Skip to Content

More Than 7 In 10 Independents Want Other Candidates To Enter 2024 Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Disapproval Of Biden's Handling Of Mideast Conflict Rises

In a presidential race that already has more than a dozen candidates including a current and former president, a majority of voters (52 percent) say they would like to see other candidates enter the 2024 presidential race, while 42 percent say they are satisfied with the current field, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.

Independents (72 - 20 percent) and Democrats (58 - 39 percent) say they would like to see other candidates enter the presidential race, while Republicans (67 - 29 percent) say they are satisfied with the current field of candidates.

"Polarized on virtually every major issue, but restless for change at the top, voters say when it comes to the 2024 lineup, there is room for more. Independents and Democrats are open to more candidates in the 2024 presidential race, while Republicans are mostly satisfied with the field," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

GENERAL ELECTION

In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, Trump receives 48 percent support among registered voters and Biden receives 46 percent support, leaving the race too close to call. It does, however, mark the first time since February 2023 that Trump has the numerical edge over Biden as all other Quinnipiac University polls have shown close races, but with Biden having the numerical edge.

In today's poll, Republicans back Trump 96 - 2 percent and Democrats back Biden 94 - 4 percent. Independents are evenly split, with 44 percent supporting Biden and 44 percent supporting Trump.

"Trump on top for the first time, at least numerically, and Biden in a slow slide. Though the gap between them is small, the optics of the incumbent now on the downside of a neck and neck race against an opponent taking legal fire from all corners can't be good," added Malloy.

In a three-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup adding independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Trump receives 38 percent support, Biden receives 37 percent support, and Kennedy receives 21 percent support.

In a five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup adding independent candidate Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Trump receives 38 percent support, Biden receives 35 percent support, Kennedy receives 17 percent support, and West and Stein each receive 3 percent support.

Among voters supporting Trump in the five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, 84 percent say they would still vote for Trump if he is convicted of criminal charges, while 9 percent say they would not vote for him if he is convicted.

Voters were asked how much of the time they think they can trust the government in Washington to do what is right: 3 percent say almost all of the time, 14 percent say most of the time, 44 percent say some of the time, and 37 percent say hardly ever.

In the five-way matchup, among voters who say they think they can hardly ever trust the government to do what is right, Trump leads with 56 percent support, followed by Kennedy with 20 percent support, Biden with 12 percent support, and West and Stein with 4 percent support each.

PRIMARY RACES

In the Republican presidential primary race, 64 percent of Republicans and Republican leaning voters back Trump, 16 percent back Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, 9 percent back former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, 4 percent back entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, 2 percent back former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, and 1 percent back North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum.

In the Democratic presidential primary race, 74 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaning voters support President Biden, 12 percent support author Marianne Williamson, 4 percent support U.S. Representative from Minnesota Dean Phillips, and 1 percent support political commentator Cenk Uygur.

BIDEN

Voters give President Biden a negative 37 - 59 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 39 - 58 percent job approval rating two weeks ago in a Quinnipiac University national poll.

Voters were asked about Biden's handling of...

  • the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 47 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the response to the war between Israel and Hamas: 37 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove, with 9 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the economy: 37 percent approve, 59 percent disapprove, with 3 percent not offering an opinion;
  • foreign policy: 34 percent approve, 61 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
  • the situation at the Mexican border: 26 percent approve, 65 percent disapprove, with 9 percent not offering an opinion.
"President Biden's foreign policy numbers languish, with voter discontent for his dealing with the Israel- Hamas war jumping in just two weeks' time," added Malloy.

U.S. ON WORLD STAGE

When voters were asked who would best represent the United States on the world stage, regardless of how they intend to vote, 48 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Biden, and 8 percent did not offer an opinion.

MOST URGENT ISSUE

Given a list of ten issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, 28 percent of voters say the economy, 21 percent say preserving democracy in the United States, and 12 percent say immigration.

Among Republicans, the top issue is the economy (41 percent) followed by immigration (23 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (12 percent).

Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (34 percent) followed by the economy (16 percent), gun violence (14 percent), and climate change (11 percent).

Among independents, the top issues are the economy (25 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (22 percent), followed by international conflicts (10 percent).

1,574 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from November 9th - 13th with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey included 686 Republican and Republican leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points and 666 Democratic and Democratic leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

Poll Questions