October 2, 2018 - GOP Cuts Into Dem Lead In House Races, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; More Voters Want Democrats To Control Senate Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Five weeks before the Midterm Elections, 49 percent of American voters back the Democratic candidate in their local race for the U.S. House of Representatives and 42 percent support the Republican candidate, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.

This compares to the results of a September 12 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll, showing Democrats with a 52 - 38 percent lead.

White voters back Republicans 52 - 42 percent. Democrats win 82 - 10 percent support among black voters and lead 63 - 28 percent among Hispanic voters.

American voters say 50 - 43 percent they want Democrats to control the U.S. Senate.

American voters disapprove 53 - 41 percent of the job President Donald Trump is doing, compared to a 54 - 38 percent disapproval September 10.

"The numbers suggest the big blue wave may have lost some of its momentum as House races tighten. President Donald Trump's approval remains deeply in the red," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"But five weeks out, voters prefer Democrats to take control of the Senate, putting the more elusive prize for Democrats within reach."

From September 27 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,111 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic candidate or more toward the Republican candidate?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Democratic candidate 49%     5%    95%    50%    43%    55%    51%    33%
Republican candidate 42     92      3     39     48     37     43     59
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
DK/NA                 8      3      3     10      9      7      6      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic candidate 54%    54%    43%    51%    35%    47%    42%    82%    63%
Republican candidate 35     37     50     45     58     46     52     10     28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      -      -      1      -      1      -      1
DK/NA                 9      9      6      4      6      7      6      8      7
 
TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic candidate or more toward the Republican candidate?
                                     SMONE
                     Dem     Rep     ELSE    DK/NA
 
Oct 02, 2018         49      42       -       8
Sep 12, 2018         52      38       -       9
Aug 15, 2018         51      42       1       7
Jul 25, 2018         51      39       -      10
Jul 02, 2018         50      41       1       8
 
 
2. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Republican Party     43%    91%     4%    41%    50%    37%    43%    60%
Democratic Party     50      6     94     51     42     57     53     33
DK/NA                 8      3      2      8      9      6      4      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Republican Party     36%    36%    51%    46%    60%    45%    52%     9%    29%
Democratic Party     58     56     43     50     34     50     43     83     64
DK/NA                 6      9      6      4      6      5      6      8      7
 
TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?
                     Rep     Dem
                     Party   Party   DK/NA
 
Oct 02, 2018         43      50       8
Jun 20, 2018         44      49       7
Jun 06, 2018         41      48      11
Apr 25, 2018         42      48      10
Apr 11, 2018         43      46      10
Mar 21, 2018         43      49       8
Mar 07, 2018         39      49      12
Feb 20, 2018         39      54       7
Feb 07, 2018         42      49       9
Jan 24, 2018         39      53       8
See additional trend information at top of page


3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              41%    83%     8%    37%    48%    35%    40%    58%
Disapprove           53     12     90     53     44     60     56     36
DK/NA                 6      4      2     10      7      6      3      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              35%    35%    48%    44%    56%    44%    49%     8%    24%
Disapprove           57     60     47     53     38     52     45     80     70
DK/NA                 8      5      5      3      6      4      5     12      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
                     App     Dis     DK/NA
 
Oct 02, 2018         41      53       6
Sep 10, 2018         38      54       8
Aug 14, 2018         41      54       5
Jul 24, 2018         38      58       4
Jul 03, 2018         40      55       4
Jun 20, 2018         43      52       6 
Jun 06, 2018         40      51       8
Apr 25, 2018         39      54       7
Apr 10, 2018         41      52       7
Mar 21, 2018         40      53       7
See additional trend information at top of page


3a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q3) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve strongly     31%    70%     4%    24%    36%    27%    31%    44%
Approve smwht        10     13      4     13     12      8      9     13
Disapprove smwht      6      5      6      7      7      5      4      5
Disapprove strongly  46      7     84     46     37     55     52     30
DK/NA                 7      5      2     11      8      6      4      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve strongly     25%    24%    36%    37%    43%    34%    38%     6%    20%
Approve smwht         9     11     12      7     14     10     11      2      5
Disapprove smwht      4      9      6      5      5      5      5     12     10
Disapprove strongly  53     51     40     48     32     47     40     68     61
DK/NA                 9      5      6      3      7      4      6     12      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
                     APPROVE......   DISAPPROVE.....
                     Strngly Smwht   Smwht   Strngly DK/NA
 
Oct 02, 2018         31      10       6      46       7
Sep 10, 2018         27      10       6      48       9
Aug 14, 2018         30      10       6      48       6
Jul 24, 2018         28      10       7      51       5
Jul 03, 2018         30      10       8      47       5
Jun 20, 2018         32      10       5      47       6 
Jun 06, 2018         29      11       8      44       9
Apr 25, 2018         31       8       6      47       8
Apr 10, 2018         30      10      10      42       7
Mar 21, 2018         30       9       7      46       8
See additional trend information at top of page