6 In 10 Voters Oppose U.S. Military Action In Iran Amid Spike In Expectations It Will Last A Year Or More, Trump Approval Hits New Low, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 49% Worse Off Financially Than A Year Ago As Majority Thinks Economy Is Worsening
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In the wake of a ceasefire collapsing between the U.S. and Iran, voters have turned more negative about the U.S. military action in Iran, how long it might last, and the president's handling of the situation, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
Thirty-four percent of voters support the U.S. military action against Iran and 60 percent oppose it, which is the lowest support of the U.S. military action against Iran and the highest opposition to it since Quinnipiac University first began asking this question in early March after the U.S. - Iran war started.
In today's poll, Democrats (89 - 5 percent) and independents (69 - 26 percent) oppose the U.S. military action against Iran, while Republicans (74 - 19 percent) support the U.S. military action against Iran.
Seventy-four percent of voters oppose sending U.S. ground troops into Iran, while 19 percent support sending U.S. ground troops into Iran.
LENGTH OF MILITARY ACTION
A majority of voters (55 percent) think the U.S. military action against Iran will last either about a year or longer, as 20 percent think it will last about a year and 35 percent think it will last longer than that.
This is a jump from Quinnipiac University's April 15 poll, when 32 percent of voters thought the U.S. military action against Iran would last either about a year (13 percent) or longer than that (19 percent).
In today's poll, 34 percent think the U.S. military action against Iran will last months, 4 percent think it will last weeks, and 1 percent think it will last days.
"The pushback is evident. Six in 10 voters want no part of military action against Iran. More than seven in 10 say putting troops on Iranian soil is a no-go. And if the war drags on, more than half of voters predict it will last a year or more," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
U.S. - IRAN WAR: COSTS VS. BENEFITS
Fifty-four percent of voters think the United States is not winning the war with Iran, while 36 percent think the United States is winning the war with Iran, with 11 percent not offering an opinion.
Considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, nearly two-thirds of voters (66 percent) think the war with Iran has not been worth fighting, while 31 percent think the war with Iran has been worth fighting.
There are wide political gaps.
Democrats (93 - 5 percent) and independents (73 - 24 percent) think the war with Iran has not been worth fighting, while Republicans (67 - 27 percent) think the war with Iran has been worth fighting.
IRAN NEGOTIATORS
Voters were asked about Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, who serve as the Trump administration's envoys in attempting to negotiate an end to the Iran war.
Thirty-nine percent of voters have either a lot (15 percent) or some (24 percent) confidence in them as negotiators on behalf of the United States, while 57 percent have either not so much confidence (19 percent) or none at all (38 percent).
"After months of rising and falling hopes, punctuated by deadly military exchanges, voters wonder whether Kushner and Witkoff have the diplomatic chops to close the deal," added Malloy.
PRESIDENT TRUMP
Thirty-two percent of voters approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, while 58 percent disapprove, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
Trump's 32 percent approval is an all-time low approval rating for him in a Quinnipiac University poll.
In today's poll, Republicans (76 - 12 percent) approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president, with 12 percent not offering an opinion. Democrats (94 - 3 percent) disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job as president, with 2 percent not offering an opinion. Independents (67 - 22 percent) disapprove, with 11 percent not offering an opinion.
This compares to Quinnipiac University's June 24 poll, when Republicans (85 - 9 percent) approved of the way Trump was handling his job as president and 5 percent did not offer an opinion. Democrats (93 - 3 percent) disapproved of the way Trump was handling his job as president and 3 percent did not offer an opinion. Independents (59 - 34 percent) disapproved and 8 percent did not offer an opinion.
In today's poll, voters were asked about Trump's handling of five issues:
- immigration issues: 40 percent approve, while 57 percent disapprove;
- trade: 37 percent approve, while 58 percent disapprove;
- the economy: 34 percent approve, while 62 percent disapprove;
- foreign policy: 34 percent approve, while 62 percent disapprove;
- the situation with Iran: 28 percent approve, while 66 percent disapprove.
Twenty-nine percent of voters think Donald Trump is focused enough on addressing the problems most Americans are facing, while 68 percent think he is not focused enough on addressing the problems most Americans are facing.
THE ECONOMY
Twenty-eight percent of voters describe the state of the nation's economy these days as either excellent (3 percent) or good (25 percent), while 71 percent describe it as either not so good (30 percent) or poor (41 percent).
Fifty-nine percent of voters think the nation's economy is getting worse, 19 percent think it's getting better, and 21 percent think it's staying about the same.
Forty-nine percent of voters say they are worse off financially than they were a year ago, while 34 percent say they are better off, and 16 percent volunteered they are the same.
"The answer to the time-tested campaign query: 'are you better off today than you were a year ago' comes back... no," added Malloy.
Eighty-eight percent of voters think inflation in the United States is either a very serious (57 percent) or somewhat serious (31 percent) problem, while 11 percent think inflation in the United States is either a not so serious problem (9 percent) or not a problem at all (2 percent).
This is a decrease in the share of voters who think inflation in the United States is a very serious problem from Quinnipiac University's February 19, 2025 poll, when 64 percent thought it was a very serious problem.
GAS PRICES
Voters were asked how much they blame Donald Trump for the recent rise in gasoline prices: 54 percent say a lot, 19 percent say some, 11 percent say not much, and 15 percent say not at all.
MIDTERM ELECTIONS
If the election were today, 48 percent of voters would want to see the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives, while 41 percent would want to see the Republican Party win control of the House, with 11 percent not offering an opinion.
Voters were asked how motivated they are to vote in this year's midterm election compared to past midterm elections. Nearly half (48 percent) say they are more motivated to vote than in past midterm elections, while 41 percent say they are just as motivated as usual, and 10 percent say they are less motivated to vote.
Among Democrats, 57 percent say they are more motivated to vote than in past midterm elections, while 35 percent say they are just as motivated as usual, and 8 percent say they are less motivated to vote.
Among Republicans, 39 percent say they are more motivated to vote than in past midterm elections, while 53 percent say they are just as motivated as usual, and 5 percent say they are less motivated to vote.
Among independents, 49 percent say they are more motivated to vote than in past midterm elections, while 39 percent say they are just as motivated as usual, and 12 percent say they are less motivated to vote.
"A warning sign is blinking red for the GOP. With turnout so crucial in midterm elections that many voters tend to ignore, the Democrats seem more motivated to show up than Republicans," added Malloy.
POLITICAL PARTIES
Asked about the direction of the Republican Party, 7 percent of voters say it has moved too far to the left, 40 percent say it has moved too far to the right, and 44 percent say it hasn't moved too far in either direction.
Asked about the direction of the Democratic Party, 46 percent of voters say it has moved too far to the left, 7 percent say it has moved too far to the right, and 40 percent say it hasn't moved too far in either direction.
ICE & DEPORTATION
Thirty-seven percent of voters approve of the way U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, known as ICE, is doing its job, while 60 percent disapprove.
Forty-three percent of voters say they know someone who is living in fear because of the Trump administration's deportation policies, while 54 percent say they do not know someone living in fear because of the Trump administration's deportation policies.
FOOD SAFETY
Voters were asked how much confidence they have in government oversight of food safety in the United States. Forty-three percent of voters say they have either a lot (12 percent) or some (31 percent) confidence in government oversight of food safety in the United States, while 55 percent say they have not so much confidence (25 percent) or none at all (30 percent).
963 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from July 23rd - 27th with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on probability-based samples using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu or follow us on X @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 32% 76% 3% 22% 37% 28% Disapprove 58 12 94 67 49 66 DK/NA 10 12 2 11 13 6 -
Question 1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 23% 59% 2% 16% 27% 20% Approve smwht 8 15 1 7 10 7 Disapprove smwht 6 6 2 10 6 6 Disapprove strongly 52 6 92 57 43 60 DK/NA 10 14 3 11 14 7 -
Question 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 23% 5% 51% 17% 20% 26% Disapprove 67 90 38 70 71 62 DK/NA 10 5 11 13 8 11 -
Question 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 29% 62% 6% 22% 34% 25% Disapprove 63 28 91 70 59 68 DK/NA 7 10 3 8 7 7 -
Question 4. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican Party 41% 92% 3% 31% 47% 35% Democratic Party 48 5 95 53 39 57 DK/NA 11 3 3 16 14 9 -
Question 5. Compared to past midterm elections, how motivated would you say you are to vote in this year's midterm election; are you more motivated to vote than usual, less motivated, or are you just as motivated as usual?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More 48% 39% 57% 49% 41% 54% Less 10 5 8 12 14 6 As usual 41 53 35 39 43 40 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 -
Question 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as Secretary of State?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 40% 81% 10% 34% 46% 35% Disapprove 48 7 78 55 41 53 DK/NA 12 12 11 11 12 12 -
Question 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pete Hegseth is handling his job as Secretary of Defense?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 34% 79% 4% 27% 41% 28% Disapprove 56 12 89 66 48 63 DK/NA 10 9 8 8 12 8 -
Question 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way J.D. Vance is handling his job as vice president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 38% 85% 4% 31% 44% 32% Disapprove 55 6 92 65 48 61 DK/NA 8 9 4 4 8 7 -
Question 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the economy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 34% 79% 4% 24% 42% 27% Disapprove 62 16 93 74 54 70 DK/NA 4 5 3 3 5 3 -
Question 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - foreign policy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 34% 78% 4% 25% 40% 29% Disapprove 62 17 93 72 56 67 DK/NA 4 5 3 3 4 4 -
Question 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the situation with Iran?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 28% 66% 4% 19% 34% 23% Disapprove 66 24 94 76 61 71 DK/NA 5 10 2 5 5 6 -
Question 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - immigration issues?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 40% 85% 5% 34% 49% 32% Disapprove 57 12 93 64 47 66 DK/NA 3 3 2 2 4 2 -
Question 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - trade?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 37% 79% 4% 31% 44% 31% Disapprove 58 15 93 66 52 64 DK/NA 4 7 3 4 4 4 -
Question 14. Do you think Donald Trump is focused enough on addressing the problems most Americans are facing, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Focused 29% 70% 4% 21% 33% 25% No 68 25 96 77 64 72 DK/NA 3 5 - 3 3 2 -
Question 15. Would you say that the - Republican Party has moved too far to the left, too far to the right, or would you say the Republican Party hasn't moved too far in either direction?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Too far left 7% 7% 7% 9% 7% 8% Too far right 40 11 71 43 36 44 Not too far 44 75 15 41 49 38 DK/NA 9 7 8 7 8 10 -
Question 16. Would you say that the - Democratic Party has moved too far to the left, too far to the right, or would you say the Democratic Party hasn't moved too far in either direction?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Too far left 46% 78% 15% 45% 55% 37% Too far right 7 4 10 8 8 6 Not too far 40 13 70 40 33 47 DK/NA 6 5 6 7 4 9 -
Question 17. If a candidate for the House of Representatives supports President Trump, does that make you: more likely to vote for them, less likely to vote for them, or doesn't it have an impact either way?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 17% 41% 1% 11% 18% 15% Less likely 48 7 86 52 43 52 No impact 34 52 11 35 37 31 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 2 2 -
Question 18. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 9% 24% 3% 4% 10% 8% Smwht satisfied 22 46 4 20 24 20 Smwht dissatisfied 17 18 12 20 20 15 Very dissatisfied 50 9 80 55 43 56 DK/NA 2 4 1 1 3 1 -
Question 19. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 3% 9% 2% 1% 5% 2% Good 25 53 3 21 32 18 Not so good 30 28 30 32 28 33 Poor 41 9 65 45 35 47 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 -
Question 20. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better 19% 43% 2% 14% 23% 15% Worse 59 20 89 64 51 66 The same 21 34 8 21 26 17 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 2 -
Question 21. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better off 34% 63% 14% 29% 41% 27% Worse off 49 21 68 53 41 56 SAME(VOL) 16 14 16 16 17 15 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 -
Question 22. In general, how serious a problem do you think inflation is in the United States; a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not so serious problem, or not a problem at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very serious 57% 35% 70% 60% 51% 62% Somewhat serious 31 39 24 33 35 27 Not so serious 9 19 5 6 10 8 Not at all 2 5 1 - 3 1 DK/NA 1 2 - - 1 1 -
Question 23. How much do you blame Donald Trump for the recent rise in gasoline prices; a lot, some, not much, or not at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom A lot 54% 11% 88% 59% 50% 57% Some 19 27 8 20 19 18 Not much 11 21 - 10 12 9 Not at all 15 36 2 10 17 13 DK/NA 2 4 1 1 1 2 -
Question 24. Do you support or oppose the U.S. military action against Iran?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 34% 74% 5% 26% 40% 29% Oppose 60 19 89 69 53 66 DK/NA 6 6 6 5 7 6 -
Question 25. Would you support or oppose sending U.S. ground troops into Iran?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 19% 42% 5% 14% 20% 18% Oppose 74 46 94 79 72 75 DK/NA 7 12 2 7 8 7 -
Question 26. Just your best guess, how much longer do you think the U.S. military action against Iran will last; days, weeks, months, about a year, or longer than that?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Days 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Weeks 4 5 4 3 4 3 Months 34 48 23 32 36 32 About a year 20 18 21 20 19 20 Longer than that 35 19 44 39 33 37 DK/NA 7 8 8 6 7 8 -
Question 27. Do you think the United States is winning the war with Iran, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Winning 36% 69% 8% 30% 42% 29% No 54 20 84 58 49 58 DK/NA 11 11 8 12 9 12 -
Question 28. As you may know, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff serve as the Trump administration's envoys in attempting to negotiate an end to the Iran war. How much confidence do you have in them as negotiators on behalf of the United States; a lot, some, not so much, or none at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom A lot 15% 36% 3% 10% 17% 13% Some 24 38 7 24 25 23 Not so much 19 12 23 22 19 19 None at all 38 10 65 40 35 41 DK/NA 4 5 2 4 4 4 -
Question 29. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iran has been worth fighting, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Worth 31% 67% 5% 24% 36% 26% No 66 27 93 73 62 69 DK/NA 3 6 2 3 2 5 -
Question 30. As you may know, President Trump delivered a prime-time speech about the 2020 presidential election, claiming election fraud and interference took place. Do you think the president has provided sufficient evidence to prove his claims, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Has 24% 56% 2% 18% 26% 22% No 66 28 94 75 59 72 DK/NA 10 16 4 7 14 6 -
Question 31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, known as ICE, is doing its job?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 37% 78% 4% 29% 43% 30% Disapprove 60 17 94 67 53 67 DK/NA 3 5 2 3 4 3 -
Question 32. Thinking about people in your family, community, work, or school, would you say you know someone who is living in fear because of the Trump administration's deportation policies, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Know 43% 20% 59% 50% 38% 48% No 54 79 40 48 59 51 DK/NA 3 1 1 2 4 1 -
Question 33. How much confidence would you say you have in government oversight of food safety in the United States; a lot, some, not so much, or none at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom A lot 12% 27% 4% 8% 14% 10% Some 31 43 21 30 34 28 Not so much 25 16 32 25 26 24 None at all 30 10 41 36 24 36 DK/NA 2 4 2 1 2 2