NYC Mayor's Race: Adams Exits, Cuomo Gains, Mamdani Up By Double Digits, Quinnipiac University New York City Poll Finds; Who Would Best Represent NYC's Interests Under Trump? Mamdani & Cuomo Essentially Tied
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Now that New York City's mayoral race is down to three candidates after Mayor Eric Adams dropped out, Democrat Zohran Mamdani leads the race with 46 percent of likely voters backing him, followed by independent candidate Andrew Cuomo with 33 percent support and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa with 15 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea- ack) University New York City poll of likely voters released today.
This compares to Quinnipiac University's New York City poll on September 10 when it was a 4-way race with Mamdani receiving 45 percent support, Cuomo receiving 23 percent support, Sliwa receiving 15 percent support, and Adams receiving 12 percent support.
In today's poll, Mamdani's strongest support is among Democrats (60 percent), Asian American voters (67 percent), voters 18 to 34 years old (62 percent), voters 35 to 49 years old (60 percent), and voters who identify as not being part of any religious group (69 percent).
Cuomo's strongest support is among Jewish voters (60 percent).
Sliwa's strongest support is among Republicans (54 percent).
"The numbers changed but the contours of the race haven't. Andrew Cuomo picked up the bulk of Adams' supporters cutting into Zohran Mamdani's lead, but Mamdani's frontrunner status by double digits stays intact," said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Mary Snow.
ENTHUSIASM
Likely voters were asked about their enthusiasm level for their chosen candidate.
Among likely voters backing Mamdani, 90 percent say they are either very enthusiastic (56 percent) or somewhat enthusiastic (34 percent).
Among likely voters backing Sliwa, 85 percent say they are either very enthusiastic (52 percent) or somewhat enthusiastic (33 percent).
Among likely voters backing Cuomo, 69 percent say they are either very enthusiastic (28 percent) or somewhat enthusiastic (41 percent).
MINDS MADE UP
Likely voters were asked how likely it is that they will change their minds about their choice for mayor before the election.
Among likely voters backing Mamdani, 87 percent say it is either not so likely (18 percent) or not likely at all (69 percent) that they will change their minds, while 12 percent say it is either somewhat likely (10 percent) or very likely (2 percent).
Among likely voters backing Sliwa, 81 percent say it is either not so likely (24 percent) or not likely at all (57 percent) that they will change their minds, while 17 percent say it is either somewhat likely (13 percent) or very likely (4 percent).
Among likely voters backing Cuomo, 73 percent say it is either not so likely (18 percent) or not likely at all (55 percent) that they will change their minds, while 25 percent say it is either somewhat likely (19 percent) or very likely (6 percent).
FAVORABILITY RATINGS
Likely voters were asked whether they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the candidates:
- Zohran Mamdani: 43 percent favorable, 35 percent unfavorable, 19 percent haven't heard enough about him;
- Andrew Cuomo: 37 percent favorable, 52 percent unfavorable, 7 percent haven't heard enough about him;
- Curtis Sliwa: 27 percent favorable, 40 percent unfavorable, 30 percent haven't heard enough about him.
ETHICS VS. EXPERIENCE
Likely voters were asked whether they would say that the candidates are ethical:
- Zohran Mamdani: 53 percent say yes, 28 percent say no, with 19 percent not offering an opinion;
- Curtis Sliwa: 41 percent say yes, 26 percent say no, with 33 percent not offering an opinion;
- Andrew Cuomo: 34 percent say yes, 54 percent say no, with 13 percent not offering an opinion.
Likely voters were asked whether they would say that the candidates have the right kind of experience to be mayor of New York City:
- Andrew Cuomo: 73 percent say yes, 22 percent say no, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
- Zohran Mamdani: 39 percent say yes, 47 percent say no, with 15 percent not offering an opinion;
- Curtis Sliwa: 24 percent say yes, 55 percent say no, with 21 percent not offering an opinion.
HANDLING OF ISSUES
Likely voters were asked, regardless of how they intend to vote, who they think would do the best job of...
- Lowering housing costs in New York City: 48 percent say Mamdani, 25 percent say Cuomo, 13 percent say Sliwa, with 14 percent not offering an opinion;
- Managing the city's public schools: 41 percent say Mamdani, 36 percent say Cuomo, 16 percent say Sliwa, with 8 percent not offering an opinion;
- Making sure New York City's interests are best represented with President Trump in the White House: 35 percent say Mamdani, 34 percent say Cuomo, 22 percent say Sliwa, with 9 percent not offering an opinion;
- Keeping you and your family safe: 35 percent say Mamdani, 32 percent say Cuomo, 23 percent say Sliwa, with 10 percent not offering an opinion;
- Growing the city's economy: 41 percent say Cuomo, 35 percent say Mamdani, 15 percent say Sliwa, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
"Much has been said about the issue not on the ballot but looming over the race: President Trump. Both Mamdani and Cuomo make the case they'll be the best guardrail over New York City's interests under Trump. But voters don't see much daylight between them," added Snow.
ISRAEL - HAMAS CONFLICT
Likely voters were asked, regardless of how they intend to vote, who they think has views closest to their own on the Israel - Hamas conflict. Forty-one percent say Mamdani, 26 percent say Cuomo, and 13 percent say Sliwa, with 20 percent not offering an opinion.
Likely voters were asked whether their sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians based on what they know about the situation in the Middle East. Forty-three percent say the Palestinians, while 22 percent say the Israelis, with 34 percent not offering an opinion.
The poll concluded before President Trump announced the first phase of a peace plan between Israel and Hamas.
BENJAMIN NETANYAHU
Likely voters were asked about Zohran Mamdani's pledge that if he is elected New York City mayor, he will honor a warrant issued by the International Criminal Court by ordering the New York City Police Department to arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu if he visits New York City. Forty-three percent of likely voters oppose Mamdani's pledge, while 38 percent support it, with 19 percent not offering an opinion.
1,015 New York City likely voters were surveyed from October 3rd - 7th with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on probability-based samples using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
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Poll Questions
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Question 1. If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo running as an independent candidate, Zohran Mamdani the Democrat, and Curtis Sliwa the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES ALREADY VOTED AND LEANERS)
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Cuomo 33% 37% 34% 32% 31% 34% 39% 34% 31% 19% Mamdani 46 6 60 41 45 46 37 48 50 67 Sliwa 15 54 2 20 17 13 22 7 12 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - 1 - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 2 1 6 3 4 1 5 3 3 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 3 2 - 2 3 3 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Cuomo 36% 33% 31% 31% 40% 24% 26% 37% 40% Mamdani 39 54 51 40 21 62 60 37 36 Sliwa 19 9 9 20 34 8 9 19 18 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - - 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - - - - - - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 5 1 3 6 5 3 3 4 3 REFUSED 1 1 5 2 - 2 - 1 2 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Cuomo 33% 39% 60% 30% 19% Mamdani 48 32 29 49 69 Sliwa 13 23 8 11 10 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 6 2 3 1 REFUSED 1 - 1 3 1
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Question 1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting (candidate of choice), somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.................... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.............. CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1.... Tot Cuomo Mamdani Sliwa Very enthusiastic 45% 28% 56% 52% Smwht enthusiastic 36 41 34 33 Not so enthusiastic 10 19 6 5 Not enthus at all 6 9 4 4 DK/NA 2 2 1 6
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Question 1b. (If candidate chosen q1) How likely is it that you will change your mind about your choice for mayor before the election; very likely, somewhat likely, not so likely, or not likely at all?
LIKELY VOTERS.................... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.............. CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1.... Tot Cuomo Mamdani Sliwa Very likely 4% 6% 2% 4% Somewhat likely 14 19 10 13 Not so likely 19 18 18 24 Not likely at all 63 55 69 57 DK/NA 1 2 - 1
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Question 1c. (If candidate chosen q1 and not yet voted) Who is your second choice?
LIKELY VOTERS...................... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 & NOT YET VOTED CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1.... Tot Cuomo Mamdani Sliwa Cuomo 25% - 36% 46% Mamdani 10 25 - 8 Sliwa 17 35 11 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 4 5 6 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 22 17 25 25 REFUSED 21 20 23 14
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Question 2. Is your opinion of Zohran Mamdani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Favorable 43% 9% 54% 38% 43% 42% 34% 46% 50% 60% Unfavorable 35 82 19 44 41 29 57 19 19 18 Hvn't hrd enough 19 5 25 15 13 25 7 34 28 20 REFUSED 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 1 3 2 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 38% 46% 51% 40% 21% 56% 57% 32% 35% Unfavorable 28 35 32 34 66 28 27 38 40 Hvn't hrd enough 32 16 14 23 13 13 14 29 24 REFUSED 2 3 4 4 - 3 2 2 1 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Favorable 52% 30% 22% 41% 66% Unfavorable 22 46 67 27 19 Hvn't hrd enough 26 22 4 29 13 REFUSED 1 2 6 3 2
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Question 3. Is your opinion of Curtis Sliwa favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Favorable 27% 68% 15% 33% 31% 23% 39% 17% 21% 18% Unfavorable 40 14 50 35 40 41 39 49 30 46 Hvn't hrd enough 30 16 32 30 25 34 20 31 46 35 REFUSED 3 1 3 2 4 2 1 3 4 - AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 31% 22% 22% 30% 47% 17% 19% 28% 38% Unfavorable 30 45 50 36 21 31 49 41 44 Hvn't hrd enough 38 30 23 31 29 51 31 28 15 REFUSED 1 3 4 2 4 2 1 3 3 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Favorable 21% 36% 34% 27% 17% Unfavorable 52 34 44 31 51 Hvn't hrd enough 23 30 21 38 32 REFUSED 4 1 - 3 1
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Question 4. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Favorable 37% 30% 41% 35% 35% 38% 30% 51% 44% 25% Unfavorable 52 61 49 54 57 49 63 35 40 65 Hvn't hrd enough 7 4 6 7 5 9 1 10 12 10 REFUSED 4 5 3 4 4 5 6 4 4 1 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 48% 35% 32% 37% 33% 20% 31% 41% 50% Unfavorable 34 57 58 51 56 69 61 46 40 Hvn't hrd enough 16 2 5 10 3 8 5 9 6 REFUSED 2 5 5 2 8 3 2 4 3 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Favorable 48% 37% 43% 45% 26% Unfavorable 39 48 49 44 68 Hvn't hrd enough 9 10 - 9 4 REFUSED 4 4 8 2 2
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Question 5. Would you say that - Zohran Mamdani is ethical, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Yes 53% 18% 65% 49% 53% 53% 44% 51% 64% 71% No 28 66 16 33 32 24 43 16 21 15 DK/NA 19 16 18 18 14 24 13 33 15 14 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 51% 54% 63% 49% 28% 69% 66% 44% 44% No 25 30 19 28 60 21 20 34 34 DK/NA 24 16 18 23 13 10 14 22 23 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Yes 50% 43% 37% 54% 73% No 19 39 50 22 15 DK/NA 31 18 14 24 12
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Question 6. Would you say that - Andrew Cuomo is ethical, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Yes 34% 32% 38% 30% 32% 35% 27% 46% 44% 23% No 54 53 53 57 55 52 64 38 44 66 DK/NA 13 15 10 13 12 13 9 16 12 10 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 47% 31% 31% 32% 32% 22% 30% 37% 45% No 37 61 57 53 51 71 61 53 39 DK/NA 16 8 13 15 17 7 8 10 17 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Yes 49% 37% 37% 36% 24% No 33 50 52 50 70 DK/NA 18 13 11 14 6
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Question 7. Would you say that - Curtis Sliwa is ethical, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Yes 41% 70% 33% 44% 46% 36% 55% 31% 31% 38% No 26 10 31 26 26 27 19 34 35 28 DK/NA 33 20 36 31 28 37 27 35 34 35 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 33% 37% 39% 46% 65% 32% 42% 38% 50% No 29 32 26 22 10 29 28 32 22 DK/NA 38 31 35 32 25 40 29 29 28 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Yes 31% 50% 46% 35% 39% No 18 28 25 27 31 DK/NA 51 23 29 38 30
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Question 8. Would you say that - Zohran Mamdani has the right kind of experience to be mayor of New York City, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Yes 39% 11% 48% 33% 37% 40% 29% 42% 50% 51% No 47 83 36 55 53 41 65 35 32 30 DK/NA 15 6 16 12 10 19 6 24 17 19 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 40% 45% 40% 34% 15% 57% 50% 31% 26% No 42 44 46 46 77 32 39 51 60 DK/NA 18 10 14 20 9 10 12 18 14 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Yes 32% 33% 21% 40% 57% No 49 54 76 37 31 DK/NA 19 13 3 23 12
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Question 9. Would you say that - Andrew Cuomo has the right kind of experience to be mayor of New York City, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Yes 73% 69% 76% 75% 72% 74% 75% 80% 76% 61% No 22 23 21 23 24 21 22 18 19 30 DK/NA 5 8 2 2 4 5 2 3 5 9 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 75% 74% 73% 68% 82% 70% 65% 81% 80% No 22 24 23 22 14 24 32 17 18 DK/NA 3 2 5 10 4 6 2 2 2 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Yes 79% 80% 85% 71% 66% No 18 16 14 26 29 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 5
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Question 10. Would you say that - Curtis Sliwa has the right kind of experience to be mayor of New York City, or not?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Yes 24% 59% 13% 30% 25% 23% 31% 19% 19% 19% No 55 28 64 52 59 52 53 65 51 56 DK/NA 21 13 23 17 16 25 16 16 31 25 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 29% 21% 19% 27% 37% 22% 21% 21% 29% No 47 59 64 49 46 45 56 62 61 DK/NA 23 20 17 24 17 33 23 17 10 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Yes 15% 31% 27% 23% 18% No 63 55 56 48 60 DK/NA 22 14 17 29 21
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Question 11. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do the best job of - keeping you and your family safe: Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, or Curtis Sliwa?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Mamdani 35% 7% 45% 29% 36% 34% 26% 35% 41% 52% Cuomo 32 21 39 30 30 35 33 41 35 20 Sliwa 23 70 9 30 26 21 35 11 14 17 DK/NA 10 3 8 10 8 11 7 14 10 10 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Mamdani 29% 39% 39% 34% 12% 52% 48% 28% 23% Cuomo 36 35 29 30 33 22 27 42 37 Sliwa 24 19 17 28 52 19 15 23 29 DK/NA 11 7 15 9 2 8 10 7 11 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Mamdani 33% 26% 16% 37% 55% Cuomo 34 38 46 30 24 Sliwa 17 30 30 20 14 DK/NA 15 6 8 13 7
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Question 12. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do the best job of - lowering housing costs in New York City: Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, or Curtis Sliwa?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Mamdani 48% 14% 61% 41% 47% 48% 41% 44% 52% 67% Cuomo 25 29 24 28 23 26 24 34 31 11 Sliwa 13 41 4 17 14 12 19 7 8 10 DK/NA 14 16 11 13 15 14 16 15 10 11 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Mamdani 45% 54% 51% 44% 24% 64% 64% 41% 38% Cuomo 29 24 20 24 37 20 16 30 30 Sliwa 10 10 9 19 28 8 8 14 17 DK/NA 16 12 20 13 11 9 12 16 14 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Mamdani 48% 36% 39% 48% 68% Cuomo 29 34 30 23 15 Sliwa 9 18 10 12 9 DK/NA 14 12 21 17 7
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Question 13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do the best job of - growing the city's economy: Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, or Curtis Sliwa?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Mamdani 35% 5% 44% 31% 36% 34% 27% 37% 40% 51% Cuomo 41 42 44 40 38 43 45 46 37 31 Sliwa 15 48 4 20 18 12 21 8 10 9 DK/NA 10 5 7 9 8 11 7 9 14 9 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Mamdani 31% 41% 35% 33% 12% 49% 47% 23% 28% Cuomo 40 39 46 37 46 26 35 50 49 Sliwa 13 13 8 20 38 15 7 16 18 DK/NA 16 6 11 10 4 9 11 10 6 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Mamdani 37% 26% 21% 35% 51% Cuomo 53 46 57 35 30 Sliwa 7 19 11 14 12 DK/NA 3 8 11 15 7
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Question 14. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do the best job of - making sure New York City's interests are best represented with President Trump in the White House: Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, or Curtis Sliwa?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Mamdani 35% 7% 46% 29% 36% 35% 28% 37% 39% 53% Cuomo 34 24 38 34 30 37 32 43 33 24 Sliwa 22 64 9 28 26 18 34 10 16 13 DK/NA 9 5 8 9 8 11 6 10 12 10 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Mamdani 33% 42% 35% 35% 12% 50% 52% 28% 24% Cuomo 34 31 38 32 35 25 26 40 40 Sliwa 26 19 15 22 53 16 11 25 29 DK/NA 7 9 12 12 - 10 10 7 7 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Mamdani 34% 28% 21% 35% 55% Cuomo 41 37 43 32 25 Sliwa 16 28 28 21 13 DK/NA 9 7 8 13 7
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Question 15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do the best job of - managing the city's public schools: Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, or Curtis Sliwa?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Mamdani 41% 5% 53% 37% 40% 41% 32% 42% 44% 61% Cuomo 36 37 39 35 35 36 38 44 38 21 Sliwa 16 53 3 22 19 13 25 6 13 9 DK/NA 8 4 5 6 6 9 6 8 5 8 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Mamdani 32% 45% 48% 40% 15% 53% 57% 33% 32% Cuomo 45 35 31 33 43 26 27 47 43 Sliwa 17 13 9 18 41 12 9 17 20 DK/NA 5 6 12 9 1 10 7 3 5 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Mamdani 41% 28% 21% 41% 65% Cuomo 47 42 51 35 22 Sliwa 9 23 20 12 9 DK/NA 3 7 8 12 4
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Question 16. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think has views closest to your own on the Israel - Hamas conflict: Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, or Curtis Sliwa?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Mamdani 41% 6% 52% 40% 44% 39% 29% 47% 47% 57% Cuomo 26 22 28 27 23 29 28 31 30 14 Sliwa 13 52 2 16 16 10 25 5 7 5 DK/NA 20 20 18 17 18 22 18 18 16 24 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Mamdani 40% 45% 47% 36% 15% 54% 56% 34% 34% Cuomo 24 26 26 25 35 20 17 31 33 Sliwa 9 14 8 13 33 13 8 13 18 DK/NA 26 15 19 26 17 13 19 22 15 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Mamdani 50% 30% 16% 42% 63% Cuomo 26 32 40 26 15 Sliwa 6 20 24 9 6 DK/NA 18 18 20 23 15
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Question 17. From what you know about the situation in the Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Israelis 22% 53% 15% 26% 26% 19% 43% 11% 14% 8% Palestinians 43 11 55 41 43 44 32 54 52 62 DK/NA 34 36 31 33 31 37 25 35 33 30 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Israelis 14% 24% 25% 18% 39% 18% 15% 19% 35% Palestinians 44 45 50 40 23 57 53 40 36 DK/NA 42 31 25 41 38 25 33 41 29 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Israelis 17% 28% 69% 15% 8% Palestinians 49 37 14 46 65 DK/NA 35 35 17 40 27
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Question 18. As you may know, Zohran Mamdani has pledged that if he is elected New York City mayor, he would honor a warrant issued by the International Criminal Court by ordering the New York City Police Department to arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu if he visits New York. Do you support or oppose Mamdani's pledge?
LIKELY VOTERS..................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Asn Support 38% 9% 46% 37% 40% 37% 30% 38% 47% 56% Oppose 43 78 33 51 47 39 59 36 31 26 DK/NA 19 13 20 12 14 24 12 26 22 18 AREA............................. AGE IN YRS.............. Brnx Bklyn Man Qns StIsl 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Support 37% 39% 46% 36% 16% 56% 50% 32% 30% Oppose 35 44 39 43 69 26 34 47 56 DK/NA 28 17 15 20 16 18 16 20 15 RELIGION........................ Prot Cath Jewish Other None Support 37% 32% 16% 43% 56% Oppose 40 53 73 34 27 DK/NA 23 15 11 23 17