October 22, 2015

Carson Tops Trump In Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Bush Tied In Sixth Place With 5 Percent

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With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 - 20 percent among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to the results of a September 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Trump at 27 percent with Carson at 21 percent.

Today, Sen. Rand Paul is at 6 percent, with Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 5 percent each. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 3 percent undecided.

Carson tops Trump 33 - 13 percent among women. Men are divided as 25 percent back Carson and 24 percent go with Trump.

Trump tops the "no way" list as 30 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants say they "would definitely not support" him for the GOP nomination. Bush is next on this "no way" list with 21 percent.

For 28 percent of Republican Caucus-goers a candidate who shares their values is most important, while 23 percent most want a candidate who is honest and trustworthy.

Carson shares their values, 84 percent of Republicans say, and 89 percent say he is honest and trustworthy, topping the GOP field for both qualities.

"It's Ben Carson's turn in the spotlight," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"As they've been pondering for six months, many in the political world still are trying to understand Carson's appeal and how someone who seems to be operating outside the traditional news media/political environment is doing so well among the most conservative GOP voters."

"Today's results show his appeal is especially strong among the state's sizeable white, evangelical Christian community, among whom Carson is receiving 36 percent, twice Trump's 17 percent," Brown added.

"Those who know Carson seem to like him. He has an almost unheard of 84 - 10 percent favorability rating among likely Republican Caucus-goers, compared to Trump's 53 - 43 percent rating. To borrow the line from Madison Avenue, 'Almost no one doesn't like Ben Carson.'"

Carson cares about their needs and problems, 87 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants say, the highest mark among any GOP candidate.

Trump gets the highest mark for strong leadership qualities, 80 percent, to Carson's 76 percent.

Bush has the right kind of experience to be president, 76 percent of Republicans say, topping Cruz at 70 percent, Rubio at 69 percent, Carson at 57 percent, and Trump at 56 percent.

Iowa likely Republican Caucus-goers give Carson an 84 - 10 percent favorability rating, leading Rubio at 70 - 15 percent, Cruz at 65 - 18 percent and Trump at 53 - 43 percent. Bush has a negative 43 - 51 percent.

Looking at which candidate can best handle different issues, Carson leads in only one area, as 31 percent of Republicans say he can best handle social issues. On handling other issues:

Trump tops Carson 41 - 12 percent on the economy;
Trump over Carson 32 - 13 percent on taxes;
Trump tops Carson 37 - 9 percent on illegal immigration;
Rubio and Trump are close at 18 - 17 percent, respectively, on foreign policy, with Carson at 9 percent.

From October 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 574 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  5%     -      3%     3%     3%     9%     4%     5%
Carson               28     32     36     32     27     23     25     33
Christie              1      -      2      -      1      4      1      3
Cruz                 10     21     13     18      7      1     11      9
Fiorina               5      6      5      5      7      4      5      6
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              2      -      3      2      2      1      2      1
Jindal                3      1      3      2      3      3      2      4
Kasich                3      -      2      1      2      7      4      1
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
Paul                  6      8      2      3      5     13      7      5
Rubio                13      9      9     13     17     10     12     15
Santorum              1      1      1      1      1      -      1      1
Trump                20     20     17     16     23     22     24     13
DK/NA                 3      2      4      2      3      3      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Bush                  7%     3%     4%     2%     5%     8%     5%     3%     4%     6%
Carson               23     31     26     24     34     27     26     32     36     14
Christie              3      1      1      1      2      2      1      1      1      2
Cruz                 11     10     12      7     13      7      9     15      8      9
Fiorina               8      4      5      5      5      8      9      4      5      6
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              1      2      1      3      2      -      4      2      1      2
Jindal                3      2      -      4      4      1      3      2      3      2
Kasich                5      2      6      2      1      2      3      -      3      4
Pataki                1      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  4      7     13      7      2      1      3      9      7      7
Rubio                17     11     13     17     11     12      7     11     12     21
Santorum              -      1      -      2      1      1      2      2      -      1
Trump                12     24     18     22     17     26     25     14     18     23
DK/NA                 4      2      2      2      2      5      4      5      1      3
 
                     MOST IMPORTANT FOR REP PRES NOMINEE Q55
                     Shares Strong        Honest/
                     Values Leader CanWin Trustworthy
 
Bush                  1%     6%     8%     3%
Carson               27     18     32     40
Christie              1      2      2      -
Cruz                 22      6      3     10
Fiorina               5      7      9      5
Gilmore               -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      1      -
Huckabee              1      1      2      2
Jindal                1      3      1      5
Kasich                1      1      6      1
Pataki                -      -      1      1
Paul                 11      5      1      5
Rubio                13     15     20      8
Santorum              1      -      -      2
Trump                15     35     13     15
DK/NA                 2      2      1      3

2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 21%    35%    23%    27%    13%    22%    23%    19%
Carson                4      1      3      2      2      7      5      1
Christie             14     24     15     19      7     12     14     14
Cruz                  7      4      6      5      4     15      8      7
Fiorina               8      7      9      9      3     10      9      6
Gilmore               8     12      8     10      4      8      8      7
Graham               15     32     13     19     11     12     17     11
Huckabee              9     11      6      7      4     17      9      9
Jindal                7      6      6      5      5     11      8      5
Kasich                9     12     11     14      3      6     10      7
Pataki               10     17     10     13      5      8     10      8
Paul                 10      9     11     11      7     11     10     10
Rubio                 5      8      5      6      2      7      6      3
Santorum             10     12      8     10      3     15      9     11
Trump                30     18     31     24     27     45     28     35
No/No one            30     33     30     30     40     20     32     27
DK/NA                 5      1      5      4      8      3      3      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Bush                 18%    23%    20%    19%    24%    22%    18%    29%    16%    22%
Carson                5      3      4      4      3      4      8      -      4      3
Christie             13     14      9     19     15     10      4     20     10     19
Cruz                  9      7      8      7      7     10      7      7      8      7
Fiorina               6      9      7      8      6     10      7     13      5      8
Gilmore               7      8      4      7      7     13      6     14      5      8
Graham               12     17      6     23     17     12     11     17     15     19
Huckabee             10      8      2     11     12     10      3     11     11      9
Jindal                7      7      4      9      6      7      5      9      5      8
Kasich                8      9      3     10     13      9      3     10     10     11
Pataki                9     10      4      9     12     15      9     15      7      9
Paul                 10      9      2      9     12     19      8      9     10     11
Rubio                 5      5      1      6      6      4      5      6      3      6
Santorum             10     10     10     11      9      9      9     14      7     12
Trump                41     25     44     31     26     20     33     29     32     32
No/No one            30     31     18     35     31     39     40     28     30     29
DK/NA                 4      5      6      2      5      6      1      5      5      5

Q5-19. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable).

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS...........
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
 
Carson               84     10      6      -     74
Rubio                70     15     14      -     55
Cruz                 65     18     16      1     47
Fiorina              61     18     21      -     43
Jindal               59     16     24      1     43
Huckabee             63     29      8      1     34
Santorum             50     32     17      1     18
Trump                53     43      3      2     10
Kasich               28     25     46      1      3
Paul                 45     43     11      1      2
Bush                 43     51      5      1     -8
Gilmore               3     14     82      -     -11
Christie             36     52     11      1     -16
Pataki                9     28     62      -     -19
Graham               18     47     34      -     -29

5. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            43%    28%    40%    39%    45%    47%    41%    46%
Unfavorable          51     67     51     55     45     49     55     45
Hvn't hrd enough      5      4      6      4      9      4      4      8
REFUSED               1      2      2      1      2      -      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            54%    36%    34%    40%    46%    52%    38%    32%    46%    50%
Unfavorable          40     57     59     55     47     40     48     65     45     49
Hvn't hrd enough      3      6      6      4      4      7     10      3      7      1
REFUSED               2      1      1      1      2      1      3      -      2      -

6. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            84%    92%    87%    93%    84%    68%    81%    89%
Unfavorable          10      -      6      4      5     24     12      6
Hvn't hrd enough      6      7      7      3     10      8      6      6
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            81%    85%    73%    82%    89%    92%    74%    85%    84%    85%
Unfavorable          13      9     18     10      6      5     16     10      8     10
Hvn't hrd enough      6      6      8      8      5      2     10      4      9      5
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      1      -      1      -      -

7. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            36%    20%    30%    32%    38%    41%    34%    40%
Unfavorable          52     72     53     58     42     51     55     45
Hvn't hrd enough     11      7     15      9     18      7      9     14
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      2      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            46%    31%    29%    37%    37%    49%    33%    35%    39%    40%
Unfavorable          43     57     56     54     52     39     47     56     49     49
Hvn't hrd enough      9     11     15      8      7     10     18      9     11      9
REFUSED               2      1      -      1      3      1      2      1      1      2

8. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            65%    90%    72%    82%    68%    32%    70%    57%
Unfavorable          18      1     11      7     13     39     19     15
Hvn't hrd enough     16      7     16     10     18     27     10     27
REFUSED               1      2      -      -      1      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            61%    67%    54%    60%    72%    74%    67%    56%    68%    62%
Unfavorable          22     15     21     20     15     17     17     21     14     25
Hvn't hrd enough     16     17     25     18     12      8     16     20     18     13
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1      -      3      -      1

9. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            61%    70%    57%    68%    61%    48%    62%    58%
Unfavorable          18     15     17     16     14     25     20     16
Hvn't hrd enough     21     14     25     15     25     27     18     26
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            68%    57%    43%    65%    67%    72%    64%    58%    62%    64%
Unfavorable          17     18     22     18     15     14     13     22     15     17
Hvn't hrd enough     14     24     35     17     17     12     21     19     23     19
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      -      2      1      1      -      -

10. Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             3%     8%     3%     4%     2%     3%     4%     2%
Unfavorable          14     18     12     19      9     11     17      9
Hvn't hrd enough     82     75     85     77     88     86     79     89
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      1      -      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable             5%     2%     3%     7%     1%     2%     8%     3%     2%     3%
Unfavorable          12     15      8     15     16     18     10     17     12     16
Hvn't hrd enough     82     83     89     79     81     79     82     80     85     80
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1      1

11. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            18%     9%    20%    17%    17%    21%    18%    20%
Unfavorable          47     64     42     53     44     37     52     38
Hvn't hrd enough     34     26     38     30     37     41     30     42
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      1      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            24%    16%    14%    18%    18%    25%    19%    11%    19%    22%
Unfavorable          43     48     30     56     52     47     37     56     45     47
Hvn't hrd enough     32     36     55     26     29     27     43     33     36     31
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      1      -      1      1      -

12. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            63%    77%    74%    74%    71%    33%    63%    61%
Unfavorable          29     18     15     18     23     52     30     26
Hvn't hrd enough      8      3      9      7      5     13      5     12
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      -      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            59%    65%    54%    60%    65%    70%    64%    55%    61%    63%
Unfavorable          35     25     35     28     28     25     24     35     28     33
Hvn't hrd enough      6      9      9     11      6      4     10     10     10      2
REFUSED               -      1      2      1      -      1      3      -      -      2

13. Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            59%    79%    65%    72%    64%    32%    62%    54%
Unfavorable          16      8     13     10     13     32     18     14
Hvn't hrd enough     24     11     21     17     24     35     19     32
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      -      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            62%    58%    34%    68%    68%    65%    62%    54%    64%    54%
Unfavorable          19     15     23     16     14     16     12     17     16     18
Hvn't hrd enough     18     27     43     17     17     17     25     27     20     28
REFUSED               1      1      -      -      -      2      1      1      -      -

14. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            28%    32%    23%    30%    27%    27%    30%    26%
Unfavorable          25     36     22     31     19     19     27     20
Hvn't hrd enough     46     31     53     38     53     53     42     52
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      2      -      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            37%    24%    15%    28%    29%    44%    20%    23%    28%    36%
Unfavorable          21     26     19     26     29     24     23     25     23     28
Hvn't hrd enough     42     48     65     44     40     32     55     50     49     35
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      2      1      -      -

15. Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             9%    10%     8%     8%     7%    12%    12%     4%
Unfavorable          28     42     25     38     20     22     32     22
Hvn't hrd enough     62     48     66     54     73     65     56     73
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      1      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            11%     8%     4%    14%     7%    12%    11%     9%     8%    11%
Unfavorable          26     30     10     30     36     37     25     36     24     29
Hvn't hrd enough     62     62     86     56     57     50     64     55     68     59
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      -      -      1      -      -

16. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            45%    51%    41%    41%    44%    50%    46%    42%
Unfavorable          43     38     45     49     39     39     43     45
Hvn't hrd enough     11     10     13      9     16      9     10     13
REFUSED               1      1      2      -      2      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            44%    45%    54%    52%    40%    28%    48%    43%    45%    51%
Unfavorable          43     43     34     37     46     61     37     45     41     41
Hvn't hrd enough     10     12     11     11     12     11     15     13     13      5
REFUSED               3      -      1      1      2      1      -      -      1      3

17. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            70%    72%    67%    76%    73%    58%    71%    69%
Unfavorable          15     16     13     15      8     25     16     14
Hvn't hrd enough     14     11     20     10     19     17     13     17
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            75%    67%    60%    70%    76%    76%    65%    64%    74%    74%
Unfavorable          13     17     17     16     12     13     11     20     12     17
Hvn't hrd enough     11     16     23     13     11     10     23     16     13      8
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1

18. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            50%    65%    61%    66%    52%    22%    50%    50%
Unfavorable          32     21     19     20     27     55     32     30
Hvn't hrd enough     17     14     19     14     20     21     17     19
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            47%    52%    40%    53%    51%    57%    49%    54%    50%    50%
Unfavorable          40     27     36     31     30     29     27     31     31     35
Hvn't hrd enough     12     20     24     15     17     14     24     13     19     15
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      2      -      -      2      1      1

19. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            53%    59%    51%    54%    63%    40%    56%    46%
Unfavorable          43     34     43     39     36     57     40     47
Hvn't hrd enough      3      4      4      4      1      1      1      5
REFUSED               2      3      2      3      -      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            40%    59%    33%    57%    59%    63%    45%    51%    54%    52%
Unfavorable          56     37     63     41     36     31     47     45     42     44
Hvn't hrd enough      4      2      1      2      3      3      5      2      3      2
REFUSED               1      2      3      -      1      3      3      1      1      1

20. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - the economy?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  5%     1%     5%     4%     5%     8%     4%     8%
Carson               12     11     16     14     10     11      9     16
Christie              2      1      2      2      1      2      2      1
Cruz                  8     19     11     15      4      1      8      7
Fiorina               8      6      9      8      8      6      7      9
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Jindal                1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
Kasich                4      1      3      1      3      8      5      1
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  6     10      3      4      6     11      7      5
Rubio                 6      4      6      7      8      3      5      6
Santorum              -      -      1      -      1      -      -      1
Trump                41     41     37     39     46     37     43     36
DK/NA                 8      5      8      5      7     13      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Bush                  9%     3%     1%     3%     8%     9%     2%     5%     7%     4%
Carson               10     13     20      9     11      9     15      9     15      6
Christie              2      1      3      1      -      2      -      3      1      2
Cruz                  5     10      7      7     10      8      7      8      8      7
Fiorina              12      5      6     12      6      7      9      8      5     11
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Jindal                1      1      -      2      2      1      4      2      -      1
Kasich                6      2      6      4      2      3      4      1      3      6
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  3      8     17      4      3      1      3      9      7      6
Rubio                 7      5      6      6      4      8      5      6      4      9
Santorum              -      -      -      -      1      -      -      2      -      -
Trump                33     44     25     45     44     47     41     37     43     39
DK/NA                11      6     11      7      8      5      8     10      8      8

21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - foreign policy?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  8%     2%     5%     6%     7%    12%     8%     7%
Carson                9     11     13      9      9     10      9      9
Christie              2      1      1      -      2      3      1      3
Cruz                 11     26     14     21      7      1     11     11
Fiorina               6      6      8      6      7      4      3     11
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                3      1      3      2      2      5      3      2
Huckabee              2      1      4      2      3      1      2      2
Jindal                3      3      4      3      4      -      3      2
Kasich                2      2      1      1      4      3      3      -
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
Paul                  5      5      2      1      4     15      6      4
Rubio                18     13     13     19     19     15     17     19
Santorum              1      1      1      -      2      1      1      1
Trump                17     19     15     18     18     15     20     13
DK/NA                13      9     15     12     13     16     12     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Bush                 11%     6%     8%     5%    10%    12%     4%     5%     8%    12%
Carson                8      9     15      6      7      9      7     10     11      5
Christie              1      2      2      1      2      3      1      1      1      2
Cruz                  9     13      7     10     15     12     12     13     10     10
Fiorina               7      6      9      3      5      8     11      8      5      3
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                7      -      3      3      2      2      1      2      4      3
Huckabee              2      2      1      3      3      1      2      2      2      2
Jindal                3      2      4      2      3      -      7      1      2      2
Kasich                3      2      1      5      1      1      2      -      1      6
Pataki                1      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  1      8     15      6      1      -      6     10      5      5
Rubio                19     17     10     22     20     17     10     17     19     20
Santorum              1      1      1      -      2      -      -      1      1      1
Trump                 9     21     14     19     14     24     24     12     16     18
DK/NA                18     10     10     15     13     11     12     17     13     11

22. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - illegal immigration?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  5%     1%     4%     4%     3%    10%     5%     6%
Carson                9      7     12      8      8     13      8     10
Christie              1      -      1      1      -      1      -      2
Cruz                 14     30     19     23      9      3     15     13
Fiorina               1      1      -      1      -      1      -      1
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      1
Huckabee              1      1      2      1      2      -      2      -
Jindal                2      2      2      1      3      2      1      3
Kasich                1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -
Pataki                -      2      -      -      -      1      1      -
Paul                  5      6      2      1      5     11      5      4
Rubio                15      4     15     15     15     16     14     18
Santorum              -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
Trump                37     41     34     36     44     32     40     33
DK/NA                 8      6      8      8      9      9      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Bush                 10%     3%     5%     4%     6%     8%     6%     1%     5%     8%
Carson                9      9     14      4     11      8     17     12      9      3
Christie              1      -      -      1      2      -      -      1      1      1
Cruz                 14     14      9     14     19     12     16     14     11     17
Fiorina               2      -      -      1      1      1      -      -      -      2
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                1      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Huckabee              -      1      -      2      1      -      1      -      1      1
Jindal                2      2      -      4      2      -      2      4      4      -
Kasich                1      1      1      1      -      -      -      -      -      2
Pataki                -      -      -      1      -      -      2      -      -      -
Paul                  2      6     12      4      2      -      3      8      3      5
Rubio                21     12     17     15     14     17     13     15     15     18
Santorum              -      -      -      1      -      -      2      -      -      -
Trump                26     43     31     38     37     47     35     31     42     34
DK/NA                11      7     11      9      5      6      4     13      7      9

23. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  3%     -      3%     2%     2%     7%     4%     3%
Carson               31     37     35     37     32     22     29     35
Christie              1      -      1      -      1      3      1      2
Cruz                 13     24     18     20     12      1     14     10
Fiorina               8      5      7      7      9      6      6     10
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              5      4      9      7      8      1      6      4
Jindal                3      2      3      3      3      2      3      3
Kasich                2      -      1      1      1      6      3      -
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
Paul                  6      6      2      2      4     15      6      5
Rubio                 9      7      7      9     10      7      8     10
Santorum              2      1      1      2      1      1      1      2
Trump                11     11      9      7     10     15     13      7
DK/NA                 7      2      5      4      7     11      6      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Bush                  5%     3%     1%     3%     4%     6%     2%     6%     2%     4%
Carson               27     33     33     28     33     31     25     32     36     28
Christie              2      1      1      1      1      3      -      1      1      2
Cruz                  9     14     12     10     15     12     16     11     11     12
Fiorina               9      7     13      5      5      8      9      8      5     11
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              9      4      5      5      4      8      4      3      7      5
Jindal                4      2      -      4      5      -      3      1      3      3
Kasich                3      1      5      2      1      1      3      -      2      3
Pataki                1      -      -      1      1      -      -      -      -      1
Paul                  4      7     10      9      2      -      3     10      6      7
Rubio                10      8      8     11      8      7     13      8      9      6
Santorum              1      2      -      3      2      1      2      4      -      2
Trump                 5     13      6     11     12     16     15      7     11      9
DK/NA                10      6      6      6      8      7      4      8      7      9

24. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - taxes?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  7%     3%     6%     5%     5%    11%     6%     8%
Carson               13     15     20     14     17      7     11     17
Christie              1      -      -      -      1      2      1      1
Cruz                 10     23     12     18      7      1     11      9
Fiorina               3      2      5      4      2      3      2      5
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              2      3      2      2      2      2      3      1
Jindal                3      1      3      3      3      3      3      4
Kasich                3      1      3      2      3      7      5      1
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
Paul                  9     12      4      4     11     15     11      5
Rubio                 6      3      4      8      5      4      5      8
Santorum              1      -      -      1      -      1      -      2
Trump                32     32     30     30     36     29     34     28
DK/NA                10      5     11      9      8     13      9     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Bush                 10%     5%     5%     3%    10%    10%     2%     5%     8%     7%
Carson               11     14     18     10     14     11     17     12     16     10
Christie              2      -      1      1      -      2      -      1      -      2
Cruz                 10     10      7     10     15      6      9     15      9      8
Fiorina               5      2      2      4      3      6      5      5      2      4
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              3      2      3      2      2      1      4      -      2      2
Jindal                4      3      -      4      5      2      4      4      4      2
Kasich                5      3      6      3      2      3      4      -      4      6
Pataki                1      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      1
Paul                  4     11     19     12      2      1      3      9     13      7
Rubio                 7      5      5      7      4      9      1      6      5      9
Santorum              1      1      3      -      -      -      -      -      -      4
Trump                27     34     23     36     32     38     34     33     29     31
DK/NA                10      9      9      8     10     10     16      9      9      8

25. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  63%    55%    61%    63%    71%    56%    59%    70%
No                   32     42     34     33     26     40     37     25
DK/NA                 4      3      6      4      3      5      4      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  72%    58%    56%    56%    70%    75%    59%    54%    65%    69%
No                   23     38     40     39     27     19     31     40     32     30
DK/NA                 5      4      4      5      2      6     10      7      3      1

26. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  75%    73%    72%    78%    79%    64%    74%    75%
No                   15     20     15     10     13     23     17     11
DK/NA                11      7     13     11      8     14      9     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  81%    71%    66%    68%    81%    88%    72%    69%    76%    81%
No                    9     17     18     20     10      5     19     23     12     11
DK/NA                 9     12     16     12      9      6      9      8     12      9

27. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  89%    94%    91%    95%    93%    75%    88%    91%
No                    8      5      6      3      6     19     11      5
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      1      5      1      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  92%    87%    79%    88%    93%    98%    76%    83%    93%    94%
No                    5     10     20      7      5      2     22     15      4      4
DK/NA                 2      3      1      4      2      1      2      3      3      2

28. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  48%    53%    48%    49%    55%    37%    52%    43%
No                   45     43     46     42     37     60     43     49
DK/NA                 7      4      5      8      8      3      5      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  43%    51%    38%    50%    49%    55%    46%    33%    50%    54%
No                   52     42     62     46     42     31     49     59     43     43
DK/NA                 5      7      -      4      8     14      5      8      7      3

29. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina is honest and trustworthy or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  66%    71%    65%    72%    70%    52%    66%    65%
No                   18     17     14     12     16     32     20     15
DK/NA                16     12     21     17     14     17     14     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  71%    63%    52%    69%    70%    77%    64%    56%    68%    75%
No                   14     20     24     20     18      8     22     29     16     12
DK/NA                15     16     24     11     12     15     15     15     16     13

30. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  73%    91%    77%    87%    76%    46%    75%    70%
No                   17      5     12      7     15     35     20     12
DK/NA                10      4     11      6     10     19      5     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  72%    74%    59%    70%    78%    88%    73%    66%    75%    76%
No                   17     16     26     20     11      9     20     25     15     14
DK/NA                10     10     15     10     11      4      7      9     10     10

31. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  67%    53%    66%    61%    71%    71%    64%    71%
No                   29     40     29     33     26     25     32     24
DK/NA                 4      7      5      6      3      3      4      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  73%    64%    70%    63%    67%    70%    76%    55%    70%    66%
No                   23     32     24     34     29     26     22     35     27     32
DK/NA                 4      4      7      3      4      4      3      9      3      2

32. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  73%    74%    66%    79%    72%    65%    73%    72%
No                   16     15     18     13     17     19     18     12
DK/NA                12     11     16      8     12     16      8     17
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  79%    69%    65%    68%    77%    83%    69%    71%    76%    74%
No                   12     18     17     23     13      7     20     19     11     20
DK/NA                 9     13     18      9     10      9     11     10     13      6

33. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  76%    84%    82%    83%    79%    61%    72%    83%
No                   19     10     12     13     12     35     22     13
DK/NA                 5      6      6      3      9      4      6      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  70%    79%    69%    81%    74%    79%    75%    74%    80%    71%
No                   22     17     26     18     18     15     17     23     15     23
DK/NA                 8      4      5      2      7      6      8      3      5      6

34. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  80%    88%    82%    83%    86%    70%    82%    77%
No                   18     11     16     14     13     29     17     19
DK/NA                 2      1      2      3      1      1      1      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  75%    83%    77%    84%    82%    74%    80%    75%    83%    81%
No                   22     15     22     15     16     21     19     22     15     19
DK/NA                 2      2      1      1      2      5      1      3      2      -

35. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina has strong leadership qualities or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  69%    75%    69%    74%    73%    57%    68%    71%
No                   18     13     15     12     16     29     21     11
DK/NA                13     12     16     14     11     14     10     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  75%    66%    60%    71%    73%    75%    65%    64%    70%    78%
No                   16     18     22     19     15     15     19     22     18     14
DK/NA                 9     16     18     10     11     11     16     14     12      8

36. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    88%    73%    82%    73%    47%    71%    68%
No                   19      4     13      8     19     38     21     16
DK/NA                11      8     13     10      7     15      9     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  66%    71%    62%    68%    73%    74%    72%    68%    68%    70%
No                   22     17     25     21     15     15     17     21     21     21
DK/NA                12     11     13     10     12     11     11     11     11      9

37. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  53%    39%    53%    56%    59%    41%    50%    58%
No                   40     54     38     36     36     51     46     32
DK/NA                 7      7      8      8      4      8      5     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  62%    48%    46%    49%    57%    65%    51%    44%    60%    55%
No                   29     46     46     45     38     29     41     49     36     41
DK/NA                 9      6      8      5      5      6      7      7      4      4

38. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  74%    73%    71%    79%    76%    62%    71%    79%
No                   17     18     17     13     15     24     21     10
DK/NA                 9      9     12      8      9     13      8     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  76%    73%    65%    71%    80%    85%    71%    74%    74%    79%
No                   13     19     22     19     14      9     26     20     15     14
DK/NA                11      9     13     10      7      6      2      6     11      7

39. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  87%    94%    90%    96%    88%    72%    86%    89%
No                    9      5      7      1     11     20     12      5
DK/NA                 4      1      3      3      2      8      3      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  87%    87%    78%    88%    90%    96%    76%    85%    92%    89%
No                    7     10     18      8      7      4     23     13      4      7
DK/NA                 6      3      4      4      3      -      2      2      4      5

40. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  49%    57%    48%    53%    55%    35%    51%    44%
No                   46     38     47     41     42     60     44     49
DK/NA                 5      5      5      7      4      6      5      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  39%    53%    39%    52%    47%    60%    43%    44%    48%    52%
No                   53     42     57     46     45     35     51     51     47     44
DK/NA                 8      4      4      2      8      5      6      5      4      4

41. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  65%    71%    64%    70%    68%    51%    65%    63%
No                   20     19     17     16     20     28     23     16
DK/NA                15     11     19     14     12     21     12     21
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  69%    62%    56%    65%    69%    72%    61%    60%    71%    67%
No                   17     22     23     23     20     12     28     24     17     18
DK/NA                13     16     21     12     11     16     11     16     12     15

42. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  71%    86%    74%    86%    75%    42%    71%    70%
No                   18      8     12      6     15     42     22     13
DK/NA                11      6     14      9     10     15      7     17
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  66%    73%    61%    71%    73%    81%    69%    69%    73%    71%
No                   21     17     26     22     16      9     27     19     16     21
DK/NA                13     10     14      7     11     10      5     12     12      8

43. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  76%    70%    76%    75%    82%    72%    74%    79%
No                   21     26     22     21     18     22     23     17
DK/NA                 3      3      2      4      -      6      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  83%    72%    77%    77%    79%    73%    73%    69%    83%    80%
No                   14     24     20     22     18     21     23     27     17     18
DK/NA                 3      4      3      2      3      6      4      4      1      2

44. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  69%    72%    67%    75%    70%    58%    71%    66%
No                   22     18     22     17     22     32     23     21
DK/NA                 9     10     11      8      9     10      7     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  74%    67%    60%    72%    75%    70%    63%    72%    71%    71%
No                   20     23     27     21     20     18     27     24     19     23
DK/NA                 6     10     13      7      5     12     10      4      9      6

45. Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  57%    74%    68%    66%    60%    39%    56%    60%
No                   35     20     25     29     29     50     37     30
DK/NA                 8      6      7      5     10     11      7     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  48%    62%    48%    59%    55%    66%    63%    57%    58%    49%
No                   44     30     42     36     36     26     27     34     35     43
DK/NA                 8      8     10      5      9      8     10      8      7      8

46. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  56%    70%    55%    58%    65%    42%    57%    54%
No                   41     26     42     38     33     55     40     42
DK/NA                 3      4      3      4      3      3      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  46%    61%    44%    62%    57%    60%    53%    55%    61%    52%
No                   50     36     56     35     38     34     44     41     37     46
DK/NA                 4      3      -      4      5      7      3      4      2      2

47. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  51%    63%    55%    57%    59%    33%    51%    52%
No                   37     29     31     35     29     50     39     33
DK/NA                12      8     14      8     13     18     10     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  55%    50%    43%    57%    49%    57%    46%    43%    52%    62%
No                   35     38     41     35     41     31     40     42     37     31
DK/NA                10     13     17      8     10     12     13     15     11      7

48. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    87%    74%    78%    76%    50%    72%    66%
No                   20      6     14     13     14     38     22     16
DK/NA                10      7     12      9     10     13      6     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  63%    74%    71%    69%    69%    70%    72%    73%    68%    69%
No                   24     18     18     21     23     21     27     14     22     21
DK/NA                14      8     12     10      8      9      1     13     10     10

49. Would you say that - Jeb Bush shares your values or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  50%    34%    50%    47%    58%    47%    46%    57%
No                   41     56     40     44     37     42     47     32
DK/NA                 9     10     10      9      5     10      7     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  59%    45%    51%    46%    48%    60%    56%    39%    49%    57%
No                   31     47     42     42     45     34     37     46     42     39
DK/NA                10      8      7     12      7      6      6     14      9      4

50. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  68%    74%    66%    74%    68%    55%    66%    71%
No                   19     16     17     15     14     29     22     13
DK/NA                14     10     16     10     18     16     12     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  72%    65%    56%    66%    74%    80%    65%    60%    69%    75%
No                   15     20     23     20     15     13     20     25     19     15
DK/NA                12     14     22     13     11      7     15     14     12     10

51. Would you say that - Ben Carson shares your values or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  84%    92%    87%    94%    87%    62%    80%    89%
No                   12      4      8      4      8     30     16      5
DK/NA                 4      4      5      1      5      8      4      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  83%    84%    69%    87%    86%    93%    77%    76%    86%    88%
No                   11     12     23     10      9      5     16     21      8     10
DK/NA                 5      4      8      2      5      2      8      3      6      2

52. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  42%    46%    37%    42%    52%    29%    45%    35%
No                   52     44     56     50     42     68     50     56
DK/NA                 6      9      7      8      6      3      5      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  34%    46%    30%    47%    39%    52%    34%    37%    39%    50%
No                   59     49     70     47     53     35     57     56     56     47
DK/NA                 8      6      -      6      8     13      9      8      5      4

53. Would you say that - Carly Fiorina shares your values or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  58%    62%    57%    62%    64%    45%    56%    62%
No                   23     17     19     20     14     36     26     17
DK/NA                19     21     24     18     22     19     18     22
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  63%    56%    46%    59%    62%    69%    64%    53%    58%    61%
No                   18     25     28     22     23     15     23     31     19     21
DK/NA                19     19     26     19     15     16     13     16     23     18

54. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  67%    87%    75%    86%    70%    34%    69%    65%
No                   23      7     14      8     20     50     24     21
DK/NA                10      5     11      7      9     16      7     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  63%    70%    57%    63%    73%    77%    64%    64%    67%    70%
No                   25     22     33     26     17     15     28     23     22     24
DK/NA                12      9     10     11      9      9      8     12     10      6

55. Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Shares values        28%    38%    35%    35%    23%    22%    29%    27%
Cares needs/problems  9      6      9      8      6     14      7     12
Strong leadership    19     16     18     16     25     15     19     18
Honest/trustworthy   23     29     24     23     21     25     23     24
Right experience      5      2      4      2      4     10      5      4
Best chance/winning  13      8      8     12     16     10     12     14
DK/NA                 3      2      3      3      5      2      4      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Shares values        25%    30%    42%    29%    22%    17%    26%    30%    26%    34%
Cares needs/problems  6     10     13      8      9      6     14      9      7      8
Strong leadership    23     16      9     20     21     27      9     19     21     20
Honest/trustworthy   21     24     22     23     25     22     28     26     23     17
Right experience      6      4      4      5      6      4      6      4      6      4
Best chance/winning  16     11      9     12     14     18     13      8     14     17
DK/NA                 3      4      1      2      4      6      4      4      4      -

56. Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president: someone who has served as a Governor of a state, someone who has served in the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives, or someone who has never held an elected office?

                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Governor             38%    33%    32%    35%    36%    45%    38%    37%
U.S. Senate/House    15      9     16     13     15     19     12     20
Never held office    34     41     36     35     38     28     38     28
DK/NA                13     17     16     16     12      9     12     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Governor             52%    30%    28%    40%    44%    39%    30%    33%    40%    49%
U.S. Senate/House    12     16     32     12      9      6     17     19     16     10
Never held office    23     40     28     39     33     39     40     29     35     30
DK/NA                14     13     12      9     14     16     12     19     10     11

Sample and Methodology detail

Poll Questions