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Voters Favor Dems Over GOP By 11 Points For Control Of U.S. House, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Trump's Handling Of Canada Trade, Iran & Russia - Ukraine War All Below 30%

With the midterm elections less than two months away, voters give the Democratic Party an 11-point advantage over the Republican Party when it comes to who they would want to see win control of the United States House of Representatives, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll among registered voters released today.

If the election were today, 49 percent of voters would want to see the Democratic Party win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, while 38 percent would want to see the Republican Party win control of the House, with 13 percent not offering an opinion.

This compares to Quinnipiac University's July 29 poll, when 48 percent of voters wanted to see the Democratic Party win control of the House, 41 percent wanted to see the Republican Party win control of the House, and 11 percent did not offer an opinion.

POLITICAL PARTIES

Twenty-one percent of voters approve of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job, while 70 percent disapprove.

Twenty-six percent of voters approve of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job, while 67 percent disapprove.

When asked which political party they think is more in touch with the concerns of most people in the United States, 46 percent of voters think the Democratic Party, 35 percent think the Republican Party, and 13 percent volunteer that there is no difference.

"Which political party is most inclined to have your back? While neither gets high marks generally, the Democrats are judged more empathetic when it comes to the concerns of voters," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

PRESIDENT TRUMP

Thirty-three percent of voters approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president, while 59 percent disapprove, with 8 percent not offering an opinion.

This compares to Quinnipiac University's July 29 poll, when Trump's approval rating hit an all-time low in a Quinnipiac University poll, with 32 percent of voters approving and 58 percent disapproving. Ten percent did not offer an opinion.

In today's poll, voters were asked about Trump's handling of seven issues:

  • immigration issues: 39 percent approve, while 57 percent disapprove;
  • his job as Commander in Chief of the U.S. military: 36 percent approve, while 60 percent disapprove;
  • foreign policy: 33 percent approve, while 60 percent disapprove;
  • the economy: 32 percent approve, while 65 percent disapprove;
  • the situation with Iran: 29 percent approve, while 65 percent disapprove;
  • the Russia - Ukraine war: 28 percent approve, while 61 percent disapprove;
  • trade with Canada: 28 percent approve, while 62 percent disapprove.

These are the lowest approval ratings ever for Trump's handling of the economy, his job as Commander in Chief of the U.S. military, and the Russia - Ukraine war in Quinnipiac University polls. The approval of Trump's handling of foreign policy ties an all-time low for Trump in a Quinnipiac University poll.

CANADA

More than half of voters (56 percent) think President Trump is too tough on Canada, while 28 percent think his attitude towards Canada is about right, and 7 percent think he is not tough enough on Canada. Ten percent did not offer an opinion.

Seventy percent of voters oppose President Trump's executive order renaming Lake Ontario as Lake America, while 21 percent support the order.

WHITE HOUSE BALLROOM

Six in 10 voters (60 percent) oppose President Trump's White House ballroom construction project, while 33 percent support the project.

"The new ballroom? Voters view it as a bad idea, and they are even more negative about the name change for Lake Ontario," added Malloy.

PETE HEGSETH

Thirty-two percent of voters approve of the way Pete Hegseth is handling his job as Secretary of Defense, while 57 percent disapprove, with 11 percent not offering an opinion.

This is the lowest approval rating for Pete Hegseth in a Quinnipiac University poll. Prior to today's poll, Hegseth received his lowest approval of 34 percent in Quinnipiac University's July 29 and May 20 polls.

In today's poll, 39 percent of voters are either very confident (21 percent) or somewhat confident (18 percent) in Pete Hegseth's leadership of the U.S. military, while 56 percent are either not so confident (13 percent) or not confident at all (43 percent).

ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR.

Thirty-six percent of voters approve of the way Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is handling his job as Secretary of Health and Human Services, while 54 percent disapprove, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.

MAGA SUPPORTERS

On political matters, 32 percent of voters consider themselves supporters of Donald Trump's Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, while 65 percent do not consider themselves supporters of the MAGA movement.

Among Republicans, 79 percent consider themselves supporters of the MAGA movement, while 17 percent do not.

If a candidate for elected office identifies as a MAGA supporter, 18 percent of voters say it makes them more likely to vote for that candidate, 51 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for that candidate, and 29 percent say it doesn't make a difference.

DSA SUPPORTERS

On political matters, 26 percent of voters consider themselves supporters of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), while 66 percent do not consider themselves supporters of the DSA.

Among Democrats, 59 percent consider themselves supporters of the DSA, while 30 percent do not.

If a candidate for elected office identifies as a Democratic Socialist supporter, 17 percent of voters say it makes them more likely to vote for that candidate, 43 percent say it makes them less likely to vote for that candidate, and 35 percent say it doesn't make a difference.

U.S. - IRAN

Voters were given three possible actions for the U.S. military operation against Iran and the troops involved in that operation and asked which one they would most want to see the U.S. take: 39 percent say keep military forces there while negotiating a peace deal, 30 percent say withdraw military forces without a negotiated peace deal, and 22 percent say increase military operations against Iran until it surrenders or agrees to a peace deal.

"In the seventh month of the Iran war, the options range from keeping American forces at the ready while looking for a deal, to walking away, to waging all-out war until Iran surrenders. While holding fire and negotiating is preferred by roughly 4 out of 10 voters, a majority is split between getting out entirely or going all in," added Malloy.

9/11 ATTACKS

As the nation commemorates the twenty-fifth anniversary of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States, voters were asked if they think the U.S. is safer or less safe today than before the 2001 attacks. Fifty-two percent think the U.S. is less safe, 37 percent think the U.S. is safer, and 4 percent volunteer the level of safety is the same.

ISRAELIS & PALESTINIANS

Voters were asked whether their sympathies lie more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians, based on what they know about the situation in the Middle East. Thirty-eight percent of voters say the Palestinians, while 35 percent say the Israelis, with 27 percent not offering an opinion.

This is an all-time high for the Palestinians and an all-time low for the Israelis since the Quinnipiac University Poll began asking this question of registered voters in December 2001.

When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Israel, 48 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, while 8 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Israel, and 34 percent think the U.S. support of Israel is about right. Ten percent did not offer an opinion.

RUSSIA & UKRAINE

When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Russia, 50 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Russia, while 5 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Russia, and 32 percent think the U.S. support of Russia is about right. Thirteen percent did not offer an opinion.

When it comes to the relationship between the United States and Ukraine, 17 percent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Ukraine, while 41 percent think the U.S. is not supportive enough of Ukraine, and 33 percent think the U.S. support of Ukraine is about right. Nine percent did not offer an opinion.

970 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from September 3rd - 6th with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on probability-based samples using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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