60% Of Voters Think U.S. Military Action Against Iran Was Not Worth It, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Nearly Half Think U.S. Is Too Supportive Of Israel, A New High

In the wake of President Trump signing a memorandum of understanding with Iran as the two countries negotiate a long-term peace deal, 60 percent of voters think the U.S. military action against Iran was not worth it, while 34 percent think the U.S. military action against Iran was worth it, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.

Democrats (93 - 4 percent) and independents (66 - 29 percent) think the U.S. military action against Iran was not worth it, while Republicans (75 - 17 percent) think the U.S. military action against Iran was worth it.

IRAN DEAL

Asked how confident they are that President Trump's deal with Iran will work, 59 percent of voters are either not so confident (19 percent) or not confident at all (40 percent) that it will work, while 37 percent are either very confident (11 percent) or somewhat confident (26 percent) that it will work.

Sixty-one percent of voters think it is either very likely (21 percent) or somewhat likely (40 percent) that Iran will develop nuclear weapons, while 33 percent think it is either not so likely (21 percent) or not likely at all (12 percent).

"After months of diplomatic fits and starts, global economic repercussions and a broad loss of life in the region, a majority of voters make their feelings clear: the Iran war was a bad idea," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

U.S. & IRAN WORLD POSITIONS

Forty-five percent of voters say the United States is in a weaker position in the world as a result of the U.S. military action against Iran, 33 percent say the U.S. is in a stronger position in the world, and 20 percent say the U.S. military action against Iran has not changed the United States' position in the world.

This compares to Quinnipiac University's April 15 poll, when 45 percent of voters said the United States was in a weaker position in the world, 30 percent said the U.S. was in a stronger position, and 22 percent said the U.S. military action against Iran had not changed the United States' position in the world.

In today's poll, 39 percent of voters say Iran is in a weaker position in the world as a result of the U.S. military action against Iran, 31 percent say Iran is in a stronger position in the world, and 26 percent say the U.S. military action against Iran has not changed Iran's position in the world.

This is a change from Quinnipiac University's April 15 poll, when 47 percent of voters said Iran was in a weaker position in the world, 23 percent said Iran was in a stronger position, and 23 percent said the U.S. military action against Iran had not changed Iran's position in the world.

ISRAEL

When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Israel, nearly half of voters (48 percent) think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, while 38 percent think the U.S. support of Israel is about right, and 7 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel.

This is the highest percentage of voters thinking that the U.S. is too supportive of Israel since Quinnipiac University first asked this question of registered voters in January 2017.

Among Democrats, 66 percent think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, 18 percent think the U.S. support of Israel is about right, and 9 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel.

Among independents, 55 percent think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, 34 percent think the U.S. support of Israel is about right, and 7 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel.

Among Republicans, 20 percent think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, 69 percent think the U.S. support of Israel is about right, and 6 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel.

When it comes to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, 20 percent of voters have a favorable opinion of him, while 48 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 30 percent haven't heard enough about him.

"Netanyahu gets poor marks from American voters as their appetite for supporting Israel wanes, with the share of voters who think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel hitting a new high," added Malloy.

PRESIDENT TRUMP

Thirty-eight percent of voters approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, while 55 percent disapprove. This is a return to an approval level from earlier this year, before Quinnipiac University's May 20 poll, when 34 percent of voters approved of the way Trump was handling his job and 58 percent disapproved.

In today's poll, voters were asked about Trump's handling of four issues:

• immigration issues: 42 percent approve, while 55 percent disapprove;
• the economy: 39 percent approve, while 59 percent disapprove;
• foreign policy: 37 percent approve, while 59 percent disapprove;
• the situation with Iran: 34 percent approve, while 62 percent disapprove.

Forty percent of voters think Donald Trump is keeping the promises he made during the presidential election campaign, while a majority (55 percent) think he is not keeping the promises he made.

Among Republicans, 82 percent think Donald Trump is keeping the promises he made during the presidential election campaign, while 14 percent think he is not keeping the promises he made.

TRUMP'S HEALTH

Nearly 6 in 10 voters (59 percent) think the White House is not being transparent about Donald Trump's health, while 34 percent think the White House is being transparent about his health.

Fifty percent of voters, given what they have seen and heard, think Donald Trump is not physically healthy, while 46 percent think he is physically healthy.

Similarly, 51 percent of voters, given what they have seen and heard, think Donald Trump is not mentally healthy, while 46 percent think he is mentally healthy.

"Is the president physically and mentally well? On both questions, half of voters have their concerns, and a majority think the White House is keeping them in the dark," added Malloy.

SUPREME COURT DOCKET

There are pending decisions expected from the Supreme Court involving questions about birthright citizenship and transgender athletes.

Nearly 7 in 10 voters (69 percent) think the Supreme Court should keep in place the 1898 ruling that under the U.S. Constitution anyone born in the United States is a U.S. citizen, regardless of their parents' citizenship, while 27 percent think the Supreme Court should reverse the ruling.

Seven in 10 voters (70 percent) think that transgender women and girls should not be allowed to play on women's and girls' school sports teams, while 24 percent think that they should be allowed to play.

CONTROL OF U.S. HOUSE

If the election were held today, 49 percent of voters would want to see the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives, while 42 percent would want to see the Republican Party win control of the House.

Voters were given a list of ten items and asked which, if any, are important to them when deciding who to vote for in the election for the U.S. House of Representatives. The cost of living (70 percent) tops the list, followed by health care (59 percent), ethics in government (57 percent), immigration (57 percent), voting rights (53 percent), gun violence (41 percent), the Israeli/Palestinian conflict (41 percent), AI data centers (38 percent), Donald Trump (38 percent), and the Epstein investigation (38 percent).

EPSTEIN INVESTIGATION

Seventy percent of voters think the Trump administration is not doing enough to hold associates of accused sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein accountable, while 17 percent think the Trump administration is doing enough to hold associates of Epstein accountable.

A vast majority of voters (73 percent) approve of the U.S. House Oversight Committee's investigation of the federal government's handling of the Epstein case, while 19 percent disapprove.

SOCIAL MEDIA BAN

Two-thirds of voters (67 percent) would support banning social media apps for kids in the United States under 16 years of age, while 25 percent of voters would oppose a ban.

"Under sixteen is too soon for kids to have access to social media apps, say voters, as they give voice to concerns other countries are addressing," added Malloy.

1,165 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from June 18th - 22nd with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on probability-based samples using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Email poll@qu.edu or follow us on X @QuinnipiacPoll.