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85% Of Republicans Want Candidates To Agree With Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Americans Support Early Cut To Federal Jobless Benefit

As candidates begin to enter races for the 2022 mid-term elections, more than 8 in 10 Republicans (85 percent) say they would prefer to see candidates running for elected office that mostly agree with Donald Trump, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of adults released today. Overall, a majority of Americans (53 - 39 percent) say they would prefer to see candidates running for elected office that mostly disagree with Trump.

Asked whether they would like to see Trump run for president in 2024, Republicans say 66 - 30 percent they would. Overall, two-thirds of Americans (66 - 30 percent) say they do not want to see him run.

Six months after the 2020 presidential election, two-thirds of Republicans (66 - 25 percent) say they think that Joe Biden's victory was not legitimate. Overall, Americans say 64 - 29 percent that Biden's victory was legitimate. Among registered voters, it's also 64 - 29 percent, which is fairly similar to polls taken in December 2020 and January 2021.

"The numbers fly in the face of any predictions that Donald Trump's political future is in decline. By a substantial majority, Republicans: (1) believe the election was stolen from him, (2) want Trump to run again, and (3), if they can't vote for Trump, prefer someone who agrees with him," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

PRESIDENT BIDEN

Americans approve (49 - 41 percent) of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president, with 10 percent not offering an opinion. Democrats approve 87 - 6 percent, independents are mixed 43 - 41 percent, and Republicans disapprove 88 - 9 percent.

Four months into Biden's presidency, 21 percent say Biden is doing a better job than they expected, 24 percent say he's doing a worse job than they expected, and 52 percent say he's doing about what they expected. Americans were asked about Biden's handling of ...

  • the response to the coronavirus: 65 percent approve, 30 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the economy: 48 percent approve, 43 percent disapprove, with 9 percent not offering an opinion;
  • taxes: 45 percent approve, 43 percent disapprove, with 12 percent not offering an opinion;
  • foreign policy: 39 percent approve, 44 percent disapprove, with 17 percent not offering an opinion;
  • gun policy: 34 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove, with 17 percent not offering an opinion;
  • immigration issues: 35 percent approve, 52 percent disapprove, with 13 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the situation between the Israelis and the Palestinians: 29 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove, with 20 percent not offering an opinion.

FAVORABILITY RATINGS

Americans were also asked about their opinions of elected officials, and say ...

  • Joe Biden: 49 percent favorable, 42 percent unfavorable, and 6 percent haven't heard enough;
  • Donald Trump: 37 percent favorable, 57 percent unfavorable, and 3 percent haven't heard enough;
  • Nancy Pelosi: 36 percent favorable, 49 percent unfavorable, and 13 percent haven't heard enough;
  • Kevin McCarthy: 12 percent favorable, 33 percent unfavorable, and 54 percent haven't heard enough;
  • Liz Cheney: 29 percent favorable, 31 percent unfavorable, and 38 percent haven't heard enough;
  • Chuck Schumer: 27 percent favorable, 37 percent unfavorable, and 35 percent haven't heard enough;
  • Mitch McConnell: 15 percent favorable, 58 percent unfavorable, and 26 percent haven't heard enough.

POLITICAL PARTIES

Republicans in Congress receive a negative job approval, with 25 percent approving, 64 percent disapproving, and 11 percent not offering an opinion. Democrats in Congress receive a slightly negative job approval, with 43 percent approving, 47 percent disapproving, and 10 percent not offering an opinion.

Nearly 6 in 10 Americans (57 - 30 percent) say the Republican Party is moving in the wrong direction. Americans are mixed on the Democratic Party, with 46 percent saying it's moving in the wrong direction and 44 percent saying it's moving in the right direction.

Asked about control of the U.S. House of Representatives, 49 percent of Americans say they would want to see the Democratic Party win control, 40 percent say they would want to see the Republican Party win control, and 11 percent did not offer an opinion.

ISSUES

More than half of Americans (54 - 38 percent) say that states are doing the right thing in cutting off the additional $300 in federal unemployment benefits months early, because the states believe it discourages work. Republicans say 89 - 9 percent and independents say 54 - 37 percent that the states cutting off those benefits are doing the right thing. Democrats say 60 - 32 percent that the states are doing the wrong thing.

"As the pandemic wanes, a signal in this survey that Americans are willing to turn off the spigots to fellow Americans sustained by government checks," added Malloy.

About 6 in 10 Americans (61 - 32 percent) support raising taxes on corporations in order to pay for improvements to the nation's infrastructure.

Roughly 6 in 10 Americans (62 - 29 percent) approve of President Biden's decision to withdraw all U.S. troops from Afghanistan by September 11, 2021.

MIDEAST CONFLICT

Americans were asked whether their sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians based on what they know about the situation in the Middle East. Among adults, 39 percent say the Israelis, 29 percent say the Palestinians, and 32 percent did not offer an opinion.

Among registered voters, 41 percent say Israelis, 30 percent say Palestinians, and 29 percent did not offer an opinion. This is the lowest number among voters showing sympathies for Israelis and the highest number among voters showing sympathies for Palestinians since Quinnipiac began polling on this question in 2001.

On the relationship between the United States and Israel, 28 percent of Americans say the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, 24 percent say the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel, 34 percent say the U.S. support of Israel is about right, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.

Among registered voters, 29 percent say the U.S. is too supportive, 25 percent say not supportive enough, and 35 percent say about right. That's compared to March of 2019 when 24 percent of voters said the U.S. was too supportive of Israel, 14 percent said not supportive enough, and 47 percent said about right.

When asked who they thought was more responsible for the outbreak of violence in the Middle East, regardless of their feelings toward the Israelis and the Palestinians, 46 percent of Americans said Hamas, 19 percent said Israel, 12 percent volunteered both equally, and 24 percent did not offer an opinion.

"A mixed message on outbreak vs. outcome after the eruption of violence in the cauldron of the Middle East. Yes, Americans believe that the Hamas terror organization lit the fuse and drew the first blood, but Americans have more sympathy for the Palestinians overall then they ever have before," added Malloy.

1,316 U.S. adults nationwide were surveyed from May 18th - 24th with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

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