep 16, 2016 33 43 15 8 1 -
Question 20. Which comes closer to your point of view regarding the Supreme Court vacancy created by the passing of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg: the Supreme Court vacancy should be filled by the winner of the presidential election, or the Supreme Court vacancy should be filled by President Trump before the election?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Election winner 52% 9% 93% 52% 42% 61% 58% 38% President Trump 43 85 4 43 52 35 40 58 DK/NA 5 5 2 6 6 4 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Election winner 65% 46% 45% 54% 37% 54% 45% 85% 53% President Trump 31 47 51 42 61 43 51 11 37 DK/NA 4 7 4 4 3 3 3 4 9 -
Question 21. As you may know, President Trump has nominated Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court. Do you think the U.S. Senate should confirm Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should confirm 46% 90% 6% 45% 53% 39% 42% 60% No 46 7 89 41 37 55 54 36 DK/NA 8 3 5 14 10 7 4 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Should confirm 29% 51% 54% 45% 60% 47% 53% 10% 42% No 57 40 42 48 35 49 43 75 44 DK/NA 14 9 4 7 5 4 4 15 14 -
Question 22. In general, would you like to see the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, remain in place, or would you like to see Obamacare ended?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Remain in place 56% 12% 95% 58% 47% 63% 63% 40% Ended 36 78 4 29 42 30 28 50 DK/NA 9 10 1 13 11 7 9 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Remain in place 62% 54% 51% 57% 41% 55% 48% 89% 59% Ended 32 36 43 33 49 36 42 9 32 DK/NA 6 10 6 10 11 8 9 3 9 -
Question 23. In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Agree 66% 36% 88% 69% 61% 70% 72% 56% Disagree 27 55 6 23 30 24 24 35 DK/NA 8 9 5 8 9 7 3 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Agree 74% 66% 63% 63% 55% 68% 62% 76% 69% Disagree 19 28 29 30 36 27 31 15 22 DK/NA 7 6 7 7 8 5 7 9 8 -
Question 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the response to the coronavirus?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 41% 86% 4% 37% 49% 34% 33% 58% Disapprove 57 13 95 60 49 63 66 40 DK/NA 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 35% 43% 47% 39% 56% 42% 49% 5% 40% Disapprove 63 56 51 57 42 56 50 91 58 DK/NA 2 1 1 4 2 2 2 4 2Trend TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the response to the coronavirus?
LIKELY VOTERS........ App Dis DK/NA Oct 22, 2020 41 57 2 Sep 23, 2020 42 56 3 Sep 02, 2020 41 57 3 -
Question 25. When it comes to the spread of the coronavirus in the United States, do you think that it is under control or out of control at this time?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Under control 35% 68% 5% 36% 42% 29% 28% 44% Out of control 59 23 95 57 50 67 67 49 DK/NA 6 10 1 6 8 4 5 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Under control 37% 40% 40% 27% 45% 32% 38% 11% 43% Out of control 60 55 54 66 48 63 56 88 50 DK/NA 3 5 6 7 8 5 6 1 7 -
Question 26. Do you think everyone should be required to wear face masks in public, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 67% 39% 95% 67% 59% 75% 74% 56% No 30 58 4 27 37 23 24 42 DK/NA 3 2 1 5 4 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 72% 60% 63% 75% 53% 71% 62% 93% 73% No 27 36 34 22 45 27 36 6 22 DK/NA 2 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 6