Lamont Up By 15 Points In Connecticut Governor's Race, Quinnipiac University Connecticut Poll Finds; Blumenthal Up By 15 Points In Senate Race
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Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont maintains a double-digit lead over his Republican challenger Bob Stefanowski 56 - 41 percent in the race for governor, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of likely voters in Connecticut released today.
This is essentially unchanged from a September 21st Quinnipiac University poll when Lamont led Stefanowski 57 - 40 percent.
There is a wide gender gap. Women support Lamont 64 - 33 percent. Among men, 51 percent support Stefanowski, while 46 percent support Lamont.
Roughly 6 in 10 likely voters (57 percent) have a favorable opinion of Lamont, while 36 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
Nearly 4 in 10 likely voters (39 percent) have a favorable opinion of Stefanowski, while 42 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 17 percent say they haven't heard enough about him.
"Governor Lamont appears to be in a stronger position facing Republican challenger Bob Stefanowski than he was back in 2018 when they were locked in a tight race. Then, Lamont won by 3 points. This time around, he's looking at a double-digit lead and the first gubernatorial race since 2006 that hasn't been close," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Doug Schwartz.
SENATE RACE
As Senator Richard Blumenthal seeks a third term in the U.S. Senate, he leads his Republican challenger Leora Levy 56 - 41 percent. This is largely unchanged from a September 21st Quinnipiac University poll when Blumenthal was ahead of Levy 57 - 40 percent.
As with the gubernatorial race, there is a wide gender gap. Women back Blumenthal 64 - 33 percent. Among men, 51 percent back Levy, while 46 percent back Blumenthal.
Fifty-four percent of likely voters have a favorable opinion of Blumenthal, while 41 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
Three in 10 likely voters (30 percent) have a favorable opinion of Levy, while 37 percent have an unfavorable opinion of her, and 31 percent say they haven't heard enough about her.
"Not only does Republican Leora Levy have the formidable task of taking on a popular Democratic incumbent U.S. Senator in blue Connecticut, but about 3 in 10 likely voters say they haven't heard enough about her to express an opinion," added Schwartz.
MOST URGENT ISSUE
Asked to choose the most urgent issue facing Connecticut today, inflation (37 percent) ranks by far as the top issue among likely voters followed by taxes (13 percent).
Among Republicans, inflation (56 percent) ranks first followed by taxes (15 percent) and crime (11 percent).
Among Democrats, inflation (24 percent) ranks first followed by abortion (14 percent) and climate change (13 percent).
Among independents, inflation (41 percent) ranks first followed by taxes (16 percent).
JOB APPROVALS
Job approval ratings for Connecticut elected officials...
- Governor Ned Lamont: 58 percent approve, while 37 percent disapprove;
- Senator Richard Blumenthal: 55 percent approve, while 41 percent disapprove;
- Senator Chris Murphy: 54 percent approve, while 36 percent disapprove.
Forty-eight percent of likely voters approve of the way President Joe Biden is handling his job, while 49 percent disapprove.
TRUMP FAVORABILITY
Thirty percent of likely voters have a favorable opinion of former President Donald Trump, while 62 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
1,879 Connecticut likely voters were surveyed from October 19th - 23rd with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
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Poll Questions
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Question 1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ned Lamont the Democrat and Bob Stefanowski the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES ALREADY VOTED AND LEANERS)
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Lamont 56% 11% 95% 45% 46% 64% Stefanowski 41 89 5 51 51 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 2 REFUSED 2 - - 3 2 2 REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT.. INDEPENDENT Men Wom Men Wom Men Wom Lamont 12% 10% 90% 97% 40% 51% Stefanowski 88 89 9 3 59 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - UNDECIDED(VOL) - 1 1 - - 3 REFUSED - - - - 1 4 -
Question 2. Is your opinion of Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 57% 18% 92% 47% 47% 64% Unfavorable 36 73 6 43 45 29 Hvn't hrd enough 4 5 1 6 5 3 REFUSED 3 4 1 4 4 3 -
Question 3. Is your opinion of Bob Stefanowski favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 39% 83% 7% 45% 46% 33% Unfavorable 42 8 73 31 32 50 Hvn't hrd enough 17 8 19 21 19 16 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 3 1 -
Question 4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and Leora Levy the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES ALREADY VOTED AND LEANERS)
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Blumenthal 56% 9% 94% 46% 46% 64% Levy 41 90 5 50 51 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - 1 - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 - - 1 1 2 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT.. INDEPENDENT Men Wom Men Wom Men Wom Blumenthal 10% 9% 91% 96% 40% 54% Levy 90 90 8 4 58 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 2 REFUSED - - 1 - - 2 -
Question 5. Is your opinion of Richard Blumenthal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 54% 12% 90% 43% 43% 62% Unfavorable 41 84 7 50 51 32 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 3 5 3 5 REFUSED 2 1 - 2 2 1 -
Question 6. Is your opinion of Leora Levy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 30% 74% 6% 31% 36% 26% Unfavorable 37 8 64 27 28 45 Hvn't hrd enough 31 18 29 40 34 28 REFUSED 2 - 1 2 2 1 -
Question 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ned Lamont is handling his job as governor?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 58% 15% 93% 50% 48% 65% Disapprove 37 80 5 44 46 29 DK/NA 5 5 2 6 5 5 -
Question 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Murphy is handling his job as United States Senator?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 54% 14% 90% 44% 44% 63% Disapprove 36 76 5 46 46 28 DK/NA 9 10 5 10 9 9 -
Question 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 55% 11% 92% 45% 44% 63% Disapprove 41 86 6 50 52 32 DK/NA 5 4 3 5 4 5 -
Question 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 48% 7% 89% 34% 38% 57% Disapprove 49 92 10 61 58 41 DK/NA 3 1 1 5 4 3 -
Question 11. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 30% 71% 4% 34% 35% 27% Unfavorable 62 22 93 56 54 69 Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 2 6 7 1 REFUSED 4 5 1 3 5 3 -
Question 12. In your opinion, what is the most urgent issue facing Connecticut today: abortion, COVID-19, inflation, climate change, health care, racial inequality, taxes, crime, infrastructure, or schools?
LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Abortion 8% 2% 14% 5% 4% 11% COVID-19 1 - 1 1 1 1 Inflation 37 56 24 41 36 37 Climate change 7 1 13 5 6 7 Health care 6 2 9 7 5 7 Racial inequality 4 - 7 2 3 4 Taxes 13 15 7 16 16 10 Crime 8 11 7 9 10 7 Infrastructure 5 3 7 5 7 4 Schools 5 5 7 4 4 6 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 3 3 4 6 3 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 2 2