March 5, 2015 - Walker, Bush In Tight Race Among U.S. Republicans, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Clinton Sweeps Dem Field, With Biden In The Wings PDF format Sample and Methodology detail Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, with 18 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 16 percent, top the list of possible 2016 presidential nominees among Republican or Republican leaning voters nationwide, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee are at 8 percent each, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Physician Ben Carson has 7 percent, with 6 percent each for U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and 5 percent for U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. No other Republican contender tops 2 percent. Another 17 percent are undecided. If Walker does not run, Bush gets 18 percent, with 10 percent for Carson, 9 percent each for Christie and Huckabee, 8 percent each for Cruz and Paul and 7 percent for Rubio. If Bush is out of the race, Walker gets 20 percent, with 10 percent for Christie, 9 percent for Huckabee and 8 percent each for Carson and Rubio. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is the 2016 presidential choice of 56 percent of Democratic or Democratic leaning voters nationwide, with 14 percent for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, 10 percent for Vice President Joseph Biden and 4 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. Another 14 percent are undecided. If Secretary Clinton does not run, Vice President Biden gets 35 percent, with 25 percent for Sen. Warren and 7 percent for Sen. Sanders, with 25 percent undecided. "It's Gov. Scott Walker and former Gov. Jeb Bush head to head for the GOP and Hillary Clinton virtually unchallenged among Democrats. Her 4-1 margin over Sen. Elizabeth Warren and 5-1 lead over Vice President Joseph Biden say it's hers if she wants it," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. Christie and Bush lead the "no" list, as each candidate gets 16 percent when Republicans are asked if there is any candidate, they "would definitely not support." Biden leads the Democratic "no" list with 10 percent, followed by former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley with 8 percent. The biggest winner on the "no" list is Donald Trump, as 51 percent of all voters say they definitely would not vote for him and 25 percent say they probably would not vote for him. "Donald Trump gets a rousing 'you're fired' before he even declares his intentions," Malloy added. Only 30 percent of all American voters want the next president to continue with President Barack Obama's policies, while 59 percent want the next president to "change direction." In a general election match-up, Clinton gets 45 percent to Bush's 42 percent. The Democrat tops other Republicans: 46 - 39 percent over Christie; 47 - 41 percent over Paul; 47 - 40 percent over Huckabee; 46 - 41 percent over Rubio; 48 - 39 percent over Walker; 48 - 38 percent over Cruz. With a divided 48 - 45 percent, Clinton has the highest favorability rating among all American voters. Favorability ratings for Republican contenders are: Negative 32 - 39 percent for Christie; 31 - 31 percent for Paul; 34 - 32 percent for Huckabee; Negative 34 - 40 percent for Bush; 30 - 22 percent for Rubio, with 48 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion; 23 - 24 percent for Walker, with 52 percent who don't know enough about him; Negative 23 - 29 percent for Cruz, with 46 percent who don't know enough about him. From February 26 - March 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,286 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. The survey includes 554 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points and 493 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 16% 5% 15% 10% 19% 19% 14% 18% Carson 7 10 9 10 7 5 7 7 Christie 8 4 5 3 9 12 8 7 Cruz 6 12 7 8 6 5 7 6 Graham 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 Huckabee 8 14 12 10 7 7 7 9 Jindal 2 1 2 1 1 5 1 3 Kasich 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 Paul 6 9 4 5 6 6 8 3 Perry 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 Rubio 5 4 4 3 5 6 5 5 Santorum 2 - - 1 2 2 1 2 Walker 18 26 18 34 15 5 22 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - - 2 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 - 3 - 3 DK/NA 17 11 20 11 18 19 13 20 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................ Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 Apr 03 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Bush 16 11 10 11 11 11 10 Carson 7 8 na na na na na Christie 8 8 10 12 17 13 14 Cruz 6 5 8 9 13 10 na Graham 1 na na na na na na Huckabee 8 5 10 na na na na Jindal 2 2 1 3 3 3 3 Kasich 1 2 2 2 2 na na Paul 6 6 11 13 14 17 15 Perry 1 2 3 na na na na Rubio 5 2 6 8 7 12 19 Santorum 2 1 2 na na na na Walker 18 5 8 6 5 4 2 McDonnell na na na na na na 1 Portman na - na na na na na Romney na 19 na na na na na Ryan na 5 8 13 9 10 17 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 2 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 1 1 - DK/NA 17 16 20 22 17 19 18 2a. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q1 ASKING BUSH VOTERS: Who is your second choice? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... MATCHUP Q1 WITHOUT BUSH............................. Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Carson 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 5% 9% 7% Christie 10 4 7 4 10 19 10 11 Cruz 6 12 7 8 6 5 7 6 Graham 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 Huckabee 9 15 13 11 10 7 7 11 Jindal 3 1 2 1 1 6 1 4 Kasich 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 Paul 6 9 4 5 6 8 9 3 Perry 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 Rubio 8 4 8 7 7 10 8 9 Santorum 2 - - 1 2 2 1 2 Walker 20 26 19 35 18 6 25 15 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - - 3 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 - 4 - 4 DK/NA 20 13 24 12 24 23 16 25 2b. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q1 ASKING WALKER VOTERS: Who is your second choice? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... MATCHUP Q1 WITHOUT WALKER........................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 18% 7% 18% 13% 20% 21% 17% 20% Carson 10 15 12 16 8 6 10 10 Christie 9 4 5 4 10 13 10 8 Cruz 8 14 8 11 6 5 8 7 Graham 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 Huckabee 9 14 12 12 8 7 9 9 Jindal 4 3 5 4 3 5 4 5 Kasich 2 1 1 2 3 1 3 1 Paul 8 15 7 10 7 7 11 4 Perry 2 4 3 3 2 2 3 1 Rubio 7 5 5 6 8 6 8 6 Santorum 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 1 3 1 3 DK/NA 18 13 20 13 20 19 14 21 3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS...................... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Bush 16% 32% 16% 24% 15% 10% 18% 14% Carson 2 - 1 1 1 3 2 2 Christie 16 17 15 20 16 14 20 12 Cruz 6 1 1 2 6 12 7 5 Graham 6 9 5 8 5 6 7 5 Huckabee 6 6 3 6 5 8 8 4 Jindal 3 2 1 1 3 4 3 3 Kasich 2 2 2 3 1 3 2 2 Paul 9 5 6 9 8 11 9 8 Perry 6 4 5 4 5 10 7 6 Rubio 3 3 1 1 3 7 4 3 Santorum 4 1 2 3 3 5 4 3 Walker 2 - 1 1 1 5 1 3 No/No one 36 24 40 36 36 35 32 40 DK/NA 19 23 22 17 19 18 16 22 4. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 10% 6% 8% 12% 11% 9% Clinton 56 60 50 57 50 60 O'Malley - - - - - - Sanders 4 9 6 1 8 1 Warren 14 23 20 9 14 13 Webb 1 - 1 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 14 2 13 19 15 14 TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................... Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 May 02 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Biden 10 9 9 8 8 11 13 Clinton 56 57 58 65 66 61 65 O'Malley - 1 1 1 - - 1 Sanders 4 4 na na na na na Warren 14 13 11 7 7 7 na Webb 1 1 na na na na na Cuomo na na 4 3 3 2 4 Schweitzer na na 1 1 1 na na Dean na na na 2 1 na na Patrick na na na na na na 1 Warner na na na na na 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 2 - DK/NA 14 14 15 13 12 15 14 5. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q4 ASKING CLINTON VOTERS: Who is your second choice? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... MATCHUP Q4 WITHOUT CLINTON............ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 35% 32% 28% 40% 35% 35% O'Malley 1 - - 1 1 1 Sanders 7 13 12 2 12 3 Warren 25 43 29 19 23 28 Webb 3 1 3 3 4 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 1 DK/NA 25 7 24 31 21 29 TREND: RECALCULATED MATCHUP ASKING CLINTON VOTERS: Who is your second choice? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS MATCHUP WITHOUT CLINTON Mar 05 Nov 26 May 02 2015 2014 2013 Biden 35 34 45 O'Malley 1 2 3 Sanders 7 6 na Warren 25 25 na Webb 3 2 na Cuomo na na 15 Patrick na na 6 Warner na na 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 DK/NA 25 28 26 6. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, Warren, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Biden 10% 5% 11% 12% 8% 12% Clinton 5 2 1 8 3 6 O'Malley 8 10 5 10 9 8 Sanders 5 2 4 7 5 5 Warren 4 3 3 5 4 4 Webb 7 10 3 8 6 8 No/No one 50 54 59 45 54 48 DK/NA 24 22 20 26 24 24 8. Would you like to see the next President generally; continue with Barack Obama's policies or change direction from Barack Obama's policies? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Continue policies 30% 2% 64% 28% 29% 30% 27% 32% 30% Change direction 59 94 26 57 64 55 51 60 62 DK/NA 11 4 10 14 7 15 22 8 8 12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Clinton 46% 10% 87% 47% 43% 48% 44% 48% 45% Christie 39 79 7 36 41 38 38 39 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 - 3 3 2 6 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 7 - 5 8 3 4 6 6 DK/NA 7 3 6 8 5 9 9 5 7 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through Mar 2013) Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 46 43 47 46 41 42 49 Christie 39 42 38 38 42 43 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 6 5 3 4 3 DK/NA 7 8 7 9 9 9 9 13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Clinton 47% 10% 90% 48% 41% 51% 50% 47% 44% Paul 41 81 4 39 45 38 39 41 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 3 1 4 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 5 5 3 3 4 4 DK/NA 6 4 5 5 5 7 4 7 6 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through May 2013) Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 47 46 49 49 48 49 53 Paul 41 41 40 39 41 40 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 DK/NA 6 8 6 8 6 7 6 14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Clinton 47% 9% 90% 50% 44% 49% 47% 49% 44% Huckabee 40 83 5 33 42 38 34 39 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 - 2 4 2 6 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 7 6 3 4 5 3 DK/NA 7 3 5 8 5 8 8 6 7 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote? Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 2015 2014 2014 Clinton 47 46 49 Huckabee 40 41 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 DK/NA 7 8 6 15. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Clinton 45% 9% 90% 43% 41% 49% 50% 47% 41% Bush 42 81 4 41 44 40 36 40 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 - 2 3 2 6 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 1 6 6 3 4 6 4 DK/NA 6 3 5 8 6 7 4 6 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 May 31 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 Clinton 45 46 48 49 48 48 Bush 42 41 41 38 39 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 5 3 3 3 DK/NA 6 7 5 7 6 7 16. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Clinton 46% 9% 91% 46% 42% 50% 47% 48% 44% Rubio 41 85 4 37 45 38 35 40 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 2 2 2 6 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 6 5 2 4 4 3 DK/NA 7 4 4 9 6 9 9 7 7 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Mar 05 Mar 07 2015 2013 Clinton 46 50 Rubio 41 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 7 11 17. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Clinton 48% 10% 91% 51% 44% 51% 53% 49% 44% Walker 39 80 3 34 42 35 32 38 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 2 3 2 5 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 4 4 3 3 4 3 DK/NA 8 6 6 8 6 9 7 8 9 18. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Clinton 48% 10% 93% 49% 45% 51% 52% 49% 45% Cruz 38 80 2 34 41 35 36 36 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 - 3 2 3 4 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 5 5 3 2 4 4 DK/NA 7 6 5 8 6 9 5 9 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Mar 05 Nov 26 Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 2015 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 48 48 50 50 51 54 Cruz 38 37 35 37 36 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 3 3 3 DK/NA 7 9 10 7 7 9 19. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 48% 13% 88% 49% 43% 52% 54% 48% 45% Unfavorable 45 80 6 45 50 40 35 45 50 Hvn't hrd enough 6 6 5 5 5 7 11 6 4 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Feb 08 May 03 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2007 Favorable 48 50 48 51 53 61 44 Unfavorable 45 45 43 40 42 34 46 Hvn't hrd enough 6 3 8 7 4 4 7 REFUSED 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 20. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 32% 49% 19% 33% 36% 29% 28% 36% 33% Unfavorable 39 25 54 42 42 37 28 42 43 Hvn't hrd enough 26 25 27 23 20 32 42 22 21 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Dec 11 Oct 05 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2011 Favorable 32 38 37 33 47 47 23 Unfavorable 39 33 38 30 23 23 17 Hvn't hrd enough 26 27 23 34 28 28 59 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 21. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 31% 49% 10% 34% 36% 26% 31% 34% 29% Unfavorable 31 14 52 31 32 30 24 30 35 Hvn't hrd enough 37 36 36 33 29 43 45 34 34 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1 - 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Dec 11 Oct 02 Jul 12 May 31 2015 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 Favorable 31 35 32 34 30 31 32 Unfavorable 31 26 32 31 33 28 24 Hvn't hrd enough 37 37 36 33 37 39 42 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 22. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 34% 62% 9% 32% 39% 29% 22% 37% 38% Unfavorable 32 10 52 36 33 32 29 38 30 Hvn't hrd enough 33 27 39 32 27 39 49 25 31 REFUSED 1 - - - - 1 - - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Nov 22 Oct 31 2015 2014 2014 2010 2007 Favorable 34 36 38 41 15 Unfavorable 32 29 34 25 13 Hvn't hrd enough 33 34 28 33 70 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 2 23. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 34% 54% 14% 37% 38% 31% 24% 34% 40% Unfavorable 40 19 64 36 39 41 41 44 36 Hvn't hrd enough 24 24 21 26 22 26 35 19 22 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 2 - 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Dec 11 May 31 Feb 08 2015 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Favorable 34 33 32 31 29 25 Unfavorable 40 32 37 38 29 29 Hvn't hrd enough 24 33 29 30 42 45 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 2 24. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 30% 54% 8% 29% 35% 25% 27% 29% 32% Unfavorable 22 4 42 19 23 20 15 23 24 Hvn't hrd enough 48 42 48 52 42 53 58 47 43 REFUSED 1 - 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 05 Jul 08 Dec 11 Feb 08 2015 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 30 27 26 27 Unfavorable 22 25 25 15 Hvn't hrd enough 48 47 47 57 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 25. Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 23% 44% 5% 22% 30% 17% 14% 23% 28% Unfavorable 24 2 45 25 25 23 26 24 23 Hvn't hrd enough 52 54 49 52 44 60 60 52 48 REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 1 - - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 05 Jul 08 Dec 11 2015 2014 2013 Favorable 23 18 21 Unfavorable 24 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 52 64 62 REFUSED 1 - 1 26. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 23% 45% 5% 20% 28% 19% 26% 22% 23% Unfavorable 29 8 45 36 33 26 27 30 29 Hvn't hrd enough 46 45 49 44 38 54 47 46 47 REFUSED 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Mar 05 Nov 26 Jul 08 Dec 11 Oct 02 2015 2014 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 23 21 23 27 16 Unfavorable 29 29 26 27 25 Hvn't hrd enough 46 49 50 44 58 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 27. If Donald Trump runs for President, how likely is it that you would vote for him; would you definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him? AGE IN YRS....... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Definitely 5% 10% 1% 5% 6% 4% 4% 4% 6% Probably 14 22 6 16 13 15 13 17 14 Probably not 25 33 16 21 26 24 33 24 22 Definitely not 51 27 76 54 50 52 44 53 54 DK/NA 5 8 2 4 5 5 6 3 5
