May 24, 2016 - Mayor de Blasio's Job Approval Drops To New Low, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Stringer Or Adams Close To Mayor In Reelect Race Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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New York City voters give Mayor Bill de Blasio a negative 41 - 52 percent job approval rating, down from a positive 50 - 42 percent approval rating in January and the mayor's worst approval rating ever, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters say 52 - 37 percent that Mayor de Blasio does not deserve reelection, also his worst score ever, and he runs neck and neck with possible challengers in the 2017 mayoral election, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Hypothetical election results show:
  • de Blasio at 37 percent and City Comptroller Scott Stringer, running as an independent, at 36 percent;
  • de Blasio at 35 percent and Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, running as an independent, at 34 percent;
  • de Blasio over Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz, Jr., running as an independent, 37 - 32 percent.
There is a wide racial gap in each matchup as black voters back the mayor by large margins, even against a black challenger, while white voters back any challenger.

"Heading into his re-election year, Mayor Bill de Blasio is not in good political shape. His job approval hits rock bottom and he even is losing ground among black and Hispanic voters," said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Maurice Carroll.

"The three possible challengers we matched up against de Blasio, a black borough president, a white city comptroller and a Hispanic borough president, are all little known, but all three are close. In fact, Mayor de Blasio against either Comptroller Scott Stringer or Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams is too close to call."

New York City voters give Mayor de Blasio a negative 42 - 49 percent favorability rating, while three possible challengers are largely unknown:
  • 59 percent don't know enough about Stringer to form an opinion of him;
  • 73 percent don't know enough about Adams;
  • 68 percent don't know enough about Diaz.
Gov. Andrew Cuomo gets a 56 - 35 percent job approval rating from New York City voters. Democrats approve of the governor 65 - 30 percent, compared to the mayor's 58 - 37 percent approval among Democrats.

Approval ratings for other New York City officials are:
  • 53 - 16 percent for Stringer;
  • 40 - 20 percent for Public Advocate Letitia James;
  • 29 - 23 percent for City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito, her lowest ever;
  • Negative 29 - 34 percent for Schools Chancellor Carmen Farina, her lowest ever.
De Blasio also gets his lowest scores on character traits as voters say 41 - 53 percent that he does not have strong leadership qualities and 42 - 51 percent that he does not understand their problems. While 43 percent say the mayor is honest and trustworthy, 45 percent say he is not.

New York City voters are divided 44 - 43 percent on their approval of the way the mayor is handling relations between blacks and whites. He gets negative approval scores in other areas:
  • 39 - 53 percent for his handling of crime;
  • 35 - 50 percent for handling public schools;
  • 35 - 57 percent for handling relations between the police and the community;
  • 33 - 47 percent for handling the city budget.
"Even on the personal traits - leadership, empathy and honesty - the mayor's numbers are negative. The same on issues - crime, schools, the police, the budget - it's thumbs down," Carroll said.

"The mayor's off-and-on adversary, Gov. Andrew Cuomo, has strong job approval numbers. Do voters identify with the Gov on ideology? Not particularly, but even in that area, Cuomo out-points the mayor 34 - 23 percent."

From May 18 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,038 New York City voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Scott Stringer running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
de Blasio            37%    11%    53%    21%    37%    38%    22%    59%    50%
Stringer             36     50     24     54     38     34     51     20     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      4      1      3      2      2      3      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      8      4      7      7      4      5      4      4
DK/NA                20     28     18     15     17     22     20     15     17
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
de Blasio            47%    39%    37%    34%    22%    37%    38%    36%    46%
Stringer             24     32     42     38     46     31     39     37     33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      4      4      1      1      4      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      3      6      5      8      5      4      6      4
DK/NA                21     23     14     19     20     25     18     17     14
 
 
2. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Eric Adams running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
de Blasio            35%     8%    51%    19%    37%    34%    22%    51%    47%
Adams                34     48     24     50     35     34     39     28     34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      6      3      3      3      4      5      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6     11      3      9      9      4      9      4      3
DK/NA                21     26     19     19     17     24     25     15     15
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
de Blasio            49%    33%    37%    31%    28%    31%    36%    38%    41%
Adams                27     39     30     32     49     37     39     32     31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      3      1      9      2      5      2      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      7      4      4      8     11      6      4      9      5
DK/NA                18     21     28     20     10     21     19     18     19
 
 
3. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Ruben Diaz Jr. running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
de Blasio            37%    13%    51%    19%    40%    34%    24%    58%    39%
Diaz Jr.             32     40     22     50     33     30     37     22     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      7      2      4      3      3      5      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      9      4      8      7      5      9      5      2
DK/NA                23     31     21     19     17     28     26     14     19
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
de Blasio            36%    43%    40%    32%    20%    33%    36%    39%    43%
Diaz Jr.             39     25     28     34     48     38     38     28     26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      3      2      6      3      1      4      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      7      8      9      4      5      9      6
DK/NA                21     24     24     21     20     25     18     19     21
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            42%    18%    58%    25%    41%    44%    27%    63%    55%
Unfavorable          49     74     34     68     52     46     65     28     34
Hvn't hrd enough      5      5      5      5      6      5      5      4      9
REFUSED               4      3      3      2      2      5      4      5      2
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            50%    44%    45%    36%    31%    44%    41%    43%    48%
Unfavorable          43     45     41     58     68     47     53     49     43
Hvn't hrd enough      5      7      7      3      1      9      4      4      5
REFUSED               1      4      6      3      -      -      2      5      4
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Eric Adams favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            20%    19%    22%    17%    20%    20%    16%    31%    18%
Unfavorable           6      8      4      9      9      3      7      4      5
Hvn't hrd enough     73     73     73     73     69     75     76     63     76
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      2      -
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            12%    31%    15%    16%    19%    15%    21%    24%    23%
Unfavorable           5      7      2      9     10      6      7      5      5
Hvn't hrd enough     83     61     80     75     69     78     71     69     71
REFUSED               1      1      2      -      1      1      -      1      2
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Scott Stringer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            30%    28%    31%    29%    33%    28%    39%    23%    23%
Unfavorable           8      8      8     10     12      6     10      9      5
Hvn't hrd enough     59     64     58     59     54     64     51     68     70
REFUSED               2      -      3      1      2      2      -      -      1
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            21%    29%    46%    25%    24%    18%    31%    37%    35%
Unfavorable           6      7      8     12      7      5     10      9      8
Hvn't hrd enough     72     63     40     62     69     78     56     51     55
REFUSED               1      1      5      1      1      -      3      3      1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Ruben Diaz Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            21%     9%    25%    20%    20%    21%    13%    26%    36%
Unfavorable           9      7      9     10     12      6      7      9      9
Hvn't hrd enough     68     82     63     69     66     70     79     63     52
REFUSED               2      2      3      1      2      3      1      3      2
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            44%    11%    26%    14%    17%    26%    21%    17%    24%
Unfavorable          14      8      9      9      6      6     11     11      8
Hvn't hrd enough     39     80     59     76     76     68     68     68     64
REFUSED               3      1      6      2      1      -      -      4      4
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Mayor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              41%    16%    58%    21%    40%    42%    27%    58%    55%
Disapprove           52     77     37     72     55     50     68     31     41
DK/NA                 7      7      6      7      6      8      5     11      4
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              48%    41%    46%    37%    26%    43%    41%    42%    45%
Disapprove           46     48     47     58     73     47     53     54     48
DK/NA                 6     10      8      5      1      9      6      4      6
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Carmen Farina is handling her job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              29%    22%    36%    20%    30%    29%    22%    31%    39%
Disapprove           34     45     26     46     34     34     41     29     26
DK/NA                36     34     38     34     36     36     37     40     35
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              27%    30%    28%    32%    29%    37%    24%    32%    30%
Disapprove           34     32     34     33     49     23     44     34     36
DK/NA                39     38     38     35     22     40     31     34     34
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Letitia James is handling her job as Public Advocate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              40%    21%    51%    26%    35%    44%    25%    63%    46%
Disapprove           20     34     11     30     24     15     28      8     18
DK/NA                41     45     38     44     41     41     47     28     36
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              39%    51%    27%    45%    22%    44%    40%    43%    36%
Disapprove           17     18     18     18     39     11     21     21     24
DK/NA                44     32     55     37     39     44     39     36     40
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Melissa Mark-Viverito is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              29%    18%    37%    20%    28%    30%    22%    37%    34%
Disapprove           23     35     17     32     28     19     31     16     21
DK/NA                47     47     46     48     44     51     47     47     45
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              27%    32%    30%    30%    16%    34%    29%    29%    29%
Disapprove           19     23     21     23     40     17     24     26     29
DK/NA                54     45     49     47     45     50     46     45     43
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Stringer is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              53%    44%    55%    56%    54%    51%    59%    52%    42%
Disapprove           16     21     17     13     19     15     12     16     26
DK/NA                31     35     29     31     27     34     29     33     32
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              46%    53%    55%    52%    61%    46%    50%    59%    56%
Disapprove           19     15     19     13     19     16     20     15     14
DK/NA                35     32     26     36     20     38     30     26     29
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              56%    42%    65%    48%    56%    57%    50%    68%    58%
Disapprove           35     43     30     45     38     33     43     25     31
DK/NA                 8     15      5      7      5     11      8      7     11
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              63%    56%    56%    61%    35%    52%    56%    64%    55%
Disapprove           23     35     39     34     54     35     41     32     35
DK/NA                14      9      5      5     10     12      3      4     10
 
 
17. Do you feel that Bill de Blasio deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Deserves         37%    14%    53%    18%    36%    38%    22%    59%    48%
No/Does not          52     79     36     70     54     49     67     29     43
DK/NA                11      7     11     13      9     13     10     12      9
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         47%    38%    38%    33%    22%    38%    34%    40%    44%
No/Does not          44     50     47     59     66     51     59     51     45
DK/NA                10     12     14      9     12     12      7      9     10
 
 
18. Who do you think most closely represents your political views: Governor Andrew Cuomo, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, or neither?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Cuomo                34%    29%    35%    36%    35%    33%    37%    29%    29%
de Blasio            23      7     34      8     20     25     15     32     31
Neither              39     60     25     55     43     35     44     30     36
DK/NA                 5      3      5      2      2      7      4      9      4
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Cuomo                34%    28%    38%    40%    25%    27%    35%    40%    35%
de Blasio            24     27     26     15     14     22     25     22     25
Neither              33     38     34     43     60     46     38     33     33
DK/NA                 9      7      2      3      2      6      1      5      7
 
 
19. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very satisfied        5%     5%     6%     3%     6%     4%     3%     7%     4%
Smwht satisfied      39     21     51     24     39     38     33     43     40
Smwht dissatisfied   32     31     28     40     29     34     35     29     29
Very dissatisfied    24     42     15     31     25     23     27     20     27
DK/NA                 1      1      -      2      -      1      1      -      -
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        3%     6%     4%     6%     -      3%     4%     6%     6%
Smwht satisfied      39     40     43     36     27     42     40     37     40
Smwht dissatisfied   30     34     30     30     33     34     32     31     28
Very dissatisfied    28     18     21     26     39     19     24     26     25
DK/NA                 -      -      1      1      -      1      1      -      1
 
 
21. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  41%    15%    54%    29%    40%    41%    25%    60%    48%
No                   53     79     42     64     56     50     70     32     45
DK/NA                 6      7      5      7      4      9      5      8      7
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  50%    43%    35%    41%    29%    43%    42%    39%    46%
No                   43     48     60     54     67     52     53     58     49
DK/NA                 7      8      5      5      4      5      5      3      6
 
 
22. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - understands the problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  42%    15%    57%    24%    39%    44%    31%    61%    46%
No                   51     81     36     67     57     46     64     29     49
DK/NA                 7      4      7      8      4     10      5      9      5
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  47%    43%    45%    40%    21%    32%    47%    43%    47%
No                   47     49     48     51     76     59     50     51     46
DK/NA                 6      8      7      9      2      9      3      6      7
 
 
23. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  43%    17%    59%    25%    44%    41%    33%    62%    43%
No                   45     77     27     66     48     42     58     22     44
DK/NA                13      6     14      9      8     17      9     15     13
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  47%    46%    53%    32%    27%    33%    43%    49%    51%
No                   37     40     38     54     68     53     45     41     37
DK/NA                16     14      9     15      5     13     12     10     12
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - crime?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              39%    11%    53%    25%    40%    38%    28%    54%    42%
Disapprove           53     85     39     65     54     51     65     36     52
DK/NA                 8      4      9     10      6     11      7     10      6
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              39%    36%    45%    38%    33%    27%    42%    44%    42%
Disapprove           49     54     46     54     66     66     52     49     47
DK/NA                11      9      9      8      -      7      7      7     11
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - the public schools?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              35%    20%    44%    22%    39%    31%    24%    47%    41%
Disapprove           50     64     40     67     47     53     59     38     47
DK/NA                15     16     16     11     14     16     17     16     11
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              31%    38%    36%    31%    34%    42%    31%    34%    35%
Disapprove           55     47     45     54     60     50     56     48     47
DK/NA                14     15     19     15      6      8     13     17     18
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - relations between blacks and whites?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              44%    20%    58%    30%    44%    44%    36%    58%    50%
Disapprove           43     71     30     56     46     41     53     25     38
DK/NA                13      9     12     14     10     15     10     17     13
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              49%    46%    47%    41%    27%    33%    44%    52%    50%
Disapprove           37     36     44     49     66     51     47     38     38
DK/NA                15     18      9     10      7     16      8     11     12
 
 
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - relations between the police and the community?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              35%    16%    47%    22%    35%    36%    25%    54%    36%
Disapprove           57     80     45     70     60     54     67     36     59
DK/NA                 8      4      8      8      5     10      7     10      5
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              35%    38%    38%    33%    22%    27%    36%    36%    45%
Disapprove           54     53     53     60     77     68     59     57     46
DK/NA                11      8      9      7      1      5      5      7     10
 
 
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - the city budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              33%    14%    47%    15%    37%    30%    26%    46%    35%
Disapprove           47     65     35     63     46     48     54     32     46
DK/NA                20     21     18     21     18     22     20     22     18
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              36%    39%    32%    27%    27%    38%    25%    40%    34%
Disapprove           39     40     47     57     58     45     57     46     39
DK/NA                25     20     21     16     15     17     18     14     27
 
 
 

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