2024 Race: Dead Heat: Biden 46%, Trump 46%, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Support For Legal Abortion Reaches All-Time High
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If the election for president were being held today, the race would be a dead heat between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump with each candidate receiving 46 percent support, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
Democrats support Biden (92 - 6 percent), while Republicans support Trump (90 - 6 percent). Independents are split, with 44 percent supporting Biden and 42 percent supporting Trump.
"In a country at odds over wars and the economy, abortion, immigration and the very survival of democracy, there is one current point of agreement: there's no daylight between the candidates. It's a tie," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
When the matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, the race is still a dead heat, with Biden receiving 37 percent support, Trump receiving 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receiving 16 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receiving 3 percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receiving 3 percent support.
BIDEN JOB APPROVAL
Voters give President Biden a negative 35 - 61 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 37 - 59 percent job approval rating in Quinnipiac University's March 27 poll.
TRUMP CRIMINAL CHARGES
Voters were asked about the New York City criminal trial against former President Trump in connection with charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress.
Nearly 7 out of 10 voters (69 percent) say they are following news regarding the trial either very closely (34 percent) or somewhat closely (35 percent), while 30 percent say they are following it not too closely.
Six in 10 voters (60 percent) think the charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress, are either very serious (40 percent) or somewhat serious (20 percent), while 35 percent think the charges are either not too serious (13 percent) or not serious at all (22 percent).
Forty-six percent of voters believe former President Trump did something illegal, while 27 percent believe he did something unethical but nothing illegal, and 18 percent believe he did not do anything wrong.
Voters were asked how it would impact their vote if Donald Trump were convicted in the New York City criminal trial. If Trump were convicted, 21 percent say they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 15 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.
Five percent of Trump voters say if he were convicted they would be less likely to vote for him, 62 percent say it would not make a difference to their vote, and 31 percent say they would be more likely to vote for him.
"The first Trump trial has the attention of voters and they see the charges as serious. However, Trump voters give it a shrug when asked about their reaction to a possible conviction," added Malloy.
ABORTION
Two-thirds of voters (66 percent) think abortion should be legal in either all cases (34 percent) or most cases (32 percent), while 27 percent of voters think abortion should be illegal in either most cases (22 percent) or all cases (5 percent).
Support for legal abortion (66 percent) is at the highest level in two decades of Quinnipiac University polls. Support for legal abortion in all cases (34 percent) is also near a record high and support for abortion being illegal in all cases (5 percent) is at a record low.
Voters 85 - 10 percent think abortion should be legal when the pregnancy is caused by rape or incest.
Voters 89 - 5 percent think abortion should be legal when it is necessary to save the life of the mother.
Voters were asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion. A majority (53 percent) would support her plan, while 32 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.
Asked what they would do if a family member or friend told them she plans on having an abortion after being a victim of rape or incest, 80 percent would support her plan, while 13 percent would try to talk her out of it, and 7 percent did not offer an opinion.
"There has never been this much approval for a woman's right to choose in the last 20 years. And on the deepest personal level, a majority of voters say if a loved one were considering ending a pregnancy, they would not try to dissuade her," added Malloy.
SPREADING OF FALSE INFORMATION
Nearly three-quarters of voters (74 percent) are either very concerned (48 percent) or somewhat concerned (26 percent) that another country is spreading false information inside the United States in an attempt to stir up divisions to weaken the United States, while 24 percent of voters are either not so concerned (11 percent) or not concerned at all (13 percent).
"The list of 'bad actor' countries intent on disrupting American society is short and well known and three- quarters of your fellow citizens say they are worried about it," added Malloy.
MIDDLE EAST
Eighty-one percent of voters are either very concerned (42 percent) or somewhat concerned (39 percent) that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East, while 17 percent are either not so concerned (10 percent) or not concerned at all (7 percent).
Voters are divided on the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas, as 46 percent support it, while 44 percent oppose it.
Thirty-two percent of voters think the United States is doing too little to provide humanitarian aid to civilians in Gaza, while 20 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 31 percent think the U.S. is doing about the right amount.
UKRAINE/RUSSIA
Voters 53 - 40 percent support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia.
Voters 67 - 21 percent think that Vladimir Putin has intentions to invade other countries beyond Ukraine.
If Russia invades a NATO country, voters 63 - 26 percent think American troops should get involved.
1,429 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from April 18th - 22nd with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
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Poll Questions
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Question 1. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 46% 6% 92% 44% 39% 52% 59% 32% Trump 46 90 6 42 52 41 35 60 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 - 6 3 2 1 3 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2 1 2 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 44% 43% 50% 48% 34% 49% 42% 73% 45% Trump 47 47 45 46 58 45 51 18 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 1 3 1 3 1 2 5 2 REFUSED 2 2 - 1 1 2 1 1 1 CANDIDATE MOST URGENT ISSUE Q10... CHOICE Q2 Eco- Immig- Preserve Kennedy nomy ration Democracy Biden 29% 28% 8% 85% Trump 47 60 87 12 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 6 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 8 5 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 6 4 1 - REFUSED 3 1 - - -
Question 2. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 37% 3% 81% 32% 30% 42% 52% 25% Trump 37 81 5 28 43 33 29 50 Kennedy 16 12 7 25 16 15 9 17 West 3 - 4 4 4 3 4 2 Stein 3 1 2 5 5 2 1 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 - 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 2 - 2 1 3 3 1 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 30% 32% 42% 43% 28% 41% 35% 50% 36% Trump 34 36 36 41 49 37 43 16 33 Kennedy 19 20 14 11 14 15 14 18 17 West 5 6 2 - 3 2 2 4 6 Stein 6 3 2 1 3 2 2 4 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 - 1 - 1 2 2 UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 3 REFUSED - 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - CANDIDATE MOST URGENT ISSUE Q10... CHOICE Q1... Eco- Immig- Preserve Biden Trump nomy ration Democracy Biden 80% - 18% 5% 82% Trump - 80 48 76 10 Kennedy 10 16 19 16 5 West 5 1 4 1 - Stein 3 1 3 - 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 2 - - UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 4 1 1 REFUSED - - 1 1 1 -
Question 3. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 41% 84% 7% 33% 47% 36% 31% 54% Unfavorable 54 14 92 59 47 59 67 42 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 1 5 2 2 - 2 REFUSED 3 1 1 3 3 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 41% 44% 39% 41% 52% 40% 46% 21% 36% Unfavorable 55 51 55 55 44 58 51 70 55 Hvn't hrd enough 3 - 3 2 2 1 1 6 4 REFUSED 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 4 5 -
Question 4. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 37% 5% 80% 32% 30% 43% 49% 27% Unfavorable 57 90 15 61 63 51 48 70 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 3 4 3 3 1 2 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 4 3 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 26% 35% 44% 43% 28% 41% 35% 62% 30% Unfavorable 64 59 52 51 69 56 62 25 57 Hvn't hrd enough 8 1 1 3 1 1 1 6 8 REFUSED 2 5 3 3 1 2 2 7 5 -
Question 5. Is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 31% 44% 11% 35% 33% 29% 25% 35% Unfavorable 35 20 57 32 36 33 54 27 Hvn't hrd enough 33 33 31 32 29 36 19 35 REFUSED 2 2 - 1 2 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 36% 30% 33% 25% 35% 28% 31% 24% 29% Unfavorable 23 31 39 46 37 39 38 35 28 Hvn't hrd enough 41 36 26 28 27 31 29 41 42 REFUSED - 3 2 1 1 3 2 - 2 -
Question 6. Is your opinion of Cornel West favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 12% 3% 17% 15% 15% 9% 14% 7% Unfavorable 15 16 15 16 18 12 21 13 Hvn't hrd enough 72 80 67 68 65 78 64 80 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 13% 14% 14% 7% 11% 8% 9% 19% 19% Unfavorable 12 9 15 23 20 12 16 20 9 Hvn't hrd enough 75 75 70 68 67 79 74 60 71 REFUSED - 2 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 -
Question 7. Is your opinion of Jill Stein favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 8% 1% 12% 9% 8% 8% 8% 5% Unfavorable 23 23 24 21 28 18 28 23 Hvn't hrd enough 69 74 64 69 62 74 63 71 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 11% 8% 8% 4% 6% 7% 6% 10% 14% Unfavorable 15 26 23 26 30 21 25 20 15 Hvn't hrd enough 74 63 69 69 63 71 68 70 69 REFUSED - 2 - 1 1 1 1 - 2 -
Question 8. How upset would you be if the candidate you support in the 2024 presidential election lost; very upset, somewhat upset, not so upset, or not upset at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very upset 46% 53% 58% 33% 42% 49% 58% 49% Somewhat upset 24 22 22 28 21 27 24 24 Not so upset 10 8 7 16 11 9 7 11 Not upset at all 16 14 10 20 22 11 9 13 DK/NA 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very upset 33% 37% 53% 59% 48% 57% 53% 32% 34% Somewhat upset 25 29 27 18 22 25 24 27 28 Not so upset 20 11 5 7 10 9 9 9 13 Not upset at all 23 19 11 11 18 6 11 29 21 DK/NA - 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2 Biden Trump Kennedy Very upset 62% 53% 13% Somewhat upset 24 21 31 Not so upset 6 8 24 Not upset at all 7 13 27 DK/NA 1 5 5 -
Question 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 35% 5% 75% 32% 30% 40% 49% 25% Disapprove 61 93 22 62 68 54 48 70 DK/NA 4 2 3 5 3 6 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 21% 30% 45% 43% 28% 39% 34% 51% 29% Disapprove 75 65 51 54 69 56 62 41 67 DK/NA 5 5 4 4 3 4 4 7 4 -
Question 9a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q9) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve strongly 21% 3% 49% 16% 17% 25% 31% 15% Approve smwht 14 2 25 16 13 14 18 9 Disapprove smwht 13 9 12 16 13 13 9 11 Disapprove strongly 47 84 10 46 53 41 39 59 DK/NA 5 3 5 6 4 7 3 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 5% 16% 28% 32% 15% 26% 21% 32% 17% Approve smwht 15 14 16 11 13 12 13 19 13 Disapprove smwht 26 17 6 7 10 10 10 22 19 Disapprove strongly 48 48 45 46 59 46 52 19 48 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 3 6 5 7 4 -
Question 10. In your opinion, what is the most urgent issue facing the country today: the economy, climate change, health care, racial inequality, immigration, abortion, gun violence, crime, preserving democracy in the United States, or international conflicts?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Economy 23% 28% 16% 27% 26% 21% 20% 24% Climate change 3 - 7 3 3 3 4 2 Health care 5 - 8 6 5 6 5 5 Racial inequality 2 - 4 2 2 2 1 - Immigration 24 45 8 23 25 23 17 34 Abortion 5 3 9 3 2 7 5 7 Gun violence 3 2 6 2 3 4 5 2 Crime 3 3 1 5 4 3 1 2 Preserving democracy 18 7 33 17 16 20 31 12 Intl conflicts 7 6 6 9 8 6 8 6 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 2 2 2 4 3 1 3 DK/NA 2 4 2 1 2 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Economy 29% 28% 24% 16% 25% 20% 22% 24% 27% Climate change 6 2 2 2 4 2 3 5 3 Health care 8 7 5 3 5 5 5 8 4 Racial inequality 1 3 3 1 - 1 1 13 2 Immigration 21 19 24 28 31 25 28 13 22 Abortion 3 5 6 5 2 10 6 3 1 Gun violence 4 3 3 4 2 3 3 4 4 Crime 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 6 7 Preserving democracy 9 15 22 25 16 22 19 13 19 Intl conflicts 10 7 5 6 8 6 7 6 6 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 5 3 4 3 1 2 6 6 DK/NA 1 2 - 5 1 3 2 1 1 -
Question 11. How concerned are you that another country is spreading false information inside the United States in an attempt to stir up divisions to weaken the United States; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very concerned 48% 49% 59% 41% 45% 51% 49% 50% Smwht concerned 26 27 25 27 24 27 31 24 Not so concerned 11 12 10 13 11 11 11 12 Not concerned at all 13 10 5 17 18 8 8 11 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very concerned 25% 44% 56% 65% 45% 53% 50% 55% 41% Smwht concerned 32 23 27 24 26 28 27 19 31 Not so concerned 24 13 7 3 13 11 12 8 11 Not concerned at all 19 15 9 6 15 5 10 15 15 DK/NA 1 5 1 2 2 3 2 3 2 -
Question 12. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 46% 60% 36% 46% 48% 45% 53% 49% Oppose 44 32 53 46 45 44 37 40 DK/NA 9 8 11 9 7 11 10 11 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 26% 40% 52% 64% 52% 49% 50% 31% 42% Oppose 66 51 38 26 39 39 39 60 54 DK/NA 8 9 10 10 8 12 10 10 4 -
Question 13. Do you think the United States is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount to provide humanitarian aid to civilians in Gaza?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Too much 20% 32% 9% 19% 23% 18% 10% 26% Too little 32 12 48 36 33 31 44 23 About right 31 36 29 31 31 32 35 32 DK/NA 17 19 13 14 14 20 11 19 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too much 21% 20% 21% 19% 23% 18% 20% 24% 19% Too little 45 31 31 25 30 31 31 34 36 About right 22 30 34 38 33 33 33 25 31 DK/NA 12 19 15 18 14 19 16 17 14 -
Question 14. Given what you know about the situation in the Middle East, how concerned are you that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very concerned 42% 48% 35% 44% 37% 46% 33% 47% Somewhat concerned 39 35 48 39 37 41 50 38 Not so concerned 10 8 11 9 13 7 12 7 Not concerned at all 7 7 4 7 10 3 4 5 DK/NA 2 3 1 - 2 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very concerned 31% 43% 44% 46% 38% 46% 42% 48% 37% Somewhat concerned 41 38 41 38 42 42 42 33 38 Not so concerned 16 9 9 8 12 7 9 9 13 Not concerned at all 10 5 6 5 7 3 5 8 10 DK/NA 1 5 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 -
Question 15. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 53% 34% 79% 50% 52% 54% 72% 44% Oppose 40 57 17 46 44 37 25 48 DK/NA 6 9 4 4 4 8 4 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 49% 48% 55% 63% 49% 59% 54% 47% 58% Oppose 44 46 39 30 45 34 39 47 40 DK/NA 7 6 6 7 5 7 6 6 2 -
Question 16. Do you think Vladimir Putin has intentions to invade other countries beyond Ukraine, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Has intentions 67% 59% 81% 67% 60% 73% 76% 65% No 21 29 10 23 31 13 16 21 DK/NA 12 11 9 11 9 14 8 14 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Has intentions 59% 61% 73% 76% 59% 77% 69% 70% 64% No 28 26 17 14 30 11 19 21 27 DK/NA 13 13 10 10 11 12 11 9 9 -
Question 17. If Russia invades a NATO country, do you think American troops should get involved, or don't you think so?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 63% 53% 74% 64% 69% 58% 76% 58% No 26 33 19 27 24 28 14 29 DK/NA 11 14 8 9 8 15 10 13 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Should 58% 57% 74% 64% 68% 62% 65% 59% 63% No 31 27 21 23 25 22 24 33 28 DK/NA 11 16 5 13 6 16 12 8 9 -
Question 18. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Legal all cases 34% 14% 58% 30% 29% 39% 36% 28% Legal most cases 32 31 30 38 34 30 39 30 Illegal most cases 22 37 7 22 23 21 18 28 Illegal all cases 5 11 3 2 5 5 3 7 DK/NA 7 7 2 8 9 6 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Legal all cases 39% 35% 35% 30% 24% 37% 31% 49% 43% Legal most cases 32 30 35 29 37 31 34 25 26 Illegal most cases 19 24 19 24 26 23 24 11 19 Illegal all cases 7 2 5 7 7 5 5 7 5 DK/NA 3 9 4 10 6 5 6 7 8 RELIGION................. Wht ATTEND SRVCS Evang Prot Cath None Weekly Less Legal all cases 10% 24% 30% 48% 21% 38% Legal most cases 24 31 32 34 23 34 Illegal most cases 45 29 29 8 38 18 Illegal all cases 12 10 3 2 13 4 DK/NA 8 6 7 7 6 7 -
Question 19. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest; do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Legal 85% 73% 95% 88% 86% 84% 87% 82% Illegal 10 19 3 8 9 10 9 12 DK/NA 5 8 2 4 5 6 4 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Legal 91% 85% 86% 79% 83% 85% 84% 87% 86% Illegal 6 10 10 13 12 10 11 10 7 DK/NA 2 4 4 9 5 5 5 3 6 RELIGION................. Wht ATTEND SRVCS Evang Prot Cath None Weekly Less Legal 64% 75% 83% 95% 61% 90% Illegal 27 17 11 3 27 6 DK/NA 10 8 6 2 12 4 -
Question 20. How about when an abortion is necessary to save the life of the mother; do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Legal 89% 82% 95% 90% 89% 89% 95% 87% Illegal 5 9 3 3 5 5 3 6 DK/NA 6 9 2 7 6 6 3 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Legal 91% 89% 90% 88% 89% 91% 90% 89% 84% Illegal 5 5 6 4 6 4 5 4 6 DK/NA 4 6 4 7 5 5 5 7 9 RELIGION................. Wht ATTEND SRVCS Evang Prot Cath None Weekly Less Legal 82% 86% 84% 95% 76% 92% Illegal 10 7 8 2 12 3 DK/NA 8 7 7 3 12 5 -
Question 21. If a family member or friend told you she plans on having an abortion, would you support her plan or would you try to talk her out of it?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support plan 53% 31% 80% 51% 50% 56% 66% 44% Try to talk out of 32 53 13 33 33 32 23 42 DK/NA 14 16 7 17 17 12 10 14 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support plan 68% 51% 52% 47% 46% 58% 53% 55% 60% Try to talk out of 25 31 34 39 38 32 35 36 28 DK/NA 7 18 14 14 16 10 13 10 12 RELIGION................. Wht ATTEND SRVCS Evang Prot Cath None Weekly Less Support plan 26% 40% 48% 72% 26% 60% Try to talk out of 62 49 39 12 65 26 DK/NA 13 11 13 16 9 14 -
Question 22. If a family member or friend told you she plans on having an abortion after being a victim of rape or incest, would you support her plan or would you try to talk her out of it?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support plan 80% 67% 92% 83% 81% 80% 85% 77% Try to talk out of 13 23 6 11 12 14 12 15 DK/NA 7 10 2 6 6 7 4 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support plan 87% 78% 83% 77% 79% 81% 80% 81% 82% Try to talk out of 11 14 14 14 15 13 14 13 14 DK/NA 2 8 2 9 6 7 6 6 3 RELIGION................. Wht ATTEND SRVCS Evang Prot Cath None Weekly Less Support plan 61% 72% 81% 93% 52% 87% Try to talk out of 29 21 14 3 35 8 DK/NA 11 7 5 4 13 4 -
Question 23. (Intro: Regarding the New York City criminal trial against former President Donald Trump in connection to charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress...) How closely have you been following news regarding the trial; very closely, somewhat closely, or not too closely?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very closely 34% 35% 36% 34% 37% 32% 39% 38% Somewhat closely 35 33 39 36 36 34 39 34 Not too closely 30 30 24 30 27 32 22 26 DK/NA 1 2 - - - 2 - 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very closely 12% 27% 43% 49% 39% 38% 39% 29% 24% Somewhat closely 37 38 34 30 36 35 36 30 38 Not too closely 51 34 22 20 25 24 24 41 38 DK/NA - 1 1 1 - 2 1 - - -
Question 24. (Intro at q23) Do you think the charges of falsifying business records, including a hush money payment to an adult film actress are; very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not serious at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very serious 40% 16% 70% 38% 30% 50% 41% 36% Smwht serious 20 16 19 22 21 19 25 19 Not too serious 13 23 5 12 14 12 10 15 Not serious at all 22 39 5 24 31 15 21 25 DK/NA 5 6 2 4 5 4 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very serious 37% 38% 44% 43% 26% 47% 38% 59% 37% Smwht serious 30 20 15 17 21 21 21 16 23 Not too serious 18 10 13 10 14 13 14 8 15 Not serious at all 15 25 26 23 34 16 24 16 20 DK/NA - 7 2 7 5 3 4 1 4 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING TRIAL Q23 Very Smwht NotToo Very serious 45% 40% 34% Smwht serious 12 21 27 Not too serious 9 16 15 Not serious at all 30 19 18 DK/NA 4 4 6 -
Question 25. (Intro at q23) From what you know about these charges, do you believe that: former President Trump did something illegal, he did something unethical but nothing illegal, or do you believe that former President Trump did not do anything wrong?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Illegal 46% 12% 84% 44% 39% 52% 56% 36% Unethical/Not illegl 27 39 8 34 30 24 23 34 Nothing wrong 18 42 2 15 23 15 15 23 DK/NA 8 7 7 7 8 9 6 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Illegal 50% 45% 48% 45% 34% 52% 44% 62% 53% Unethical/Not illegl 31 28 27 22 35 26 30 20 22 Nothing wrong 15 14 19 25 24 16 20 7 19 DK/NA 4 13 6 9 7 5 6 11 7 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING TRIAL Q23 Very Smwht NotToo Illegal 47% 50% 41% Unethical/Not illegl 24 27 31 Nothing wrong 25 17 13 DK/NA 4 6 15 -
Question 26. (Intro at q23) If he is convicted in this case, would you be more likely to vote for Donald Trump, less likely to vote for Donald Trump, or doesn't it make a difference?
REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More likely 15% 33% 3% 11% 17% 13% 10% 20% Less likely 21 9 37 17 17 25 20 16 No difference 62 57 58 71 64 60 69 61 DK/NA 3 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 13% 9% 14% 19% 19% 14% 16% 7% 11% Less likely 24 15 22 25 13 21 18 29 27 No difference 62 74 62 52 66 62 64 59 61 DK/NA 1 2 2 5 2 3 2 5 1 CANDIDATE CHOICE Q1 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING TRIAL Q23 Trump Very Smwht NotToo More likely 31% 24% 10% 8% Less likely 5 20 23 19 No difference 62 52 64 70 DK/NA 1 3 2 3