Voters Favor Dems Over GOP By 11 Points For Control Of U.S. House, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Trump's Handling Of Canada Trade, Iran & Russia - Ukraine War All Below 30%
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With the midterm elections less than two months away, voters give the Democratic Party an 11-point advantage over the Republican Party when it comes to who they would want to see win control of the United States House of Representatives, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll among registered voters released today.
If the election were today, 49 percent of voters would want to see the Democratic Party win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, while 38 percent would want to see the Republican Party win control of the House, with 13 percent not offering an opinion.
This compares to Quinnipiac University's July 29 poll, when 48 percent of voters wanted to see the Democratic Party win control of the House, 41 percent wanted to see the Republican Party win control of the House, and 11 percent did not offer an opinion.
POLITICAL PARTIES
Twenty-one percent of voters approve of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job, while 70 percent disapprove.
Twenty-six percent of voters approve of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job, while 67 percent disapprove.
When asked which political party they think is more in touch with the concerns of most people in the United States, 46 percent of voters think the Democratic Party, 35 percent think the Republican Party, and 13 percent volunteer that there is no difference.
"Which political party is most inclined to have your back? While neither gets high marks generally, the Democrats are judged more empathetic when it comes to the concerns of voters," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
PRESIDENT TRUMP
Thirty-three percent of voters approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, while 59 percent disapprove, with 8 percent not offering an opinion.
This compares to Quinnipiac University's July 29 poll, when Trump's approval rating hit an all-time low in a Quinnipiac University poll, with 32 percent of voters approving and 58 percent disapproving. Ten percent did not offer an opinion.
In today's poll, voters were asked about Trump's handling of seven issues:
- immigration issues: 39 percent approve, while 57 percent disapprove;
- his job as Commander in Chief of the U.S. military: 36 percent approve, while 60 percent disapprove;
- foreign policy: 33 percent approve, while 60 percent disapprove;
- the economy: 32 percent approve, while 65 percent disapprove;
- the situation with Iran: 29 percent approve, while 65 percent disapprove;
- the Russia - Ukraine war: 28 percent approve, while 61 percent disapprove;
- trade with Canada: 28 percent approve, while 62 percent disapprove.
These are the lowest approval ratings ever for Trump's handling of the economy, his job as Commander in Chief of the U.S. military, and the Russia - Ukraine war in Quinnipiac University polls. The approval of Trump's handling of foreign policy ties an all-time low for Trump in a Quinnipiac University poll.
CANADA
More than half of voters (56 percent) think President Trump is too tough on Canada, while 28 percent think his attitude towards Canada is about right, and 7 percent think he is not tough enough on Canada. Ten percent did not offer an opinion.
Seventy percent of voters oppose President Trump's executive order renaming Lake Ontario as Lake America, while 21 percent support the order.
WHITE HOUSE BALLROOM
Six in 10 voters (60 percent) oppose President Trump's White House ballroom construction project, while 33 percent support the project.
"The new ballroom? Voters view it as a bad idea, and they are even more negative about the name change for Lake Ontario," added Malloy.
PETE HEGSETH
Thirty-two percent of voters approve of the way Pete Hegseth is handling his job as Secretary of Defense, while 57 percent disapprove, with 11 percent not offering an opinion.
This is the lowest approval rating for Pete Hegseth in a Quinnipiac University poll. Prior to today's poll, Hegseth received his lowest approval of 34 percent in Quinnipiac University's July 29 and May 20 polls.
In today's poll, 39 percent of voters are either very confident (21 percent) or somewhat confident (18 percent) in Pete Hegseth's leadership of the U.S. military, while 56 percent are either not so confident (13 percent) or not confident at all (43 percent).
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR.
Thirty-six percent of voters approve of the way Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is handling his job as Secretary of Health and Human Services, while 54 percent disapprove, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
MAGA SUPPORTERS
On political matters, 32 percent of voters consider themselves supporters of Donald Trump's Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, while 65 percent do not consider themselves supporters of the MAGA movement.
Among Republicans, 79 percent consider themselves supporters of the MAGA movement, while 17 percent do not.
If a candidate for elected office identifies as a MAGA supporter, 18 percent of voters say it makes them more likely to vote for that candidate, 51 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for that candidate, and 29 percent say it doesn't make a difference.
DSA SUPPORTERS
On political matters, 26 percent of voters consider themselves supporters of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), while 66 percent do not consider themselves supporters of the DSA.
Among Democrats, 59 percent consider themselves supporters of the DSA, while 30 percent do not.
If a candidate for elected office identifies as a Democratic Socialist supporter, 17 percent of voters say it makes them more likely to vote for that candidate, 43 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for that candidate, and 35 percent say it doesn't make a difference.
U.S. - IRAN
Voters were given three possible actions for the U.S. military operation against Iran and the troops involved in that operation and asked which one they would most want to see the U.S. take: 39 percent say keep military forces there while negotiating a peace deal, 30 percent say withdraw military forces without a negotiated peace deal, and 22 percent say increase military operations against Iran until it surrenders or agrees to a peace deal.
"In the seventh month of the Iran war, the options range from keeping American forces at the ready while looking for a deal, to walking away, to waging all-out war until Iran surrenders. While holding fire and negotiating is preferred by roughly 4 out of 10 voters, a majority is split between getting out entirely or going all in," added Malloy.
9/11 ATTACKS
As the nation commemorates the twenty-fifth anniversary of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States, voters were asked if they think the U.S. is safer or less safe today than before the 2001 attacks. Fifty-two percent think the U.S. is less safe, 37 percent think the U.S. is safer, and 4 percent volunteer the level of safety is the same.
ISRAELIS & PALESTINIANS
Voters were asked whether their sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians, based on what they know about the situation in the Middle East. Thirty-eight percent of voters say the Palestinians, while 35 percent say the Israelis, with 27 percent not offering an opinion.
This is an all-time high for the Palestinians and an all-time low for the Israelis since the Quinnipiac University Poll began asking this question of registered voters in December 2001.
When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Israel, 48 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, while 8 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel, and 34 percent think the U.S. support of Israel is about right. Ten percent did not offer an opinion.
RUSSIA & UKRAINE
When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Russia, 50 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Russia, while 5 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Russia, and 32 percent think the U.S. support of Russia is about right. Thirteen percent did not offer an opinion.
When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Ukraine, 17 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Ukraine, while 41 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Ukraine, and 33 percent think the U.S. support of Ukraine is about right. Nine percent did not offer an opinion.
970 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from September 3rd - 6th with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on probability-based samples using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
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Poll Questions
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Question 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 33% 79% 2% 22% 37% 30% Disapprove 59 13 96 68 52 65 DK/NA 8 8 2 11 11 5 -
Question 1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 24% 62% 1% 13% 25% 24% Approve smwht 9 16 - 8 12 6 Disapprove smwht 6 5 - 11 8 4 Disapprove strongly 53 8 95 56 44 61 DK/NA 9 9 3 11 12 6 -
Question 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 21% 6% 48% 15% 16% 26% Disapprove 70 88 44 76 76 65 DK/NA 8 6 9 9 8 8 -
Question 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 26% 62% 2% 19% 26% 26% Disapprove 67 27 96 75 65 70 DK/NA 7 11 2 7 10 5 -
Question 4. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican Party 38% 88% 2% 28% 46% 31% Democratic Party 49 5 95 51 38 59 DK/NA 13 7 3 20 16 10 -
Question 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pete Hegseth is handling his job as Secretary of Defense?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 32% 76% 2% 22% 35% 29% Disapprove 57 14 90 65 54 60 DK/NA 11 10 8 14 11 11 -
Question 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is handling his job as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 36% 76% 6% 27% 41% 31% Disapprove 54 13 89 60 49 58 DK/NA 10 11 6 12 10 11 -
Question 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the economy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 32% 77% 3% 21% 37% 27% Disapprove 65 18 96 75 59 70 DK/NA 3 5 1 4 4 3 -
Question 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - foreign policy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 33% 77% 3% 22% 39% 27% Disapprove 60 19 91 70 55 66 DK/NA 7 4 6 7 6 7 -
Question 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the situation with Iran?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 29% 71% 3% 17% 33% 25% Disapprove 65 24 96 74 61 69 DK/NA 6 5 2 9 6 6 -
Question 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - immigration issues?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 39% 85% 5% 29% 48% 31% Disapprove 57 13 93 67 49 65 DK/NA 4 2 3 4 4 4 -
Question 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the Russia - Ukraine war?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 28% 70% 2% 18% 34% 23% Disapprove 61 18 93 71 54 68 DK/NA 11 13 5 11 12 9 -
Question 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - trade with Canada?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 28% 65% 1% 20% 32% 24% Disapprove 62 23 94 70 58 67 DK/NA 9 11 4 10 10 9 -
Question 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - his job as Commander in Chief of the U.S. military?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 36% 83% 3% 26% 41% 31% Disapprove 60 15 97 68 54 66 DK/NA 3 2 - 5 5 2 -
Question 14. Which political party do you think is more in touch with the concerns of most people in the United States; the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Democratic Party 46% 5% 90% 47% 38% 54% Republican Party 35 84 4 22 40 30 NO DIFF (VOL) 13 5 4 22 14 12 DK/NA 7 6 2 9 8 5 -
Question 15. On political matters, do you consider yourself a supporter of Donald Trump's Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Supporter 32% 79% 3% 18% 37% 27% No 65 17 97 78 59 71 DK/NA 3 4 1 4 5 2 -
Question 16. On political matters, do you consider yourself a supporter of the Democratic Socialists of America, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Supporter 26% 2% 59% 22% 20% 32% No 66 96 30 70 73 59 DK/NA 8 2 12 8 7 9 -
Question 17. If a candidate for elected office identifies as a MAGA supporter, does that make you: more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 18% 49% - 8% 19% 16% Less likely 51 10 85 58 43 57 No difference 29 37 10 32 35 23 DK/NA 3 4 5 1 2 3 -
Question 18. If a candidate for elected office identifies as a Democratic Socialist supporter, does that make you: more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 17% 1% 39% 14% 12% 21% Less likely 43 88 11 34 50 37 No difference 35 9 43 48 33 38 DK/NA 4 1 7 5 4 5 -
Question 19. How confident are you in Pete Hegseth's leadership of the U.S. military; very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very confident 21% 56% 1% 10% 21% 21% Somewhat confident 18 25 10 19 21 15 Not so confident 13 6 12 18 14 13 Not confident at all 43 8 73 47 39 46 DK/NA 5 5 4 6 5 5 -
Question 20. From what you know about the situation in the Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Israelis 35% 64% 14% 29% 36% 33% Palestinians 38 13 62 40 37 39 DK/NA 27 23 25 31 26 28 -
Question 21. Thinking about the relationship between the United States and Israel, do you think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, not supportive enough of Israel, or is the U.S. support of Israel about right?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Too supportive 48% 17% 67% 57% 49% 47% Not enough 8 9 8 7 7 9 About right 34 68 13 25 36 32 DK/NA 10 6 12 11 8 12 -
Question 22. Thinking about the relationship between the United States and Ukraine, do you think the U.S. is too supportive of Ukraine, not supportive enough of Ukraine, or is the U.S. support of Ukraine about right?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Too supportive 17% 27% 8% 14% 21% 13% Not enough 41 11 72 43 36 45 About right 33 55 15 32 34 33 DK/NA 9 7 5 11 8 9 -
Question 23. Thinking about the relationship between the United States and Russia, do you think the U.S. is too supportive of Russia, not supportive enough of Russia, or is the U.S. support of Russia about right?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Too supportive 50% 28% 74% 51% 44% 55% Not enough 5 7 3 5 6 4 About right 32 55 14 30 37 28 DK/NA 13 10 9 15 13 13 -
Question 24. In general, do you think that President Trump is too tough on Canada, not tough enough on Canada, or is President Trump's attitude towards Canada about right?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Too tough 56% 21% 89% 60% 51% 60% Not tough enough 7 11 3 5 9 5 About right 28 61 4 22 31 24 DK/NA 10 7 4 14 9 11 -
Question 25. Do you support or oppose President Trump's executive order renaming Lake Ontario as Lake America?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 21% 47% - 15% 26% 16% Oppose 70 38 95 76 63 76 DK/NA 9 15 5 8 11 8 -
Question 26. Thinking about the U.S. military operation against Iran and the troops involved in that operation, which of the following actions would you most want to see the U.S. take: withdraw military forces without a negotiated peace deal, keep military forces there while negotiating a peace deal, or increase military operations against Iran until it surrenders or agrees to a peace deal?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Withdraw forces 30% 10% 47% 33% 27% 32% Keep forces 39 40 38 41 38 40 Increase operations 22 44 3 18 27 17 DK/NA 9 6 11 8 7 11 -
Question 27. Thinking about the 2026 election, do you think you will vote in person on Election Day, vote early by mail or absentee ballot, or vote at an early voting location?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom In person 51% 66% 41% 48% 56% 47% Mail/Absentee ballot 21 12 31 23 18 25 Early vote location 24 21 27 26 22 26 WON'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 2 -
Question 28. Do you support or oppose allowing any voter to vote by mail if they want to?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 60% 26% 90% 64% 56% 64% Oppose 36 71 8 31 40 32 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 5 4 -
Question 29. How concerned are you that there will be widespread voter fraud in the upcoming general elections in your state; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very concerned 29% 40% 16% 28% 29% 29% Somewhat concerned 22 34 16 17 22 22 Not so concerned 14 13 12 17 14 14 Not concerned at all 33 12 56 35 33 34 DK/NA 2 1 - 3 2 2 -
Question 30. Do you think the U.S. is safer or less safe today than before the terrorist attacks on September 11th, 2001?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Safer 37% 54% 25% 35% 49% 26% Less safe 52 40 66 50 44 59 SAME(VOL) 4 3 4 5 2 6 DK/NA 7 3 6 9 5 9 -
Question 31. Do you support or oppose President Trump's White House ballroom construction project?
REGISTERED VOTERS..................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 33% 77% 3% 22% 38% 28% Oppose 60 17 96 69 52 68 DK/NA 7 7 1 9 11 4