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Trump Support Unchanged In Immediate Wake Of Federal Criminal Indictment, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Economy & Preserving Democracy Top List Of 2024 Election Issues

Less than a week after former President Donald Trump was indicted on 37 federal charges tied to his handling of classified documents, his support among Republican and Republican leaning voters remains largely unchanged, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. The poll was conducted from June 8th through 12th. When Republican and Republican leaning voters were given a list of 10 candidates seeking the GOP nomination for president: 53 percent support Trump while 23 percent support Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Former Vice President Mike Pence, former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie each receive 4 percent support. Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy receives 3 percent support and former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson receives 1 percent support. All other listed Republican candidates receive less than 1 percent.

In a hypothetical general election matchup, President Joe Biden has a slight lead over Trump 48 - 44 percent among all registered voters. In Quinnipiac University's previous national poll on May 24th, Biden received 48 percent and Trump received 46 percent. Today's results continue a string of close head-to-head results between Biden and Trump since Quinnipiac University started asking this question in February 2023.

"A federal indictment. A court date on a litany of charges. A blizzard of critical media coverage. The negative impact on the former President's standing with voters? Not much at all," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

2024 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

As President Joe Biden seeks a second term in the White House, he is being challenged by fellow Democrats Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., an environmental lawyer and anti-vaccine activist; and Marianne Williamson, an author.

Among Democrats and Democratic leaning voters, 70 percent support Biden, 17 percent support Kennedy, and 8 percent support Williamson.

FAVORABILITY RATINGS

Registered voters were asked whether they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of:

  • Joe Biden: 42 percent favorable, 54 percent unfavorable, 2 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Donald Trump: 37 percent favorable, 59 percent unfavorable, 3 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Ron DeSantis: 33 percent favorable, 48 percent unfavorable, 18 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.: 31 percent favorable, 26 percent unfavorable, 43 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Mike Pence: 25 percent favorable, 59 percent unfavorable, 15 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Nikki Haley: 23 percent favorable, 35 percent unfavorable, 40 percent haven't heard enough about her;
  • Tim Scott: 22 percent favorable, 22 percent unfavorable, 55 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Chris Christie: 19 percent favorable, 53 percent unfavorable, 27 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Larry Elder: 15 percent favorable, 14 percent unfavorable, 70 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Cornel West: 12 percent favorable, 11 percent unfavorable, 76 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Vivek Ramaswamy: 12 percent favorable, 12 percent unfavorable, 75 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Asa Hutchinson: 10 percent favorable, 17 percent unfavorable, 72 percent haven't heard enough about him;
  • Marianne Williamson: 7 percent favorable, 21 percent unfavorable, 72 percent haven't heard enough about her;
  • Doug Burgum: 2 percent favorable, 7 percent unfavorable, 90 percent haven't heard enough about him.

MOST IMPORTANT ELECTION ISSUE

When registered voters were given a list of eight issues and asked which is the most important to them in deciding who to vote for in the election for president, 30 percent say the economy closely followed by preserving democracy in the United States (27 percent). Nine percent say abortion, 7 percent say gun violence, 7 percent say immigration, 5 percent say health care, 5 percent say racial inequality, and 4 percent say climate change.

Among Republicans, the economy (44 percent) ranks first followed by preserving democracy in the United States (25 percent) and immigration (14 percent).

Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (32 percent) followed by abortion (13 percent), the economy (13 percent), and gun violence (12 percent).

Among independents, the economy (35 percent) ranks first followed by preserving democracy in the United States (27 percent) and abortion (8 percent).

"A rare show of unanimity in a country rattled by discord. There is a substantial amount of concern among Republicans, Democrats, and independents over the preservation of the nation's very bedrock: democracy. The older the respondent, the deeper the concern," added Malloy.

BIDEN

Registered voters give President Biden a negative 42 - 54 percent job approval rating, an improvement from a negative 38 - 57 percent job approval rating in Quinnipiac University's May 24th poll.

Among all Americans, President Biden receives a negative 41 - 54 percent job approval rating, up from a negative 36 - 58 percent job approval rating in May.

Americans were asked about Biden's handling of...

  • the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 45 percent approve, while 47 percent disapprove;
  • foreign policy: 39 percent approve, while 53 percent disapprove;
  • the economy: 38 percent approve, while 57 percent disapprove;
  • the federal budget: 37 percent approve, while 55 percent disapprove.

UKRAINE

Two-thirds of Americans (66 percent) think supporting Ukraine is in the national interest of the United States, while 28 percent think it is not in the national interest of the United States.

Democrats (88 - 10 percent), independents (66 - 27 percent), and Republicans (52 - 40 percent) think supporting Ukraine is in the national interest of the United States.

More than 3 in 10 Americans (31 percent) think the United States is doing too much to help Ukraine, 20 percent think the U.S. is doing too little, and 40 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount to help Ukraine.

LGBTQ+

Roughly 6 in 10 Americans (58 percent) think prejudice against LGBTQ+ people in the United States today is either a very serious problem (33 percent) or a somewhat serious problem (25 percent), while 38 percent of Americans say it is either a not so serious problem (20 percent) or not a problem at all (18 percent).

About one-third of Americans (34 percent) think that, compared to a year ago, LGBTQ+ people in the United States today face more discrimination, while 24 percent think LGBTQ+ people face less discrimination, and 35 percent think LGBTQ+ people face about the same amount of discrimination.

"By large margins, Americans think prejudice against a segment of the population, those identifying as LGBTQ+, is serious. Roughly one-third think it's metastasizing," added Malloy.

1,929 U.S. adults nationwide were surveyed from June 8th - 12th with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points.

The survey included 1,735 self-identified registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey included 700 Republican and Republican leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points and 722 Democrats and Democratic leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

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