December 13, 2017 - Support For GOP Tax Plan Could Hurt Candidates, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; U.S. Voters Say 7-1 DACA Immigrants Should Stay Quinnipiac University Polling Logo

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American voters disapprove of the pending Republican tax plan 55 - 26 percent, and 43 percent say they are less likely to vote for a U.S. Senator or Congressperson who supports the plan, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Another 18 percent say they are more likely to vote for someone who supports the plan and 35 percent say support for the tax plan won't matter.

Republicans support the tax plan 66 - 11 percent. Every other party, gender, education, age and racial group listed opposes the plan, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Only 16 percent of American voters say the tax plan will reduce their taxes, while 44 percent say it will increase their taxes and 30 percent say the tax plan will have little impact.

The wealthy will benefit most from the tax plan, 65 percent of voters say. The middle class will benefit most, 21 percent say, and 4 percent say low-income people will benefit most.

On another pending issue, 77 percent of American voters say undocumented children brought to the U.S. as children should be allowed to stay and to apply for citizenship.

Another 7 percent say these immigrants should be allowed to stay, but not apply for citizenship and 12 percent say they should be required to leave the U.S.

"American voters pan the tax plan making its way through Congress towards President Donald Trump's desk - and warn candidates it could be a poison pill at the polling place," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Empathy for the immigrants in blunt terms and big numbers. Voters say don't dump the DACA kids and forget about building that wall."

American voters oppose 62 - 36 percent building a wall on the border with Mexico. Support for the wall is 83 - 14 percent among Republicans and 52 - 45 percent among white voters with no college degree. Among white men, 50 percent support the wall, with 47 percent opposed. All white voters oppose the wall 53 - 45 percent. Also opposing the wall are black voters 94 - 5 percent and Hispanic voters 81 - 19 percent.

The abortion issue continues to divide the nation, with stronger support among women and younger voters:
  • 21 percent of voters, including 28 percent of voters 18 to 34 years old, say abortion should be legal in all cases;
  • 39 percent of voters, including 42 percent of 18 to 34-year-olds, say it should be legal in most cases;
  • 22 percent of voters, including 18 percent of 18 to 34-year-olds, say it should be illegal in most cases;
  • 12 percent of voters, including 9 percent of 18 to 34-year-olds, say it should be illegal in all cases.
From December 6 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,211 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points, including the design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and Colorado as a public service and for research.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              20%    47%     6%    14%    22%    18%    21%    26%
Disapprove           72     43     90     78     71     74     73     66
DK/NA                 8     10      4      8      7      9      7      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              19%    20%    21%    17%    25%    22%    23%     4%    19%
Disapprove           68     75     72     77     69     69     69     88     74
DK/NA                13      5      7      6      6      9      7      9      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                     App     Dis     DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         20      72       8
Nov 14, 2017         15      79       6
Oct 11, 2017         17      77       6
Sep 27, 2017         15      78       7
Jun 29, 2017         25      70       5
Jun 08, 2017         19      73       7
May 25, 2017         21      70       9
May 10, 2017         22      71       7
Apr 19, 2017         24      68       7
Apr 04, 2017         21      70       9
Mar 22, 2017         29      64       7
Feb 22, 2017         31      62       8
Link to full trend on website
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              30%     7%    60%    25%    27%    34%    32%    22%
Disapprove           61     89     33     64     67     56     60     69
DK/NA                 8      4      7     10      6     10      8      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              34%    36%    27%    28%    25%    29%    27%    45%    47%
Disapprove           49     60     66     66     70     60     65     46     44
DK/NA                17      4      7      7      5     11      8      9      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                     App     Dis     DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         30      61       8
Nov 14, 2017         29      63       8
Oct 11, 2017         28      65       8
Sep 27, 2017         29      63       8
Jun 29, 2017         29      64       7
Jun 08, 2017         28      63       9
May 25, 2017         28      63       9
May 10, 2017         34      58       9
Apr 19, 2017         29      63       7
Apr 04, 2017         34      57       9
Mar 22, 2017         30      60      10
Feb 22, 2017         32      59       8
Link to full trend on website
 
 
5. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Republican Party     37%    92%     3%    30%    43%    32%    41%    55%
Democratic Party     49      4     94     47     43     55     52     33
DK/NA                13      4      3     23     14     13      7     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Republican Party     25%    35%    41%    43%    52%    44%    48%     3%    18%
Democratic Party     51     52     49     49     38     46     42     81     63
DK/NA                25     13     10      8     10     10     10     16     19
 
TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?
                     Rep     Dem
                     Party   Party   DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         37      49      13
Dec 05, 2017         36      50      13 
Nov 14, 2017         38      51      11
Oct 11, 2017         41      49      10
Sep 27, 2017         38      47      15
Aug 24, 2017         38      50      11
Aug 17, 2017         40      50      10
Aug 03, 2017         38      52      10
Jun 29, 2017         41      51       9
Jun 08, 2017         39      51      10
May 10, 2017         38      54       8
Link to full trend on website
 
 
6. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Republican Party     39%    92%     3%    33%    46%    32%    41%    55%
Democratic Party     51      5     96     50     44     58     53     34
DK/NA                10      3      1     17     10     10      6     11
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Republican Party     30%    35%    42%    43%    54%    43%    48%     3%    22%
Democratic Party     50     55     51     50     38     48     43     87     68
DK/NA                19     10      7      7      8      9      8     10     10
 
TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
                     Rep     Dem
                     Party   Party   DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         39      51      10
Dec 05, 2017         37      51      12 
Nov 14, 2017         39      52       8
Oct 11, 2017         43      49       8
Sep 27, 2017         40      49      12
Aug 24, 2017         40      51       9
Aug 17, 2017         41      51       8
Aug 03, 2017         39      53       8
Jun 29, 2017         41      51       8
Jun 08, 2017         39      52       8
Link to full trend on website
 
 
14. As you may know, Congress must pass a new spending bill in order to prevent a government shutdown, which then must be signed by President Trump. If a government shutdown does occur, who would you blame more: Republicans in Congress, Democrats in Congress, or President Trump?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Republicans          33%     8%    51%    38%    34%    33%    40%    26%
Democrats            29     68      2     25     36     23     30     40
President Trump      21      7     36     21     15     26     15     17
DK/NA                17     17     10     17     15     18     15     17
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Republicans          38%    38%    32%    31%    34%    32%    33%    35%    37%
Democrats            18     26     32     34     41     30     35      1     21
President Trump      19     22     21     21     10     21     16     49     29
DK/NA                24     14     14     15     16     17     16     15     13
 
TREND: As you may know, Congress must pass a new spending bill in order to prevent a government shutdown, which then must be signed by President Trump. If a government shutdown does occur, who would you blame more: Republicans in Congress, Democrats in Congress, or President Trump? (* by December 8th, ** by April 28th)
                     Reps    Dems    Trump   DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         33      29      21      17
Dec 05, 2017 *       31      31      26      12
Apr 20, 2017 **      38      32      15      15
Apr 05, 2017 **      36      28      18      18
 
 
20. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Legal all cases      21%     9%    32%    22%    17%    25%    24%    17%
Legal most cases     39     21     50     43     39     39     40     36
Illegal most cases   22     43      7     21     26     19     23     28
Illegal all cases    12     22      7      9     12     12      8     14
DK/NA                 5      5      4      5      6      5      6      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Legal all cases      28%    23%    18%    17%    15%    24%    20%    23%    25%
Legal most cases     42     40     37     39     38     38     38     45     38
Illegal most cases   18     23     26     24     29     23     26     12     14
Illegal all cases     9     10     11     15     11     11     11     15     19
DK/NA                 3      4      8      5      7      4      5      5      4
 
TREND: Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                     LEGAL.......    ILLEGAL....
                     All     Most    Most    All     DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         21      39      22      12       5
Feb 08, 2017         27      35      23      11       4
Jan 27, 2017         28      36      22       9       5 
Jan 12, 2017         28      34      21      11       6 
Nov 23, 2016         26      38      22      10       4 
Link to full trend on website
 
 
21. If you agreed with a political candidate on other issues, but not on the issue of abortion, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  64%    58%    66%    66%    72%    56%    67%    62%
No                   29     33     27     27     21     35     27     30
DK/NA                 7      8      7      6      6      9      6      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  67%    71%    63%    57%    74%    55%    64%    66%    63%
No                   28     24     28     34     20     36     28     24     36
DK/NA                 5      5      9     10      7      8      8      9      1
 
                     ABORTION Q20 SHOULD BE..
                     LEGAL......   ILLEGAL...
                     All    Most   Most   All
 
Yes                  60%    77%    63%    27%
No                   32     18     31     59
DK/NA                 8      5      6     13
 
 
22. Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              36%    83%     4%    30%    43%    30%    37%    52%
Oppose               62     14     95     67     56     68     61     45
DK/NA                 2      3      1      3      2      3      2      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              19%    33%    40%    42%    50%    39%    45%     5%    19%
Oppose               80     65     58     53     47     57     53     94     81
DK/NA                 1      2      2      5      2      3      3      1      -
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
                     Sup     Opp     DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         36      62       2
Sep 28, 2017         37      60       3
May 11, 2017         33      64       3 
Apr 20, 2017         33      64       3 
Apr 05, 2017         33      64       3 
Feb 23, 2017         37      60       3
Feb 08, 2017         38      59       3
Nov 23, 2016         42      55       3 
 
 
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the Republican tax plan?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              26%    66%     3%    20%    35%    19%    30%    36%
Disapprove           55     11     91     61     50     60     56     40
DK/NA                18     23      6     19     15     21     14     24
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              20%    25%    31%    28%    39%    27%    33%     1%    17%
Disapprove           60     61     55     49     44     51     48     80     72
DK/NA                20     14     14     23     16     22     19     19     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the Republican tax plan?
                     App     Dis     DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         26      55      18
Dec 05, 2017         29      53      18
Nov 15, 2017         25      52      23
 
 
24. Do you think the Republican tax plan will increase your taxes, reduce your taxes, or will it not have much impact either way?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Increase taxes       44%    13%    68%    48%    39%    48%    42%    33%
Reduce taxes         16     32      7     14     21     12     21     17
Not much impact      30     41     18     32     31     29     31     37
DK/NA                10     13      6      7      9     10      6     13
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Increase taxes       46%    45%    45%    40%    35%    40%    38%    68%    57%
Reduce taxes         13     20     21     11     23     15     19     11      6
Not much impact      29     27     28     38     34     34     34     12     21
DK/NA                13      8      7     11      8     11     10      9     15
 
TREND: Do you think the Republican tax plan will increase your taxes, reduce your taxes, or will it not have much impact either way?
                                     No
                     Incr    Reduce  Impact  DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         44      16      30      10
Dec 05, 2017         41      20      32       8
Nov 15, 2017         35      16      36      12
 
 
25. Who do you think will benefit the most from this plan: low income Americans, middle class Americans, or wealthy Americans?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Low income            4%    11%     1%     3%     3%     5%     4%     6%
Middle class         21     48      3     18     26     17     25     25
Wealthy              65     26     95     72     61     69     64     55
DK/NA                 9     16      2      7     10      9      7     14
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Low income            5%     3%     5%     3%     4%     6%     5%     -      5%
Middle class         16     20     21     26     28     23     25      4     17
Wealthy              68     71     64     61     58     60     59     94     69
DK/NA                12      6     10     10     10     11     11      3      9
 
TREND: Who do you think will benefit the most from this plan: low income Americans, middle class Americans, or wealthy Americans?
                     Low     Middle          
                     Income  Class   Wealthy DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017          4      21      65       9
Dec 05, 2017          5      24      64       8
Nov 15, 2017          6      24      61       9
 
 
26. If your U.S. Senator or Congressperson voted for the Republican tax plan, does that make you more likely to vote for their reelection, less likely to vote for their reelection, or won't it matter much either way?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More likely          18%    42%     3%    16%    22%    15%    21%    23%
Less likely          43      8     69     47     40     45     48     33
Won't matter         35     45     26     36     35     36     28     41
DK/NA                 3      5      3      1      3      4      3      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          14%    16%    22%    22%    25%    19%    22%     6%    11%
Less likely          47     47     40     40     38     43     41     51     48
Won't matter         34     35     36     34     35     34     34     36     37
DK/NA                 5      2      2      5      2      4      3      7      3
 
 
27. If your U.S. Senator or Congressperson voted against the Republican tax plan, does that make you more likely to vote for their reelection, less likely to vote for their reelection, or won't it matter much either way?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More likely          36%     5%    64%    38%    34%    38%    41%    26%
Less likely          21     41      8     17     25     17     25     23
Won't matter         40     50     26     43     38     41     32     47
DK/NA                 4      4      2      3      4      4      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely          42%    38%    34%    33%    32%    35%    34%    46%    40%
Less likely          11     18     25     24     27     21     24     11     13
Won't matter         41     43     38     36     38     41     40     36     41
DK/NA                 5      1      2      7      2      3      3      8      6
 
 
30. Which comes closest to your view about undocumented immigrants who were brought to the U.S. as children? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
A) Stay/Citizenship  77%    57%    91%    81%    72%    82%    79%    72%
B) Stay/Not citizen   7     13      4      7     10      5      8     10
C) Not stay          12     25      4      9     14     11     11     14
DK/NA                 3      5      -      3      4      2      3      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
A) Stay/Citizenship  83%    78%    76%    78%    69%    80%    75%    86%    89%
B) Stay/Not citizen   4      7      8      9     11      6      9      3      3
C) Not stay          12     11     14      9     15     11     13     10      7
DK/NA                 1      4      2      4      5      2      4      1      1
 
TREND: Which comes closest to your view about undocumented immigrants who were brought to the U.S. as children? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
                     Stay/   Stay/   Not 
                     Citiz   NotCit  Stay    DK/NA
 
Dec 13, 2017         77       7      12       3
Sep 28, 2017         82       6      10       2