February 17, 2016 - Trump Surges To 2-1 Lead Among Republicans Nationwide, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Clinton, Sanders Locked In A Tie Among Democrats PDF format Additional Trend Information The Donald Trump juggernaut rolls to a 2-1 lead among Republican voters nationwide, with 39 percent, his highest total so far, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida with 19 percent and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 18 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Ohio Gov. John Kasich has 6 percent with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Dr. Ben Carson at 4 percent each. Nine percent are undecided. This compares to the results of a February 5 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Trump with 31 percent, Cruz with 22 percent and Rubio with 19 percent. In the Democratic race nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has 44 percent, with Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 42 percent, and 11 percent undecided, unchanged from February 5. The top three Republicans are closely matched in terms of voter opinion as Trump gets a 62 - 31 percent favorability among Republicans, with 64 - 17 percent for Rubio and 62 - 23 percent for Cruz. "Reports of Donald Trump's imminent demise as a candidate are clearly and greatly exaggerated. Like a freight train barreling through signals with his horn on full blast, Trump heads down the track towards a possible nomination," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "There is a 'but.' Trump's raw numbers are formidable, but he trails the pack on some 'from the gut' character measurements. And the kind of bright spot that Jeb Bush supporters, few as they be, may grab ahold of. The former Florida governor polls best in the pack on 'experience.'" "Sen. Bernie Sanders and Secretary Hillary Clinton are neck and neck. But while Bernie has the trust, Hillary has the experience. Two different measurements of two dissimilar candidates," Malloy added. Trump has a good chance of winning in November, 77 percent of Republican voters nationwide say, while 61 percent say Rubio has a good chance of winning and 60 percent say Cruz has a good chance. Looking at key characteristics, Bush leads in one area as 74 percent of Republicans say he has the right kind of experience to be president, with Cruz at 68 percent, Trump at 60 percent, Kasich at 59 percent and Rubio at 54 percent. On other qualities, Republican voters say: 72 percent that Rubio is honest and trustworthy, with 70 percent for Bush, 65 percent for Kasich, 62 percent for Cruz and 60 percent for Trump; 80 percent that Trump has strong leadership qualities, with 69 percent for Cruz, 63 percent for Rubio, 60 percent for Bush and 58 percent for Kasich; 73 percent that Rubio cares about their needs and problems, with 67 percent for Cruz, 66 percent for Bush and 62 percent each for Trump and Kasich; 70 percent say Rubio shares their values, with 69 percent for Bush, 67 percent for Cruz, 60 percent for Trump and 57 percent for Kasich. Clinton - Sanders The Democratic gender gap is shrinking as women back Clinton over Sanders 47 - 41 percent while men back Sanders 44 - 40 percent. Clinton would have a good chance of winning in November, 83 percent of Democrats say, compared to 69 percent who say Sanders has a good chance. Looking at key characteristics among Democratic voters: 93 percent say Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, compared to 74 percent for Sanders; 87 percent say Sanders is honest and trustworthy, compared to 61 percent for Clinton; 87 percent say Clinton has strong leadership qualities, with 79 percent for Sanders; 86 percent say Sanders cares about their needs and problems, compared to 78 percent for Clinton; 82 percent say Sanders shares their values, compared to 75 percent for Clinton. From February 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,342 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 602 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points and 563 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Bush 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 6% 2% 5% 5% 3% Carson 4 4 8 5 1 5 2 5 3 4 Cruz 18 44 25 38 10 9 21 16 16 19 Kasich 6 3 6 4 9 6 6 6 11 4 Rubio 19 11 16 13 25 19 15 22 24 16 Trump 39 34 30 27 45 44 45 34 30 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 DK/NA 9 3 11 11 8 9 6 12 10 8 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Bush 4% 3% 1% 3% 7% Carson 2 9 4 4 3 Cruz 20 13 16 23 12 Kasich 6 7 4 6 10 Rubio 20 15 26 18 14 Trump 38 43 41 36 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 DK/NA 9 7 6 9 13 1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS................. CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1............................ CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1........... Tot Cruz Rubio Trump Made up 53% 60% 33% 64% Might change 45 38 67 33 DK/NA 2 3 - 3 2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Cruz, Kasich, Rubio, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Bush 20% 23% 18% 19% 17% 23% 21% 19% 17% 22% Carson 8 2 7 3 6 13 9 8 11 7 Cruz 17 2 11 6 21 22 18 16 17 17 Kasich 10 16 8 11 6 13 12 9 6 11 Rubio 13 12 9 7 11 17 13 13 7 15 Trump 28 24 27 30 21 32 19 35 26 27 No/No one 30 39 39 35 36 21 35 26 33 30 DK/NA 5 2 6 6 5 3 3 7 5 4 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Bush 19% 27% 16% 21% 21% Carson 9 7 8 7 11 Cruz 17 17 16 16 20 Kasich 10 10 7 13 7 Rubio 12 13 13 13 12 Trump 28 25 32 26 25 No/No one 30 30 30 30 29 DK/NA 5 3 1 6 7 3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Clinton 44% 30% 47% 48% 40% 47% 41% 45% Sanders 42 64 38 34 44 41 46 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 3 1 1 3 DK/NA 11 3 13 14 12 11 11 11 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Clinton 47% 33% 33% 49% 61% 38% 55% Sanders 39 53 58 35 24 50 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 - 1 3 3 2 1 DK/NA 11 12 8 14 11 9 14 3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3................ CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3...... Tot Clinton Sanders Made up 67% 66% 67% Might change 32 34 30 DK/NA 2 - 3 16a. (Summary tables from ques 16-23) Is your opinion of [Rotate Democratic Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her/him? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Hvn't Fav UnFav Hrd Ref Hillary Clinton 74% 21 3 2 Bernie Sanders 82% 6 11 - 16b. (Summary tables from ques 16-23) Is your opinion of [Rotate Republican Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Hvn't Fav UnFav Hrd Ref Jeb Bush 55% 32 10 2 Ted Cruz 62% 23 13 2 John Kasich 49% 11 38 2 Marco Rubio 64% 17 17 2 Donald Trump 62% 31 3 4 16. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Favorable 74% 70% 78% 72% 67% 79% 75% 73% Unfavorable 21 24 18 22 29 15 20 22 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 3 5 1 5 3 4 REFUSED 2 5 1 1 3 1 2 2 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Favorable 76% 66% 68% 74% 83% 68% 83% Unfavorable 20 23 26 19 15 27 11 Hvn't hrd enough 2 8 3 5 1 3 5 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 17. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Favorable 62% 70% 59% 61% 66% 58% 71% 54% 55% 66% Unfavorable 31 27 31 30 28 36 24 37 37 28 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 5 1 4 5 3 3 5 3 REFUSED 4 3 5 8 2 2 2 6 4 3 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 62% 62% 57% 65% 60% Unfavorable 31 29 38 30 28 Hvn't hrd enough 3 5 2 2 6 REFUSED 4 4 3 3 6 18. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Favorable 62% 89% 72% 82% 59% 48% 62% 62% 61% 62% Unfavorable 23 1 16 12 24 31 21 25 27 21 Hvn't hrd enough 13 10 11 5 14 19 15 12 9 15 REFUSED 2 - 1 1 2 1 2 2 3 2 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 64% 56% 57% 60% 69% Unfavorable 23 21 23 26 20 Hvn't hrd enough 11 22 17 12 10 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 1 19. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Favorable 64% 66% 69% 82% 65% 49% 63% 66% 75% 59% Unfavorable 17 16 14 11 14 24 17 17 15 18 Hvn't hrd enough 17 17 16 6 18 26 17 17 9 21 REFUSED 2 - 1 - 3 1 3 1 1 2 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 66% 60% 56% 67% 70% Unfavorable 16 19 20 15 16 Hvn't hrd enough 17 20 21 17 13 REFUSED 2 1 3 1 1 20. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Favorable 82% 95% 93% 71% 85% 80% 90% 78% Unfavorable 6 3 4 9 6 6 6 7 Hvn't hrd enough 11 3 3 19 9 13 4 15 REFUSED - - - - - - - - PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Favorable 82% 82% 92% 76% 74% 84% 80% Unfavorable 7 6 2 9 10 7 6 Hvn't hrd enough 11 12 6 15 15 9 14 REFUSED - 1 - - 1 - - 22. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Favorable 55% 52% 57% 60% 56% 52% 51% 59% 65% 51% Unfavorable 32 30 28 30 27 37 35 30 28 35 Hvn't hrd enough 10 15 11 5 15 10 13 8 5 13 REFUSED 2 3 3 4 1 2 2 3 2 2 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 57% 49% 55% 53% 61% Unfavorable 31 36 30 36 26 Hvn't hrd enough 10 13 12 10 10 REFUSED 2 3 2 1 3 23. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Favorable 49% 42% 53% 53% 53% 42% 48% 50% 62% 43% Unfavorable 11 19 11 16 8 11 16 7 9 13 Hvn't hrd enough 38 36 35 25 39 48 35 41 28 43 REFUSED 2 2 - 5 - - 1 2 1 1 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 47% 55% 39% 45% 67% Unfavorable 12 10 10 17 5 Hvn't hrd enough 40 32 49 37 28 REFUSED 1 3 2 1 1 24. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Favorable 77% 86% 84% 89% 81% 63% 77% 77% 81% 76% Unfavorable 18 11 13 8 14 30 19 18 15 20 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 2 - 2 2 1 2 2 1 REFUSED 3 2 - 2 2 4 3 3 1 3 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 82% 60% 73% 80% 82% Unfavorable 15 31 22 17 14 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 1 2 1 REFUSED 3 6 5 2 3 25. Is your opinion of Bill Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Favorable 83% 79% 82% 86% 87% 80% 85% 83% Unfavorable 10 12 10 9 9 11 10 10 Hvn't hrd enough 5 7 8 4 3 7 3 6 REFUSED 1 3 - 1 1 2 1 1 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Favorable 85% 79% 81% 83% 90% 80% 90% Unfavorable 10 10 10 11 8 13 5 Hvn't hrd enough 4 9 8 4 2 6 5 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 - 26. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Favorable 84% 93% 92% 76% 79% 88% 91% 80% Unfavorable 12 6 7 19 15 10 8 15 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - - 3 2 2 - 3 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 4 - 1 2 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Favorable 86% 79% 83% 85% 84% 82% 87% Unfavorable 12 14 14 12 10 16 7 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 1 1 4 1 3 REFUSED 1 3 1 2 2 1 3 35. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 61% 58% 67% 59% 59% 62% 62% 60% No 34 33 28 37 38 31 33 34 DK/NA 5 8 5 4 3 7 4 6 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 65% 46% 51% 62% 79% 55% 71% No 30 47 40 35 19 40 24 DK/NA 5 7 9 3 2 5 5 36. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 60% 57% 60% 56% 66% 58% 63% 56% 59% 60% No 36 37 33 38 30 41 34 38 38 34 DK/NA 4 6 6 6 4 2 3 6 3 5 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 62% 52% 57% 60% 62% No 33 46 39 38 29 DK/NA 5 3 4 2 9 37. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 87% 95% 95% 82% 92% 82% 92% 84% No 10 5 5 13 6 14 7 12 DK/NA 3 - 1 5 2 4 2 4 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 87% 85% 92% 84% 82% 88% 85% No 9 13 7 12 12 10 10 DK/NA 4 2 2 4 6 2 5 38. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 70% 74% 74% 82% 65% 66% 68% 72% 79% 66% No 25 22 20 16 29 30 25 26 18 29 DK/NA 5 4 6 2 5 4 7 2 3 5 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 74% 54% 63% 72% 78% No 23 34 29 27 16 DK/NA 3 11 8 1 6 39. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 72% 77% 76% 87% 72% 63% 70% 75% 77% 70% No 21 19 16 12 19 29 23 18 17 22 DK/NA 7 3 8 1 9 8 7 7 6 8 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 75% 62% 68% 73% 77% No 18 29 26 20 14 DK/NA 7 9 6 7 9 40. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 62% 84% 71% 79% 61% 49% 63% 62% 61% 62% No 31 13 23 16 31 44 31 30 32 30 DK/NA 7 3 6 5 7 7 6 8 6 8 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 65% 53% 59% 60% 68% No 28 39 36 34 19 DK/NA 7 8 5 6 12 41. Would you say that - John Kasich is honest and trustworthy or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 65% 63% 70% 73% 62% 61% 65% 64% 77% 60% No 18 16 13 15 18 20 21 14 9 21 DK/NA 18 20 16 13 19 19 14 22 14 19 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 65% 62% 60% 66% 71% No 18 16 21 18 13 DK/NA 17 22 20 16 16 42. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 87% 89% 94% 82% 82% 91% 91% 85% No 12 11 6 16 17 8 8 14 DK/NA 1 - - 2 1 1 - 1 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 89% 80% 83% 89% 90% 86% 89% No 10 20 16 10 9 14 10 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 43. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 80% 81% 82% 78% 79% 81% 82% 78% 81% 80% No 18 16 16 20 19 17 16 20 18 18 DK/NA 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 81% 75% 83% 79% 74% No 18 21 16 20 20 DK/NA 2 4 - 2 6 44. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 79% 97% 79% 71% 77% 81% 80% 79% No 15 2 16 21 17 14 16 14 DK/NA 6 1 5 8 6 6 4 7 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 81% 73% 86% 78% 69% 81% 77% No 14 19 10 16 21 14 17 DK/NA 5 9 4 5 10 5 6 45. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 60% 69% 59% 68% 58% 54% 59% 60% 68% 56% No 37 29 38 28 38 43 37 37 30 40 DK/NA 4 1 4 4 4 3 4 3 2 4 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 62% 52% 62% 59% 60% No 36 39 36 39 33 DK/NA 2 9 2 2 7 46. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 63% 79% 66% 75% 65% 53% 61% 66% 70% 61% No 29 17 26 18 29 38 32 25 25 31 DK/NA 8 4 8 7 6 9 6 9 5 8 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 66% 54% 67% 62% 60% No 27 35 29 32 23 DK/NA 7 11 4 6 16 47. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 69% 90% 79% 82% 66% 61% 71% 67% 64% 71% No 26 10 17 14 28 35 26 26 32 24 DK/NA 5 1 5 5 6 4 3 7 4 6 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 70% 67% 70% 67% 69% No 26 26 27 29 20 DK/NA 4 7 3 4 10 48. Would you say that - John Kasich has strong leadership qualities or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 58% 64% 65% 67% 52% 55% 61% 55% 72% 53% No 26 20 22 23 28 26 28 24 17 30 DK/NA 16 16 14 10 20 19 12 21 11 17 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 58% 59% 58% 51% 71% No 28 17 24 34 14 DK/NA 14 24 18 15 15 49. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 78% 81% 81% 73% 76% 79% 83% 75% No 20 17 17 24 21 19 16 22 DK/NA 3 2 1 4 3 3 1 3 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 81% 66% 75% 74% 87% 74% 83% No 16 31 24 22 10 24 13 DK/NA 2 3 1 4 3 2 4 50. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 62% 66% 66% 64% 62% 59% 66% 59% 65% 62% No 34 32 31 33 34 37 32 36 33 33 DK/NA 4 3 3 3 5 4 2 5 1 5 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 65% 54% 58% 63% 63% No 31 43 41 34 29 DK/NA 4 3 2 4 8 51. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 86% 99% 93% 76% 88% 84% 94% 81% No 11 1 6 18 10 12 6 14 DK/NA 3 - - 6 2 4 1 5 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 85% 89% 90% 84% 78% 89% 80% No 12 9 6 13 18 10 13 DK/NA 4 2 3 2 4 2 6 52. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 66% 71% 69% 74% 66% 58% 63% 68% 76% 61% No 31 29 28 24 32 37 31 31 21 36 DK/NA 3 - 3 2 2 4 6 1 3 3 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 68% 56% 65% 62% 74% No 29 37 30 36 22 DK/NA 2 7 5 2 4 53. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 73% 82% 76% 83% 75% 62% 72% 74% 79% 70% No 22 18 19 14 21 31 24 20 17 24 DK/NA 5 - 5 4 4 8 4 6 4 6 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 76% 63% 74% 72% 72% No 20 28 22 24 19 DK/NA 4 9 4 4 10 54. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 67% 88% 73% 79% 67% 55% 65% 68% 67% 67% No 28 12 22 16 28 38 30 26 29 27 DK/NA 6 - 5 5 5 6 5 6 4 7 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 70% 53% 64% 65% 71% No 25 39 33 29 23 DK/NA 5 8 3 7 7 55. Would you say that - John Kasich cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 62% 69% 62% 65% 60% 61% 63% 62% 79% 56% No 23 19 23 21 25 22 28 18 11 28 DK/NA 15 13 15 14 15 17 10 20 10 16 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 63% 62% 62% 59% 69% No 24 18 23 27 14 DK/NA 14 20 15 15 17 56. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 93% 91% 97% 92% 92% 94% 96% 92% No 6 8 3 7 7 5 3 8 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 93% 93% 97% 89% 92% 91% 97% No 6 6 2 10 8 8 3 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 57. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 60% 70% 58% 58% 61% 60% 62% 58% 60% 61% No 37 25 41 38 37 38 34 40 38 36 DK/NA 3 5 2 3 2 2 4 2 1 4 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 61% 55% 58% 61% 58% No 35 43 40 37 37 DK/NA 3 2 2 2 5 58. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of experience to be President or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 74% 82% 75% 71% 79% 71% 74% 75% No 18 12 17 22 17 20 21 17 DK/NA 7 6 8 8 4 9 5 9 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 75% 71% 84% 70% 64% 75% 74% No 18 20 8 25 29 19 18 DK/NA 7 9 8 5 7 6 8 59. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 74% 79% 71% 81% 73% 71% 75% 73% 82% 70% No 23 15 23 15 24 28 22 24 17 26 DK/NA 3 7 6 4 3 1 3 3 1 4 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 75% 67% 77% 72% 72% No 22 29 19 26 24 DK/NA 3 4 4 3 4 60. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 54% 58% 59% 66% 53% 45% 51% 56% 61% 51% No 39 36 35 27 38 51 43 36 33 42 DK/NA 7 6 7 7 9 4 5 9 6 7 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 55% 50% 55% 54% 54% No 39 39 41 40 36 DK/NA 6 11 5 6 10 61. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 68% 94% 75% 82% 64% 62% 68% 68% 68% 67% No 26 2 19 13 29 35 26 25 30 25 DK/NA 6 4 6 5 7 4 6 6 2 8 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 71% 58% 69% 69% 64% No 23 35 26 24 28 DK/NA 6 7 5 7 8 62. Would you say that - John Kasich has the right kind of experience to be President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 59% 63% 61% 65% 58% 56% 62% 56% 73% 54% No 25 20 25 22 27 25 27 23 16 29 DK/NA 16 17 14 13 15 19 12 21 11 17 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 58% 62% 62% 56% 65% No 26 21 23 26 22 DK/NA 16 17 16 18 13 63. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton shares your values or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 75% 75% 81% 72% 69% 80% 81% 72% No 21 22 19 23 26 17 16 25 DK/NA 4 3 - 5 5 3 3 4 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 76% 72% 70% 76% 82% 71% 82% No 20 24 26 21 14 26 13 DK/NA 4 4 4 3 4 3 5 64. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 60% 68% 61% 57% 68% 54% 67% 53% 58% 61% No 34 25 34 37 28 39 30 39 39 32 DK/NA 6 7 5 6 4 7 3 8 3 7 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 62% 50% 60% 59% 59% No 31 44 36 35 34 DK/NA 6 5 4 6 7 65. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders shares your values or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 82% 98% 90% 71% 82% 83% 91% 78% No 13 2 8 21 13 13 8 17 DK/NA 4 - 2 7 5 4 2 6 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 83% 79% 90% 79% 71% 85% 78% No 13 16 8 16 21 13 15 DK/NA 4 5 2 5 8 2 8 66. Would you say that - Jeb Bush shares your values or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 69% 72% 74% 75% 67% 67% 66% 73% 76% 66% No 25 23 21 21 28 27 29 22 20 28 DK/NA 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 4 6 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 72% 62% 73% 66% 72% No 24 31 22 29 22 DK/NA 4 8 4 5 7 67. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 70% 77% 75% 84% 67% 59% 68% 71% 78% 66% No 23 22 21 14 24 30 25 21 17 25 DK/NA 8 2 5 2 9 11 7 9 5 9 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 72% 60% 65% 71% 74% No 21 29 25 24 18 DK/NA 7 11 9 5 8 68. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 67% 92% 76% 81% 69% 52% 69% 64% 66% 67% No 27 6 20 14 26 40 28 27 30 26 DK/NA 6 2 3 5 4 8 3 9 5 7 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 70% 53% 62% 68% 71% No 24 38 32 28 22 DK/NA 5 9 7 4 6 69. Would you say that - John Kasich shares your values or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 57% 59% 62% 60% 58% 52% 58% 55% 73% 51% No 23 20 21 20 25 22 28 18 14 26 DK/NA 21 21 17 20 16 25 14 27 13 23 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 56% 61% 57% 52% 68% No 25 16 23 26 14 DK/NA 20 23 20 22 18 70. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton would have a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee in the general election for President or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 83% 85% 88% 79% 86% 81% 86% 81% No 13 8 9 17 12 13 9 15 DK/NA 4 7 3 4 2 6 5 4 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 85% 76% 83% 81% 86% 79% 88% No 10 23 13 15 9 16 8 DK/NA 5 1 4 4 5 5 3 71. Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 77% 72% 77% 78% 81% 74% 77% 77% 79% 77% No 18 18 20 14 14 25 17 18 18 17 DK/NA 5 10 4 8 5 2 6 5 2 6 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 78% 73% 74% 79% 77% No 17 20 21 17 16 DK/NA 5 7 5 4 7 72. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders would have a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee in the general election for President or not? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Yes 69% 77% 70% 63% 73% 65% 60% 73% No 22 14 22 26 21 22 33 16 DK/NA 10 9 8 10 5 13 7 11 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Yes 69% 68% 78% 59% 67% 64% 76% No 22 22 14 30 22 25 16 DK/NA 10 10 8 11 11 11 8 73. Would you say that - Jeb Bush would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 32% 36% 35% 37% 32% 30% 36% 29% 37% 30% No 60 53 57 53 60 67 57 63 56 62 DK/NA 8 11 8 10 7 4 7 8 7 8 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 33% 28% 31% 30% 36% No 59 65 61 63 56 DK/NA 8 7 8 7 9 74. Would you say that - Marco Rubio would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 61% 71% 68% 74% 57% 52% 61% 60% 65% 60% No 30 23 24 17 32 41 32 28 29 31 DK/NA 9 6 7 8 11 7 7 11 7 10 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 63% 53% 58% 63% 62% No 29 34 33 31 27 DK/NA 8 13 9 6 11 75. Would you say that - Ted Cruz would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 60% 84% 67% 78% 55% 48% 64% 57% 53% 63% No 32 8 25 14 34 47 30 33 38 29 DK/NA 8 8 8 8 11 6 7 10 8 9 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 64% 45% 57% 61% 60% No 29 43 37 30 31 DK/NA 7 12 6 9 9 76. Would you say that - John Kasich would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Yes 35% 41% 36% 39% 33% 33% 34% 35% 42% 32% No 53 53 51 50 55 55 58 49 46 56 DK/NA 12 6 13 11 12 12 8 16 12 12 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Yes 34% 37% 29% 32% 49% No 55 48 63 56 38 DK/NA 11 15 8 12 13 77. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Shares values 14% 18% 18% 10% 14% 14% 21% 11% Cares needs/problems 30 38 30 27 30 30 21 35 Strong leadership 15 14 9 18 13 17 16 15 Honest/trustworthy 16 10 11 23 18 15 14 17 Right experience 14 9 16 16 13 14 14 14 Best chance/winning 8 11 10 5 8 7 12 5 DK/NA 3 - 6 2 4 2 2 3 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Shares values 13% 19% 17% 12% 12% 16% 11% Cares needs/problems 31 29 34 30 22 29 34 Strong leadership 14 18 9 20 22 16 13 Honest/trustworthy 17 13 18 14 18 16 18 Right experience 14 12 13 14 13 12 15 Best chance/winning 8 5 7 9 6 9 5 DK/NA 3 3 2 1 7 2 4 78. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Shares values 22% 23% 25% 29% 20% 18% 23% 21% 23% 21% Cares needs/problems 14 15 10 7 17 17 13 14 12 15 Strong leadership 26 25 19 20 30 28 22 30 23 28 Honest/trustworthy 23 22 28 29 19 23 24 22 18 25 Right experience 4 3 3 1 3 6 3 5 5 2 Best chance/winning 9 9 11 10 8 6 11 7 16 6 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Shares values 20% 27% 24% 24% 14% Cares needs/problems 13 18 28 8 7 Strong leadership 27 23 21 28 26 Honest/trustworthy 25 17 16 27 29 Right experience 3 7 2 6 3 Best chance/winning 9 6 9 6 13 DK/NA 3 2 1 2 8 79. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS......................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Economy and jobs 45% 36% 45% 50% 49% 42% 47% 44% Terrorism 5 4 6 5 5 5 3 6 Immigration 3 2 - 5 3 2 1 4 Federal deficit 2 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 Health care 13 14 7 15 7 18 9 16 Foreign policy 7 6 9 7 8 6 11 5 Climate change 8 11 13 4 10 6 9 7 Race relations 4 6 5 2 4 4 6 3 Abortion 2 6 2 1 - 4 5 - Gun policy 3 4 7 2 4 3 3 4 Taxes 3 3 1 3 2 3 1 3 DK/NA 5 4 4 4 3 6 3 6 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Dem Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Wht NonWht Economy and jobs 43% 52% 46% 51% 34% 46% 45% Terrorism 6 2 4 3 10 3 8 Immigration 2 5 4 3 - 2 4 Federal deficit 3 1 2 4 2 3 1 Health care 14 11 10 16 16 13 14 Foreign policy 8 5 4 9 9 8 6 Climate change 7 10 10 4 9 10 3 Race relations 5 1 5 1 6 2 5 Abortion 3 - 3 2 1 3 1 Gun policy 3 4 4 2 6 4 2 Taxes 3 - 4 1 2 2 4 DK/NA 3 9 4 4 5 3 6 80. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Economy and jobs 36% 27% 26% 26% 37% 43% 38% 33% 42% 32% Terrorism 18 21 21 25 14 16 16 21 14 20 Immigration 7 13 9 10 10 3 8 6 4 8 Federal deficit 7 9 8 6 10 6 9 6 11 6 Health care 3 3 5 3 4 2 2 4 2 4 Foreign policy 10 2 14 8 10 13 6 14 10 10 Climate change - - - - - 1 1 - 1 - Race relations 1 2 - - 1 1 1 - 1 1 Abortion 4 5 6 8 2 3 2 6 5 4 Gun policy 6 13 5 5 6 4 8 3 2 7 Taxes 2 2 1 1 3 3 3 2 5 1 DK/NA 6 3 6 7 3 5 6 5 2 7 PARTYID... AGE IN YRS....... Rep Ind 18-44 45-64 65+ Economy and jobs 35% 37% 40% 37% 27% Terrorism 19 15 11 21 21 Immigration 7 6 6 9 6 Federal deficit 7 7 6 8 8 Health care 3 2 1 4 7 Foreign policy 9 14 15 7 11 Climate change - 1 1 - 1 Race relations 1 1 2 - - Abortion 5 2 4 3 7 Gun policy 6 6 9 4 3 Taxes 2 3 4 1 2 DK/NA 5 6 2 7 7 Sample and Methodology detail