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Concerns About Inflation Rise Heading Into The Midterms, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Republicans Have Edge In Enthusiasm To Vote

One week before Election Day, an increasing number of Americans say inflation (36 percent) is the most urgent issue facing the country today, up 9 percentage points since late August, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of adults released today.

Abortion (10 percent) ranks as the second most urgent issue with no other issue reaching double digits.

Among Republicans, inflation (57 percent) ranks first followed by immigration (15 percent).

Among Democrats, the top issues are abortion (19 percent), inflation (15 percent), gun violence (14 percent), climate change (10 percent), and election laws (10 percent).

Among independents, inflation (41 percent) ranks first with no other issue reaching double digits.

More than half of Americans (54 percent) say the price of gas and consumer goods is the economic issue that worries them the most right now, while 25 percent say the cost of housing or rent, 12 percent say the stock market, and 5 percent say their job situation.

"What issue concerns Americans most? It's not even close. Inflation: the price of putting food on the table, paying for gas at the pump and the diminishing value of the money they earn runs away with the ranking," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

VOTER ENTHUSIASM

In measuring how motivated voters are in this year's midterm elections, roughly half of registered voters (52 percent) say they are more motivated to vote than in past midterm elections, while 7 percent say they are less motivated, and 40 percent say they are just as motivated as usual.

Among Republican registered voters, 60 percent say they are more motivated to vote, while 2 percent say they are less motivated, and 36 percent say they are just as motivated as usual.

Among Democratic registered voters, 51 percent say they are more motivated to vote, while 7 percent say they are less motivated, and 40 percent say they are just as motivated as usual.

Among independent registered voters, 47 percent say they are more motivated to vote, while 9 percent say they are less motivated, and 43 percent say they are just as motivated as usual.

"Who wants it more? It may come down to a tried-and-true sports axiom. The hungriest team wins the game, and the Republicans seem to have the edge," added Malloy.

CONTROL OF CONGRESS

Among registered voters, if the election were today, 48 percent say they would want to see the Republican Party win control of the United States House of Representatives, while 44 percent say the Democratic Party.

This is a shift from a Quinnipiac University poll on August 31st when 47 percent said the Democratic Party and 43 percent said the Republican Party.

As for which party registered voters would want to see win control of the United States Senate, 48 percent say the Republican Party and 45 percent say the Democratic Party.

This compares to August when 47 percent said the Democratic Party and 45 percent said the Republican Party.

BIDEN

Americans give President Joe Biden a negative job approval rating as 36 percent approve of the job he's doing, while 53 percent disapprove.

Among registered voters, President Biden receives a negative 37 - 54 percent job approval rating.

Americans were asked about President Biden's handling of...

  • the response to the coronavirus: 47 percent approve, while 45 percent disapprove;
  • the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 42 percent approve, while 50 percent disapprove;
  • foreign policy: 36 percent approve, while 56 percent disapprove;
  • the economy: 34 percent approve, while 61 percent disapprove;
  • the situation at the Mexican border: 26 percent approve, while 61 percent disapprove.
"Wallowing in negative territory, Biden's approval number offers little solace to his party as he barnstorms the country trying to rally voters behind Democratic midterm candidates," added Malloy.

VOTING INTEGRITY

Roughly three-quarters of Americans (76 percent) think the election results in the upcoming general elections in their state will be legitimate, while 15 percent do not think they will be legitimate.

Roughly 4 in 10 Americans (42 percent) say they are either very concerned (18 percent) or somewhat concerned (24 percent) that there will be widespread voter fraud in the upcoming general elections in their state, while 58 percent are either not so concerned (20 percent) or not concerned at all (38 percent).

Among Republicans, 59 percent say they are either very concerned (24 percent) or somewhat concerned (35 percent) that there will be widespread voter fraud in the upcoming general elections in their state, while 39 percent are either not so concerned (18 percent) or not concerned at all (21 percent).

Roughly 4 in 10 Americans (42 percent) say they are either very concerned (18 percent) or somewhat concerned (24 percent) that there will be widespread voter suppression in the upcoming general elections in their state, while 55 percent are either not so concerned (20 percent) or not concerned at all (35 percent).

Among Democrats, 54 percent say they are either very concerned (23 percent) or somewhat concerned (31 percent) that there will be widespread voter suppression in the upcoming general elections in their state, while 44 percent are either not so concerned (21 percent) or not concerned at all (23 percent).

RUSSIA AND UKRAINE

Forty-two percent of Americans think the United States is doing about the right amount to help Ukraine, while 26 percent think the U.S. is doing too much, and 23 percent think the U.S. is doing too little to help Ukraine.

Nearly three-quarters of Americans (73 percent) are either very concerned (33 percent) or somewhat concerned (40 percent) about the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons, while 26 percent are either not so concerned (15 percent) or not concerned at all (11 percent).

"When it comes to the first use of nuclear weapons since World War II, Americans are clearly apprehensive," added Malloy.

2,203 U.S. adults nationwide were surveyed from October 26th - 30th with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points. The survey included 2,010 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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