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Abbott Leads O'Rourke By Double Digits In Texas Governor's Race, Quinnipiac University Texas Poll Finds; Texas-Mexico Border Dominates Issues For Voters

In a head-to-head matchup in the race for governor of Texas, Republican Governor Greg Abbott leads Democratic challenger Beto O'Rourke, 52 - 37 percent, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of Texas registered voters released today. Republicans back Abbott 90 - 5 percent, independents back Abbott 47 - 37 percent, and Democrats back O'Rourke 87 - 6 percent.

A majority of voters, 54 percent, say O'Rourke is too liberal, 3 percent say he is too conservative, and 35 percent say he is about right.

Forty-one percent of voters say Abbott is too conservative while 6 percent say he is too liberal, and 49 percent say he is about right.

"How far behind is Beto O'Rourke? 15 points is more than your typical two touchdown deficit in football and an even bigger hole in the game of politics. That said, Texas is a big state with big issues and there's a lot of time to play catchup between now and November 8, 2022," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

FAVORABILITY AND PERSONAL TRAITS

A slight majority of voters, 52 percent, have a favorable opinion of Abbott while 42 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.

Only 36 percent have a favorable opinion of O'Rourke while 47 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him and 16 percent have not heard enough about him.

Other Texas gubernatorial candidates are largely unknown as most voters say they haven't heard enough about them to form an opinion.

When it comes to Abbott's personal traits, voters give him positive marks, as they say:

  • 55 - 39 percent that he is honest;
  • 57 - 40 percent that he cares about average Texans;
  • 60 - 36 percent that he has good leadership skills.

O'Rourke gets much lower marks for his personal traits, as voters say:

  • 45 - 39 percent that he is not honest;
  • 45 percent that he cares about average Texans and 44 percent that he does not;
  • 49 - 37 percent that he does not have good leadership skills.

ABBOTT VS. O'ROURKE: THE ISSUES

Voters were asked who would do a better job handling six issues...

  • the economy: 60 percent say Abbott, while 32 percent say O'Rourke;
  • gun policy: 60 percent say Abbott, while 33 percent say O'Rourke;
  • the situation at the Mexican border: 58 percent say Abbott, while 35 percent say O'Rourke;
  • election laws: 55 percent say Abbott, while 40 percent say O'Rourke;
  • the response to the coronavirus: 54 percent say Abbott, while 39 percent say O'Rourke;
  • abortion: 49 percent say Abbott, while 41 percent say O'Rourke.

MOST URGENT ISSUE

Asked to choose the most urgent issue facing Texas today, the Texas-Mexico border tops the list (33 percent), followed by the economy (11 percent), abortion (9 percent), COVID-19 (8 percent), and election laws (8 percent).

"In the swirl of worries Texas faces from abortion to COVID-19 to the economy, far and away, nothing is of more concern than that 1,254 mile line of demarcation between Mexico and the Lone Star State and all the issues that come with it," added Malloy.

There are wide disparities on the most urgent issue depending on political party.

Among Republicans, 58 percent say the Texas-Mexico border is the most urgent issue, followed by the economy (14 percent), schools (4 percent), and crime (4 percent).

Among Democrats, the most urgent issues are COVID-19 (16 percent), election laws (16 percent), abortion (15 percent), and health care (12 percent).

Among independents, 32 percent rank the Texas-Mexico border as Texas' most urgent issue, followed by abortion (10 percent), the economy (9 percent), and election laws (9 percent).

A slight majority, 51 percent, support Texas building a wall along the state's border with Mexico, while 45 percent oppose it. This is largely unchanged from September.

In today's poll, Republicans support building a wall 85 - 14 percent, Democrats oppose building a wall 86 - 10 percent, and independents are evenly split 48 - 48 percent.

JOB APPROVALS

Voters approve 53 - 41 percent of the way Greg Abbott is handling his job as governor, an improvement from his lowest ever approval rating in September when he received a divided 44 - 47 percent underwater job approval rating.

Job approval ratings for other Texas elected officials...

  • Texas State Legislature: 42 percent approve, while 46 percent disapprove;
  • State Attorney General Ken Paxton: 39 percent approve, while 40 percent disapprove;
  • Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick: 43 percent approve, while 34 percent disapprove;
  • Sen. Ted Cruz: 51 percent approve, while 45 percent disapprove;
  • Sen. John Cornyn: 38 percent approve, while 37 percent disapprove.

Voters in Texas give President Joe Biden a negative 32 - 64 percent job approval rating. In September, it was a negative 32 - 61 percent rating.

BANS ON COVID-19 MANDATES

Asked whether there should be a ban on COVID-19 vaccine mandates, half of voters (50 percent) say there should not be a ban on COVID-19 vaccine mandates, while 45 percent say there should be a ban on them.

On whether there should be a ban on COVID-19 mask mandates, 60 percent of voters say there should not be a ban on mask mandates, while 37 percent say there should be a ban on them.

1,224 Texas registered voters were surveyed from December 2nd - December 6th with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

Poll Questions