Majority Of Voters Oppose GOP Budget Bill, With Just 67% Of Republicans In Support, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Trump Job Approval: 38%, His Handling Of Russia - Ukraine War Lowest Among List Of Issues
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As the Senate debates the GOP tax and spending bill titled One Big Beautiful Bill Act and President Donald Trump pushes for a July 4 deadline to sign it, voters 53 - 27 percent oppose the legislation, with 20 percent not offering an opinion, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
Republicans 67 - 10 percent support the bill, with 22 percent not offering an opinion.
Democrats 89 - 2 percent oppose the bill, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
Independents 57 - 20 percent oppose the bill, with 23 percent not offering an opinion.
Nearly half of voters (47 percent) think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 40 percent think it should stay about the same, and 10 percent think federal funding for Medicaid should decrease.
Among Republicans, 21 percent think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 56 percent think it should stay about the same, and 18 percent think it should decrease.
Among Democrats, 69 percent think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 27 percent think it should stay about the same, and 2 percent think it should decrease.
Among independents, 47 percent think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, 39 percent think it should stay about the same, and 11 percent think it should decrease.
"With Medicaid's future as a healthcare safety net for millions suddenly uncertain, voters make it clear they want the 60-year-old program for those in need to be handled with care," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
PRESIDENT TRUMP
Thirty-eight percent of voters approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, while 54 percent disapprove. In Quinnipiac University's April 9 poll, 41 percent approved, while 53 percent disapproved.
Voters were asked about Trump's handling of seven issues...
- immigration issues: 43 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove, with 3 percent not offering an opinion;
- deportations: 40 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove, with 4 percent not offering an opinion;
- the economy: 40 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove, with 4 percent not offering an opinion;
- trade: 38 percent approve, 57 percent disapprove, with 6 percent not offering an opinion;
- universities: 37 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove, with 9 percent not offering an opinion;
- the Israel - Hamas conflict: 35 percent approve, 52 percent disapprove, with 13 percent not offering an opinion;
- the Russia - Ukraine war: 34 percent approve, 57 percent disapprove, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
"As the Russia - Ukraine war grinds through its third year, Americans make it clear they have little appetite for the way the Trump administration is handling the situation," added Malloy.
Forty percent of voters have a favorable opinion of President Trump, while 53 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 4 percent haven't heard enough about him.
Among Republicans, 88 percent have a favorable opinion of Trump. In Quinnipiac University's March 13 poll, 88 percent also had a favorable opinion of Trump.
MUSK
Thirty percent of voters have a favorable opinion of Elon Musk, while 57 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 10 percent haven't heard enough about him.
Among Republicans, 62 percent have a favorable opinion of Musk. In Quinnipiac University's March 13 poll, 78 percent had a favorable opinion of Musk.
When voters were asked how they would rate the work that Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency, known as DOGE, have done, 38 percent say either excellent (20 percent) or good (18 percent), while 57 percent say either not so good (12 percent) or poor (45 percent).
Among Republicans, 80 percent rate Musk and DOGE's work as either excellent (46 percent) or good (34 percent), while 13 percent say either not so good (6 percent) or poor (7 percent).
"Though Musk isn't as popular with Republicans as he once was, he and DOGE get a hearty high five from a healthy majority of Republicans," added Malloy.
CONGRESS
Twenty-one percent of voters approve of the way Democrats in Congress are handling their job, while 70 percent disapprove. This compares to Quinnipiac University's February 19 poll when 21 percent of voters approved and 68 percent disapproved, an all-time low since Quinnipiac University first asked this question of registered voters in March 2009.
In today's poll, 41 percent of Democrats approve of the way Democrats in Congress are handling their job, while 53 percent disapprove.
Thirty-two percent of voters approve of the way Republicans in Congress are handling their job, while 61 percent disapprove. This compares to Quinnipiac University's February 19 poll when 40 percent approved and 52 percent disapproved, which was an all-time high since Quinnipiac University first asked this question of registered voters in March 2009.
In today's poll, 79 percent of Republicans approve of the way Republicans in Congress are handling their job, while 13 percent disapprove.
RFK JR.
Thirty-eight percent of voters approve of the way Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is handling his job as Secretary of Health and Human Services, while 53 percent disapprove. This compares to Quinnipiac University's March 13 poll when 38 percent of voters approved and 49 percent disapproved.
Voters were asked who they trust the most for guidance when thinking about how they decide whether or not to get vaccines for themselves or other family members. Forty-four percent say their doctor, 28 percent say themselves, 21 percent say The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention known as the CDC, and 5 percent say Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
PETE HEGSETH
Thirty-seven percent of voters approve of the way Pete Hegseth is handling his job as Secretary of Defense, while 46 percent disapprove and 16 percent did not offer an opinion.
Among Republicans, 77 percent approve, 9 percent disapprove and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.
Among Democrats, 6 percent approve, 83 percent disapprove and 12 percent did not offer an opinion.
Among independents, 34 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove and 18 percent did not offer an opinion.
INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS
More than 7 out of 10 voters (74 percent) think international students coming to the United States to study at colleges and universities is a good thing for the United States, while 17 percent think it is a bad thing for the United States.
Democrats (96 - 3 percent), independents (75 - 14 percent), and Republicans (49 - 37 percent) think it is a good thing for the United States.
RUSSIA - UKRAINE WAR
Almost two-thirds of voters (64 percent) are either very concerned (27 percent) or somewhat concerned (37 percent) about the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons, while thirty-five percent are either not so concerned (21 percent) or not concerned at all (14 percent).
If Russia invades a NATO country, voters 62 - 29 percent think American troops should get involved.
Democrats (70 - 23 percent), independents (64 - 29 percent), and Republicans (54 - 39 percent) think American troops should get involved if Russia invades a NATO country.
When voters were asked how confident they are that Russia and Ukraine will agree to a permanent cease fire in the near future, 27 percent say they are either very confident (3 percent) or somewhat confident (24 percent), while 69 percent say they are either not so confident (37 percent) or not confident at all (32 percent).
ISRAEL - HAMAS WAR
When voters were asked how confident they are that Israel and Hamas will agree to a permanent cease fire in the near future, 17 percent say they are either very confident (3 percent) or somewhat confident (14 percent), while 77 percent say they are either not so confident (33 percent) or not confident at all (44 percent).
Voters were asked whether their sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians based on what they know about the situation in the Middle East. Thirty-seven percent of voters say the Israelis, while 32 percent say the Palestinians, and 31 percent did not offer an opinion.
This is an all-time low for the Israelis and an all-time high for the Palestinians since the Quinnipiac University Poll began asking this question of registered voters in December 2001.
Among Republicans, 64 percent say the Israelis, while 7 percent say the Palestinians, and 29 percent did not offer an opinion.
Among Democrats, 12 percent say the Israelis, while 60 percent say the Palestinians, and 29 percent did not offer an opinion.
Among independents, 38 percent say the Israelis, while 30 percent say the Palestinians, and 31 percent did not offer an opinion.
ANTISEMITISM IN THE U.S.
More than 7 in 10 voters (73 percent) think prejudice against Jewish people in the United States today is either a very serious problem (38 percent) or a somewhat serious problem (35 percent), while 22 percent think it is either a not so serious problem (16 percent) or not a problem at all (6 percent). This is similar to Quinnipiac University's May 2024 poll.
"With no end to the Israel - Gaza conflict in sight, Israel's standing with voters slips significantly. At the same time, here in the U.S., there is broad empathy for victims of antisemitism," added Malloy.
As for how President Trump is combatting antisemitism in the United States today, 36 percent of voters approve, while 49 percent disapprove, and 15 percent did not offer an opinion.
1,265 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from June 5th - 9th with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on probability-based samples using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu or follow us on X @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 38% 85% 1% 35% 48% 30% Disapprove 54 6 98 54 42 64 DK/NA 8 8 1 11 10 6
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Question 1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 30% 70% 1% 24% 36% 24% Approve smwht 8 15 - 11 11 6 Disapprove smwht 5 2 4 7 4 5 Disapprove strongly 49 5 94 47 38 59 DK/NA 8 9 1 11 11 6
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Question 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 32% 79% 2% 24% 39% 26% Disapprove 61 13 97 68 55 66 DK/NA 7 7 1 8 6 8
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Question 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 21% 9% 41% 16% 14% 28% Disapprove 70 84 53 75 81 62 DK/NA 8 7 6 9 6 10
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Question 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is handling his job as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 38% 76% 6% 36% 49% 29% Disapprove 53 12 91 55 43 61 DK/NA 9 12 3 9 8 9
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Question 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pete Hegseth is handling his job as Secretary of Defense?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 37% 77% 6% 34% 46% 30% Disapprove 46 9 83 48 41 51 DK/NA 16 14 12 18 12 19
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Question 6. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 40% 88% 2% 36% 51% 30% Unfavorable 53 7 94 54 44 61 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 2 6 1 7 REFUSED 3 2 1 4 4 2
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Question 7. Is your opinion of J.D. Vance favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 35% 80% 2% 31% 45% 27% Unfavorable 48 8 85 46 39 55 Hvn't hrd enough 16 11 11 22 15 16 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 1
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Question 8. Is your opinion of Elon Musk favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 30% 62% 3% 29% 41% 22% Unfavorable 57 18 93 59 46 66 Hvn't hrd enough 10 16 4 9 9 11 REFUSED 3 4 - 3 4 1
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Question 9. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 11% 24% 2% 9% 14% 8% Smwht satisfied 24 51 1 22 31 18 Smwht dissatisfied 17 12 17 22 17 17 Very dissatisfied 47 9 80 45 37 56 DK/NA 2 3 - 1 2 2
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Question 10. Do you think the Republican party cares about the needs and problems of people like you, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 36% 79% 2% 34% 43% 30% No 61 19 97 63 53 68 DK/NA 3 1 1 3 4 2
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Question 11. Do you think the Democratic party cares about the needs and problems of people like you, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 40% 10% 80% 32% 31% 47% No 56 87 15 64 64 49 DK/NA 5 3 5 4 5 4
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Question 12. Do you think the Republican party represents your values, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 40% 90% 4% 35% 48% 32% No 57 9 94 62 49 64 DK/NA 3 1 2 3 2 3
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Question 13. Do you think the Democratic party represents your values, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 40% 7% 83% 31% 29% 49% No 57 91 13 66 66 49 DK/NA 3 2 4 2 5 2
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Question 14. Would you like to see Republicans in Congress do more to check President Trump or do more to help President Trump?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More to check 58% 16% 95% 59% 47% 66% More to help 38 81 2 36 47 30 DK/NA 4 3 2 5 5 4
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Question 15. Would you like to see Democrats in Congress do more to check President Trump or do more to help President Trump?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More to check 52% 9% 91% 51% 41% 61% More to help 44 88 6 43 54 35 DK/NA 5 3 3 6 5 4
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Question 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - immigration issues?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 43% 87% 4% 43% 55% 32% Disapprove 54 9 95 52 41 65 DK/NA 3 3 1 5 3 4
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Question 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the economy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 40% 87% 1% 37% 48% 33% Disapprove 56 8 98 57 47 63 DK/NA 4 4 1 6 4 5
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Question 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the Israel - Hamas conflict?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 35% 75% 3% 33% 44% 27% Disapprove 52 13 90 51 43 60 DK/NA 13 12 7 16 13 13
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Question 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the Russia - Ukraine war?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 34% 70% 2% 31% 42% 26% Disapprove 57 19 94 57 49 64 DK/NA 10 11 4 12 9 10
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Question 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - trade?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 38% 80% 2% 36% 49% 28% Disapprove 57 13 95 58 46 66 DK/NA 6 7 4 6 5 7
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Question 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - deportations?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 40% 87% 4% 38% 53% 29% Disapprove 56 9 96 57 43 67 DK/NA 4 4 - 5 3 4
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Question 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - universities?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 37% 78% 3% 36% 46% 29% Disapprove 54 10 95 54 43 63 DK/NA 9 13 2 10 11 8
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Question 23. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 2% 4% - 2% 3% 1% Good 32 63 10 28 40 24 Not so good 36 23 46 38 35 37 Poor 29 8 43 31 21 36 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1
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Question 24. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better 28% 65% 1% 25% 36% 21% Worse 51 8 89 52 39 61 The same 20 26 10 23 24 17 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1
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Question 25. Would you describe your financial situation these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 11% 15% 8% 10% 14% 8% Good 55 68 52 51 56 54 Not so good 21 7 24 25 19 23 Poor 12 8 15 12 10 14 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 2 1
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Question 26. In thinking about your expenses in the past six months, would you say that you are paying more for goods, less for goods, or are you paying about the same amount?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More 61% 29% 88% 61% 50% 70% Less 9 20 1 10 13 7 About the same 28 50 11 28 36 22 DK/NA 1 1 - 2 1 2
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Question 27. Thinking about your summer vacation plans, do you plan to spend more money on vacations this summer than last summer, less money on vacations or about the same amount as last summer?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More 15% 20% 11% 16% 19% 11% Less 34 15 50 34 27 40 About the same 40 56 28 40 44 36 DK/NA 11 9 11 11 10 13
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Question 28. How much have you heard or read about the Republican tax and spending bill named One Big Beautiful Bill Act; a lot, some, not too much, or not much at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom A lot 36% 37% 41% 32% 36% 35% Some 32 34 32 32 36 28 Not too much 14 14 8 17 12 15 Not much at all 18 15 18 19 15 20 DK/NA 1 1 - - 1 1
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Question 29. Based upon what you have heard or read about the legislation, do you support or oppose the One Big Beautiful Bill Act?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 27% 67% 2% 20% 34% 21% Oppose 53 10 89 57 47 58 DK/NA 20 22 10 23 19 21
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Question 30. As you may know, Medicaid is a government program that helps pay for health care for low-income and disabled Americans. Do you think federal funding for Medicaid should increase, decrease, or stay about the same?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Increase 47% 21% 69% 47% 41% 52% Decrease 10 18 2 11 12 9 About the same 40 56 27 39 44 36 DK/NA 3 4 2 3 3 3
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Question 31. How would you rate the work that Elon Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency, known as DOGE, have done; excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 20% 46% 2% 17% 25% 16% Good 18 34 1 19 25 12 Not so good 12 6 15 14 9 14 Poor 45 7 82 44 36 52 DK/NA 5 7 1 6 4 6
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Question 32. In thinking about how you decide whether or not to get vaccines for yourself or other family members, who would you say you trust the most for guidance; your doctor, The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention known as the CDC, Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr., or yourself?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Your doctor 44% 40% 49% 44% 43% 45% The CDC 21 3 38 19 17 24 Kennedy 5 11 - 5 6 4 Yourself 28 43 11 30 31 26 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 1
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Question 33. As you may know, under the U.S. Constitution, all children born in the United States are automatically granted U.S. citizenship. Do you think all children born in the U.S. should continue to be automatically granted citizenship or do you think this should be changed so that children of non-citizens are no longer automatically granted citizenship?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Continue granting 64% 33% 92% 64% 59% 69% Change/Not grant 31 61 7 30 35 27 DK/NA 5 6 1 6 6 4
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Question 34. Do you think international students coming to the United States to study at colleges and universities is a good thing for the United States or a bad thing for the United States?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Good thing 74% 49% 96% 75% 73% 75% Bad thing 17 37 3 14 18 16 DK/NA 9 15 1 11 9 9
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Question 35. From what you know about the situation in the Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Israelis 37% 64% 12% 38% 43% 31% Palestinians 32 7 60 30 29 35 DK/NA 31 29 29 31 28 34
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Question 36. How confident are you that Israel and Hamas will agree to a permanent cease fire in the near future; very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very confident 3% 7% 1% 3% 4% 3% Somewhat confident 14 17 10 15 11 17 Not so confident 33 31 40 31 25 40 Not confident at all 44 38 48 44 55 34 DK/NA 5 6 2 6 5 6
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Question 37. How confident are you that Russia and Ukraine will agree to a permanent cease fire in the near future; very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very confident 3% 5% - 4% 5% 1% Somewhat confident 24 40 14 20 25 23 Not so confident 37 33 40 38 32 42 Not confident at all 32 19 43 35 33 31 DK/NA 4 3 2 3 4 3
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Question 38. How concerned are you about the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very concerned 27% 22% 34% 23% 15% 36% Somewhat concerned 37 31 41 38 34 39 Not so concerned 21 28 16 19 28 14 Not concerned at all 14 18 8 18 22 8 DK/NA 2 1 - 1 1 2
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Question 39. If Russia invades a NATO country, do you think American troops should get involved, or don't you think so?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Should 62% 54% 70% 64% 66% 59% No 29 39 23 29 28 31 DK/NA 8 7 7 7 6 10
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Question 40. How serious a problem do you think that prejudice against Jewish people is in the United States today; a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not so serious problem, or not a problem at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very serious 38% 47% 36% 35% 35% 41% Somewhat serious 35 26 47 36 33 38 Not so serious 16 17 12 20 22 11 Not at all 6 8 3 6 8 5 DK/NA 4 3 3 3 3 5
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Question 41. As you may know, antisemitism is prejudice against Jewish people. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is combating antisemitism in the United States today?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 36% 76% 3% 34% 45% 27% Disapprove 49 9 87 50 40 57 DK/NA 15 15 9 16 14 16
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Question 42. Do you think America's best days are ahead of us or America's best days are behind us?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Best ahead 53% 72% 39% 50% 57% 49% Best behind 40 25 49 43 35 43 DK/NA 7 2 12 6 7 8