May 28, 2015 - Five Leaders In 2016 Republican White House Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Rubio, Paul Are Only Republicans Even Close To Clinton PDF format Sample and Methodology detail There are five leaders - or no leaders - as Republican voters look at likely GOP candidates in the 2016 White House race, with no candidate above 10 percent and 20 percent undecided, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Leading the pack with 10 percent each are former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Rounding out the top 10 for televised debates are U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky at 7 percent, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 6 percent, Donald Trump at 5 percent, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie at 4 percent and Carly Fiorina and Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 2 percent each. Trump tops the "no way" list as 21 percent of Republican voters say they would definitely not support him. Bush is next with 17 percent, with Christie at 15 percent. Hillary Clinton dominates among Democratic voters nationwide, with 57 percent, compared to 60 percent April 23. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont has 15 percent with Vice President Joseph Biden at 9 percent. No other candidate tops 1 percent with 14 percent undecided. Clinton and Biden top the "no way" list with 9 percent each. "Safe to say, the 2016 Republican presidential primary is anyone's race. With no front- runner and identical numbers for the top five contenders, it's a horserace which can only be described as a scrambled field - at least so far," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. In a general election matchup, Clinton gets 46 percent of American voters to 42 percent for Paul and 45 percent of voters to 41 percent for Rubio. She leads other top Republicans: 46 - 37 percent over Christie; 47 - 40 percent over Huckabee; 47 - 37 percent over Bush; 46 - 38 percent over Walker; 48 - 37 percent over Cruz; 50 - 32 percent over Trump. American voters say 53 - 39 percent that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, but say 60 - 37 percent that she has strong leadership qualities. Voters are divided 48 - 47 percent over whether Clinton cares about their needs and problems. Voters say 37 - 31 percent that Rubio is honest and trustworthy, 42 - 28 percent that he has strong leadership qualities, and 38 - 35 percent that he cares about their needs and problems. Paul scores 46 - 27 percent for being honest and trustworthy, 45 - 30 percent for strong leadership qualities and 42 - 36 percent for caring about their needs and problems. "Can you get low marks on honesty and still be a strong leader? Sure you can," Malloy said. "Hillary Clinton crushes her democratic rivals and keeps the GOP hoard at arm's length." Going to war with Iraq was the wrong thing to do, American voters say 59 - 32 percent. Republicans support the 2003 decision 62 - 28 percent, while opposition is 78 - 16 percent among Democrats and 65 - 26 percent among independent voters. 2016 House and Senate Races Looking at the 2016 races for the House of Representatives, 39 percent of American voters say they would vote for a Democrat in their district, while 36 percent would vote Republican. In states which have Senate races, 42 percent would vote Democratic and 35 percent would vote Republican. From May 19 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,711 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 679 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points and 748 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican 36% 84% 3% 33% 39% 32% Democratic 39 3 85 29 35 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 4 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 2 DK/NA 22 12 11 31 21 22 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE High Low May 28 Apr 27 Jul 08 Apr 02 Jan 21 Oct 01 Apr 27 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2015 Republican 36 40 39 38 38 34 40 Democratic 39 37 41 40 37 43 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 22 20 17 18 21 17 20 2. If an election for the U.S. Senate were being held in your state today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican 36% 84% 2% 35% 39% 33% Democratic 41 3 87 32 37 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 4 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 19 12 10 26 18 20 STATES WITH SENATE ELECTION IN 2016... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Republican 35% 84% 2% 35% 39% 32% Democratic 42 4 86 33 37 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 4 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 2 1 DK/NA 19 11 11 26 18 20 TREND: If an election for the U.S. Senate were being held in your state today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? May 28 Apr 27 2015 2015 Republican 36 40 Democratic 41 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 DK/NA 19 17 3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 10% 6% 9% 8% 13% 10% 10% 11% Carson 10 12 8 14 8 8 12 8 Christie 4 2 5 2 3 6 5 2 Cruz 6 17 10 11 5 2 6 7 Fiorina 2 2 - - 3 1 1 3 Graham 1 - - 1 - 2 1 1 Huckabee 10 10 17 13 7 9 7 12 Jindal 1 2 - 1 2 1 1 1 Kasich 2 2 3 2 4 2 2 3 Pataki - - - - 1 - 1 - Paul 7 9 8 8 7 6 8 5 Perry 1 2 1 2 - 1 1 1 Rubio 10 12 6 8 10 13 11 9 Santorum - - - 1 - 1 1 - Trump 5 4 2 4 4 6 5 4 Walker 10 13 8 12 8 10 12 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 20 6 19 14 23 22 15 25 TREND:(If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Geroge Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through Apr 2013) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................ May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 Bush 10 13 16 11 10 11 11 Carson 10 3 7 8 na na na Christie 4 7 8 8 10 12 17 Cruz 6 9 6 5 8 9 13 Fiorina 2 1 na na na na na Graham 1 2 1 na na na na Huckabee 10 7 8 5 10 na na Jindal 1 1 2 2 1 3 3 Kasich 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 Pataki - na na na na na na Paul 7 8 6 6 11 13 14 Perry 1 3 1 2 3 na na Rubio 10 15 5 2 6 8 7 Santorum - 2 2 1 2 na na Trump 5 na na na na na na Walker 10 11 18 5 8 6 5 McDonnell na na na na na na na Portman na na na - na na na Romney na na na 19 na na na Ryan na na na 5 8 13 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 - - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 20 14 17 16 20 22 17 3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Who is your second choice? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3................................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 11% 6% 9% 5% 14% 14% 10% 11% Carson 9 9 9 9 7 10 7 12 Christie 6 4 3 2 9 9 7 5 Cruz 6 12 10 11 5 3 6 7 Fiorina 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 Graham - - - - - 1 1 - Huckabee 7 7 9 8 3 9 8 5 Jindal 2 3 1 3 3 - 3 1 Kasich 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 Pataki - - - 1 - - 1 - Paul 11 11 7 10 13 12 12 10 Perry 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 Rubio 12 9 11 14 14 6 10 13 Santorum 2 3 4 4 2 1 2 3 Trump 5 4 6 3 4 9 5 5 Walker 10 14 13 14 11 5 11 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - - - - - - DK/NA 10 9 11 8 10 11 7 13 3B. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Q3 & Q3A COMBINED................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 19% 11% 16% 12% 24% 22% 18% 19% Carson 17 21 15 22 13 16 17 17 Christie 9 6 8 4 11 13 11 6 Cruz 11 29 17 20 9 4 11 12 Fiorina 4 7 3 3 5 3 3 4 Graham 1 - - 1 - 3 2 1 Huckabee 15 17 24 19 10 16 14 16 Jindal 2 5 1 3 4 1 3 2 Kasich 3 3 4 3 5 3 3 3 Pataki 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - Paul 16 19 14 16 17 15 18 13 Perry 3 2 2 4 2 3 4 2 Rubio 19 20 15 19 21 18 20 19 Santorum 2 3 4 4 1 1 2 2 Trump 9 8 7 7 7 12 10 8 Walker 18 27 18 24 16 14 21 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 27 14 28 21 31 30 21 34 4. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 17% 31% 20% 24% 12% 15% 19% 15% Carson 3 2 4 2 2 5 2 3 Christie 15 19 19 19 14 13 15 15 Cruz 5 2 5 2 6 9 5 6 Fiorina 5 3 8 3 3 9 4 6 Graham 7 11 10 9 4 8 8 6 Huckabee 8 9 8 9 7 9 9 7 Jindal 3 3 5 3 2 6 3 3 Kasich 3 4 5 3 1 4 2 3 Pataki 4 6 7 5 2 6 4 5 Paul 8 7 14 8 7 9 7 9 Perry 4 3 6 2 3 7 3 4 Rubio 5 7 7 4 4 6 5 5 Santorum 5 5 6 3 4 8 5 5 Trump 21 21 13 20 20 23 20 22 Walker 3 - 5 1 1 6 3 2 No/No one 27 19 28 25 29 25 28 25 DK/NA 16 13 19 15 12 20 14 17 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, and Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 2015 2015 2015 Bush 17 17 16 Carson 3 5 2 Christie 15 16 16 Cruz 5 8 6 Fiorina 5 4 na Graham 7 9 6 Huckabee 8 6 6 Jindal 3 3 3 Kasich 3 4 2 Pataki 4 na na Paul 8 10 9 Perry 4 5 6 Rubio 5 4 3 Santorum 5 5 4 Trump 21 na na Walker 3 3 2 No/No one 27 38 36 DK/NA 16 18 19 5. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 9% 4% 8% 10% 10% 7% Chafee 1 - - 2 - 1 Clinton 57 61 57 54 47 64 O'Malley 1 - 2 2 2 1 Sanders 15 28 15 10 19 11 Webb 1 1 1 1 2 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 14 4 16 18 17 12 TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through May 2013) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................... May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 Biden 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 Chafee 1 - na na na na na Clinton 57 60 56 57 58 65 66 O'Malley 1 3 - 1 1 1 - Sanders 15 8 4 4 na na na Webb 1 1 1 1 na na na Cuomo na na na na 4 3 3 Schweitzer na na na na 1 1 1 Dean na na na na na 2 1 Patrick na na na na na na na Warner na na na na na na na Warren na na 14 13 11 7 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 14 14 14 14 15 13 12 5A. (If candidate chosen q5) Who is your second choice? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q5................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 35% 28% 35% 37% 33% 36% Chafee 3 1 2 5 5 2 Clinton 19 25 15 18 24 14 O'Malley 6 5 8 5 6 5 Sanders 9 18 9 5 9 9 Webb 4 4 10 2 4 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 21 18 17 24 15 26 5B. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... Q5 & Q5A COMBINED..................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 37% 31% 37% 40% 37% 38% Chafee 3 1 2 5 4 3 Clinton 72 84 70 68 66 77 O'Malley 6 4 9 6 7 6 Sanders 22 45 22 14 27 19 Webb 5 5 9 3 5 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 4 5 3 DK/NA 32 21 30 37 28 35 6. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 9% 5% 8% 10% 8% 9% Chafee 5 6 6 4 5 5 Clinton 9 4 9 12 11 8 O'Malley 6 8 9 4 7 6 Sanders 5 5 5 5 5 4 Webb 5 4 6 5 6 3 No/No one 47 60 52 41 45 49 DK/NA 27 19 22 30 25 28 TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 2015 2015 2015 Biden 9 7 10 Chafee 5 5 na Clinton 9 7 5 O'Malley 6 4 8 Sanders 5 4 5 Webb 5 3 7 Warren na na 4 No/No one 47 48 50 DK/NA 27 29 24 11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 46% 10% 87% 39% 42% 50% Christie 37 78 7 36 41 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 - 4 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 5 2 12 8 7 DK/NA 6 4 4 9 5 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through Mar 2013) May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 Clinton 46 45 46 43 47 46 41 Christie 37 40 39 42 38 38 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 DK/NA 6 7 7 8 7 9 9 12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 46% 8% 88% 38% 39% 52% Paul 42 86 5 43 48 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 7 5 4 DK/NA 7 4 4 9 6 7 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through May 2013) May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 Clinton 46 46 47 46 49 49 48 Paul 42 42 41 41 40 39 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 2 4 3 2 DK/NA 7 6 6 8 6 8 6 13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 47% 6% 88% 43% 43% 51% Huckabee 40 87 6 36 42 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 2 8 6 4 DK/NA 6 2 3 9 6 6 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 Clinton 47 47 47 46 49 Huckabee 40 42 40 41 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 3 4 DK/NA 6 6 7 8 6 14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 47% 9% 88% 40% 43% 51% Bush 37 81 5 35 40 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 5 3 11 8 6 DK/NA 6 4 3 9 6 6 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through May 2013) May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 Clinton 47 46 45 46 48 49 48 Bush 37 39 42 41 41 38 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 6 4 3 5 3 3 DK/NA 6 6 6 7 5 7 6 15. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 45% 7% 86% 39% 41% 49% Rubio 41 85 6 40 45 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 3 8 5 5 DK/NA 7 5 4 11 6 9 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Mar 07 2015 2015 2015 2013 Clinton 45 45 46 50 Rubio 41 43 41 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 3 3 DK/NA 7 7 7 11 16. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 46% 8% 88% 39% 41% 51% Walker 38 82 4 37 43 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 1 6 4 3 DK/NA 10 7 5 14 8 11 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 2015 2015 2015 Clinton 46 46 48 Walker 38 41 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 DK/NA 10 8 8 17. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 48% 8% 88% 43% 42% 52% Cruz 37 80 5 35 42 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 2 9 6 5 DK/NA 7 7 4 10 7 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through Oct 2013) May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 2013 Clinton 48 48 48 48 50 50 51 Cruz 37 41 38 37 35 37 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 4 4 3 3 DK/NA 7 6 7 9 10 7 7 18. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 50% 9% 89% 47% 46% 54% Trump 32 68 5 32 37 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 - 3 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 9 11 3 11 9 8 DK/NA 5 8 2 7 4 7 19. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 45% 9% 85% 39% 40% 51% Unfavorable 47 84 10 51 53 41 Hvn't hrd enough 5 4 4 6 5 5 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Feb 08 May 03 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 2007 Favorable 45 46 48 50 48 61 44 Unfavorable 47 47 45 45 43 34 46 Hvn't hrd enough 5 5 6 3 8 4 7 REFUSED 3 2 1 2 2 1 3 20. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 28% 52% 13% 25% 29% 26% Unfavorable 44 20 59 45 44 44 Hvn't hrd enough 27 27 26 28 25 28 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Mar 05 Feb 08 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2015 2013 Favorable 28 30 34 33 32 34 25 Unfavorable 44 43 40 32 37 40 29 Hvn't hrd enough 27 25 24 33 29 24 45 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 21. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 28% 52% 9% 27% 35% 21% Unfavorable 24 4 40 27 27 22 Hvn't hrd enough 46 43 49 45 37 55 REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Jul 08 Dec 11 Feb 08 2015 2015 2015 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 28 35 30 27 26 27 Unfavorable 24 25 22 25 25 15 Hvn't hrd enough 46 40 48 47 47 57 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 23% 47% 5% 24% 29% 18% Unfavorable 15 3 24 15 17 14 Hvn't hrd enough 60 49 69 59 53 66 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 2 23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 28% 41% 15% 31% 28% 27% Unfavorable 46 27 58 48 52 41 Hvn't hrd enough 23 30 25 20 18 28 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Dec 11 Oct 05 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 2011 Favorable 28 29 32 38 37 47 23 Unfavorable 46 42 39 33 38 23 17 Hvn't hrd enough 23 28 26 27 23 28 59 REFUSED 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 28% 55% 7% 24% 34% 22% Unfavorable 37 12 55 40 40 33 Hvn't hrd enough 34 33 37 34 25 43 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Dec 11 Oct 02 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 28 25 23 21 23 27 16 Unfavorable 37 30 29 29 26 27 25 Hvn't hrd enough 34 43 46 49 50 44 58 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 25. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 12% 23% 2% 12% 14% 10% Unfavorable 18 5 27 19 22 14 Hvn't hrd enough 69 72 70 66 63 75 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2 26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 12% 24% 6% 11% 14% 10% Unfavorable 31 19 35 34 36 26 Hvn't hrd enough 56 55 58 54 49 62 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 27. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 37% 72% 14% 35% 38% 35% Unfavorable 39 11 62 38 41 38 Hvn't hrd enough 23 18 23 26 20 25 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Nov 22 Oct 31 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2010 2007 Favorable 37 33 34 36 38 41 15 Unfavorable 39 33 32 29 34 25 13 Hvn't hrd enough 23 32 33 34 28 33 70 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 17% 28% 3% 20% 22% 12% Unfavorable 20 5 34 20 20 19 Hvn't hrd enough 62 64 62 60 56 67 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 17 21 21 Unfavorable 20 19 15 Hvn't hrd enough 62 59 63 REFUSED 2 1 1 29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 12% 20% 7% 12% 15% 10% Unfavorable 12 6 16 11 16 8 Hvn't hrd enough 75 73 75 77 68 81 REFUSED 1 - 2 - 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 12 13 12 Unfavorable 12 9 9 Hvn't hrd enough 75 78 78 REFUSED 1 1 1 30. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 10% 14% 8% 11% 14% 7% Unfavorable 19 15 20 19 19 19 Hvn't hrd enough 68 69 70 67 66 71 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 1 3 31. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 34% 60% 12% 36% 41% 28% Unfavorable 34 16 53 29 32 35 Hvn't hrd enough 32 23 35 34 26 37 REFUSED 1 1 - - 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Nov 26 Oct 02 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 Favorable 34 33 31 35 32 35 30 Unfavorable 34 33 31 26 32 26 33 Hvn't hrd enough 32 33 37 37 36 37 37 REFUSED 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 32. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 21% 38% 7% 21% 25% 18% Unfavorable 36 12 51 38 36 35 Hvn't hrd enough 42 50 41 39 37 46 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Jul 08 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 2015 2014 2011 2011 2011 Favorable 21 23 18 22 22 Unfavorable 36 31 45 35 23 Hvn't hrd enough 42 45 35 42 55 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 33. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 22% 45% 6% 18% 24% 20% Unfavorable 32 10 45 40 37 28 Hvn't hrd enough 44 45 48 41 38 50 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Jul 08 Feb 22 2015 2014 2012 Favorable 22 23 34 Unfavorable 32 30 31 Hvn't hrd enough 44 46 34 REFUSED 1 1 2 34. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 20% 34% 7% 20% 23% 18% Unfavorable 69 52 85 69 67 70 Hvn't hrd enough 10 13 7 11 10 11 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 35. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 22% 51% 4% 22% 29% 16% Unfavorable 25 4 40 25 27 23 Hvn't hrd enough 50 44 55 50 42 59 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Apr 23 Mar 05 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2015 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 22 24 23 18 21 Unfavorable 25 21 24 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 50 54 52 64 62 REFUSED 2 1 1 - 1 36. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 43% 19% 77% 37% 43% 44% Unfavorable 41 68 12 44 47 36 Hvn't hrd enough 12 11 9 15 8 17 REFUSED 3 1 3 4 3 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 Jul 12 May 31 Feb 08 Nov 12 2015 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2008 Favorable 43 42 37 38 37 46 50 Unfavorable 41 44 48 44 44 41 23 Hvn't hrd enough 12 14 13 16 19 11 25 REFUSED 3 - 2 2 1 2 2 37. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 4% Unfavorable 10 7 9 12 13 6 Hvn't hrd enough 84 87 84 83 80 88 REFUSED 1 2 2 - 1 2 38. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 7% 4% 13% 4% 7% 7% Unfavorable 13 14 8 16 17 8 Hvn't hrd enough 80 81 79 78 76 84 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? May 28 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 7 4 3 Unfavorable 13 6 9 Hvn't hrd enough 80 89 87 REFUSED 1 1 1 39. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 19% 6% 27% 20% 22% 16% Unfavorable 18 14 13 23 20 16 Hvn't hrd enough 62 79 58 55 58 65 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 2 40. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 10% 8% 14% 10% 11% 9% Unfavorable 12 9 16 11 13 10 Hvn't hrd enough 76 83 68 77 74 79 REFUSED 2 - 2 3 2 3 44. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 39% 9% 76% 31% 33% 45% No 53 84 18 61 59 47 DK/NA 8 7 6 9 8 8 TREND: Would you say that Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 39 38 No 53 54 DK/NA 8 8 45. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 42% 68% 26% 38% 46% 37% No 39 12 55 42 40 37 DK/NA 20 20 18 20 14 25 TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 42 43 No 39 40 DK/NA 20 17 46. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 46% 70% 26% 49% 56% 38% No 27 8 43 26 25 30 DK/NA 26 22 31 25 20 33 TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 46 44 No 27 30 DK/NA 26 27 47. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 37% 60% 17% 38% 43% 31% No 31 9 45 35 31 31 DK/NA 32 31 38 27 26 38 TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 37 40 No 31 27 DK/NA 32 33 48. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 26% 41% 13% 25% 29% 22% No 62 43 75 66 61 63 DK/NA 12 16 11 10 10 15 49. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 28% 50% 13% 24% 36% 22% No 27 8 39 33 31 24 DK/NA 44 42 48 43 33 54 TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 28 33 No 27 28 DK/NA 44 39 50. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 60% 28% 90% 58% 55% 66% No 37 70 8 38 42 32 DK/NA 3 2 2 4 3 3 TREND: Would you say that Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 60 62 No 37 34 DK/NA 3 4 51. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 51% 69% 37% 50% 55% 48% No 34 19 48 35 35 34 DK/NA 14 12 15 15 10 18 TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 51 52 No 34 34 DK/NA 14 15 52. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 45% 59% 25% 51% 52% 40% No 30 14 49 26 30 31 DK/NA 24 27 25 23 18 30 TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 45 42 No 30 33 DK/NA 24 25 53. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 42% 66% 26% 39% 44% 40% No 28 8 42 32 30 27 DK/NA 30 26 32 29 26 34 TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 42 41 No 28 28 DK/NA 30 32 54. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 56% 71% 42% 57% 59% 53% No 37 23 50 38 36 38 DK/NA 7 6 8 5 5 9 55. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 35% 54% 19% 33% 43% 29% No 24 5 34 29 27 21 DK/NA 41 41 46 38 31 50 TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 35 35 No 24 27 DK/NA 41 38 56. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 48% 14% 84% 42% 43% 52% No 47 82 11 52 52 42 DK/NA 5 5 6 5 5 6 TREND: Would you say that Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 48 47 No 47 47 DK/NA 5 6 57. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 38% 61% 24% 32% 40% 36% No 45 21 61 50 47 43 DK/NA 17 18 15 17 12 21 TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 38 38 No 45 47 DK/NA 17 16 58. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 42% 63% 18% 50% 47% 36% No 36 15 57 31 36 37 DK/NA 22 22 25 19 17 27 TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 42 43 No 36 35 DK/NA 22 22 59. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 38% 59% 18% 40% 42% 33% No 35 15 50 38 35 36 DK/NA 27 27 32 22 23 31 TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 38 39 No 35 32 DK/NA 27 29 60. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 18% 32% 6% 20% 23% 14% No 71 53 86 70 69 72 DK/NA 11 15 8 9 8 14 61. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 28% 50% 12% 24% 33% 24% No 33 10 49 37 38 28 DK/NA 39 39 39 39 29 48 TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? May 28 Apr 23 2015 2015 Yes 28 31 No 33 32 DK/NA 39 36 71. Do you think going to war with Iraq in 2003 was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Right thing 32% 62% 16% 26% 32% 32% Wrong thing 59 28 78 65 61 58 DK/NA 8 10 6 9 6 10 TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq in 2003 was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? (* added 'in 2003')(** Low also 32% Jul 2014) RIGHT THING... High Low May 28 Jul 03 Nov 03 Mar 05 Nov 12 Sep 17 May 28 2015* 2014* 2011 2009 2008 2003 2015** Right thing 32 32 36 36 36 58 32 Wrong thing 59 61 60 60 58 37 59 DK/NA 8 7 4 5 6 5 8
