Haley Ties DeSantis For First Time In GOP Primary, While Trump Still Dominates, With Biggest Lead To Date, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Voter Support For U.S. Military Aid To Israel Dips
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As the 2024 presidential race draws closer to primaries and caucuses getting underway, former President Donald Trump holds a commanding lead over his competitors, while former United States Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley moves to second place, tied with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
Among Republican and Republican leaning voters, 67 percent support Trump, 11 percent support DeSantis, 11 percent support Haley, 4 percent support entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, and 3 percent support former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.
This is both Trump's and Haley's highest levels of support since the Quinnipiac University Poll started national surveys on the 2024 GOP presidential primary race in February 2023 and this is DeSantis' lowest score of the year. In February, he received 36 percent support.
"DeSantis continues his yearlong slide. Haley gains momentum. The battle for second place heats up, but it's unlikely it will send a holiday chill through MAGA world," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
Among Republican and Republican leaning voters who support a candidate in the 2024 Republican presidential primary, 50 percent say they might change their candidate choice depending on what happens leading up to the Republican primary, while 48 percent say they are firmly set on their choice for the Republican nomination no matter what happens leading up to the Republican primary.
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
President Biden receives 75 percent support among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters, author Marianne Williamson receives 13 percent support, and U.S. Representative from Minnesota Dean Phillips receives 5 percent support.
Among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters who support a candidate in the 2024 Democratic presidential primary, a majority (57 percent) say they might change their candidate choice depending on what happens leading up to the Democratic primary, while 40 percent say they are firmly set on their choice for the Democratic nomination no matter what happens leading up to the Democratic primary.
GENERAL ELECTION
In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are in a virtual dead heat, with 47 percent supporting Biden and 46 percent supporting Trump.
Democrats (94 - 5 percent) support Biden, while Republicans (93 - 4 percent) support Trump. Among independents, 46 percent support Biden and 40 percent support Trump.
In a three-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup adding independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Biden receives 38 percent support, Trump receives 36 percent support, and Kennedy receives 22 percent support.
In a five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup adding independent candidate Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Trump receives 38 percent support, Biden receives 36 percent support, Kennedy receives 16 percent support, and West and Stein each receive 3 percent support.
BIDEN
Voters give President Biden a negative 38 - 58 percent job approval rating, largely unchanged from a November 15 Quinnipiac University poll when he received a negative 37 - 59 percent job approval rating.
Voters were asked about Biden's handling of...
- the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 45 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove, with 7 percent not offering an opinion;
- the economy: 39 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
- foreign policy: 35 percent approve, 59 percent disapprove, with 6 percent not offering an opinion;
- the response to the war between Israel and Hamas: 34 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove, with 11 percent not offering an opinion;
- the situation at the Mexican border: 27 percent approve, 63 percent disapprove, with 11 percent not offering an opinion.
BIDEN IMPEACHMENT INQUIRY
Voters are divided on the House of Representatives beginning a formal impeachment inquiry to determine whether or not to bring impeachment charges against President Biden, as 46 percent approve and 49 percent disapprove.
Democrats (85 - 10 percent) disapprove, while Republicans (80 - 17 percent) approve. Independents are split, with 48 percent approving and 47 percent disapproving.
HUNTER BIDEN
Seven in 10 voters (70 percent) say they are following news about the Justice Department's investigations into President Biden's son Hunter Biden either very closely (28 percent) or somewhat closely (42 percent), while 29 percent say they are following it not too closely.
More than 4 in 10 voters (44 percent) say the Justice Department's treatment of Hunter Biden has been not tough enough, while 28 percent say it has been fair, and 15 percent say it has been too tough.
TRUMP
A majority of voters (53 percent) say they are concerned by a recent comment former President Donald Trump made saying he wants to be a dictator for one day if he wins the 2024 presidential election, while 44 percent say they are not concerned.
Democrats (90 - 9 percent) and independents (57 - 40 percent) say they are concerned, while Republicans (84 - 13 percent) say they are not concerned.
ISRAEL - HAMAS WAR
More than two months after the October 7th Hamas terrorist attack on Israel, voters are split on whether the United States should send more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas, with 45 percent supporting it and 46 percent opposing it.
This is a drop from majority support (54 - 39 percent) for the United States sending more military aid to Israel in Quinnipiac University's November 16 poll.
In today's poll, there are wide gaps by political party, age, and race.
Republicans (65 - 28 percent) support the United States sending more military aid to Israel, while Democrats (58 - 36 percent) oppose it. Among independents, 41 percent support it and 48 percent oppose it.
Voters 65 years of age and over (63 - 28 percent) and voters ages 50 - 64 years old (55 - 36 percent) support the United States sending more military aid to Israel, while voters 18 - 34 years old (72 - 21 percent) and voters 35 - 49 years old (53 - 38 percent) oppose it.
White voters (51 - 40 percent) support the United States sending more military aid to Israel, while Hispanic voters (60 - 36 percent) and Black voters (56 - 35 percent) oppose it.
A majority of voters (69 percent) think supporting Israel is in the national interest of the United States, while 23 percent think it is not in the national interest of the United States.
When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Israel, 29 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, while 17 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel, and 45 percent think the U.S. support of Israel is about right.
Voters are split on the way Israel is responding to the October 7th Hamas terrorist attack, with 43 percent approving and 42 percent disapproving. This compares to a November 16 poll when 46 percent approved and 40 percent disapproved of Israel's response.
Voters were asked whether their sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians based on what they know about the situation in the Middle East. Forty-nine percent of voters say the Israelis, while 24 percent say the Palestinians. This compares to mid-November when 54 percent said the Israelis and 24 percent said the Palestinians.
Republicans (77 - 6 percent) and independents (48 - 24 percent) say their sympathies lie more with the Israelis, while Democrats (40 - 30 percent) say their sympathies lie more with the Palestinians.
"There are shifting sentiments as the human losses mount and the Biden administration leans on Israel to lessen the impact on Palestinian civilians. While voters make it clear they have a personal stake in supporting Israel, they are less enthusiastic about fortifying its close ally's arsenal," added Malloy.
UKRAINE
Voters (55 - 38 percent) support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia, largely unchanged from a mid-November survey.
There is a big gap by party identification.
Democrats (77 - 17 percent) and independents (51 - 42 percent) support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine, while Republicans (51 - 42 percent) oppose it.
A majority of voters (69 percent) think supporting Ukraine is in the national interest of the United States, while 25 percent think it is not in the national interest of the United States.
Nearly one-third of voters (32 percent) think the United States is doing too much to help Ukraine, 25 percent think the U.S. is doing too little, and 35 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount to help Ukraine.
"American voters hold firm on helping Ukraine battle Putin. But while Israel's war effort continues to get full throated support from the GOP, it's clear Republican voters are losing patience with supporting Ukraine," added Malloy.
HOLIDAY SPENDING AND 2024
Just under half of voters (48 percent) say they plan to spend about the same amount on gifts this holiday season compared to last year, 39 percent say they plan to spend less, and 12 percent say they plan to spend more.
As for next year, a plurality of voters (48 percent) think the nation's economy will be better, while 39 percent think it will be worse.
More than 6 in 10 voters (62 percent) think 2024 will be better than 2023 for them personally, while 20 percent think it will be worse than 2023 for them personally.
1,647 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from December 14th - 18th with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey included 702 Republican and Republican leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. The survey included 683 Democratic and Democratic leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. (If Republican or Republican leaner) If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Chris Christie, and Vivek Ramaswamy for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS.................................................... REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........ PARTYID..... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep RepLn Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Trump 67% 71% 56% 76% 68% 47% 66% 68% 48% 72% DeSantis 11 11 11 12 10 13 12 11 15 11 Haley 11 9 15 7 8 21 11 11 24 8 Hutchinson - - 1 1 - 1 1 - - - Christie 3 3 2 - 3 7 3 2 4 3 Ramaswamy 4 3 6 2 5 7 5 4 5 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 4 - 3 1 - 2 - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 2 4 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 REFUSED - 1 - - - 2 1 - - -
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Question 1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Which comes closer to your line of thinking: you are firmly set on your choice for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination no matter what happens leading up to the Republican primary or you might change your choice for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination depending on what happens leading up to the Republican primary?
REGISTERED VOTERS............. REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.......... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Not Tot Trump Trump Firmly set 48% 62% 17% Might change 50 37 82 DK/NA 2 2 2
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Question 2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Marianne Williamson, and Dean Phillips, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS.................................................... DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........ PARTYID..... LIBERAL..... Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Dem DemLn Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Biden 75% 81% 60% 74% 79% 74% 76% 74% 83% 75% Williamson 13 11 17 20 8 12 10 15 7 11 Phillips 5 3 12 1 5 7 8 3 4 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 5 4 7 4 6 5 3 6 6 4 REFUSED 1 - 3 - 1 2 2 1 1 2
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Question 2a. (If candidate chosen q2) Which comes closer to your line of thinking: you are firmly set on your choice for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination no matter what happens leading up to the Democratic primary or you might change your choice for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination depending on what happens leading up to the Democratic primary?
REGISTERED VOTERS............ DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS. CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2.......... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2 Not Tot Biden Biden Firmly set 40% 46% 16% Might change 57 51 82 DK/NA 3 3 2
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Question 3. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 47% 4% 94% 46% 41% 53% 59% 33% Trump 46 93 5 40 51 41 35 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 5 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 - 5 3 2 3 2 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 - - 3 2 2 2 1 REFUSED - - - - - - - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 54% 44% 46% 47% 35% 49% 43% 80% 55% Trump 36 47 48 50 59 46 52 17 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 1 2 2 2 - 4 UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 2 3 1 1 1 1 3 4 REFUSED 1 - - - 1 - - - -
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Question 4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 38% 3% 84% 32% 34% 42% 53% 26% Trump 36 82 3 26 41 33 30 51 Kennedy 22 13 12 36 23 21 13 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 2 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 - 1 3 1 2 2 2 REFUSED - - - 1 1 - 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 36% 34% 41% 42% 30% 41% 36% 69% 39% Trump 21 35 42 44 46 40 43 2 27 Kennedy 40 26 16 11 20 15 17 28 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 - 1 1 - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 - - REFUSED 1 1 - - - - - - 1
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Question 5. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 36% 3% 79% 29% 31% 40% 50% 25% Trump 38 83 3 28 42 33 30 53 Kennedy 16 11 10 25 16 16 12 15 West 3 - 5 4 5 2 2 1 Stein 3 1 2 5 2 4 2 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 1 1 4 2 4 2 2 REFUSED - - - 1 - - - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 33% 31% 40% 42% 29% 39% 35% 61% 35% Trump 20 37 42 45 48 41 44 4 25 Kennedy 24 21 13 9 15 13 14 15 28 West 6 4 2 1 2 1 2 10 4 Stein 10 2 1 1 2 2 2 9 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 1 - - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 5 3 1 1 2 3 2 - 3 REFUSED - - - - - - - - -
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Question 6. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 41% 84% 4% 34% 45% 37% 28% 56% Unfavorable 54 12 92 61 51 57 69 42 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 4 3 2 4 1 1 REFUSED 2 2 - 1 2 2 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 31% 40% 43% 44% 51% 41% 46% 15% 34% Unfavorable 62 56 53 53 47 57 52 69 61 Hvn't hrd enough 6 1 2 2 1 1 1 13 2 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 4
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Question 7. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 38% 4% 83% 31% 32% 44% 49% 27% Unfavorable 58 95 15 61 65 50 48 71 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 1 5 2 3 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 32% 34% 43% 44% 28% 42% 36% 64% 43% Unfavorable 56 63 55 55 70 56 62 24 50 Hvn't hrd enough 8 2 1 - 1 - 1 9 6 REFUSED 4 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 2
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Question 8. Is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 30% 39% 17% 34% 32% 28% 22% 32% Unfavorable 32 17 55 27 32 33 51 29 Hvn't hrd enough 37 43 28 37 35 38 26 38 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 29% 32% 33% 27% 32% 25% 28% 26% 38% Unfavorable 20 27 36 45 34 40 37 29 26 Hvn't hrd enough 49 40 31 27 33 35 34 44 35 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 1
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Question 9. Is your opinion of Ron DeSantis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 31% 67% 3% 24% 35% 27% 30% 41% Unfavorable 52 18 85 57 50 55 62 41 Hvn't hrd enough 16 15 12 18 14 18 6 18 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 2 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 14% 26% 36% 41% 40% 34% 37% 5% 20% Unfavorable 57 54 53 48 45 52 49 70 57 Hvn't hrd enough 29 18 10 10 14 13 14 24 22 REFUSED - 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
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Question 10. Is your opinion of Nikki Haley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 29% 43% 17% 31% 31% 28% 38% 34% Unfavorable 33 26 47 27 35 32 38 31 Hvn't hrd enough 36 29 35 41 33 40 23 34 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 12% 22% 36% 43% 37% 34% 35% 15% 18% Unfavorable 23 35 35 36 33 34 34 33 32 Hvn't hrd enough 64 42 28 19 30 31 30 51 48 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2
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Question 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 38% 4% 83% 32% 33% 42% 50% 28% Disapprove 58 95 14 62 64 53 46 70 DK/NA 4 1 3 6 4 5 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 30% 32% 44% 43% 30% 42% 37% 62% 39% Disapprove 58 64 55 55 68 55 61 29 55 DK/NA 11 3 1 1 2 3 2 9 6
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Question 11a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q11) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve strongly 20% 1% 49% 14% 15% 25% 29% 16% Approve smwht 18 3 34 18 18 17 21 13 Disapprove smwht 12 7 7 18 11 12 9 9 Disapprove strongly 46 88 7 44 53 40 37 61 DK/NA 5 1 3 6 4 5 4 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 6% 14% 29% 29% 14% 26% 21% 35% 16% Approve smwht 24 18 14 14 16 16 16 27 24 Disapprove smwht 22 17 8 4 10 8 9 17 15 Disapprove strongly 37 47 47 51 58 47 52 12 39 DK/NA 11 4 1 2 2 3 3 9 6
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Question 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - the economy?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 39% 5% 83% 35% 34% 43% 52% 27% Disapprove 56 95 14 57 62 50 45 69 DK/NA 5 1 4 8 3 7 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 32% 35% 44% 45% 31% 42% 37% 63% 44% Disapprove 54 61 55 53 66 55 60 28 49 DK/NA 13 4 1 2 3 4 3 10 7
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Question 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - foreign policy?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 35% 8% 68% 32% 31% 38% 50% 25% Disapprove 59 91 23 62 65 54 44 72 DK/NA 6 1 9 6 5 7 6 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 16% 33% 42% 43% 28% 39% 34% 56% 28% Disapprove 70 62 56 54 68 56 62 36 62 DK/NA 14 5 3 4 4 5 4 8 10
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Question 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - the situation at the Mexican border?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 27% 3% 59% 23% 25% 28% 37% 19% Disapprove 63 93 29 63 65 60 54 72 DK/NA 11 3 12 14 10 12 9 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 23% 25% 30% 29% 23% 27% 25% 49% 26% Disapprove 57 61 66 63 69 62 65 36 62 DK/NA 20 13 4 8 8 10 9 15 12
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Question 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling the response to the war between Israel and Hamas?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 34% 25% 51% 32% 34% 35% 47% 30% Disapprove 54 69 39 55 57 52 45 59 DK/NA 11 6 11 13 9 12 8 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 14% 31% 43% 45% 34% 39% 37% 39% 31% Disapprove 68 57 50 49 56 52 54 44 57 DK/NA 18 11 8 6 10 9 9 17 12
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Question 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 45% 13% 81% 43% 43% 47% 59% 38% Disapprove 48 81 12 49 51 45 36 56 DK/NA 7 5 7 8 6 9 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 44% 36% 48% 51% 42% 49% 46% 58% 46% Disapprove 44 56 47 45 53 44 48 33 47 DK/NA 12 7 5 4 5 7 6 9 7
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Question 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Israel is responding to the October 7th Hamas terrorist attack?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 43% 74% 23% 37% 47% 40% 43% 50% Disapprove 42 16 63 46 41 43 45 35 DK/NA 15 11 14 17 13 17 12 15 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 18% 39% 55% 54% 52% 43% 47% 23% 41% Disapprove 64 44 31 35 37 40 39 57 48 DK/NA 18 17 13 12 11 17 14 20 11
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Question 18. Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 42% 8% 84% 37% 36% 46% 54% 32% No 53 88 13 57 58 48 42 64 DK/NA 5 3 3 6 6 5 4 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 38% 38% 46% 46% 34% 46% 40% 70% 43% No 56 54 51 51 62 50 56 26 47 DK/NA 5 8 3 3 4 4 4 3 10
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Question 19. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 32% 69% 6% 25% 34% 31% 22% 44% No 63 26 93 68 60 65 74 52 DK/NA 5 4 1 7 6 4 4 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 22% 31% 35% 39% 37% 34% 36% 12% 31% No 71 64 63 58 58 62 60 83 66 DK/NA 7 6 2 3 5 4 4 5 3
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Question 20. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very satisfied 6% 3% 12% 4% 5% 7% 5% 4% Smwht satisfied 24 6 47 20 22 25 31 18 Smwht dissatisfied 23 20 24 26 24 21 25 21 Very dissatisfied 47 72 16 49 48 45 37 56 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very satisfied 2% 4% 10% 8% 4% 6% 5% 15% 6% Smwht satisfied 19 25 26 26 20 24 23 39 26 Smwht dissatisfied 35 24 17 18 25 21 23 24 26 Very dissatisfied 44 47 47 47 51 48 49 21 39 DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 - 1 2
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Question 21. Do you think 2024 will be better or worse than 2023 for you personally?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better 62% 49% 77% 63% 61% 63% 64% 56% Worse 20 32 8 20 21 19 14 26 NEITHER(VOL) 8 6 7 10 8 9 11 9 DK/NA 9 13 7 8 10 9 10 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Better 73% 67% 66% 50% 59% 59% 59% 82% 73% Worse 18 17 21 23 24 19 21 11 13 NEITHER(VOL) 3 8 7 14 9 11 10 3 6 DK/NA 6 8 6 13 8 11 10 4 8
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Question 22. Do you think that the nation's economy will be better or worse next year?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better 48% 30% 72% 46% 45% 51% 56% 43% Worse 39 55 19 41 42 36 31 44 SAME(VOL) 3 3 3 5 4 3 4 4 DK/NA 9 12 7 8 9 10 8 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Better 36% 49% 55% 52% 44% 52% 48% 67% 54% Worse 50 39 35 35 43 35 39 27 35 SAME(VOL) 4 4 3 3 5 3 4 2 - DK/NA 10 8 7 10 9 10 9 5 11
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Question 23. Do you think the United States is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount to help Ukraine?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Too much 32% 50% 9% 33% 37% 27% 22% 36% Too little 25 16 39 24 24 27 33 24 About right 35 27 45 35 33 38 39 34 DK/NA 7 7 7 7 6 9 7 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too much 32% 37% 31% 26% 35% 27% 31% 19% 37% Too little 26 23 28 26 24 29 27 25 22 About right 34 31 35 43 35 37 36 51 31 DK/NA 9 8 6 5 6 7 6 5 9
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Question 24. Which comes closer to your line of thinking: supporting Ukraine is in the national interest of the United States or supporting Ukraine is not in the national interest of the United States?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No In U.S. interest 69% 57% 88% 67% 66% 71% 80% 70% Not in U.S. interest 25 37 7 26 30 21 17 24 DK/NA 6 6 4 7 4 8 3 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp In U.S. interest 68% 59% 70% 79% 71% 76% 74% 77% 56% Not in U.S. interest 25 36 24 16 24 18 21 17 35 DK/NA 7 5 6 4 4 6 5 6 10
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Question 25. From what you know about the situation in the Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Israelis 49% 77% 30% 48% 53% 46% 55% 56% Palestinians 24 6 40 24 24 24 20 16 DK/NA 27 17 30 28 23 30 24 28 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Israelis 21% 46% 59% 65% 61% 52% 56% 28% 41% Palestinians 51 21 18 12 17 18 17 44 36 DK/NA 27 33 23 23 23 30 27 28 24
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Question 26. Thinking about the relationship between the United States and Israel, do you think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, not supportive enough of Israel, or is the U.S. support of Israel about right?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Too supportive 29% 9% 43% 32% 31% 27% 26% 22% Not enough 17 36 3 15 19 16 16 22 About right 45 48 46 43 45 45 53 47 DK/NA 9 7 7 10 5 12 5 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too supportive 54% 34% 20% 16% 26% 21% 24% 40% 39% Not enough 6 13 22 25 20 20 20 3 13 About right 29 41 51 55 49 49 49 50 36 DK/NA 11 11 7 4 4 10 7 7 12
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Question 27. Which comes closer to your line of thinking: supporting Israel is in the national interest of the United States or supporting Israel is not in the national interest of the United States?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No In U.S. interest 69% 81% 68% 65% 73% 65% 80% 74% Not in U.S. interest 23 15 25 27 21 26 12 20 DK/NA 8 4 7 8 6 9 8 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp In U.S. interest 44% 64% 79% 85% 79% 75% 77% 60% 55% Not in U.S. interest 49 29 14 10 17 16 17 33 37 DK/NA 7 8 7 5 4 9 7 7 8
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Question 28. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 45% 65% 36% 41% 49% 42% 51% 52% Oppose 46 28 58 48 45 46 41 38 DK/NA 9 7 7 11 6 11 8 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 21% 38% 55% 63% 54% 49% 51% 35% 36% Oppose 72 53 36 28 41 38 40 56 60 DK/NA 7 9 9 9 5 13 9 9 4
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Question 29. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 55% 42% 77% 51% 57% 54% 66% 55% Oppose 38 51 17 42 39 36 29 39 DK/NA 7 7 6 7 4 10 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 45% 51% 60% 65% 60% 58% 59% 65% 45% Oppose 45 44 35 29 37 34 35 31 44 DK/NA 10 5 5 5 3 8 6 4 11
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Question 30. As you may know, former President Donald Trump said he wants to be a dictator for one day if he wins the 2024 presidential election. Are you concerned by this statement, or are you not concerned by this statement?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Concerned 53% 13% 90% 57% 48% 58% 64% 41% Not concerned 44 84 9 40 49 39 35 55 DK/NA 3 4 1 3 3 3 1 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Concerned 60% 54% 54% 50% 43% 55% 49% 72% 60% Not concerned 37 45 43 48 53 43 48 28 36 DK/NA 4 2 3 2 4 2 3 - 3
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Question 31. As you may know, the House of Representatives has begun a formal impeachment inquiry to determine whether or not to bring impeachment charges against President Biden. Do you approve or disapprove of this impeachment inquiry?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 46% 80% 10% 48% 48% 45% 37% 56% Disapprove 49 17 85 47 47 51 59 38 DK/NA 5 3 5 5 6 5 4 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 44% 43% 48% 48% 53% 46% 49% 25% 38% Disapprove 47 51 49 49 42 50 46 72 54 DK/NA 9 6 2 3 6 4 5 3 8
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Question 32. How closely have you been following news about the Justice Department's investigations into President Biden's son, Hunter Biden; very closely, somewhat closely, or not too closely?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very closely 28% 43% 20% 25% 30% 26% 29% 32% Somewhat closely 42 37 46 42 43 41 49 43 Not too closely 29 19 34 31 26 32 21 25 DK/NA 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very closely 10% 18% 36% 43% 34% 29% 31% 21% 25% Somewhat closely 35 44 43 44 43 47 45 35 36 Not too closely 54 37 21 13 23 24 24 43 37 DK/NA 1 - - - 1 - - - 1
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Question 33. Would you say the Justice Department's treatment of Hunter Biden has been too tough, not tough enough, or has it been fair?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Too tough 15% 2% 35% 10% 11% 18% 17% 10% Not tough enough 44 82 8 44 50 39 35 55 Fair 28 11 45 33 29 28 39 24 DK/NA 12 5 12 14 9 15 9 11 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too tough 21% 12% 15% 15% 8% 17% 13% 27% 23% Not tough enough 33 43 49 48 54 43 48 15 44 Fair 25 30 29 31 29 30 29 46 18 DK/NA 21 15 7 7 9 11 10 12 15
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Question 34. Thinking about this holiday season, do you plan to spend more on gifts this year than last year, less on gifts or about the same as last year?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More 12% 11% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 13% Less 39 45 28 40 34 43 30 38 About the same 48 44 58 45 51 45 58 48 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 17% 13% 12% 7% 14% 11% 12% 11% 12% Less 46 39 38 32 32 38 35 37 45 About the same 36 46 49 59 54 50 52 51 41 DK/NA 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1