2024 Presidential Race: Can't Get Much Closer, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 64% Want To See The Two Candidates Debate Again
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With 41 days until Election Day, the presidential race remains too close to call as former President Donald Trump receives 48 percent support among likely voters, Vice President Kamala Harris receives 47 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of likely voters released today.
In Quinnipiac University's August 29 poll, following the Democratic National Convention, the presidential race was too close to call. Harris received 49 percent support, Trump received 47 percent support, and Stein and Oliver each received 1 percent support.
In today's poll, Republicans 93 - 6 percent back Trump, while Democrats 94 - 5 percent back Harris. Among independents, 47 percent back Trump, 44 percent back Harris, 3 percent back Stein, and 2 percent back Oliver.
In a hypothetical two-way race between Harris and Trump, Trump receives 48 percent support and Harris receives 48 percent support.
ENTHUSIASM
Seventy percent of likely voters supporting Harris say they are very enthusiastic about supporting her, compared to 75 percent in August.
Seventy-one percent of likely voters supporting Trump say they are very enthusiastic about supporting him, compared to 68 percent in August.
"On the backstretch of the race to Election Day, all eyes are on which candidate can best stoke their supporter's enthusiasm all the way to the finish line. A slight shift suggests the Harris crowd is not roaring as loudly as it was last month," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
FAVORABILITY RATINGS
Likely voters were asked whether they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of:
- Kamala Harris: 47 percent favorable, 48 percent unfavorable, 4 percent haven't heard enough about her;
- Donald Trump: 47 percent favorable, 50 percent unfavorable, 1 percent haven't heard enough about him;
- Tim Walz: 41 percent favorable, 36 percent unfavorable, 22 percent haven't heard enough about him;
- J.D. Vance: 36 percent favorable, 46 percent unfavorable, 17 percent haven't heard enough about him.
HARRIS VS. TRUMP: PERSONAL TRAITS
Likely voters were asked who they think cares more about the needs and problems of people like them, is more honest, and has higher ethical standards:
- Cares more about the needs and problems of people like you: 49 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris;
- More honest: 48 percent say Harris, while 46 percent say Trump;
- Higher ethical standards: 51 percent say Harris, while 43 percent say Trump.
"Of all the personality traits, empathy is the most personal. The Harris - Trump battle to assure voters they have their backs is about as close as close can be and mirrors the horse race," added Malloy.
HARRIS VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES
Likely voters were asked who they think would do a better job handling six issues...
- decisions about the use of nuclear weapons: 49 percent say Harris, while 47 percent say Trump;
- preserving democracy in the United States: 50 percent say Harris, while 47 percent say Trump;
- gun violence: 50 percent say Harris, while 45 percent say Trump;
- the economy: 52 percent say Trump, while 45 percent say Harris;
- immigration: 53 percent say Trump, while 45 percent say Harris;
- abortion: 54 percent say Harris, while 41 percent say Trump.
When it comes to who they think would do a better job handling a crisis that put the country at great risk, 51 percent say Trump, while 47 percent say Harris.
Nearly 8 in 10 likely voters (79 percent) say it is very important that the next president unites the country, 18 percent say it is somewhat important, 1 percent say it is not so important, and 1 percent say it is not important at all.
OUTLOOK FOR PRESIDENCY: GREAT, TERRIBLE, OR IN-BETWEEN?
If Harris is elected, 19 percent of likely voters think she would be a great president, 24 percent think she would be a good president, 10 percent think she would be a so-so president, 9 percent think she would be a bad president, and 37 percent think she would be a terrible president.
If Trump is elected, 28 percent of likely voters think he would be a great president, 19 percent think he would be a good president, 6 percent think he would be a so-so president, 6 percent think he would be a bad president, and 41 percent think he would be a terrible president.
SECOND PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE?
Nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of likely voters say they would like to see a second debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, while 31 percent say they would not like to see a second debate. There is strong support for a second debate across the board.
"She's ready to rumble. He apparently is not. The final weeks heading to November 5th are bristling with tactics and intrigue as Trump, at least for now, steers clear of another one-on-one," added Malloy.
POLITICALLY MOTIVATED VIOLENCE
Roughly three-quarters (73 percent) of likely voters say they are either very concerned (39 percent) or somewhat concerned (34 percent) that there will be politically motivated violence following the outcome of the 2024 presidential election, while 27 percent say they are either not so concerned (12 percent) or not concerned at all (15 percent).
Democrats are the most concerned as 90 percent say they are either very concerned (52 percent) or somewhat concerned (38 percent), followed by independents with 69 percent saying they are either very concerned (41 percent) or somewhat concerned (28 percent) and Republicans with 59 percent saying they are either very concerned (24 percent) or somewhat concerned (35 percent).
"A large segment of likely voters fear the pot of political discourse boiling over into politically motivated violence, with anxieties most evident among Democrats," added Malloy.
CONSPIRACY THEORIES
More than 4 in 10 likely voters (44 percent) say they hear conspiracy theories repeated by people they know either very often (17 percent) or somewhat often (27 percent), while 54 percent say they hear conspiracy theories repeated by people they know either not so often (26 percent) or not often at all (28 percent).
TAYLOR SWIFT/ELON MUSK ENDORSEMENTS
More than three-quarters of likely voters (76 percent) say Taylor Swift's endorsement of Kamala Harris does not make a difference in their level of enthusiasm about Harris' candidacy, while 9 percent say it makes them more enthusiastic, and 13 percent say it makes them less enthusiastic about Harris' candidacy.
Nearly two-thirds of likely voters (64 percent) say Elon Musk's endorsement of Donald Trump does not make a difference in their level of enthusiasm about Trump's candidacy, while 13 percent say it makes them more enthusiastic, and 21 percent say it makes them less enthusiastic about Trump's candidacy.
PRESIDENT BIDEN
Likely voters give President Joe Biden a negative 42 - 55 percent job approval rating.
1,728 likely voters nationwide were surveyed from September 19th - 22nd with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
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Poll Questions
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Question 1. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, and Chase Oliver the Libertarian Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES ALREADY VOTED AND LEANERS)
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Harris 47% 6% 94% 44% 40% 53% 59% 37% Trump 48 93 5 47 54 41 38 59 Stein 1 - - 3 1 1 1 1 Oliver 1 - - 2 2 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Harris 48% 47% 47% 52% 39% 52% 46% 83% 44% Trump 45 50 48 44 57 45 50 10 52 Stein 4 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 3 Oliver 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 - 2 1 5 1 VOTING METHOD Q2...... In Mail/ Early Person Absent locatn Harris 38% 69% 48% Trump 57 25 47 Stein 1 2 2 Oliver 1 2 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 - 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 -
Question 1a. If the only candidates were Kamala Harris the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES ALREADY VOTED AND LEANERS) (Results based on total sample, only asked of respondents who did not choose Harris or Trump q1. Respondents who named Harris or Trump in q1 assigned to initial preference.)
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Harris 48% 6% 94% 46% 41% 54% 59% 37% Trump 48 93 5 48 56 41 39 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Harris 51% 47% 48% 52% 40% 52% 46% 83% 46% Trump 46 50 48 44 58 45 51 10 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 - 2 1 5 1 VOTING METHOD Q2...... In Mail/ Early Person Absent locatn Harris 39% 70% 49% Trump 58 27 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 -
Question 1b. (If candidate chosen q1) How likely is it that you will change your mind about your choice for president before the election; very likely, somewhat likely, not so likely, or not likely at all?
LIKELY VOTERS................ CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.......... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Tot Harris Trump Very likely - - - Somewhat likely 3 2 3 Not so likely 6 5 6 Not likely at all 90 92 89 DK/NA 1 - 2 -
Question 1c. (If candidate chosen q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (Candidate of choice), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
LIKELY VOTERS................ CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.......... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Tot Harris Trump Very enthusiastic 69% 70% 71% Smwht enthusiastic 24 23 23 Not so enthusiastic 5 5 4 Not enthus at all 2 2 1 DK/NA - - 1 -
Question 2. Thinking about the 2024 election, do you think you will vote in person on Election Day, vote early by mail or absentee ballot, or vote at an early voting location?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No In person 53% 62% 40% 57% 58% 48% 48% 56% Mail/Absentee ballot 22 14 34 18 18 26 29 21 Early voting loc 23 21 24 23 21 24 22 20 WON'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp In person 59% 53% 56% 45% 60% 47% 53% 43% 54% Mail/Absentee ballot 18 21 22 29 19 29 24 19 23 Early voting loc 23 25 20 21 19 21 20 36 24 WON'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA - 2 2 4 2 3 2 1 - -
Question 3. How upset would you be if the candidate you support in the 2024 presidential election lost; very upset, somewhat upset, not so upset, or not upset at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very upset 64% 63% 79% 56% 56% 72% 73% 66% Somewhat upset 21 23 12 26 24 17 18 23 Not so upset 6 5 4 7 6 5 4 5 Not upset at all 8 7 4 11 11 5 5 5 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very upset 50% 66% 65% 75% 56% 80% 69% 59% 59% Somewhat upset 24 19 25 15 28 14 20 16 26 Not so upset 12 7 3 3 6 3 4 11 4 Not upset at all 12 7 5 6 8 2 5 13 11 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 - CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Harris Trump Very upset 74% 60% Somewhat upset 16 25 Not so upset 4 6 Not upset at all 5 7 DK/NA 1 2 -
Question 4. Is your opinion of Kamala Harris favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 47% 5% 93% 45% 41% 52% 57% 37% Unfavorable 48 90 5 49 54 42 40 59 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 2 4 4 4 2 3 REFUSED 2 - 1 2 1 2 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 49% 45% 47% 52% 38% 51% 45% 86% 43% Unfavorable 46 51 48 44 58 45 51 9 54 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 -
Question 5. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 47% 91% 4% 46% 54% 40% 36% 59% Unfavorable 50 8 94 50 43 56 63 40 Hvn't hrd enough 1 - 2 1 2 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 - 3 1 2 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 43% 48% 47% 45% 56% 44% 49% 8% 52% Unfavorable 55 50 50 53 43 55 49 83 48 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 1 1 1 - 1 3 - REFUSED 1 1 2 1 - 1 1 6 - -
Question 6. Is your opinion of J.D. Vance favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 36% 72% 4% 34% 41% 31% 30% 46% Unfavorable 46 7 87 46 40 52 61 36 Hvn't hrd enough 17 21 9 19 18 16 9 18 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 25% 32% 39% 41% 44% 35% 39% 5% 31% Unfavorable 49 50 45 49 41 51 46 76 47 Hvn't hrd enough 24 17 15 9 14 14 14 17 21 REFUSED 1 1 - - 1 - - 3 - -
Question 7. Is your opinion of Tim Walz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 41% 4% 83% 36% 34% 46% 55% 31% Unfavorable 36 68 4 36 41 31 32 44 Hvn't hrd enough 22 27 13 26 23 21 13 23 REFUSED 2 1 - 3 1 2 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 42% 40% 39% 46% 35% 47% 41% 66% 36% Unfavorable 21 39 40 38 45 34 39 7 35 Hvn't hrd enough 36 20 18 15 20 18 19 22 29 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 6 - -
Question 8. How important is it to you that the next president unites the country; very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very important 79% 78% 84% 75% 74% 83% 74% 82% Somewhat important 18 19 15 20 20 15 23 15 Not so important 1 1 - 2 2 1 2 2 Not important at all 1 1 - 3 3 - 1 1 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very important 70% 74% 79% 89% 74% 82% 78% 84% 81% Somewhat important 26 21 18 10 20 16 18 14 16 Not so important 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 - Not important at all 2 1 1 1 2 - 1 - 1 DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 -
Question 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 42% 4% 86% 40% 37% 47% 53% 32% Disapprove 55 95 11 57 60 50 44 66 DK/NA 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 37% 39% 45% 50% 34% 46% 40% 74% 38% Disapprove 57 59 54 48 63 52 57 22 60 DK/NA 6 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 2 -
Question 9a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q9) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve strongly 24% 1% 53% 20% 17% 29% 31% 18% Approve smwht 19 3 32 20 19 18 22 13 Disapprove smwht 8 8 7 8 7 8 7 6 Disapprove strongly 47 86 4 49 53 41 37 59 DK/NA 3 1 4 4 3 4 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 5% 17% 29% 37% 17% 29% 24% 47% 13% Approve smwht 32 21 17 12 17 16 17 26 26 Disapprove smwht 16 9 6 3 7 6 6 14 10 Disapprove strongly 41 50 47 44 56 45 50 8 50 DK/NA 6 2 1 4 3 4 3 5 2 -
Question 10. Regardless of how you intend to vote, if elected, do you think Kamala Harris would be a great president, a good president, a so-so president, a bad president, or a terrible president?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A great president 19% 1% 43% 14% 12% 25% 22% 16% A good president 24 2 46 26 23 26 33 17 A so-so president 10 9 7 14 13 8 9 10 A bad president 9 13 1 10 10 8 7 11 A terrible president 37 74 3 35 41 32 28 46 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A great president 12% 13% 24% 26% 10% 26% 19% 41% 15% A good president 26 28 23 24 25 23 24 41 22 A so-so president 25 11 7 5 13 7 10 6 14 A bad president 8 7 9 8 10 8 9 2 9 A terrible president 30 41 36 36 43 35 39 7 40 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 4 - -
Question 11. Regardless of how you intend to vote, if elected, do you think Donald Trump would be a great president, a good president, a so-so president, a bad president, or a terrible president?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A great president 28% 60% 2% 22% 29% 27% 19% 36% A good president 19 31 3 23 24 14 17 23 A so-so president 6 5 3 10 7 5 5 4 A bad president 6 2 9 6 6 5 4 5 A terrible president 41 2 82 38 34 47 55 32 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 2 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A great president 24% 29% 27% 28% 29% 29% 29% 5% 32% A good president 19 17 21 18 26 16 21 4 19 A so-so president 13 5 4 3 5 4 5 7 7 A bad president 10 7 4 4 5 3 4 16 5 A terrible president 34 41 44 46 34 47 41 65 37 DK/NA 1 - - 1 - - - 4 - -
Question 12. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - has higher ethical standards: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 43% 84% 4% 40% 48% 38% 31% 54% Harris 51 9 96 50 45 56 63 40 DK/NA 6 7 1 9 7 6 6 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 37% 45% 42% 43% 49% 41% 45% 8% 48% Harris 58 49 52 54 44 54 49 88 50 DK/NA 5 6 6 3 7 5 6 4 2 -
Question 13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - cares more about the needs and problems of people like you: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 49% 93% 6% 49% 56% 42% 37% 61% Harris 48 6 94 47 41 55 59 38 DK/NA 3 1 1 4 3 3 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 46% 51% 50% 45% 58% 45% 51% 10% 53% Harris 51 48 49 52 39 53 47 87 47 DK/NA 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 -
Question 14. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is more honest: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 46% 89% 6% 44% 51% 41% 34% 56% Harris 48 6 93 47 42 54 62 38 DK/NA 6 5 1 9 7 5 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 44% 48% 45% 43% 52% 43% 47% 10% 53% Harris 49 47 50 53 41 53 47 85 43 DK/NA 7 5 5 4 7 4 6 4 4 -
Question 15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling the economy: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 52% 95% 7% 53% 59% 46% 40% 63% Harris 45 4 90 43 38 52 58 35 DK/NA 3 1 2 4 3 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 54% 54% 52% 47% 60% 48% 54% 15% 56% Harris 43 45 45 51 38 50 45 78 42 DK/NA 4 2 2 1 2 1 2 8 1 -
Question 16. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling immigration: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 53% 96% 8% 54% 61% 45% 42% 63% Harris 45 4 91 43 36 53 57 35 DK/NA 2 - 1 3 3 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 49% 56% 54% 48% 61% 49% 55% 15% 58% Harris 48 43 45 51 36 51 44 81 42 DK/NA 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 1 -
Question 17. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - preserving democracy in the United States: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 47% 90% 4% 46% 53% 41% 36% 59% Harris 50 8 95 49 43 57 61 38 DK/NA 3 2 1 5 4 2 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 40% 49% 47% 46% 55% 45% 50% 8% 50% Harris 57 48 50 53 41 53 48 91 49 DK/NA 4 3 2 1 4 1 3 1 1 -
Question 18. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling abortion: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 41% 84% 4% 39% 45% 38% 32% 52% Harris 54 12 95 54 48 59 63 42 DK/NA 5 5 1 7 7 3 5 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 32% 44% 41% 43% 47% 41% 44% 7% 44% Harris 64 52 54 53 46 56 51 89 54 DK/NA 3 4 4 4 7 3 5 4 2 -
Question 19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling gun violence: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 45% 87% 4% 45% 51% 39% 34% 55% Harris 50 8 94 47 43 56 62 39 DK/NA 6 5 2 8 6 5 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 38% 47% 46% 43% 51% 43% 46% 10% 50% Harris 58 48 48 52 42 53 48 85 47 DK/NA 4 6 6 4 7 4 5 5 3 -
Question 20. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling a crisis that put the country at great risk: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 51% 94% 8% 51% 58% 45% 39% 61% Harris 47 5 91 45 40 53 59 36 DK/NA 2 1 1 4 2 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 49% 52% 50% 47% 60% 46% 52% 15% 55% Harris 48 47 48 51 38 52 46 83 43 DK/NA 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 -
Question 21. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling decisions about the use of nuclear weapons: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 47% 91% 4% 48% 54% 42% 36% 59% Harris 49 7 94 47 42 55 61 38 DK/NA 4 2 1 5 4 3 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Trump 44% 48% 48% 45% 55% 45% 49% 11% 53% Harris 53 49 50 52 41 53 48 84 44 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 -
Question 22. Would you like to see a second debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Like 64% 58% 70% 65% 69% 60% 67% 66% No 31 36 26 30 28 34 29 30 DK/NA 5 5 4 5 3 6 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Like 73% 65% 70% 58% 71% 63% 66% 57% 73% No 23 33 27 36 27 33 30 34 23 DK/NA 4 2 3 6 2 4 3 9 4 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Harris Trump Yes/Like 71% 61% No 24 36 DK/NA 5 4 -
Question 23. Does Taylor Swift's endorsement of Kamala Harris make you more enthusiastic about Harris' candidacy, less enthusiastic about Harris' candidacy, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More enthusiastic 9% - 20% 9% 8% 11% 10% 9% Less enthusiastic 13 28 1 11 13 14 11 17 No difference 76 71 78 80 78 75 79 73 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More enthusiastic 8% 5% 10% 14% 8% 11% 10% 20% 6% Less enthusiastic 11 12 12 14 15 14 14 1 16 No difference 80 83 78 71 77 74 76 77 77 DK/NA - - - 1 - - - 2 1 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Harris More enthusiastic 20% Less enthusiastic 1 No difference 79 DK/NA - -
Question 24. Does Elon Musk's endorsement of Donald Trump make you more enthusiastic about Trump's candidacy, less enthusiastic about Trump's candidacy, or doesn't it make a difference?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More enthusiastic 13% 29% 1% 12% 15% 12% 12% 16% Less enthusiastic 21 2 43 18 17 25 25 20 No difference 64 68 55 69 66 63 62 64 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More enthusiastic 10% 14% 10% 19% 16% 13% 14% 3% 17% Less enthusiastic 24 17 20 27 18 25 22 43 13 No difference 66 69 69 53 65 61 63 53 70 DK/NA - - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Trump More enthusiastic 27% Less enthusiastic - No difference 72 DK/NA 1 -
Question 25. How concerned are you that there will be politically motivated violence following the outcome of the 2024 presidential election; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very concerned 39% 24% 52% 41% 31% 45% 38% 37% Somewhat concerned 34 35 38 28 33 34 42 35 Not so concerned 12 19 4 14 14 10 9 15 Not concerned at all 15 21 5 17 20 10 10 13 DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very concerned 28% 36% 39% 47% 32% 42% 37% 54% 37% Somewhat concerned 39 39 31 29 36 39 38 22 27 Not so concerned 17 11 12 9 15 10 12 11 12 Not concerned at all 16 13 17 14 16 8 12 11 24 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 -
Question 26. How often do you hear conspiracy theories repeated by people you know; very often, somewhat often, not so often, or not often at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very often 17% 12% 18% 18% 16% 18% 14% 18% Somewhat often 27 23 31 29 27 27 28 28 Not so often 26 31 27 23 26 27 29 25 Not often at all 28 31 23 27 28 27 26 27 DK/NA 2 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very often 18% 11% 19% 17% 16% 16% 16% 23% 16% Somewhat often 31 31 27 26 29 27 28 34 28 Not so often 31 30 25 22 26 27 27 18 30 Not often at all 20 26 27 32 26 28 27 25 24 DK/NA - 2 2 3 2 2 2 - 1