Biden vs. Trump: Toss Up In Pennsylvania, Trump Leads GOP Primary, Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania Poll Finds; Voters Give Gov. Shapiro High Marks, Especially On I-95 Handling
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In a state considered key to presidential elections, former President Donald Trump is leading a crowded field of candidates seeking the GOP nomination, receiving 49 percent support among registered Republican voters in Pennsylvania, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis receiving 25 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll released today. Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former Vice President Mike Pence each receive 5 percent support. Former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley and South Carolina Senator Tim Scott each receive 4 percent support. All other listed candidates receive 1 percent or less support.
Among registered Democratic voters in Pennsylvania, President Joe Biden receives 71 percent support, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an environmental lawyer and anti-vaccine activist, receives 17 percent support, and Marianne Williamson, an author, receives 5 percent support.
In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup between Biden and Trump, the race is a virtual dead heat among all registered voters with 47 percent supporting Trump and 46 percent supporting Biden.
Republicans (89 - 7 percent) and independents (51 - 37 percent) support Trump, while Democrats (94 - 4 percent) support Biden.
"Though battling fierce legal headwinds, Trump leaves the rest of the GOP pack (including Ron DeSantis) looking like 'also rans' and is running neck and neck with President Biden," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE IN 2024
When registered voters were given a list of eight issues and asked which is the most important to them in deciding who to vote for in the election for president, 30 percent say the economy and 28 percent say preserving democracy in the United States. Nine percent say gun violence, 8 percent say abortion, 7 percent say immigration, 6 percent say health care, 4 percent say climate change and 3 percent say racial inequality.
Among Republicans, the economy (47 percent) ranks first followed by preserving democracy in the United States (23 percent) and immigration (12 percent).
Among Democrats, preserving democracy in the United States (34 percent) ranks first followed by gun violence (18 percent) and abortion (13 percent).
Among independents, the economy (36 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (30 percent) are the top issues. No other issue reached double digits.
GOVERNOR SHAPIRO
A majority of voters approve of the way Governor Josh Shapiro is handling his job with 57 percent approving, 23 percent disapproving and 20 percent not offering an opinion.
Democrats (84 - 4 percent) and independents (53 - 24 percent) approve, while Republicans (41 - 34 percent) disapprove.
A slight majority of voters (51 percent) approve of the way Shapiro is handling the state budget, while 25 percent disapprove, and 25 percent did not offer an opinion.
Voters overwhelmingly approve 74 - 8 percent of the way Shapiro is handling the response to the I-95 highway collapse in Philadelphia with 18 percent not offering an opinion.
"Those across-the-board honeymoon approval numbers for first termer Governor Shapiro are no doubt buoyed by voters' perceptions that he stepped up and took charge when the bridge came down on I-95," added Malloy.
HIGHWAYS & BRIDGES
In the wake of the partial I-95 highway collapse in Philadelphia, a slight majority of voters (53 percent) think major highways and bridges in Pennsylvania are mostly safe, while 43 percent think they are mostly not safe.
JOB APPROVALS
Voters give Senator Bob Casey, Jr. a positive 44 - 32 percent job approval rating, with 24 percent not offering an opinion.
They give Senator John Fetterman a negative 39 - 50 percent job approval rating, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
Voters give President Biden a negative 39 - 57 percent job approval rating, with 4 percent not offering an opinion.
TRUMP
Voters indicate they are paying close attention to news regarding the federal criminal charges filed against Trump in connection with the way he handled classified documents after leaving the White House. When voters were asked how closely they have been following news about the charges, 44 percent say very closely, 38 percent say somewhat closely, and 17 percent say not too closely.
Sixty percent of voters think the federal criminal charges involving Trump and his handling of classified documents after leaving the White House are either very serious (45 percent) or somewhat serious (15 percent), while close to 4 in 10 voters (37 percent) think they are either not too serious (14 percent) or not serious at all (23 percent).
Half of voters (50 percent) think Trump should be prosecuted on criminal charges over his handling of classified documents after leaving the White House, while 44 percent think he should not be prosecuted.
A majority of voters (56 percent) think there are serious questions that remain to be answered, while 35 percent think Trump has given satisfactory answers on this matter.
A majority of voters (56 percent) think the Justice Department's case involving former President Trump's handling of classified documents after leaving the White House is mainly motivated by politics, while 41 percent think the case is mainly motivated by the law.
HUNTER BIDEN
Voters indicate they are paying close attention to news regarding the federal tax charges and gun possession charge filed against President Biden's son, Hunter Biden. When voters were asked how closely they have been following news about the charges, 33 percent say very closely, 37 percent say somewhat closely, and 29 percent say not too closely.
Three quarters of voters (75 percent) think the federal tax charges and gun possession charge filed against Hunter Biden are either very serious (41 percent) or somewhat serious (34 percent), while 19 percent think the charges are either not too serious (12 percent) or not serious at all (7 percent).
Roughly 6 in 10 voters (58 percent) think the Justice Department's plea deal with Hunter Biden regarding the federal tax charges and gun possession charge is mainly motivated by politics, while 36 percent think the plea deal is mainly motivated by the law.
LIVING IN PA
Nearly 8 in 10 voters (78 percent) feel like they can afford to live in Pennsylvania, while 20 percent feel like they cannot afford to live in the Keystone State.
Asked about their own personal finances, 12 percent of voters say they are getting better, while 42 percent say they are getting worse, and 44 percent say they are staying about the same.
If given the financial means to do so, roughly one-third of voters (35 percent) say they would move out of Pennsylvania to somewhere else, while 61 percent say they would not.
WILDFIRES & AIR QUALITY
When asked about the recent wildfires in Canada that led to dangerous air quality levels in parts of Pennsylvania that could linger through the summer, roughly two-thirds of voters (65 percent) say they are either very concerned (27 percent) or somewhat concerned (38 percent) about their health or the health of their family members because of wildfires, while 35 percent say they are either not so concerned (20 percent) or not concerned at all (15 percent).
1,584 Pennsylvania self-identified registered voters were surveyed from June 22nd - 26th with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.
The survey included 614 self-identified registered Republican voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.0 percentage points and 664 self-identified registered Democratic voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Tim Scott, Asa Hutchinson, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Larry Elder, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, and Will Hurd for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY CONSERV..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Trump 49% 57% 53% 34% 50% 49% DeSantis 25 29 23 21 27 22 Haley 4 1 3 8 4 3 Pence 5 3 7 7 5 5 Scott 4 4 3 6 4 4 Hutchinson - - - 1 - - Christie 5 1 2 15 5 6 Ramaswamy 1 1 2 1 2 - Elder - - - - - - Burgum - - - - - - Suarez - - - - - - Hurd - - - 1 - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - 1 - 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 5 3 7 4 2 8 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - 1 -
Question 2. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Marianne Williamson, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 71% 81% 71% 65% 70% 72% Kennedy 17 10 12 23 18 16 Williamson 5 5 6 4 6 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 2 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 3 10 2 3 5 REFUSED 2 - 1 3 1 2 -
Question 3. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 46% 7% 94% 37% 38% 52% 56% 36% Trump 47 89 4 51 54 42 38 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 4 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 1 1 2 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Biden 50% 43% 46% 50% 37% 49% 43% 75% Trump 40 51 49 46 58 46 52 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 2 1 2 1 2 1 6 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 - - 1 -
Question 4. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 41% 78% 3% 38% 47% 35% 28% 54% Unfavorable 55 19 95 56 51 59 71 42 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 1 3 1 2 - 2 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 1 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 33% 41% 43% 41% 49% 39% 44% 17% Unfavorable 63 57 53 56 50 57 53 78 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 - REFUSED 2 - 3 2 - 3 1 5 -
Question 5. Is your opinion of Ron DeSantis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 36% 66% 7% 35% 42% 32% 34% 43% Unfavorable 46 18 79 45 41 51 58 39 Hvn't hrd enough 17 15 14 20 17 16 8 17 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 31% 40% 38% 34% 48% 31% 39% 15% Unfavorable 42 43 47 51 40 52 46 51 Hvn't hrd enough 26 16 14 14 11 16 14 33 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 -
Question 6. Is your opinion of Nikki Haley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 24% 43% 7% 22% 29% 19% 29% 27% Unfavorable 38 19 58 36 36 40 47 31 Hvn't hrd enough 37 36 34 41 34 39 23 40 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 2 - 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 15% 16% 31% 29% 33% 22% 27% 3% Unfavorable 31 38 37 45 35 40 38 42 Hvn't hrd enough 53 44 31 26 30 37 34 55 REFUSED 1 2 1 - 1 1 1 - -
Question 7. Is your opinion of Mike Pence favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 27% 47% 10% 26% 30% 24% 25% 33% Unfavorable 60 42 81 56 54 64 69 57 Hvn't hrd enough 11 9 9 14 14 8 4 9 REFUSED 2 2 1 4 1 3 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 19% 26% 29% 31% 36% 26% 31% 8% Unfavorable 66 58 62 60 54 66 60 69 Hvn't hrd enough 13 14 8 8 9 7 8 17 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 6 -
Question 8. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 39% 7% 84% 28% 31% 46% 50% 30% Unfavorable 58 92 13 69 66 50 48 68 Hvn't hrd enough 1 - 2 1 1 2 - 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 35% 36% 42% 47% 29% 44% 37% 72% Unfavorable 61 60 56 51 69 53 61 25 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 - 1 - 2 1 - REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 -
Question 9. Is your opinion of Tim Scott favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 26% 43% 8% 28% 31% 22% 31% 28% Unfavorable 22 10 38 19 22 22 24 20 Hvn't hrd enough 51 47 54 53 47 54 45 52 REFUSED 1 - - - - 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 11% 19% 35% 28% 34% 24% 28% 12% Unfavorable 22 20 20 29 20 23 21 26 Hvn't hrd enough 66 60 45 42 46 52 50 62 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 - -
Question 10. Is your opinion of Asa Hutchinson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 9% 7% 11% 10% 11% 8% 12% 8% Unfavorable 18 19 23 14 18 18 22 17 Hvn't hrd enough 71 73 65 76 70 72 64 74 REFUSED 1 1 2 - 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 7% 7% 11% 13% 11% 8% 9% 10% Unfavorable 14 17 19 23 20 18 19 21 Hvn't hrd enough 79 76 69 64 68 72 70 69 REFUSED - 1 2 1 1 2 1 - -
Question 11. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 22% 19% 25% 23% 25% 20% 27% 21% Unfavorable 57 61 57 53 54 60 60 56 Hvn't hrd enough 19 19 16 23 21 18 12 21 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 12% 21% 24% 28% 25% 21% 23% 17% Unfavorable 52 54 62 57 57 59 58 57 Hvn't hrd enough 36 23 12 13 16 18 17 23 REFUSED - 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 -
Question 12. Is your opinion of Vivek Ramaswamy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 16% 26% 5% 18% 19% 14% 19% 16% Unfavorable 13 12 19 8 14 12 16 14 Hvn't hrd enough 69 62 75 73 66 72 64 69 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 15% 13% 22% 16% 21% 14% 17% 8% Unfavorable 11 13 15 15 15 13 14 11 Hvn't hrd enough 73 74 63 68 63 72 68 81 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 - -
Question 13. Is your opinion of Larry Elder favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 14% 26% 2% 15% 19% 11% 17% 15% Unfavorable 12 13 14 12 14 11 13 14 Hvn't hrd enough 72 61 83 71 66 77 70 70 REFUSED 2 - 1 2 1 2 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 5% 14% 20% 18% 20% 11% 16% 3% Unfavorable 15 11 11 13 15 11 13 18 Hvn't hrd enough 79 74 69 68 64 77 71 79 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - -
Question 14. Is your opinion of Doug Burgum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% Unfavorable 7 8 9 7 8 7 5 7 Hvn't hrd enough 89 90 88 90 88 90 93 91 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% Unfavorable 11 8 6 7 6 6 6 23 Hvn't hrd enough 86 90 91 91 91 91 91 76 REFUSED - 2 - 1 - 2 1 - -
Question 15. Is your opinion of Francis Suarez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% Unfavorable 10 12 10 10 10 10 7 10 Hvn't hrd enough 86 85 86 87 85 86 89 88 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% Unfavorable 10 10 11 11 9 8 8 20 Hvn't hrd enough 87 87 86 85 87 90 89 75 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 -
Question 16. Is your opinion of Will Hurd favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 4% 3% 3% 5% 5% 3% 6% 3% Unfavorable 10 8 15 7 9 11 5 9 Hvn't hrd enough 85 88 81 87 85 85 88 87 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 5% 1% 4% 5% 6% 3% 4% 2% Unfavorable 8 9 9 10 7 10 9 21 Hvn't hrd enough 86 88 87 84 86 86 86 75 REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 2 -
Question 17. Is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 34% 39% 22% 40% 36% 31% 32% 34% Unfavorable 31 25 45 26 31 32 39 30 Hvn't hrd enough 34 36 31 34 32 35 28 36 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 33% 39% 37% 30% 35% 30% 33% 32% Unfavorable 28 29 29 38 33 35 34 31 Hvn't hrd enough 39 30 33 30 31 34 33 37 REFUSED - 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 -
Question 18. Is your opinion of Marianne Williamson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 8% 3% 10% 9% 7% 8% 8% 6% Unfavorable 22 21 27 21 20 25 30 20 Hvn't hrd enough 69 76 61 69 72 66 61 74 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 12% 12% 7% 4% 7% 6% 6% 19% Unfavorable 20 14 26 29 22 26 24 19 Hvn't hrd enough 68 73 68 67 70 68 69 62 REFUSED - 1 - 1 1 1 1 - -
Question 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Josh Shapiro is handling his job as governor?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 57% 34% 84% 53% 52% 62% 69% 52% Disapprove 23 41 4 24 28 19 18 29 DK/NA 20 24 12 23 20 19 13 19 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 46% 55% 60% 68% 54% 63% 59% 60% Disapprove 33 27 20 17 29 21 25 19 DK/NA 20 18 20 16 17 16 17 21 -
Question 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 44% 28% 67% 40% 40% 48% 53% 43% Disapprove 32 49 11 35 35 29 26 35 DK/NA 24 23 23 25 25 23 21 23 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 38% 43% 46% 51% 44% 51% 48% 49% Disapprove 23 33 34 31 33 28 31 23 DK/NA 39 24 19 18 23 21 22 28 -
Question 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Fetterman is handling his job as United States Senator?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 39% 8% 79% 31% 33% 45% 45% 33% Disapprove 50 85 11 57 58 43 45 58 DK/NA 10 7 11 12 9 12 10 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 42% 39% 38% 42% 32% 43% 38% 55% Disapprove 47 50 53 47 61 46 53 29 DK/NA 11 11 8 10 7 11 9 16 -
Question 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 39% 6% 85% 28% 31% 46% 50% 31% Disapprove 57 92 12 68 66 49 47 67 DK/NA 4 2 3 4 3 5 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 32% 39% 41% 47% 30% 46% 38% 58% Disapprove 60 60 57 51 68 52 59 33 DK/NA 9 2 2 2 2 2 2 9 -
Question 23. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to vote for in the election for president: the economy, gun violence, racial inequality, abortion, health care, preserving democracy in the United States, climate change, or immigration?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Economy 30% 47% 8% 36% 38% 23% 29% 34% Gun violence 9 2 18 6 8 9 6 7 Racial inequality 3 1 4 4 3 3 1 1 Abortion 8 8 13 3 4 12 9 9 Health care 6 3 8 8 5 8 6 7 Preserving democracy 28 23 34 30 28 29 35 28 Climate change 4 1 9 3 5 4 7 3 Immigration 7 12 3 4 6 7 5 9 DK/NA 4 3 2 6 4 5 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Economy 29% 38% 35% 23% 41% 23% 32% 21% Gun violence 9 9 11 8 5 8 7 22 Racial inequality 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 16 Abortion 11 7 8 9 4 13 9 5 Health care 7 7 6 4 5 7 6 7 Preserving democracy 22 23 28 39 31 31 31 21 Climate change 9 6 2 3 5 4 5 7 Immigration 3 5 7 9 6 8 7 - DK/NA 5 2 1 3 1 4 3 2 -
Question 24. How closely have you been following news regarding the federal criminal charges filed against former President Donald Trump in connection with the way he handled classified documents after leaving the White House; very closely, somewhat closely, or not too closely?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very closely 44% 43% 54% 37% 44% 44% 50% 45% Somewhat closely 38 44 31 37 38 38 35 38 Not too closely 17 13 14 26 17 17 15 17 DK/NA - - - - - 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very closely 20% 32% 53% 60% 46% 47% 47% 31% Somewhat closely 47 43 35 32 38 36 37 43 Not too closely 33 25 12 7 16 16 16 26 DK/NA - - - 1 - - - - -
Question 25. How serious do you think the federal criminal charges involving former President Trump and his handling of classified documents after leaving the White House are; very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not serious at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very serious 45% 16% 82% 41% 40% 50% 54% 36% Smwht serious 15 18 10 19 17 13 15 15 Not too serious 14 25 3 12 16 12 12 19 Not serious at all 23 39 3 24 25 21 18 28 DK/NA 3 2 2 4 2 4 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very serious 44% 40% 47% 51% 39% 47% 43% 64% Smwht serious 19 23 11 12 15 15 15 18 Not too serious 17 13 13 13 19 14 16 4 Not serious at all 18 20 27 23 27 21 24 13 DK/NA 2 3 1 1 1 3 2 2 -
Question 26. Do you think former President Trump should be prosecuted on criminal charges over his handling of classified documents after leaving the White House, or don't you think so?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Prosecuted 50% 14% 92% 49% 44% 55% 61% 39% No 44 84 6 42 50 40 36 58 DK/NA 6 3 2 9 6 5 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Prosecuted 59% 48% 47% 52% 42% 53% 48% 75% No 33 45 51 46 55 43 49 17 DK/NA 8 7 2 2 3 3 3 8 -
Question 27. Do you think former President Trump has given satisfactory answers on this matter, or do you think there are serious questions that remain to be answered?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Satisf. answers 35% 68% 3% 33% 37% 33% 30% 44% Questions remain 56 24 92 52 54 58 64 46 DK/NA 9 8 4 14 8 9 6 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Satisf. answers 24% 34% 41% 34% 42% 37% 39% 10% Questions remain 66 54 55 58 51 55 53 83 DK/NA 10 12 5 7 7 8 8 8 -
Question 28. Do you think the Justice Department's case involving former President Trump's handling of classified documents after leaving the White House is mainly motivated by politics or mainly motivated by the law?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Mainly politics 56% 88% 19% 61% 60% 51% 46% 63% Mainly law 41 10 79 36 37 45 53 33 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 3 4 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Mainly politics 57% 60% 55% 50% 62% 51% 56% 46% Mainly law 41 37 41 47 36 45 41 51 DK/NA 2 4 4 3 2 4 3 3 -
Question 29. How closely have you been following news regarding the federal tax charges and gun possession charge filed against President Biden's son, Hunter Biden; very closely, somewhat closely, or not too closely?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very closely 33% 43% 28% 28% 34% 33% 32% 36% Somewhat closely 37 40 36 36 37 37 40 40 Not too closely 29 17 36 36 29 29 28 23 DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very closely 13% 24% 41% 44% 35% 34% 35% 26% Somewhat closely 31 37 38 39 41 39 40 20 Not too closely 55 40 19 16 24 26 25 54 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - -
Question 30. How serious do you think the federal tax charges and gun possession charge filed against Hunter Biden are; very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not serious at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very serious 41% 60% 23% 39% 40% 41% 33% 46% Smwht serious 34 24 44 33 35 32 40 32 Not too serious 12 6 19 13 13 12 16 11 Not serious at all 7 6 7 8 8 5 5 8 DK/NA 7 4 8 7 4 9 6 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very serious 37% 35% 44% 42% 39% 42% 41% 30% Smwht serious 31 35 33 35 37 33 35 40 Not too serious 18 17 8 12 12 12 12 13 Not serious at all 5 4 10 7 9 5 7 6 DK/NA 8 8 5 4 3 7 5 11 -
Question 31. Do you think the Justice Department's plea deal with Hunter Biden regarding the federal tax charges and gun possession charge is mainly motivated by politics or mainly motivated by the law?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Mainly politics 58% 79% 36% 57% 58% 57% 50% 62% Mainly law 36 18 59 34 35 37 45 34 DK/NA 6 3 5 9 6 6 6 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Mainly politics 50% 60% 61% 55% 58% 57% 57% 59% Mainly law 39 32 34 42 36 39 38 32 DK/NA 10 8 4 3 5 4 5 9 -
Question 32. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Josh Shapiro is handling - the state budget?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 51% 32% 76% 44% 46% 55% 59% 48% Disapprove 25 36 7 33 29 21 21 27 DK/NA 25 31 17 23 25 24 20 25 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 38% 47% 55% 61% 47% 58% 53% 52% Disapprove 39 33 22 15 29 20 24 29 DK/NA 23 20 23 24 24 22 23 19 -
Question 33. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Josh Shapiro is handling - the response to the I-95 highway collapse in Philadelphia?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 74% 65% 88% 70% 75% 73% 83% 69% Disapprove 8 14 6 6 8 8 5 9 DK/NA 18 22 6 24 17 18 12 21 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 65% 73% 78% 82% 76% 73% 74% 71% Disapprove 12 10 6 5 8 7 7 15 DK/NA 22 17 15 13 17 19 18 14 -
Question 34. Do you feel like you can afford to live in Pennsylvania, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 78% 73% 85% 77% 77% 80% 87% 75% No 20 23 14 23 22 18 12 22 DK/NA 2 3 2 - 1 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 65% 76% 80% 86% 79% 81% 80% 71% No 33 22 20 12 19 17 18 29 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 -
Question 35. Would you say your own personal finances are getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better 12% 9% 15% 14% 16% 9% 17% 11% Worse 42 57 23 46 44 41 30 50 The same 44 33 61 39 39 48 53 39 DK/NA 1 1 - - 2 1 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Better 26% 12% 11% 7% 17% 9% 13% 16% Worse 40 44 45 35 44 42 43 29 The same 34 43 43 57 39 48 44 52 DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 - - 2 -
Question 36. If given the financial means to do so, would you move out of Pennsylvania to somewhere else, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Would move out 35% 38% 24% 47% 41% 31% 28% 34% No 61 59 75 50 55 67 70 62 DK/NA 3 4 1 3 4 2 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Would move out 51% 49% 33% 18% 38% 26% 32% 55% No 46 47 63 81 59 71 65 44 DK/NA 3 4 4 1 3 3 3 1 -
Question 37. Recent wildfires in Canada led to dangerous air quality levels in parts of Pennsylvania, causing warnings to residents to limit outdoor activities. Dangerous air quality levels could linger through the summer. How concerned are you about your health or the health of your family members because of wildfires; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very concerned 27% 19% 41% 21% 21% 33% 19% 26% Somewhat concerned 38 36 41 36 31 44 42 39 Not so concerned 20 22 14 24 24 15 24 19 Not concerned at all 15 22 5 19 24 7 15 16 DK/NA - 1 - - - - - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very concerned 23% 25% 29% 30% 16% 32% 24% 56% Somewhat concerned 44 35 34 40 32 45 39 29 Not so concerned 19 18 21 19 28 14 21 3 Not concerned at all 14 22 16 9 24 8 15 12 DK/NA - - - 1 - 1 - - -
Question 38. Which comes closer to your line of thinking: major highways and bridges in Pennsylvania are mostly safe or major highways and bridges in Pennsylvania are mostly not safe?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Mostly safe 53% 49% 55% 53% 60% 47% 58% 49% Mostly not safe 43 46 41 42 38 47 39 47 DK/NA 4 5 4 5 2 6 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Mostly safe 59% 53% 54% 47% 59% 47% 52% 56% Mostly not safe 38 46 43 45 39 47 44 42 DK/NA 2 - 2 8 2 6 4 2