March 14, 2019 - 51% Of Florida Voters Say They Won't Vote For Trump, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Biden Is Most Favorable Dem By Wide Margin Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
PDF format
Trend Information
Sample and Methodology detail

A bare majority of Florida voters, 51 percent, say they definitely won't vote for President Donald Trump if he is the Republican candidate in the 2020 presidential race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 31 percent say they definitely would vote for the president and 14 percent say they would consider voting for him.

Definitely voting for President Trump are 75 percent of Republicans, 2 percent of Democrats and 21 percent of independent voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Florida voters give Trump a negative 40 - 52 percent favorability rating.

Former Vice President Joseph Biden gets a positive 49 - 35 percent favorability rating, including 78 - 8 percent among Democrats and 46 - 28 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old.

Biden's favorability rating is way ahead of other Democratic contenders:
  • Negative 37 - 49 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, including a positive 61 - 26 percent among Democrats and a divided 38 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old;
  • Negative 26 - 44 percent for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, including a positive 54 - 16 percent among Democrats and negative 15 - 30 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old;
  • Negative 23 - 30 percent for U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris of California;
  • Negative 20 - 30 percent for U.S. Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey.
The percentage of voters who haven't heard enough to form an opinion about each of the other candidates ranges from 56 percent to 90 percent.

"As he ponders a final decision on running for president, former Vice President Joseph Biden is getting some good news from the nation's most important voters," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Biden scores best by a mile when Florida voters are asked to rate their feelings about various Democratic presidential candidates," Brown added.

"Florida voters have been the key to winning the Electoral College in several presidential elections. Biden has a healthy 49 - 35 percent favorability rating, the only potential candidate with more voters viewing him favorable than not. Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are about as well-known as Biden, but they are both viewed negatively overall.

"And among younger less well-known aspirants, none has an overall positive rating."

The possible candidates about whom Florida voters have not heard enough include:
  • Former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke of Texas - 56 percent haven't heard enough;
  • U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York - 67 percent;
  • U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota - 72 percent;
  • Former Gov. John Hickenlooper of Colorado - 85 percent;
  • Washington Gov. Jay Inslee - 90 percent.
President Trump's Approval

With a big thumbs down from women, Florida voters give President Trump a negative 41 - 53 percent approval rating. Women give Trump a negative 35 - 59 percent approval rating. Men are tied 47 - 47 percent.

From March 6 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,058 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. In the 2020 general election for president, if Donald Trump is the Republican candidate, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Definitely vote      31%    75%     2%    21%    36%    26%    36%    42%
Consider voting      14     14      2     24     16     13     12     18
Definitely not vote  51      8     95     49     43     57     49     38
DK/NA                 4      3      1      6      5      4      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Definitely vote      17%    26%    39%    36%    47%    33%    40%     6%    21%
Consider voting      28     18      7     11     16     14     15      8     19
Definitely not vote  46     53     51     51     36     49     43     85     51
DK/NA                 8      4      2      2      1      4      3      2     10
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            40%    86%     4%    35%    46%    35%    44%    53%
Unfavorable          52      7     94     53     45     57     52     39
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      1      5      5      3      2      2
REFUSED               4      3      1      7      4      4      3      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            36%    38%    44%    42%    57%    42%    49%    14%    35%
Unfavorable          48     55     52     52     38     50     45     80     53
Hvn't hrd enough      9      4      -      2      2      2      2      5      8
REFUSED               7      3      3      4      3      6      5      1      4
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            49%    19%    78%    51%    45%    53%    50%    41%
Unfavorable          35     66      8     32     39     31     37     46
Hvn't hrd enough     14     13     12     14     14     13      9     10
REFUSED               2      2      2      3      2      3      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            46%    49%    51%    50%    41%    49%    45%    82%    40%
Unfavorable          28     40     40     34     49     37     42      6     34
Hvn't hrd enough     26      9      6     11      9     10      9     10     25
REFUSED               -      2      2      5      2      4      3      2      1
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            37%     9%    61%    40%    33%    40%    34%    29%
Unfavorable          49     84     26     42     55     43     56     60
Hvn't hrd enough     12      7     11     15      9     14      7      8
REFUSED               3      1      3      4      3      3      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            38%    34%    39%    34%    26%    35%    31%    56%    39%
Unfavorable          40     54     52     51     67     51     58     27     39
Hvn't hrd enough     20     10      7     11      4     11      8     14     21
REFUSED               2      3      1      4      3      3      3      3      2
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Beto O'Rourke favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            19%     2%    39%    18%    17%    21%    23%    18%
Unfavorable          24     45      6     23     27     21     29     26
Hvn't hrd enough     56     51     53     58     54     57     47     56
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      2      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            14%    17%    24%    22%    19%    21%    20%    25%    15%
Unfavorable          18     20     28     26     34     22     28     10     20
Hvn't hrd enough     68     60     47     52     45     57     52     62     63
REFUSED               -      3      1      -      1      1      1      2      2
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Kamala Harris favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            23%     1%    48%    20%    20%    25%    24%    15%
Unfavorable          30     60      4     29     35     26     40     35
Hvn't hrd enough     46     38     47     50     44     48     35     49
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      2      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            13%    24%    27%    25%    16%    22%    19%    46%    18%
Unfavorable          18     29     36     34     45     32     37      7     25
Hvn't hrd enough     69     45     35     41     39     45     42     45     56
REFUSED               -      2      1      1      1      1      1      2      2
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            26%     3%    54%    25%    21%    31%    28%    19%
Unfavorable          44     77     16     43     52     38     53     55
Hvn't hrd enough     28     19     28     31     26     30     17     25
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      2      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            15%    23%    29%    33%    17%    28%    23%    41%    27%
Unfavorable          30     45     53     47     66     45     54     19     33
Hvn't hrd enough     55     30     16     18     16     26     22     40     39
REFUSED               -      2      1      2      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            20%     2%    38%    20%    19%    21%    24%    16%
Unfavorable          30     59      8     28     33     28     36     38
Hvn't hrd enough     48     38     53     50     47     49     39     45
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable             9%    16%    25%    28%    18%    22%    20%    33%    13%
Unfavorable          16     31     37     34     44     31     37     12     24
Hvn't hrd enough     75     52     37     38     36     46     42     55     61
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            10%     1%    21%     9%     9%    11%    14%     7%
Unfavorable          22     38     11     20     24     21     31     24
Hvn't hrd enough     67     60     67     70     67     66     54     67
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      -      2      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable             5%    10%    14%    11%     9%    12%    11%    12%     6%
Unfavorable          15     17     25     30     31     24     27      9     17
Hvn't hrd enough     80     73     60     58     60     62     61     76     76
REFUSED               -      1      1      2      1      1      1      3      1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Amy Klobuchar favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            11%     2%    22%    12%    11%    11%    15%    10%
Unfavorable          16     27     10     14     17     15     20     21
Hvn't hrd enough     72     71     68     74     71     73     65     69
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable             5%     8%    14%    17%    12%    13%    13%    14%     7%
Unfavorable          10     13     21     20     22     19     20     11      8
Hvn't hrd enough     85     79     65     62     65     68     67     74     84
REFUSED               -      1      -      1      1      -      -      1      1
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Jay Inslee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable             3%     1%     6%     2%     4%     2%     3%     3%
Unfavorable           7     10      7      2      8      6      6      6
Hvn't hrd enough     90     87     87     96     89     91     91     90
REFUSED               1      2      -      -      -      1      -      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable             2%     -      3%     5%     4%     2%     3%     5%     1%
Unfavorable           5      5     11      5      8      5      6     17      2
Hvn't hrd enough     92     94     86     88     88     92     90     78     96
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      -      1      -      -      1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable             5%     2%     7%     5%     4%     6%     6%     5%
Unfavorable          10     16      6      8     13      7     10     12
Hvn't hrd enough     85     80     86     87     83     86     82     83
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      1      1      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable             5%     4%     4%     7%     4%     7%     6%     5%     2%
Unfavorable           6      7     12     14     15      8     11     13      6
Hvn't hrd enough     89     89     84     78     81     84     83     82     91
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      1      1      1      -      1
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              41%    87%     2%    35%    47%    35%    46%    53%
Disapprove           53      8     98     55     47     59     51     40
DK/NA                 6      5      1      9      6      6      3      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              40%    37%    42%    42%    58%    43%    50%     8%    36%
Disapprove           53     54     52     53     38     50     45     84     58
DK/NA                 6      9      6      5      4      6      5      8      6