March 7, 2007 - Giuliani Leads Clinton In Two Of Three Swing States, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; FLORIDA: Giuliani Over Clinton 47 - 42; Clinton-McCain Tied at 44 - 44; OHIO: Clinton 44 to Giuliani 43; Clinton tops McCain 45 - 42; PENNSYLVANIA: Giuliani Tops Clinton 51 - 40; McCain Up 47 - 41 Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani is the early favorite over New York Sen. Hillary Clinton or Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in Quinnipiac University's Swing State Poll, three simultaneous surveys of voter opinion in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, states that have been pivotal in presidential elections since 1964.

Giuliani leads Clinton 47 - 42 percent in Florida and 51 - 40 percent in Pennsylvania, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Clinton gets 44 percent to Giuliani's 43 percent in Ohio.

Giuliani bests Obama 48 -36 percent in Florida, 44 - 40 percent in Ohio and 48 - 36 percent in Pennsylvania.

In all of these matchups, Giuliani leads among independent voters and scores 12 percent or higher among Democrats. In Pennsylvania, he gets 20 percent of Democratic voters against either Clinton or Obama, and 19 percent against Edwards.

"Because of Electoral College math, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are critical in presidential elections," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "No candidate since 1964 has taken the White House without taking at least two of these swing states. And while Mayor Rudolph Giuliani is ahead in Florida and Pennsylvania, it's early in the race and our Swing States remain very much in play."

"You would think Rudolph Giuliani had been mayor of Miami, Cleveland and Philadelphia by his numbers," Brown added.

"Giuliani is ahead among independents, and has ratings among Democrats that should make party chairman Howard Dean nervous and President George W. Bush jealous. That used to be Sen. John McCain's calling card. But although McCain remains well-liked among independents and Democrats, he's lost a step to the new guy in the race."

Florida Findings

Looking at other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Florida, the Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll finds:
  • Clinton tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 48 - 36 percent;
  • Giuliani tops 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards 48 - 40 percent;
  • McCain tops Obama 43 - 39 percent;
  • McCain edges Edwards 43 - 41 percent;
  • Obama tops Romney 43 - 34 percent;
  • Edwards beats Romney 48 - 32 percent.
In a Democratic primary matchup, Clinton gets 38 percent, followed by 13 points each for Obama and former Vice President Al Gore and 6 percent for Edwards.

Among Republican primary voters, Giuliani gets 38 percent, followed 18 percent for McCain, 14 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and 6 percent for Romney.

By a 56 - 20 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Giuliani. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 48 - 39 percent for Clinton;
  • 46 - 24 percent for McCain;
  • 40 - 19 percent for Obama, with 39 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion;
  • 46 - 23 percent for Edwards;
  • 64 percent haven't heard enough about Romney to form an opinion.
Ohio Results

In other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Ohio:
  • Edwards edges Giuliani 45 - 42 percent;
  • Giuliani beats Obama 44 - 40 percent;
  • Clinton bests Romney 51 - 31 percent;
  • Obama inches by McCain 42 - 39 percent;
  • Edwards beats McCain 45 - 38 percent;
  • Obama tops Romney 47 - 26 percent;
  • Edwards beats Romney 52 - 26 percent.
Clinton leads in a Democratic primary matchup with 32 percent, followed by 19 percent for Obama, 13 percent for Edwards and 11 percent for Gore.

In a Republican primary, Giuliani gets 35 percent, followed 18 percent for McCain, 13 percent for Gingrich and 3 percent for Romney.

Giuliani gets a 53 - 22 percent favorability rating from Ohio voters. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 49 - 41 percent for Clinton;
  • 44 - 24 percent for McCain;
  • 40 - 17 percent for Obama, with 41 percent who haven't heard enough;
  • 47 - 24 percent for Edwards;
  • 70 percent haven't heard enough about Romney to form an opinion.
Pennsylvania Results

In other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Pennsylvania:
  • Giuliani beats Obama 48 - 36 percent;
  • Giuliani tops Edwards 52 - 35 percent;
  • Clinton bests Romney 46 - 37 percent;
  • McCain beats Obama 43 - 38 percent;
  • McCain beats Edwards 44 - 38 percent;
  • Obama tops Romney 45 - 31 percent;
  • Edwards beats Romney 47 - 31 percent.
Clinton leads in a Democratic primary with 29 percent, followed by 18 percent for Obama, 16 percent for Gore and 11 percent for Edwards.

Among Republicans, Giuliani gets 43 percent, followed 17 percent for McCain, 8 percent for Gingrich and 6 percent for Romney.

Giuliani gets a 61 - 18 percent favorability rating from Pennsylvania voters. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 44 - 45 percent for Clinton;
  • 48 - 21 percent for McCain;
  • 42 - 16 percent for Obama, with 41 percent who haven't heard enough;
  • 42 - 26 percent for Edwards;
  • 71 percent haven't heard enough about Romney to form an opinion.
"Although Sen. Barack Obama loses most trial heats to either of the leading Republicans, and trails Sen. Clinton among Democratic primary voters, he has much more room to grow his candidacy than she does. Her negative ratings among independents and Republicans are high enough to be worrisome and that means her strategy must be to emulate Bush's in 2004 - turn out the party faithful," said Brown.

"Ironically, John Edwards finds himself dropping further behind in the nomination fight while there are indications he might be the party's best vote-getter in November in Ohio."

"It's a good thing for Romney he has raised a lot of money because he has a long way to go to introduce himself to the voters."

From February 25 - March 4 Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,125 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 429 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent, and 442 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent;
  • 1,281 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent, including 438 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent, and 503 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent;
  • 1,134 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 495 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent, and 488 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent; The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.


1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore, Chris Dodd, Joe Biden, John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Wesley Clark and Dennis Kucinich for whom would you vote?
                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        FL      OH      PA
                                           
Gore                    13%     11%     16%
Dodd                     -       -       - 
Biden                    4       2       3 
Edwards                  6      13      11 
Richardson               2       1       1 
Clinton                 38      32      29 
Obama                   13      19      18 
Clark                    1       1       - 
Kucinich                 1       2       1 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       3 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       1       2 
DK/NA                   18      16      16 
 
 
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tommy Thompson, Jim Gilmore, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, George Pataki, Tom Tancredo and Ron Paul for whom would you vote?
                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                        FL      OH      PA
                                           
Giuliani                38%     35%     43%
McCain                  18      18      17 
Romney                   6       3       6 
Gingrich                14      13       8 
Hunter                   1       1       - 
Brownback                1       -       1 
Thompson                 1       2       - 
Gilmore                  -       1       - 
Hagel                    -       1       1 
Huckabee                 1       -       - 
Pataki                   -       -       1 
Tancredo                 1       1       - 
Paul                     -       -       - 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       3       1 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       1       3 
DK/NA                   16      19      18 
 
 
1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were -- for whom would you vote?
                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
FL......................Tot     Men     Wom
 
Gore                    13%     14%     13%
Dodd                     -       -       -
Biden                    4       8       1
Edwards                  6       7       6
Richardson               2       2       2
Clinton                 38      27      44
Obama                   13      13      13
Clark                    1       1       -
Kucinich                 1       1       1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       2       3
DK/NA                   18      22      15
 
OH......................Tot     Men     Wom
 
Gore                    11%     14%      8%
Dodd                     -       -       -
Biden                    2       1       3
Edwards                 13      16      10
Richardson               1       2       -
Clinton                 32      26      38
Obama                   19      19      18
Clark                    1       1       -
Kucinich                 2       4       1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         1       1       2
DK/NA                   16      12      19
 
PA......................Tot     Men     Wom
 
Gore                    16%     20%     14%
Dodd                     -       1       -
Biden                    3       5       2
Edwards                 11      15       7
Richardson               1       2       1 
Clinton                 29      21      35
Obama                   18      16      18
Clark                    -       1       -
Kucinich                 1       2       -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       4       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       2
DK/NA                   16      13      19
 
 
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were -- for whom would you vote?
                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.........
                                                WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Giuliani                38%     38%     38%     34%
McCain                  18      20      16      14
Romney                   6       8       4       6
Gingrich                14      19      10      17
Hunter                   1       2       1       2
Brownback                1       1       -       -
Thompson                 1       1       1       2
Gilmore                  -       -       -       -
Hagel                    -       1       -       -
Huckabee                 1       -       2       3
Pataki                   -       -       1       -
Tancredo                 1       1       1       -
Paul                     -       -       -       -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       -       5       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -
DK/NA                   16       9      23      21
 
                                                WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Giuliani                35%     32%     39%     33%
McCain                  18      20      15      17
Romney                   3       2       5       4
Gingrich                13      16       9      12
Hunter                   1       1       -       -
Brownback                -       -       -       1
Thompson                 2       3       1       -
Gilmore                  1       2       1       2
Hagel                    1       1       -       -
Huckabee                 -       1       -       1
Pataki                   -       -       -       -
Tancredo                 1       2       1       -
Paul                     -       -       -       1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       2       4       5
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         1       2       1       1
DK/NA                   19      16      23      23
 
                                                WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
Giuliani                43%     41%     44%     35%
McCain                  17      18      16      18
Romney                   6       6       5       3
Gingrich                 8      11       6      10
Hunter                   -       -       -       1
Brownback                1       1       -       1
Thompson                 -       1       -       -
Gilmore                  -       -       -       1
Hagel                    1       2       -       1
Huckabee                 -       1       -       -
Pataki                   1       1       1       1
Tancredo                 -       -       -       -
Paul                     -       -       -       -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       3       2
DK/NA                   18      14      23      28
 
 
3-11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were -- the Democrat and -- the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL      OH      PA
 
Clinton                 42%     44%     40%
Giuliani                47      43      51 
 
Obama                   36%     40%     36%
Giuliani                48      44      48 
 
Edwards                 40%     45%     35%
Giuliani                48      42      52 
 
 
 
Clinton                 44%     45%     41%
McCain                  44      42      47 
 
Obama                   39%     42%     38%
McCain                  43      39      43 
 
Edwards                 41%     45%     38%
McCain                  43      38      44 
 
 
 
Clinton                 48%     51%     46%
Romney                  36      31      37 
 
Obama                   43%     47%     45%
Romney                  34      26      31 
 
Edwards                 48%     52%     47%
Romney                  32      26      31 
 
 
3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Clinton                 42%    44%     40%
Giuliani                47     43      51 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1      1       1 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2      2       1 
DK/NA                    8      9       7 
 
 
3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 42%      8%     76%     37%     38%     45%     22%
Giuliani                47      84      16      50      53      41      69
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       -       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       2       1       3       4       2       3
DK/NA                    8       5       7       9       4      11       6
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 44%      6%     81%     35%     39%     48%     31%
Giuliani                43      84      12      45      48      39      59
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       -       3       2       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       1       4       3       1       3
DK/NA                    9       7       6      12       7      11       7
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 40%      8%     73%     39%     33%     45%     20%
Giuliani                51      87      20      47      59      44      68
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       1       2       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         1       1       1       2       1       2       1
DK/NA                    7       3       5      11       5       9       9
 
 
4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Obama                   36%    40%     36%
Giuliani                48     44      48 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1      2       2 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4      2       2 
DK/NA                   12     12      11 
 
 
4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   36%      5%     65%     35%     35%     37%     21%
Giuliani                48      83      19      49      51      45      67
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       3       3       4       5       3       2
DK/NA                   12       9      12      11       8      15       8
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   40%      7%     74%     34%     37%     43%     26%
Giuliani                44      81      16      44      49      39      58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       1       2       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       2       4       3       2       3
DK/NA                   12      10       7      16       9      15      13
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   36%      7%     67%     36%     32%     40%     22%
Giuliani                48      84      20      40      55      43      62
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       -       2       3       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       2       3       2       2       1
DK/NA                   11       7       8      18      10      13      14
 
 
5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Edwards                 40%    45%     35%
Giuliani                48     42      52 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -      1       1 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3      2       2 
DK/NA                   10     10       9 
 
 
5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 40%      9%     69%     37%     38%     41%     24%
Giuliani                48      81      20      49      53      44      65
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       -       -       -       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       2       2       5       4       2       2
DK/NA                   10       8      10       9       5      13       9
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 45%      7%     80%     40%     44%     45%     30%
Giuliani                42      84      10      43      45      39      56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       2       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       1       2       2       2       1
DK/NA                   10       7       8      14       8      13      12
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 35%      6%     69%     31%     32%     38%     24%
Giuliani                52      87      19      51      57      48      63
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       1       2       1       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       2       1       3       2       2       2
DK/NA                    9       5       9      12       8      11      10
 
 
6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Clinton                 44%    45%     41%
McCain                  44     42      47 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1      1       2 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2      2       3 
DK/NA                    8      9       7 
 
 
6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 44%      6%     80%     42%     37%     50%     22%
McCain                  44      83      12      44      51      37      68
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       2       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       2       1       3       3       2       2
DK/NA                    8       7       6       8       8       9       6
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 45%      8%     80%     38%     40%     50%     30%
McCain                  42      82      14      40      47      37      59
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       -       2       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       2       1       4       3       2       2
DK/NA                    9       6       5      15       8      11       8
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 41%      8%     77%     40%     33%     47%     19%
McCain                  47      81      17      44      57      39      65
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       1       5       2       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       5       1       3       3       3       4
DK/NA                    7       5       4       9       5       9       9
 
 
7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Obama                   39%    42%     38%
McCain                  43     39      43 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2      1       2 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3      2       4 
DK/NA                   14     15      13 
 
 
7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   39%      7%     69%     38%     36%     41%     22%
McCain                  43      79      15      40      49      37      63
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       2       2       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       3       3       5       2       2
DK/NA                   14      10      12      16       8      18      13
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   42%     10%     72%     39%     38%     46%     28%
McCain                  39      76      16      35      47      32      51
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       1       2       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       2       4       3       1       2
DK/NA                   15      11       9      20      10      19      18
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   38%     10%     68%     39%     35%     41%     21%
McCain                  43      73      21      36      50      37      57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       4       1       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       5       1       6       4       3       5
DK/NA                   13      11       8      16      10      15      15
 
 
8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Edwards                 41%    45%     38%
McCain                  43     38      44 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1      1       2 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3      2       4 
DK/NA                   12     14      12 
 
 
8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 41%      9%     73%     38%     40%     42%     27%
McCain                  43      80      14      41      50      37      58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       2       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       2       2       4       4       2       2
DK/NA                   12       8      11      15       6      17      12
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 45%     10%     78%     39%     43%     47%     31%
McCain                  38      78      10      37      42      34      51
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       2       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       1       3       3       2       1
DK/NA                   14      10       9      19      10      17      15
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 38%      9%     72%     34%     34%     41%     24%
McCain                  44      77      16      41      51      39      59
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       4       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       5       1       6       5       3       4
DK/NA                   12       8       9      14       9      16      12
 
 
9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Clinton                 48%    51%     46%
Romney                  36     31      37 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1      2       3 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2      4       3 
DK/NA                   12     13      11 
 
 
9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 48%     12%     83%     45%     42%     52%     27%
Romney                  36      76       8      31      43      31      58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       -       2       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       1       2       4       3       2       3
DK/NA                   12       9       7      19      11      13      11
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 51%     13%     85%     46%     47%     55%     36%
Romney                  31      72       6      26      35      28      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       -       4       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       2       2       7       4       3       3
DK/NA                   13      12       8      17      12      13      12
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Clinton                 46%     13%     81%     46%     41%     50%     25%
Romney                  37      75       8      30      45      30      56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       1       2       6       3       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       3       3       3       4       4
DK/NA                   11       7       7      15       8      13      14
 
 
10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Obama                   43%    47%     45%
Romney                  34     26      31 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2      2       2 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4      4       4 
DK/NA                   18     21      18 
 
 
10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   43%      9%     74%     42%     40%     45%     24%
Romney                  34      69       7      32      40      28      52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       2       2       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       3       4       5       5       3       5
DK/NA                   18      18      13      20      13      22      18
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   47%     16%     76%     42%     43%     50%     34%
Romney                  26      60       7      19      32      20      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       1       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       3       2       8       6       3       4
DK/NA                   21      19      13      29      16      25      25
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Obama                   45%     14%     77%     48%     43%     47%     26%
Romney                  31      64       6      23      38      25      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       1       5       2       3       4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       3       3       5       3       4       3
DK/NA                   18      17      13      19      15      21      20
 
 
11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        FL     OH      PA 
 
Edwards                 48%    52%     47%
Romney                  32     26      31 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1      1       2 
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3      3       4 
DK/NA                   15     17      16 
 
 
11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 48%     14%     79%     48%     47%     48%     29%
Romney                  32      70       6      27      38      28      50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       1       2       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       2       2       5       3       3       2
DK/NA                   15      13      11      18      10      19      17
  
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 52%     16%     84%     52%     51%     54%     38%
Romney                  26      64       3      17      30      22      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       2       -       2       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       1       2       7       4       3       2
DK/NA                   17      17      11      23      14      20      21
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Edwards                 47%     16%     80%     46%     47%     47%     35%
Romney                  31      66       4      22      37      26      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       5       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       4       3       6       3       5       3
DK/NA                   16      13      11      21      11      20      18
 
 
12-17. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her/him?
                        FL      OH      PA 
- Hillary Clinton
Favorable               48%     49%     44%
Unfavorable             39      41      45 
Hvn't hrd enough         9       9       9 
REFUSED                  3       2       2 
 
- Barack Obama
Favorable               40%     40%     42%
Unfavorable             19      17      16 
Hvn't hrd enough        39      41      41 
REFUSED                  2       2       1 
 
- John McCain
Favorable               46%     44%     48%
Unfavorable             24      24      21 
Hvn't hrd enough        27      30      29 
REFUSED                  3       2       2 
 
- Rudy Giuliani                            
Favorable               56%     53%     61%
Unfavorable             20      22      18 
Hvn't hrd enough        22      23      19 
REFUSED                  2       2       3 
 
- Mitt Romney                              
Favorable               20%     14%     16%
Unfavorable             14      15      12 
Hvn't hrd enough        64      70      71 
REFUSED                  2       2       1 
 
- John Edwards                             
Favorable               46%     47%     42%
Unfavorable             23      24      26 
Hvn't hrd enough        29      26      30 
REFUSED                  1       2       2
 
 
12-17. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her/him? 12. - Hillary Clinton.
                        FL      OH      PA 
 
Favorable               48%     49%     44%
Unfavorable             39      41      45 
Hvn't hrd enough         9       9       9 
REFUSED                  3       2       2 
 
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               48%     14%     81%     44%     42%     53%     25%
Unfavorable             39      77       8      41      48      33      62
Hvn't hrd enough         9       6       9      11       7      11      10
REFUSED                  3       2       2       4       3       2       2
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               49%     14%     79%     43%     42%     55%     36%
Unfavorable             41      79      12      42      47      35      54
Hvn't hrd enough         9       7       7      13       9       8       9
REFUSED                  2       1       2       2       2       2       1
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               44%     12%     76%     43%     37%     51%     24%
Unfavorable             45      79      15      40      54      37      65
Hvn't hrd enough         9       8       6      14       8       9       8
REFUSED                  2       1       2       2       1       3       2
 
 
13. - Barack Obama.
                        FL      OH      PA 
 
Favorable               40%     40%     42%
Unfavorable             19      17      16 
Hvn't hrd enough        39      41      41 
REFUSED                  2       2       1 
 
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               40%     22%     53%     44%     38%     42%     28%
Unfavorable             19      28      10      21      26      13      23
Hvn't hrd enough        39      46      36      33      33      44      47
REFUSED                  2       4       1       1       2       2       2
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               40%     28%     52%     37%     38%     42%     28%
Unfavorable             17      28       9      17      22      12      23
Hvn't hrd enough        41      42      37      44      36      45      46
REFUSED                  2       2       1       2       3       1       3
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               42%     21%     60%     51%     41%     42%     24%
Unfavorable             16      32       6      10      21      12      25
Hvn't hrd enough        41      46      33      39      37      44      50
REFUSED                  1       1       1       -       1       1       1
 
 
14. - John McCain.
                        FL      OH      PA 
 
Favorable               46%     44%     48%
Unfavorable             24      24      21 
Hvn't hrd enough        27      30      29 
REFUSED                  3       2       2 
 
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               46%     59%     36%     47%     52%     42%     55%
Unfavorable             24      16      30      24      29      20      21
Hvn't hrd enough        27      24      30      23      16      35      23
REFUSED                  3       1       3       5       3       3       2
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               44%     62%     33%     43%     52%     37%     50%
Unfavorable             24      13      35      22      26      21      18
Hvn't hrd enough        30      24      30      35      19      40      30
REFUSED                  2       1       2       1       2       1       1
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               48%     58%     40%     50%     52%     44%     46%
Unfavorable             21      16      28      18      22      20      18
Hvn't hrd enough        29      23      30      31      23      34      32
REFUSED                  2       3       2       1       3       2       4
 
 
15. - Rudy Giuliani.
                        FL      OH      PA 
 
Favorable               56%     53%     61%
Unfavorable             20      22      18 
Hvn't hrd enough        22      23      19 
REFUSED                  2       2       3 
 
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               56%     78%     38%     59%     59%     54%     61%
Unfavorable             20       6      32      19      23      18      13
Hvn't hrd enough        22      13      29      19      15      27      24
REFUSED                  2       2       2       2       3       2       2
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               53%     76%     35%     50%     56%     49%     57%
Unfavorable             22       7      35      22      24      20      15
Hvn't hrd enough        23      15      27      25      18      28      26
REFUSED                  2       1       3       2       2       2       2
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               61%     80%     45%     58%     64%     58%     64%
Unfavorable             18       6      30      17      18      17      11
Hvn't hrd enough        19      13      22      21      15      22      22
REFUSED                  3       1       3       4       3       3       3
 
 
16. - Mitt Romney.
                        FL      OH      PA 
 
Favorable               20%     14%     16%
Unfavorable             14      15      12 
Hvn't hrd enough        64      70      71 
REFUSED                  2       2       1 
 
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               20%     36%     10%     17%     26%     15%     25%
Unfavorable             14       6      20      14      17      11      10
Hvn't hrd enough        64      57      69      67      55      72      63
REFUSED                  2       2       1       2       2       2       2
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               14%     28%      6%     10%     16%     11%     15%
Unfavorable             15       5      23      15      19      11      10
Hvn't hrd enough        70      65      70      74      63      76      73
REFUSED                  2       2       1       1       1       2       2
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA.......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               16%     29%      6%     15%     20%     12%     17%
Unfavorable             12       5      19      12      14      10       6
Hvn't hrd enough        71      64      73      73      65      76      74
REFUSED                  1       2       2       -       1       2       3
 
 
17. - John Edwards.
                        FL      OH      PA 
 
Favorable               46%     47%     42%
Unfavorable             23      24      26 
Hvn't hrd enough        29      26      30 
REFUSED                  1       2       2 
 
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               46%     24%     61%     52%     47%     45%     33%
Unfavorable             23      46       6      23      29      19      32
Hvn't hrd enough        29      30      32      24      22      35      35
REFUSED                  1       -       1       1       2       1       1
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               47%     22%     69%     45%     46%     48%     37%
Unfavorable             24      46       9      23      29      20      30
Hvn't hrd enough        26      29      20      31      21      31      30
REFUSED                  2       3       2       1       4       1       3
 
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl
 
Favorable               42%     20%     68%     38%     41%     43%     32%
Unfavorable             26      44       9      25      33      19      32
Hvn't hrd enough        30      34      22      35      23      36      34
REFUSED                  2       2       -       2       3       1       2