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Georgia 2024: Trump Ahead Of Biden, 16% Of Voters Express Support For Other Candidates In Broader Race, Quinnipiac University Georgia Poll Finds; 50% Of Voters Agree With Guilty Verdict In Trump NYC Trial

Less than one week after former President Donald Trump became the first U.S. president to be convicted of a felony, he holds a slight lead over President Joe Biden 49 - 44 percent in a head-to-head matchup in the battleground state of Georgia, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University Poll of registered voters in Georgia released today.

Republicans back Trump (94 - 4 percent), while Democrats back Biden (93 - 4 percent). Independents are evenly split, with 45 percent backing Trump and 45 percent backing Biden.

In a six-way hypothetical race that includes other candidates, Trump leads with 43 percent support, Biden receives 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 8 percent support, Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver receives 3 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support.

"Trump takes a narrow lead in the head-to-head horse race against Biden. Put four other 'horses' on the track, including the new Libertarian candidate, and he inches further ahead," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

TRUMP CONVICTION

Voters were asked about the guilty verdict in Trump's New York City criminal trial in connection to charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress.

Half of voters (50 percent) agree with the verdict, while 44 percent disagree.

Among Democrats, 96 percent agree with the verdict, while 1 percent disagree.

Among Republicans, 10 percent agree with the verdict, while 86 percent disagree.

Among independents, 52 percent agree with the verdict, while 42 percent disagree.

"In a key state that went for Biden in 2020, half of voters agree with the guilty verdict that made Trump the first president to be convicted of a felony, but Trump still has the advantage in the 2024 race," added Malloy.

When voters were asked how the guilty verdict impacts their vote for Trump, 22 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for him, while 23 percent say it makes them more likely to vote for him, and 54 percent say it doesn't make a difference to their vote.

Among independents, 18 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for him, while 21 percent say it makes them more likely to vote for him, and 61 percent say it doesn't make a difference to their vote.

GEORGIA 2020 ELECTION CASE

Voters were asked about the charges former President Trump and others are facing in Georgia, where they are accused of trying to overturn the 2020 presidential election results.

Roughly 4 in 10 voters (41 percent) believe Trump did something illegal, while 19 percent believe he did something unethical but nothing illegal, and 35 percent believe he did not do anything wrong.

Among independents, 43 percent believe Trump did something illegal, while 25 percent believe he did something unethical but nothing illegal, and 29 percent believe he did not do anything wrong.

GEORGIA 2024 VOTE COUNT

When registered voters were asked how confident they are that votes across Georgia will be counted accurately in the 2024 presidential election, more than two-thirds of voters (68 percent) say they are either very confident (35 percent) or somewhat confident (33 percent) and 30 percent say they are either not so confident (17 percent) or not confident at all (13 percent).

There is a big partisan divide. While 55 percent of Democrats and 40 percent of independents say they are very confident that votes across Georgia will be counted accurately in the 2024 presidential election, only 15 percent of Republicans say they are very confident.

PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE

As the current and former presidents prepare to take the stage together in Atlanta later this month for the first presidential debate of the 2024 election, 75 percent of voters think it is likely that they will watch the debate, while 22 percent think it is unlikely that they will watch the debate.

BIDEN VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES

Voters were asked who they think would do a better job handling six issues...

  • abortion: 47 percent say Biden, while 45 percent say Trump;
  • preserving democracy in the United States: 49 percent say Trump, while 46 percent say Biden;
  • the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 54 percent say Trump, while 41 percent say Biden;
  • the response to the Israel - Hamas war in Gaza: 53 percent say Trump, while 39 percent say Biden;
  • immigration: 56 percent say Trump, while 39 percent say Biden;
  • the economy: 58 percent say Trump, while 38 percent say Biden.

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE

Given a list of 11 issues and asked which is the most important one in deciding who to vote for in the election for president, 29 percent say the economy, followed by preserving democracy in the United States (23 percent) and immigration (14 percent).

ECONOMY

Twenty-nine percent of voters describe the state of the nation's economy these days as either excellent (4 percent) or good (25 percent), while 70 percent of voters describe it as either not so good (26 percent) or poor (44 percent).

Sixty-one percent of voters describe their financial situation these days as either excellent (11 percent) or good (50 percent), while 38 percent describe it as either not so good (24 percent) or poor (14 percent).

This continues a pattern in battleground states polled by Quinnipiac University where voters view their personal financial situations substantially more positively than the state of the nation's economy.

More than half of voters in Georgia (53 percent) think the nation's economy is getting worse, 26 percent think it's staying about the same, and 20 percent think it's getting better.

Thirty-three percent of voters say food prices is the economic issue that worries them most right now, while 25 percent say the cost of housing and rent, 17 percent say the prices of consumer goods, 12 percent say gas and energy prices, 4 percent say their job situation, and 3 percent say the stock market.

"What financial worry generates the most concern during dinner table conversation? The price of what it takes to put food on that very dinner table," added Malloy.

JOB APPROVALS

Voters give President Joe Biden a negative 36 - 60 percent job approval rating.

Voters give Governor Brian Kemp a positive 55 - 31 percent job approval rating, with 14 percent not offering an opinion.

Job approval ratings for United States Senators:

  • Senator Raphael Warnock: 48 percent approve, 38 percent disapprove, with 14 percent not offering an opinion;
  • Senator Jon Ossoff: 47 percent approve, 32 percent disapprove, with 22 percent not offering an opinion.

1,203 Georgia self-identified registered voters were surveyed from May 30th - June 3rd with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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