PA 2024 Elections: Biden On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call Race, Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania Poll Finds; Casey Opens Up Double-Digit Lead In Senate Race
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In the key swing state of Pennsylvania, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump remain in a too-close-to-call hypothetical 2024 general election matchup with 49 percent of registered voters supporting Biden and 46 percent supporting Trump, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of registered voters in Pennsylvania released today. This marks the first time in Pennsylvania that Biden has a numerical advantage over Trump in the 2024 presidential race.
In October, a Quinnipiac University poll in Pennsylvania showed Trump with 47 percent support and Biden with 45 percent support. In June, Trump received 47 percent support and Biden received 46 percent support.
In today's poll, Democrats back Biden 96 - 4 percent and Republicans back Trump 89 - 7 percent. Independents are divided, with 45 percent supporting Trump and 44 percent supporting Biden.
In a five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup that includes independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 41 percent support, Trump receives 39 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 11 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 4 percent support, and independent candidate Cornel West receives 2 percent support.
"Pennsylvania, so crucial and so close, again takes center stage as the swing state with the electoral heft to decide the election," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
GOP PRIMARY
In the 2024 Republican presidential primary, former President Donald Trump receives 61 percent support among registered Republican voters in Pennsylvania, former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley receives 14 percent support, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis receives 10 percent support, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie receives 6 percent support, and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy receives 4 percent support.
Among registered Republican voters who support a candidate in the 2024 Republican presidential primary, 13 percent say it is very likely that they will change their candidate choice if the candidate they are currently supporting is not a winner in one of the early primary states, 21 percent say it is somewhat likely, 16 percent say it is not so likely, and 45 percent say it is not likely at all.
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
In the 2024 Democratic presidential primary, President Biden receives 77 percent support among registered Democratic voters in Pennsylvania, author Marianne Williamson receives 12 percent support, and U.S. Representative from Minnesota Dean Phillips receives 4 percent support.
PA SENATE RACE
In the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania, incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey leads Republican challenger David McCormick 53 - 43 percent. In October, Casey led McCormick 50 - 44 percent.
In today's poll, Democrats (94 - 4 percent) and independents (55 - 39 percent) back Casey, while Republicans (87 - 9 percent) back McCormick.
"A big infusion of Indie support makes one of the most closely watched Senate races in 2024 a not so tight race," added Malloy.
JOB APPROVALS
Job approval ratings for Pennsylvania elected officials and President Biden:
- Governor Josh Shapiro: 59 percent approve, 23 percent disapprove, with 18 percent not offering an opinion;
- Senator Bob Casey: 51 percent approve, 31 percent disapprove, with 19 percent not offering an opinion;
- Senator John Fetterman: 45 percent approve, 42 percent disapprove, with 13 percent not offering an opinion;
- President Joe Biden: 40 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove, with 1 percent not offering an opinion.
"Governor Shapiro gets all the love with approval numbers other politicians would take in a Pennsylvania minute," added Malloy.
SENATOR FETTERMAN
Roughly one-quarter of voters (26 percent) say they think more favorably of Senator John Fetterman for expressing strong support for Israel, while 14 percent say this makes them think less favorably of him, and 57 percent say it has no impact on their view of him.
Roughly one-third of voters (35 percent) say they think more favorably of Fetterman for expressing support for tougher immigration policies, while 9 percent say this makes them think less favorably of him, and 52 percent say it has no impact on their view of him.
It has been almost a year since Fetterman checked himself into a hospital to be treated for clinical depression. He is publicly talking about his mental health struggles and nearly 4 in 10 voters (39 percent) say they understand more about mental health struggles in general now because he is sharing his experiences, while 57 percent say they do not understand more about them.
An overwhelming majority (86 percent) think stigmas about mental health still exist, while 10 percent think they do not.
"Backing Israel and getting tougher on immigration score points for Senator Fetterman and sharing his struggle with depression clearly struck a meaningful chord with some voters," added Malloy.
MOST URGENT ISSUE
Given a list of 11 issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, 24 percent of voters say preserving democracy in the United States, 23 percent say border security, and 15 percent say the economy. No other issue reached double digits.
There are wide gaps by political party.
Among Republicans, the top issue is border security (46 percent) followed by the economy (25 percent).
Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (44 percent), with no other issue reaching double digits.
Among independents, the top issues are border security (22 percent), preserving democracy in the United States (22 percent), the economy (15 percent), and the cost of living (13 percent).
ECONOMY
One-third of voters (33 percent) describe the state of the nation's economy these days as either excellent (3 percent) or good (30 percent), while two-thirds (66 percent) describe it as either not so good (30 percent) or poor (36 percent).
Forty-four percent think the nation's economy is getting worse, 29 percent think it's staying about the same, and 26 percent think it's getting better.
Sixty-four percent of voters describe their financial situation these days as either excellent (10 percent) or good (54 percent), while 33 percent describe it as either not so good (24 percent) or poor (9 percent).
A majority of voters (61 percent) think their income is not keeping up with the cost of living, while 36 percent think their income is keeping up with the cost of living.
U.S. - MEXICO BORDER
An overwhelming majority of voters (84 percent) consider illegal immigration at the U.S. border with Mexico as either a very serious problem (59 percent) or a somewhat serious problem (25 percent), while 14 percent consider it as either a not so serious problem (11 percent) or not a problem at all (3 percent).
Nearly 8 in 10 voters (79 percent) think Democratic congressional leaders should compromise on their positions on border security to come to an agreement with Republican congressional leaders, while 15 percent think they should not.
More than 6 in 10 voters (63 percent) think Republican congressional leaders should compromise on their positions on border security to come to an agreement with Democratic congressional leaders, while 32 percent think they should not.
1,680 Pennsylvania self-identified registered voters were surveyed from January 4th - January 8th with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.
The survey included 651 self-identified registered Republican voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points and 746 self-identified registered Democratic voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Chris Christie, and Vivek Ramaswamy, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY CONSERV..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Trump 61% 79% 64% 34% 63% 58% DeSantis 10 8 11 12 11 9 Haley 14 4 12 29 9 18 Hutchinson - - - 2 1 - Christie 6 2 4 15 5 8 Ramaswamy 4 5 5 2 7 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 1 3 2 2 3 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 -
Question 2. (If Registered Republican) How closely will you be watching the results of the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary for the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination; very closely, somewhat closely, or not too closely?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY CONSERV..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Very closely 38% 43% 29% 39% 32% 43% Somewhat closely 39 37 45 37 42 36 Not too closely 23 20 25 24 25 20 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 -
Question 3. (If candidate chosen q1) If the candidate you are currently supporting is not a winner in one of the early primary states, how likely is it that you will change your mind about your choice; very likely, somewhat likely, not so likely, or not likely at all?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.......... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Not Tot Trump Trump Very likely 13% 10% 20% Somewhat likely 21 18 26 Not so likely 16 13 22 Not likely at all 45 54 30 DK/NA 4 5 3 -
Question 4. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Marianne Williamson, and Dean Phillips, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................. POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 77% 75% 78% 80% 73% 79% Williamson 12 18 15 5 10 13 Phillips 4 3 2 5 5 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 3 2 UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 2 3 6 6 3 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - -
Question 5. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 49% 7% 96% 44% 37% 59% 60% 36% Trump 46 89 4 45 56 37 35 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 2 1 2 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 1 - 4 2 1 1 2 REFUSED 1 - - 2 2 - 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Biden 49% 43% 46% 60% 34% 55% 45% 80% Trump 44 52 47 37 59 41 50 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 - 1 1 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 - 2 1 2 1 1 4 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - -
Question 6. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 41% 5% 85% 31% 32% 49% 52% 28% Trump 39 84 3 30 47 32 30 51 Kennedy 11 7 8 20 12 10 9 13 West 2 - 2 3 2 1 3 1 Stein 4 1 1 11 4 5 3 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 - 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 2 REFUSED 1 - - - 1 - - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Biden 31% 36% 40% 53% 28% 44% 37% 68% Trump 37 39 41 34 50 37 43 10 Kennedy 13 14 12 8 13 10 11 11 West 4 3 1 1 2 1 2 4 Stein 13 5 2 2 4 5 4 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 1 1 1 - 1 2 UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 - REFUSED 1 - - - 1 - - - -
Question 7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Bob Casey the Democrat and David McCormick the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Casey 53% 9% 94% 55% 45% 59% 61% 43% McCormick 43 87 4 39 49 38 36 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 3 - 5 2 2 2 2 REFUSED 1 - - - 1 - - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Casey 60% 50% 48% 60% 41% 58% 50% 88% McCormick 34 45 48 38 55 40 47 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 - - - - 3 UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 4 3 1 2 2 2 3 REFUSED 2 - - - 1 - 1 - -
Question 8. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 41% 6% 85% 32% 33% 49% 50% 30% Unfavorable 55 94 11 62 64 47 47 67 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 2 5 2 3 2 2 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 29% 35% 44% 54% 28% 46% 38% 69% Unfavorable 62 62 55 44 70 50 60 27 Hvn't hrd enough 8 2 - 1 1 2 2 3 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - -
Question 9. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 38% 80% 4% 32% 47% 31% 26% 53% Unfavorable 58 17 94 62 47 67 71 45 Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 2 4 4 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 37% 41% 43% 33% 52% 35% 43% 11% Unfavorable 58 55 54 64 44 64 55 88 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 - 1 - -
Question 10. Is your opinion of Josh Shapiro favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 51% 27% 77% 51% 47% 54% 62% 44% Unfavorable 24 43 8 21 27 22 21 28 Hvn't hrd enough 23 29 14 25 24 22 16 26 REFUSED 2 2 - 3 2 1 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 38% 45% 52% 63% 48% 54% 51% 61% Unfavorable 23 29 23 19 28 23 25 10 Hvn't hrd enough 38 26 22 17 22 22 22 28 REFUSED 1 - 3 1 1 2 2 - -
Question 11. Is your opinion of Bob Casey favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 45% 18% 79% 40% 36% 53% 57% 39% Unfavorable 28 54 3 29 33 24 26 32 Hvn't hrd enough 25 27 17 30 29 22 16 28 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 29% 43% 48% 58% 37% 53% 46% 53% Unfavorable 14 27 33 29 36 24 30 9 Hvn't hrd enough 56 30 18 12 26 21 23 37 REFUSED - 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 -
Question 12. Is your opinion of John Fetterman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 42% 12% 76% 36% 34% 48% 54% 34% Unfavorable 42 76 7 47 50 35 37 52 Hvn't hrd enough 15 11 16 16 14 15 6 12 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 28% 36% 44% 56% 35% 48% 42% 57% Unfavorable 45 45 43 35 56 38 47 18 Hvn't hrd enough 27 19 11 8 8 12 10 26 REFUSED - 1 2 1 1 2 1 - -
Question 13. Is your opinion of David McCormick favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 23% 47% 3% 21% 28% 18% 22% 27% Unfavorable 21 6 38 20 19 22 32 16 Hvn't hrd enough 55 45 59 58 52 58 45 55 REFUSED 2 2 - 1 2 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 16% 18% 25% 25% 31% 21% 25% 2% Unfavorable 13 22 25 25 19 25 22 20 Hvn't hrd enough 70 59 49 50 49 53 51 77 REFUSED 2 - 2 1 1 1 1 1 -
Question 14. Is your opinion of Cornel West favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 10% 4% 15% 12% 12% 9% 12% 6% Unfavorable 17 15 20 18 20 15 21 15 Hvn't hrd enough 72 80 64 69 67 76 66 79 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 10% 18% 11% 7% 9% 7% 8% 25% Unfavorable 12 13 19 22 20 14 17 17 Hvn't hrd enough 78 69 69 70 71 77 74 55 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - 1 1 3 -
Question 15. Is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 29% 45% 12% 33% 31% 27% 27% 34% Unfavorable 38 21 60 32 37 39 52 33 Hvn't hrd enough 32 33 28 33 30 33 20 32 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 27% 31% 34% 23% 34% 29% 31% 13% Unfavorable 26 33 37 51 39 42 40 31 Hvn't hrd enough 46 36 28 25 26 29 27 55 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 -
Question 16. Is your opinion of Jill Stein favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 8% 3% 8% 14% 9% 7% 11% 5% Unfavorable 21 23 24 18 24 18 29 18 Hvn't hrd enough 70 73 67 67 65 74 58 75 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 16% 14% 6% 2% 8% 7% 7% 14% Unfavorable 13 20 25 22 26 20 23 11 Hvn't hrd enough 71 66 66 75 64 72 68 75 REFUSED 1 - 3 1 2 1 1 - -
Question 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Josh Shapiro is handling his job as governor?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 59% 36% 85% 58% 54% 63% 68% 55% Disapprove 23 45 4 22 27 20 21 27 DK/NA 18 18 11 20 19 18 11 19 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 51% 50% 62% 70% 55% 64% 60% 69% Disapprove 17 31 24 17 30 20 25 11 DK/NA 32 18 13 13 15 16 16 19 -
Question 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey is handling his job as United States Senator?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 51% 24% 82% 48% 43% 58% 60% 46% Disapprove 31 57 6 30 36 26 25 36 DK/NA 19 19 11 22 21 16 14 18 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 47% 47% 50% 61% 43% 58% 51% 68% Disapprove 20 32 34 30 39 26 32 8 DK/NA 33 21 16 10 18 16 17 24 -
Question 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Fetterman is handling his job as United States Senator?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 45% 16% 80% 42% 41% 50% 57% 37% Disapprove 42 75 10 43 48 36 37 52 DK/NA 13 9 10 15 11 14 6 11 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 39% 43% 46% 57% 39% 49% 44% 65% Disapprove 42 45 44 35 54 40 46 19 DK/NA 19 12 9 8 7 11 9 16 -
Question 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 40% 7% 83% 31% 32% 48% 51% 31% Disapprove 58 92 15 68 66 51 48 68 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 25% 34% 44% 55% 29% 46% 38% 64% Disapprove 75 64 55 44 69 53 61 34 DK/NA 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 -
Question 21. What do you think is the most urgent issue facing the country today: the economy, gun violence, racial inequality, abortion, health care, preserving democracy in the United States, climate change, border security, crime, international conflicts, or the cost of living?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Economy 15% 25% 8% 15% 20% 11% 14% 18% Gun violence 5 2 9 4 4 5 3 4 Racial inequality 1 - 2 - - 1 1 - Abortion 5 4 7 4 3 6 7 5 Health care 4 2 5 6 3 5 3 5 Preserving democracy 24 5 44 22 21 26 32 19 Climate change 3 - 4 3 1 4 5 2 Border security 23 46 4 22 22 24 18 27 Crime 2 3 1 1 2 2 1 3 Intl conflicts 7 4 6 7 7 6 6 6 Cost of living 9 8 7 13 12 7 9 9 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 2 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Economy 16% 23% 18% 10% 19% 13% 16% 13% Gun violence 6 5 4 5 2 5 4 14 Racial inequality - 1 1 1 - 1 1 3 Abortion 6 4 5 5 4 8 6 1 Health care 8 4 3 2 3 5 4 5 Preserving democracy 14 17 24 33 22 25 24 25 Climate change 3 2 3 2 2 4 3 1 Border security 11 15 25 26 24 24 24 6 Crime 2 - 3 3 2 2 2 2 Intl conflicts 9 10 5 5 7 5 6 11 Cost of living 24 16 5 2 13 6 9 14 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 4 2 2 2 1 DK/NA - 1 1 2 1 1 1 4 -
Question 22. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Excellent 3% - 8% 2% 3% 4% 6% 2% Good 30 9 57 25 28 31 42 24 Not so good 30 32 24 37 31 29 27 31 Poor 36 59 11 36 37 35 25 43 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Excellent 1% 4% 2% 7% 4% 3% 3% 2% Good 17 25 31 41 29 32 31 30 Not so good 31 34 33 25 28 30 29 41 Poor 50 38 32 27 39 34 36 27 DK/NA 1 - - 1 - 1 1 - -
Question 23. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better 26% 4% 55% 19% 25% 27% 37% 21% Worse 44 68 17 43 47 40 33 48 The same 29 27 28 37 27 30 30 29 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Better 14% 19% 30% 39% 24% 29% 27% 37% Worse 56 51 39 31 46 40 43 33 The same 28 30 31 29 29 29 29 31 DK/NA 2 - 1 1 - 3 1 - -
Question 24. Would you describe your financial situation these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Excellent 10% 10% 13% 10% 11% 10% 18% 9% Good 54 51 63 51 51 57 63 50 Not so good 24 27 19 25 26 23 14 28 Poor 9 10 4 14 9 9 5 11 DK/NA 2 3 1 1 3 1 - 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Excellent 6% 14% 7% 16% 13% 12% 13% 3% Good 39 50 62 59 54 56 55 55 Not so good 40 22 22 20 23 22 22 29 Poor 13 12 8 5 9 9 9 9 DK/NA 2 2 1 - 2 1 1 4 -
Question 25. In thinking about your wages and income, which comes closer to your line of thinking: your income is keeping up with the cost of living or your income is not keeping up with the cost of living?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Keeping up 36% 26% 51% 36% 36% 36% 45% 31% Not keeping up 61 71 45 62 60 62 54 65 DK/NA 3 3 4 2 4 2 1 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Keeping up 40% 28% 33% 45% 35% 37% 36% 40% Not keeping up 59 70 63 51 62 60 61 58 DK/NA 2 2 4 4 3 3 3 2 -
Question 26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Israel is responding to the October 7th Hamas terrorist attack?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 42% 72% 24% 34% 47% 39% 43% 49% Disapprove 38 14 58 44 34 42 46 32 DK/NA 19 14 18 22 19 20 11 19 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 28% 32% 52% 47% 53% 41% 47% 24% Disapprove 48 47 32 38 33 41 37 55 DK/NA 24 21 16 15 14 18 16 20 -
Question 27. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 48% 63% 45% 39% 47% 50% 54% 52% Oppose 42 32 45 47 45 40 40 40 DK/NA 10 5 10 13 9 10 6 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Support 25% 37% 53% 62% 53% 52% 52% 30% Oppose 62 58 40 28 41 39 40 60 DK/NA 13 4 6 9 7 9 8 10 -
Question 28. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 52% 30% 77% 51% 50% 54% 67% 47% Oppose 42 64 18 44 46 39 30 47 DK/NA 6 6 5 5 4 7 3 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Support 42% 47% 49% 67% 52% 57% 55% 55% Oppose 50 51 46 29 46 36 41 39 DK/NA 8 2 4 5 2 7 5 6 -
Question 29. Do you consider illegal immigration at the U.S. border with Mexico a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not so serious problem or not a problem at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very serious 59% 93% 30% 61% 63% 56% 51% 69% Somewhat serious 25 6 45 22 22 27 30 20 Not so serious 11 1 19 13 9 12 15 8 Not at all 3 1 5 4 3 4 2 1 DK/NA 2 - 2 1 2 1 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Very serious 37% 53% 68% 66% 67% 59% 63% 38% Somewhat serious 29 21 23 27 21 26 24 31 Not so serious 25 18 7 4 9 12 11 19 Not at all 6 5 3 1 2 1 2 10 DK/NA 2 3 - 1 1 2 1 3 -
Question 30. (Intro: In thinking about the border between the United States and Mexico) Do you think Democratic congressional leaders should compromise on their positions on border security to come to an agreement with Republican congressional leaders, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 79% 90% 67% 83% 84% 74% 76% 84% No 15 6 28 10 10 20 18 10 DK/NA 6 4 6 7 6 7 6 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Should 78% 78% 84% 77% 86% 76% 81% 72% No 17 16 12 17 9 17 13 20 DK/NA 5 6 4 6 5 7 6 8 -
Question 31. (Intro at q30) Do you think Republican congressional leaders should compromise on their positions on border security to come to an agreement with Democratic congressional leaders, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Should 63% 36% 89% 65% 58% 67% 69% 54% No 32 60 8 28 37 27 25 40 DK/NA 5 5 4 6 6 5 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Should 75% 63% 59% 65% 55% 64% 60% 84% No 22 31 36 30 41 29 35 11 DK/NA 3 6 5 5 5 7 6 5 -
Question 32. As you may know, Senator John Fetterman has expressed strong support for Israel; does this make you think more favorably of Senator Fetterman, less favorably of Senator Fetterman, or doesn't it have an impact on your view of him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More favorably 26% 37% 20% 24% 24% 29% 28% 29% Less favorably 14 5 16 19 14 14 16 12 No impact 57 56 62 53 60 55 55 56 DK/NA 3 1 1 4 3 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk More favorably 20% 22% 27% 32% 26% 31% 29% 13% Less favorably 28 23 9 7 14 14 14 16 No impact 47 54 62 58 58 53 56 65 DK/NA 6 1 2 3 2 2 2 6 -
Question 33. As you may know, Senator John Fetterman has expressed support for tougher immigration policies; does this make you think more favorably of Senator Fetterman, less favorably of Senator Fetterman, or doesn't it have an impact on your view of him?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More favorably 35% 45% 26% 40% 36% 35% 34% 40% Less favorably 9 5 12 8 7 11 10 5 No impact 52 48 59 49 54 51 55 51 DK/NA 3 2 2 2 3 3 1 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk More favorably 25% 30% 37% 43% 39% 37% 38% 19% Less favorably 15 15 7 4 6 8 7 14 No impact 53 53 54 50 53 52 52 61 DK/NA 7 1 2 3 2 3 3 6 -
Question 34. As you may know, Senator John Fetterman is publicly talking about his mental health struggles. Would you say that you understand more about mental health struggles in general now, because he is sharing his experiences, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Understand more 39% 23% 61% 34% 34% 43% 40% 36% No 57 73 35 62 60 53 57 59 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 6 3 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Understand more 29% 37% 40% 50% 31% 44% 38% 47% No 68 58 58 44 64 53 58 45 DK/NA 3 4 2 6 5 3 4 7 -
Question 35. Do you think stigmas about mental health still exist, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Still exist 86% 75% 96% 87% 80% 91% 93% 83% No 10 18 3 9 13 6 5 12 DK/NA 5 7 2 4 7 3 2 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Still exist 86% 89% 83% 89% 82% 90% 86% 82% No 12 5 13 8 12 7 9 14 DK/NA 2 5 3 4 5 3 4 5