North Carolina 2024: Trump On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call Race, Quinnipiac University North Carolina Poll Finds; Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 52% - 44%
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In a state considered pivotal to the outcome of the 2024 presidential election, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are locked in a race that is too-close-to-call with 48 percent of voters supporting Trump and 46 percent supporting Biden, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of registered voters in North Carolina released today.
Democrats back Biden (95 - 2 percent), while Republicans (94 - 3 percent) and independents (49 - 41 percent) back Trump.
When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, Trump receives 41 percent support, Biden receives 38 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 12 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 3 percent support.
There is no clear leader in either of these matchups as the leads are within the margin of error.
"With overall voter enthusiasm for Biden and Trump lukewarm at best, close to 1 in 5 North Carolina voters look at third party candidates with open minds and the potential to throw a wrench into the works in a close race," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
BIDEN VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES
Voters were asked who would do a better job handling four issues...
- the economy: 55 percent say Trump, while 41 percent say Biden;
- immigration: 54 percent say Trump, while 42 percent say Biden;
- international conflicts: 51 percent say Trump, while 45 percent say Biden;
- preserving democracy in the United States: 49 percent say Biden, while 45 percent say Trump.
MOST URGENT ISSUE IN THE U.S.
Given a list of 10 issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, the top issues are immigration (23 percent), the economy (22 percent), and preserving democracy in the United States (20 percent).
There are big gaps by party identification.
Among Republicans, the top issue is immigration (43 percent), followed by the economy (31 percent).
Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (33 percent), followed by racial inequality (11 percent).
Among independents, the top issues are the economy (22 percent), immigration (22 percent), and preserving democracy in the United States (22 percent).
GOVERNOR'S RACE
In the gubernatorial race, Democrat Josh Stein leads Republican Mark Robinson 52 - 44 percent in a head-to-head matchup.
Democrats (96 - 3 percent) and independents (52 - 43 percent) support Stein, while Republicans (87 - 8 percent) support Robinson.
In a four-way race that includes third-party candidates, Stein receives 48 percent support, Robinson receives 41 percent support, Libertarian candidate Mike Ross receives 4 percent support, and Green Party candidate Wayne Turner receives 2 percent support.
"In the governor's race, a stunning contrast in values, experience and messaging is on display in a race that sees the Democrat ahead, but only by single digits," added Malloy.
Voters were asked whether they like gubernatorial candidates Stein and Robinson as people and whether they like their positions on issues.
Like as a person:
- Stein: 45 percent say yes, 13 percent say no, 42 percent did not offer an opinion;
- Robinson: 40 percent say yes, 31 percent say no, 29 percent did not offer an opinion.
Like positions on issues:
- Stein: 39 percent say yes, 31 percent say no, 30 percent did not offer an opinion;
- Robinson: 40 percent say yes, 40 percent say no, 20 percent did not offer an opinion.
Voters were also asked whether Stein and Robinson are honest, have good leadership skills, care about average North Carolinians, and share their values.
Honest:
- Stein: 42 percent say yes, 23 percent say no, 34 percent did not offer an opinion;
- Robinson: 42 percent say yes, 32 percent say no, 26 percent did not offer an opinion.
Have good leadership skills:
- Stein: 47 percent say yes, 23 percent say no, 30 percent did not offer an opinion;
- Robinson: 46 percent say yes, 34 percent say no, 20 percent did not offer an opinion.
Cares about average North Carolinians:
- Stein: 52 percent say yes, 25 percent say no, 23 percent did not offer an opinion;
- Robinson: 49 percent say yes, 33 percent say no, 18 percent did not offer an opinion.
Shares your values:
- Stein: 38 percent say yes, 38 percent say no, 25 percent did not offer an opinion;
- Robinson: 38 percent say yes, 45 percent say no, 18 percent did not offer an opinion.
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE IN GOVERNOR'S RACE
Given a list of 11 issues and asked which is the most important one in deciding who to vote for in the election for governor, 27 percent say the economy, followed by preserving democracy in the United States (16 percent) and education (13 percent).
There are wide gaps by party identification.
Among Republicans, the top issue is the economy (40 percent), followed by immigration (16 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (11 percent).
Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (24 percent), followed by education (14 percent), the economy (12 percent), and abortion (10 percent).
Among independents, the top issue is the economy (30 percent), followed by education (15 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (13 percent).
JOB APPROVALS
Voters give President Joe Biden a negative 38 - 60 percent job approval rating.
They give Governor Roy Cooper a positive 51 - 39 percent job approval rating.
Job approval ratings for United States Senators:
- Senator Ted Budd: 29 percent approve, 42 percent disapprove, with 29 percent not offering an opinion;
- Senator Thom Tillis: 31 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove, with 20 percent not offering an opinion.
ECONOMY
Nearly one-third (31 percent) of voters describe the state of the nation's economy these days as either excellent (5 percent) or good (26 percent), while two-thirds (67 percent) describe it as either not so good (30 percent) or poor (37 percent).
A majority of voters (53 percent) think the nation's economy is getting worse, 24 percent think it's staying about the same, and 23 percent think it's getting better.
Six out of 10 voters (60 percent) describe their financial situation these days as either excellent (9 percent) or good (51 percent), while 38 percent describe it as either not so good (26 percent) or poor (12 percent).
"It's a head scratcher when you do the math. Sixty percent of North Carolina's voters say they are doing just fine financially, but a whopping 67 percent say the nation's economy is in bad shape," added Malloy.
ABORTION
Sixty-three percent of voters think abortion should be legal in either all cases (27 percent) or most cases (36 percent) and 30 percent think abortion should be illegal in either most cases (22 percent) or all cases (8 percent).
1,401 North Carolina self-identified registered voters were surveyed from April 4th - 8th with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
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Poll Questions
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Question 1. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 46% 3% 95% 41% 34% 57% 52% 29% Trump 48 94 2 49 60 37 43 67 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 2 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 - 1 4 3 1 1 - REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Biden 49% 36% 49% 53% 29% 46% 38% 84% Trump 45 55 47 44 68 49 58 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 5 1 1 - 1 1 4 REFUSED 3 1 1 - - 1 - 2 REP PRIMARY Haley Voters Biden 55% Trump 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 REFUSED 1 -
Question 2. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 38% 2% 84% 31% 29% 46% 46% 23% Trump 41 87 1 37 51 32 37 61 Kennedy 12 7 10 17 14 10 11 9 West 3 - 2 6 3 4 3 2 Stein 3 1 1 6 1 5 1 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - - 1 1 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 REFUSED - - - - - 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Biden 30% 30% 44% 48% 25% 38% 32% 70% Trump 34 49 40 40 58 45 51 7 Kennedy 18 11 12 8 12 7 10 13 West 8 4 2 1 2 3 2 6 Stein 9 2 1 1 1 4 2 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) - 3 1 1 - 2 1 2 REFUSED - 1 - 1 - - - 1 REP PRIMARY Haley Voters Biden 47% Trump 28 Kennedy 15 West - Stein 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 REFUSED 1 -
Question 3. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Josh Stein the Democrat and Mark Robinson the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Stein 52% 8% 96% 52% 41% 61% 56% 34% Robinson 44 87 3 43 54 35 41 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 3 1 3 3 2 2 1 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Stein 60% 45% 49% 54% 33% 51% 43% 84% Robinson 36 48 49 42 63 45 54 13 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1 - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 3 1 3 2 2 2 3 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - -
Question 4. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Josh Stein the Democrat, Mark Robinson the Republican, Wayne Turner the Green Party candidate, and Mike Ross the Libertarian Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Stein 48% 8% 92% 47% 38% 58% 52% 32% Robinson 41 85 3 38 50 33 38 59 Turner 2 1 - 5 2 3 1 2 Ross 4 2 2 7 7 2 5 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - - 1 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 REFUSED - - - - - - - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Stein 49% 44% 48% 53% 31% 48% 40% 79% Robinson 32 46 45 41 59 44 51 13 Turner 5 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 Ross 10 4 4 - 6 3 4 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 2 1 4 1 3 2 2 REFUSED - - - - - - - - -
Question 5. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 45% 90% 5% 42% 57% 33% 36% 63% Unfavorable 51 7 90 53 39 62 62 34 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 4 3 2 3 1 1 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 44% 53% 43% 42% 62% 44% 52% 14% Unfavorable 53 43 52 56 35 53 45 77 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 4 1 - 1 1 5 REFUSED 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 4 -
Question 6. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 40% 3% 86% 33% 28% 50% 42% 23% Unfavorable 56 92 10 64 68 46 55 74 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 REFUSED 2 3 1 2 4 1 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 31% 31% 44% 52% 22% 38% 31% 74% Unfavorable 63 65 51 46 74 59 66 21 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 3 1 1 2 1 2 REFUSED 3 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 -
Question 7. Is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 30% 36% 17% 36% 36% 25% 27% 32% Unfavorable 33 22 48 32 34 32 47 30 Hvn't hrd enough 34 38 34 30 28 40 25 34 REFUSED 2 4 1 2 2 2 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 37% 32% 30% 23% 35% 26% 30% 25% Unfavorable 18 29 38 46 37 36 36 25 Hvn't hrd enough 45 36 29 29 25 36 31 48 REFUSED 1 2 4 3 3 3 3 2 -
Question 8. Is your opinion of Mark Robinson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 35% 69% 4% 34% 43% 28% 34% 48% Unfavorable 30 7 56 29 25 35 42 23 Hvn't hrd enough 33 23 37 36 31 35 22 27 REFUSED 2 2 3 - 2 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 26% 39% 40% 34% 49% 37% 43% 14% Unfavorable 20 28 33 40 26 35 31 37 Hvn't hrd enough 54 32 26 23 24 26 25 46 REFUSED - 1 1 3 1 1 1 4 -
Question 9. Is your opinion of Josh Stein favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 32% 5% 60% 32% 26% 38% 43% 22% Unfavorable 16 29 2 17 21 12 17 20 Hvn't hrd enough 49 64 35 49 50 49 38 55 REFUSED 2 2 3 1 3 1 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 21% 29% 35% 42% 24% 37% 31% 42% Unfavorable 9 16 20 17 24 15 19 5 Hvn't hrd enough 68 55 43 39 49 47 48 49 REFUSED 2 - 1 2 4 - 2 3 -
Question 10. How upset would you be if the candidate you support in the 2024 presidential election lost; very upset, somewhat upset, not so upset, or not upset at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very upset 43% 48% 52% 34% 37% 48% 56% 48% Somewhat upset 27 29 26 26 29 24 25 27 Not so upset 10 9 5 15 10 10 9 8 Not upset at all 17 11 17 20 20 14 8 14 DK/NA 3 3 - 4 3 3 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very upset 24% 42% 50% 57% 46% 56% 51% 33% Somewhat upset 38 23 24 23 27 25 26 27 Not so upset 16 12 8 6 9 8 8 7 Not upset at all 18 18 17 11 15 8 11 32 DK/NA 3 4 2 2 2 3 3 1 -
Question 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Roy Cooper is handling his job as governor?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 51% 21% 82% 52% 42% 60% 61% 37% Disapprove 39 67 10 39 49 31 33 53 DK/NA 9 12 8 8 9 9 6 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 47% 49% 53% 57% 43% 51% 47% 72% Disapprove 43 41 41 33 49 41 45 17 DK/NA 11 10 6 10 9 8 8 10 -
Question 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Budd is handling his job as United States Senator?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 29% 48% 11% 31% 35% 24% 31% 33% Disapprove 42 21 59 43 40 44 44 36 DK/NA 29 31 30 27 26 31 25 31 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 20% 36% 30% 30% 37% 28% 32% 21% Disapprove 48 38 43 38 35 43 39 46 DK/NA 31 26 27 32 28 29 29 33 -
Question 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Thom Tillis is handling his job as United States Senator?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 31% 41% 21% 33% 30% 32% 32% 38% Disapprove 49 36 59 51 51 47 52 43 DK/NA 20 23 20 16 19 20 17 19 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 26% 31% 32% 37% 36% 35% 36% 20% Disapprove 49 47 53 43 47 46 46 55 DK/NA 25 22 14 19 17 19 18 25 -
Question 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 38% 4% 83% 29% 27% 48% 43% 23% Disapprove 60 96 14 70 71 50 55 76 DK/NA 2 - 3 1 1 2 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 25% 33% 43% 50% 23% 38% 31% 70% Disapprove 75 64 56 49 75 61 68 26 DK/NA - 3 2 1 1 1 1 3 -
Question 15. In your opinion, what is the most urgent issue facing the country today: the economy, climate change, health care, racial inequality, immigration, abortion, gun violence, crime, preserving democracy in the United States, or international conflicts?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Economy 22% 31% 9% 22% 26% 17% 20% 21% Climate change 3 - 7 2 3 3 4 3 Health care 6 3 6 7 4 7 6 5 Racial inequality 4 - 11 2 3 5 - 1 Immigration 23 43 5 22 28 18 23 31 Abortion 4 3 6 3 2 7 5 5 Gun violence 4 1 9 4 3 5 4 2 Crime 3 3 4 2 3 3 1 2 Preserving democracy 20 6 33 22 18 22 27 19 Intl conflicts 6 3 5 7 5 7 6 5 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 4 1 4 4 3 3 3 DK/NA 2 1 3 1 - 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Economy 37% 24% 19% 12% 24% 18% 21% 17% Climate change 4 2 2 2 4 4 4 1 Health care 11 6 3 4 4 7 5 7 Racial inequality 6 3 5 2 - 1 1 20 Immigration 9 23 27 31 32 24 28 9 Abortion 7 4 3 4 2 8 5 5 Gun violence 4 3 4 6 2 3 3 10 Crime - 2 5 3 2 2 2 6 Preserving democracy 11 17 24 26 21 24 22 14 Intl conflicts 9 9 3 2 5 6 6 5 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 4 4 3 4 2 3 4 DK/NA - 1 - 4 - 2 1 3 -
Question 16. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Excellent 5% - 13% 4% 4% 6% 9% 3% Good 26 5 51 26 23 30 35 17 Not so good 30 34 23 34 36 26 26 28 Poor 37 61 11 35 37 38 29 50 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 - 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Excellent - 2% 6% 12% 5% 6% 5% 5% Good 13 28 29 35 23 25 24 39 Not so good 43 31 26 24 29 25 27 34 Poor 43 39 39 27 42 41 42 21 DK/NA 1 1 - 3 1 2 1 1 -
Question 17. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better 23% 4% 47% 21% 19% 26% 32% 15% Worse 53 73 27 54 55 50 38 66 The same 24 22 24 25 24 23 29 18 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Better 10% 21% 26% 34% 20% 24% 22% 28% Worse 63 54 49 41 57 53 55 43 The same 27 25 24 23 23 22 22 29 DK/NA - - - 2 - 1 1 1 -
Question 18. Would you describe your financial situation these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Excellent 9% 6% 14% 9% 8% 11% 18% 5% Good 51 45 59 50 52 49 54 46 Not so good 26 32 21 27 26 26 19 29 Poor 12 16 5 14 13 12 8 18 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Excellent 4% 10% 11% 14% 10% 10% 10% 9% Good 52 44 56 54 49 50 50 56 Not so good 30 29 23 22 27 24 25 26 Poor 14 17 10 8 13 15 14 8 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 -
Question 19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling the economy: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 55% 96% 11% 58% 67% 44% 49% 71% Biden 41 3 87 37 29 52 47 27 DK/NA 4 1 2 6 4 4 4 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Trump 57% 64% 52% 47% 71% 54% 62% 22% Biden 38 33 45 50 26 43 35 71 DK/NA 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 7 -
Question 20. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling immigration: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 54% 94% 12% 55% 67% 41% 49% 68% Biden 42 4 87 37 29 54 48 27 DK/NA 5 2 2 8 4 5 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Trump 52% 58% 55% 48% 70% 51% 60% 26% Biden 41 37 42 48 26 44 36 68 DK/NA 7 6 3 4 4 4 4 5 -
Question 21. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - preserving democracy in the United States: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 45% 90% 3% 44% 56% 34% 39% 65% Biden 49 6 97 47 37 61 54 32 DK/NA 6 4 1 10 7 5 7 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Trump 39% 52% 44% 44% 63% 48% 55% 9% Biden 54 42 50 53 33 47 41 87 DK/NA 8 6 6 3 4 5 5 4 -
Question 22. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling international conflicts: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Trump 51% 93% 6% 53% 62% 41% 45% 68% Biden 45 4 92 40 34 54 51 29 DK/NA 5 2 2 7 4 5 4 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Trump 52% 59% 49% 45% 67% 51% 59% 19% Biden 41 37 47 52 30 44 37 74 DK/NA 7 4 3 3 3 5 4 7 -
Question 23. How confident are you that votes across North Carolina will be counted accurately in the 2024 presidential election; very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very confident 38% 16% 59% 41% 32% 44% 56% 30% Somewhat confident 36 45 26 39 41 32 29 38 Not so confident 16 26 7 13 16 16 11 19 Not confident at all 8 12 4 6 9 7 4 11 DK/NA 2 1 3 1 2 2 - 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very confident 29% 42% 40% 46% 35% 45% 40% 34% Somewhat confident 43 28 32 39 39 30 34 40 Not so confident 19 14 18 9 15 16 16 13 Not confident at all 8 13 9 3 11 6 8 10 DK/NA 1 3 - 2 - 2 1 3 -
Question 24. In general, do you like - Josh Stein's positions on issues, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Like 39% 12% 66% 39% 36% 41% 49% 26% No 31 48 12 31 38 25 31 38 DK/NA 30 40 22 30 25 34 21 36 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Like 41% 34% 40% 41% 32% 38% 35% 49% No 27 35 35 29 44 27 35 21 DK/NA 32 31 26 30 24 35 30 30 -
Question 25. In general, do you like - Mark Robinson's positions on issues, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Like 40% 71% 10% 38% 48% 32% 35% 50% No 40 12 71 39 36 45 49 28 DK/NA 20 17 19 23 16 23 16 22 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Like 40% 39% 42% 36% 53% 36% 44% 22% No 32 43 42 48 32 40 36 54 DK/NA 28 18 16 16 15 24 20 24 -
Question 26. In general, do you like - Josh Stein as a person, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Like 45% 31% 61% 44% 43% 46% 49% 41% No 13 21 6 12 16 11 13 13 DK/NA 42 48 33 44 41 43 38 46 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Like 43% 47% 42% 52% 43% 45% 44% 46% No 15 13 14 11 17 10 13 12 DK/NA 41 40 44 37 40 45 43 42 -
Question 27. In general, do you like - Mark Robinson as a person, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Like 40% 67% 16% 40% 49% 32% 34% 50% No 31 9 52 30 28 34 38 22 DK/NA 29 23 31 30 23 34 28 29 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Like 37% 46% 40% 40% 54% 35% 44% 25% No 28 31 30 39 25 30 28 43 DK/NA 35 23 30 21 21 35 29 32 -
Question 28. Would you say that - Josh Stein is honest, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 42% 25% 61% 43% 39% 45% 53% 35% No 23 32 13 23 30 17 15 25 DK/NA 34 43 27 34 30 38 32 39 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 34% 45% 44% 49% 40% 44% 42% 45% No 35 21 22 14 29 15 21 22 DK/NA 31 34 34 37 31 41 37 33 -
Question 29. Would you say that - Mark Robinson is honest, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 42% 63% 19% 43% 48% 35% 41% 52% No 32 14 53 32 32 33 34 23 DK/NA 26 23 28 25 20 31 24 26 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 37% 48% 41% 40% 54% 42% 48% 22% No 35 32 31 32 28 26 27 46 DK/NA 27 20 27 29 18 32 25 32 -
Question 30. Would you say that - Josh Stein has good leadership skills, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 47% 28% 64% 49% 44% 50% 55% 39% No 23 31 11 24 29 16 20 26 DK/NA 30 41 25 26 27 34 26 35 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 46% 46% 46% 50% 41% 48% 45% 49% No 22 21 26 20 31 17 23 20 DK/NA 32 32 28 30 28 35 32 31 -
Question 31. Would you say that - Mark Robinson has good leadership skills, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 46% 73% 16% 47% 53% 40% 39% 59% No 34 10 61 33 30 37 43 20 DK/NA 20 17 23 20 17 23 18 20 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 51% 51% 45% 39% 57% 47% 51% 28% No 21 37 36 42 27 32 29 42 DK/NA 29 13 20 19 17 22 19 30 -
Question 32. Would you say that - Josh Stein cares about average North Carolinians, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 52% 33% 71% 53% 48% 55% 60% 46% No 25 38 9 27 33 19 21 28 DK/NA 23 29 20 21 19 26 20 26 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 52% 54% 54% 51% 48% 55% 51% 55% No 29 21 24 24 33 19 25 20 DK/NA 19 25 22 26 20 27 23 25 -
Question 33. Would you say that - Mark Robinson cares about average North Carolinians, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 49% 75% 24% 48% 56% 43% 46% 60% No 33 9 57 35 29 37 40 23 DK/NA 18 15 19 17 15 20 14 17 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 52% 55% 47% 41% 60% 50% 55% 28% No 25 33 35 41 27 31 29 48 DK/NA 23 11 18 18 13 18 16 23 -
Question 34. Would you say that - Josh Stein shares your values, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 38% 15% 65% 36% 32% 43% 50% 26% No 38 55 13 41 47 29 30 44 DK/NA 25 30 22 24 20 28 20 29 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 31% 40% 37% 44% 30% 41% 36% 45% No 42 38 43 28 50 29 39 29 DK/NA 27 22 21 27 21 30 26 26 -
Question 35. Would you say that - Mark Robinson shares your values, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes 38% 70% 9% 36% 46% 30% 35% 49% No 45 14 73 46 40 49 50 32 DK/NA 18 16 18 19 14 21 15 19 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 34% 38% 42% 36% 53% 34% 43% 19% No 44 47 42 47 33 44 39 60 DK/NA 22 16 17 17 14 21 18 21 -
Question 36. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to vote for in the election for governor: the economy, gun policy, crime, racial inequality, abortion, health care, preserving democracy in the United States, climate change, immigration, education, or gender equality?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Economy 27% 40% 12% 30% 31% 24% 24% 29% Gun policy 4 2 6 3 3 4 4 3 Crime 5 6 5 4 5 4 2 6 Racial inequality 5 1 9 5 5 5 1 1 Abortion 8 5 10 9 6 11 13 9 Health care 7 3 9 8 5 8 4 4 Preserving democracy 16 11 24 13 14 17 17 18 Climate change 2 - 3 1 2 1 2 2 Immigration 8 16 1 7 10 6 9 11 Education 13 9 14 15 15 12 20 11 Gender equality 2 - 5 1 1 3 2 2 DK/NA 4 5 3 3 4 4 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Economy 35% 28% 29% 18% 31% 24% 27% 19% Gun policy 4 2 4 5 3 4 3 2 Crime 3 2 6 9 5 4 5 6 Racial inequality 3 7 5 2 1 1 1 21 Abortion 12 10 7 9 7 13 10 4 Health care 10 9 3 5 3 4 4 14 Preserving democracy 6 13 20 24 15 20 17 15 Climate change 3 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 Immigration 3 8 10 9 11 9 10 2 Education 17 16 10 11 16 13 14 10 Gender equality 3 2 2 1 - 3 2 2 DK/NA 3 2 3 6 5 3 4 3 -
Question 37. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Legal all cases 27% 7% 47% 27% 17% 37% 29% 21% Legal most cases 36 26 41 41 39 33 41 32 Illegal most cases 22 41 6 19 26 18 22 31 Illegal all cases 8 16 3 5 9 7 4 12 DK/NA 7 9 3 8 10 5 4 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Legal all cases 37% 25% 25% 26% 13% 33% 24% 47% Legal most cases 39 32 38 35 40 31 36 34 Illegal most cases 12 27 23 23 33 23 28 8 Illegal all cases 3 12 7 10 9 8 9 4 DK/NA 8 3 7 6 5 4 4 7 -
Question 38. Do you think abortions should be banned starting at 6 weeks of pregnancy, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Banned 30% 52% 10% 30% 33% 28% 23% 43% No 61 37 84 62 58 64 72 49 DK/NA 8 11 6 8 9 8 5 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Banned 21% 34% 33% 32% 39% 32% 35% 20% No 68 60 60 60 54 61 58 70 DK/NA 10 6 8 8 6 7 7 10